Latino Voter Enthusiasm Peaks as Independent Support Shifts and Gender Divide Widens in 2024 Presidential Race
October 21 2024 - 2:40PM
Business Wire
Week 6 of National Latino Voter Tracking Poll
Reveals Increased Engagement, Campaign Outreach, and Key
Differences Between Latina and Latino Voters.
Entravision, AltaMed, and BSP Research have released the Week 6
results of the 2024 National Latino Voter Tracking Poll, showing
significant shifts in Latino voter engagement, campaign outreach
efforts, and critical issues leading up to Election Day. Latino
voter enthusiasm has reached its highest level since the poll
began, and new insights reveal a growing gender divide in candidate
preferences.
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the full release here:
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Key Findings from Week 6:
1. Latino Voter Enthusiasm is on the Rise
- 3 out of 4 Latino voters (75%) either have already voted or are
“almost certain” that they will vote. This is the highest level of
voter enthusiasm among Latinos since our poll began on September
11.
- 7% of Latino voters have voted early - up from 3% last
week.
2. Campaigns are Waking Up and Increasing Latino
Outreach
- 58% of Latinos have been contacted by a party, campaign, or
other organization - up from 48% in Week 1 (9/11-9/17).
- Among those who have been contacted:
- 58% were contacted by the Democratic party (down from 66% in
Week 1)
- 44% were contacted by the Republican party (up from 41% in Week
1)
- 20% have been contacted by a non-partisan or civic
organization
- Higher income Latinos ($80k+) were most likely to have been
contacted (67%). Half of lower income Latinos (under $40k) have not
been contacted.
- Text messaging is the most common means of contact (30%),
followed by campaign mail (20%).
3. A Third of Latino Voters Still Need More Information to
Make Their Choice for President
- 33% of Latino voters do not have all the information they need
to make their choice for President.
- Lack of information is pronounced among younger Latino voters.
Half (50%) of Latino voters under 30 want or need more information
to make their choice.
- 28% of Democratic Latino voters and 27% of Republican Latino
voters want or need more information.
- More than half (55%) of Independent Latino voters want or need
more information to make their choice.
4. Independent Latino Voters are Up for Grabs
- After surging in recent weeks, Independent Latinos’ support for
Donald Trump levels off in Week 6.
- Kamala Harris rebounds with Independent Latinos in Week 6,
picking up support from previously undecided Independent Latino
voters.
- Week to week trend among Independent Latino voters:
- Week 5: 46% Trump, 37% Harris, 18% Undecided (Trump +9)
- Week 6: 44% Trump, 43% Harris, 13% Undecided (Trump +1)
5. Latinos Prefer Healthcare Providers Who are Part of Their
Community
- 1 out of 5 (19%) of Latino registered voters say that access to
Latino doctors, or to doctors who speak Spanish, is an important
healthcare issue.
- Younger Latino voters (under 30) are more likely to prefer
Latino or Spanish speaking healthcare providers (24%).
THE GENDER GAP AMONG U.S. LATINO VOTERS:
LATINAS ARE SOLIDLY BLUE, LATINOS ARE MORE RECEPTIVE TO THE
GOP
Presidential matchup: Harris dominates with Latinas,
while Latinos are more amenable to Trump.
- Harris-Trump head to head:
- Total: Harris 60%, Trump 36%, Undecided 4% (Harris +24)
- Men: Harris 54%, Trump 43%, Undecided 3% (Harris +11)
- Women: Harris 66%, Trump 30%, Undecided 4% (Harris +36)
- Harris Favorability:
- Total: 63% favorable, 32% unfavorable (Harris +31)
- Men: 58% favorable, 38% unfavorable (Harris +20)
- Women: 67% favorable, 27% unfavorable (Harris +40)
- Trump Favorability:
- Total: 39% favorable, 55% unfavorable (Trump -16)
- Men: 46% favorable, 49% unfavorable (Trump -3)
- Women: 33% favorable, 61% unfavorable (Trump -28)
Senate preference: Latinas push the Democrats over the
goal line as the two parties are essentially tied with Latinos.
- Senate preference:
- Total: Democrat 54%, Republican 34% (Dem +20)
- Men: Democrat 45%, Republican 44% (Dem +1)
- Women: Democrat 61%, Republican 26% (Dem +35)
Congressional preference: Democrats dominate again with
Latinas, with a narrower gap among Latinos.
- Congressional preference:
- Total: Democrat 55%, Republican 31% (Dem +24)
- Men: Democrat 48%, Republican 39% (Dem +9)
- Women: Democrat 61%, Republican 25% (Dem +35)
The 2024 National Latino Tracking Poll will run for eight weeks,
with weekly updates released every Monday. Each week, 500 Latino
voters from across the country are surveyed on their voting
intentions, key issues, healthcare concerns, and candidate
favorability. The poll offers valuable insight into the evolving
priorities of Latino voters as Election Day approaches.
The 2024 National Latino Voter Tracking Poll topline report for
Week 6 is available here.
For more information, please visit:
entravision.com/political.
About Entravision Communications Corporation
Entravision (NYSE: EVC) (Category: Political) is a media and
advertising technology company. Our broadcast properties include
the largest television affiliate group of the Univision and UniMás
television networks and one of the largest groups of primarily
Spanish-language radio stations in the United States, providing our
customers with substantial access and engagement opportunities in
the top U.S. Hispanic markets. Smadex, our programmatic ad
purchasing platform enables customers, primarily mobile app
developers, to purchase advertising electronically and manage
data-driven advertising campaigns. Learn more about our offerings
at entravision.com.
About AltaMed Health Services
AltaMed understands that when people have health care that looks
at their individual health needs and respects their cultural
preferences; they grow healthy—and help their families do the same.
So we’re delivering complete medical services to communities across
Southern California. Since 1969, our team of qualified
multicultural and bilingual professionals—from these same
communities—has focused on eliminating barriers to primary care
services, senior care programs, and even essential community
services. With more than 60 accredited health centers and service
facilities, we remain committed and ready to help you grow healthy
at any age.
About AltaMed Health Services My Vote. My Health.
My Vote. My Health. is a campaign led by AltaMed Health
Services, one of the nation’s largest federally qualified community
health centers, to mobilize patients, families and residents in our
Southern California service areas to address the social and
political determinants of health. My Vote. My Health. partners with
other community healthcare providers and local civic engagement
organizations to help increase Latino civic participation to
improve the quality of life of underserved and underrepresented
communities locally and across California.
About BSP Research
BSP Research is a Latino-owned polling, research and analytics
firm headquartered in Los Angeles, California, and directed by four
PhD-holding political scientists.
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version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20241021475019/en/
Media Contact: Marcelo Gaete, EVP, Public and Government
Relations, Entravision mgaete@entravision.com Christina Sanchez,
Vice President, Public Affairs, AltaMed chsanchez@altamed.org
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