General Maritime and Horizon Lines Brace for Rocky Fourth Quarter
October 06 2011 - 8:16AM
Marketwired
Shipping companies of all types could be in for a rocky fourth
quarter. Drybulk shippers continue to negotiate a massive
oversupply of ships, while oil transporters and container shippers
face a downturn in demand. The Paragon Report examines the outlook
for companies in the Shipping Industry and provides investment
research on General Maritime Corporation (NYSE: GMR) and Horizon
Lines, Inc. (NYSE: HRZ). Access to the full company reports can be
found at:
www.paragonreport.com/GMR
www.paragonreport.com/HRZ
Earlier this week, an article courtesy of The Financial Times
argued that the recent strength in the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) could
suggest that fears of an Asian slowdown are overdone. The BDI has
risen 52 percent over the last month or two as China has continued
to suck in unprecedented quantities of iron ore and coking
coal.
There is a danger that the BDI's monumental run could be
short-lived, however. Reports from Reuters state that the dry bulk
fleet -- responsible for shipping iron ore, coal and other
commodities -- is expected to grow 13 percent this year to top a
record 600 million deadweight tonnes despite demand rising by just
5 to 8 percent.
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Oil Transporters are also bracing for a downturn in use. In
North America and Europe, oil demand is way down. Western countries
already were expecting to see declining demand as their economies
struggle to grow. Those concerns grew last Wednesday when the U.S.
reported unexpectedly large crude supplies and weak gasoline
demand.
In the container shipping segment, the outlook is even worse.
Sunny Ho, executive director of Hong Kong Shippers Council, warns
that the world's container shipping market may remain bleak for the
rest of the year, after seeing shipping rates halved in the third
quarter as western buyers tighten their purse strings amid growing
fears of a global recession. The Shanghai Containerized Freight
Index (SFCI) for European routes tumbled 56 percent to an average
of $807.86 per 20-foot-equivalent unit (TEU) in the third quarter
from $1,842.67 in the same period last year.
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