Volatility Hits the Sizzling SPAC Market
March 09 2021 - 5:42PM
Dow Jones News
By Amrith Ramkumar
Shares of technology firms and special-purpose acquisition
companies surged on Tuesday, bouncing back after a weekslong streak
of declines that pushed some popular SPACs down 20% or more in a
month.
The Nasdaq Composite surged 3.7% for its biggest advance since
November, trimming a recent slide that just one day earlier had
dragged it more than 10% below its February all-time high. Shares
of electric-car company Tesla Inc. rebounded 20%, adding more than
$100 billion to the company's market value, or roughly the
equivalent of two Ford Motor Co.
Some popular companies that have gone public by merging with
so-called SPACs in recent years -- including online real-estate
firm Opendoor Technologies Inc., space-tourism company Virgin
Galactic Holdings Inc. and electric-car company Lordstown Motors
Corp. -- added 6% or more. Those all remain down at least 30% in
the last month.
Tuesday's swings highlighted the competing dynamics playing out
in financial markets as the economy rebounds from shutdowns
designed to halt the spread of the coronavirus. Investors for weeks
had sold SPACs and popular internet companies, rotating into shares
of banks and energy producers that they believed would fare better
as the economy recovers and government-bond yields rise.
Also called blank-check companies, SPACs are shell firms that
list on a stock exchange with the sole purpose of acquiring a
private company to take it public. The private firm, often a
startup, then gets the SPAC's place in the stock market. Merging
with a SPAC has become a popular way for companies to go public
because the process carries looser regulatory requirements and
brings outsize returns for Wall Street and Silicon Valley
investors.
Investors have poured money into SPACs at a record pace this
year -- roughly five new ones are being created daily and they have
raised almost $75 billion, according to Dealogic -- a sign of
exuberance because traders are often betting on SPAC executives to
do an attractive deal. Even though SPACs and other hot investments
rebounded Tuesday, the recent swings have many investors bracing
for more gyrations in the days ahead.
"It's going to be more violent," said Evan Ratner, a SPAC
portfolio manager at Easterly Alternatives. Unless government-bond
yields record a sustained drop, "volatility is here to stay," he
added.
With the yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note
settling at 1.6% on Monday, up from 1% in late January, some
analysts have questioned SPACs and other popular investments.
Treasury yields, which climb as bond prices fall, slid on Tuesday,
at least temporarily easing concerns about a fast rise in economic
activity that forces the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates
more quickly than currently anticipated.
Rising bond yields hurt SPACs and other technology stocks
because they give investors a more appealing alternative to
speculative wagers. SPACs have no business until they acquire a
startup to take public, so outsize gains in blank-check firms were
surprising to many analysts because money was pouring into the
space even when it meant buying at prices that were higher than the
amount of cash that SPACs had to do a deal.
Market volatility also has engulfed SPACs that have yet to
unveil which companies they are taking public. Even with Tuesday's
climb, hedge-fund billionaire William Ackman's Pershing Square
Tontine Holdings Ltd. has fallen 11% in the past month, sliding
alongside other popular SPACs such as venture capitalist Chamath
Palihapitiya's Social Capital Hedosophia Holdings Corp. VI and GS
Acquisition Holdings Corp. II.
The recent gyrations mark what some analysts call an inevitable
return to earth. With SPAC creators clamoring to raise more money
and capitalize on the excitement, some investors see the swings as
a necessary reality check following a period of excessive
optimism.
"You see people rushing to do it while the window is still
open," said Roy Behren, managing member at Westchester Capital
Management and a SPAC investor. And among investors, "everybody
wants to own the next DraftKings or Virgin Galactic," he said,
referring to two of the most popular companies to go public by
combining with blank-check firms.
Tuesday's moves also showed how many on Wall Street have linked
SPACs with technology stocks and cryptocurrencies, meaning that
blank-check companies are prone to outsize moves when
trend-following investors buy or sell all of those assets
together.
The swings mean the enormous paper gains earned by active SPAC
creators like Mr. Palihapitiya and former Citigroup Inc. deal maker
Michael Klein have shrunk, and some investors who had piled into
SPACs at high prices have taken a beating. Investors wagering on
declines in stocks tied to the sector are cheering the shift.
But the turmoil is also opening up even more opportunities for
bargain-seeking investors. With SPACs on track to soon eclipse last
year's record total of more than $80 billion raised, individual
traders have new chances to get in early with blank-check firms at
prices typically only available to large institutions.
And some SPACs have even fallen below levels that correspond to
the amount of cash they have on hand. Because investors can
withdraw that cash before a SPAC deal goes through, buying at or
below that price can result in risk-free returns.
With nearly 400 SPACs in the market seeking companies to take
public, the volatility is likely just beginning.
"It's still an extremely interesting space," Mr. Behren
said.
Write to Amrith Ramkumar at amrith.ramkumar@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
March 09, 2021 17:27 ET (22:27 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2021 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
Social Capital Hedosophi... (NYSE:IPOF)
Historical Stock Chart
From Nov 2024 to Dec 2024
Social Capital Hedosophi... (NYSE:IPOF)
Historical Stock Chart
From Dec 2023 to Dec 2024