JACKSONVILLE, Fla.,
Dec. 9, 2013 /PRNewswire/
-- Lender Processing Services' (NYSE: LPS) October Mortgage
Monitor reported that 48 percent of outstanding second lien home
equity lines of credit (HELOCs) were originated between 2004 and
2006. Given that the vast majority of HELOCs originated during this
time have draw periods of 10 years, they are set to begin
amortizing over the next several years. As the payments on these
HELOCs become fully amortizing, many borrowers may see monthly
payments increase. According to LPS Senior Vice President
Herb Blecher, recent increases in
new problem loans among the HELOCs originated prior to 2004 (that
have already begun amortizing) indicate increased risk of more
delinquencies ahead.
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"In the aggregate, the home equity market is experiencing lower
delinquencies," said Blecher. "However, among the HELOC population
that has already begun amortizing, we are actually seeing an
increase in new seriously delinquent loans. As of today, only 14
percent of second lien HELOCs have passed this 10-year mark,
leaving a very large segment of the market at risk of payment
increases over the coming years. Nearly half of all of these lines
of credit were originated between 2004 and 2006, with the oldest
set to begin amortizing next year. If this trend toward
post-amortizing delinquencies carries over, we could be looking at
significant risk to the home equity market over the coming
years.
"Turning to the first mortgage market, LPS found that the share
of borrowers in negative equity positions has continued to decline
as home prices have risen. As of September, that number was just
11.6 percent of active mortgages, down from almost 19 percent in
January. As reports of estimated U.S. negative equity tend to vary
widely, and to clarify our approach, we are applying a highly
refined methodology to our calculations, accounting for not only
the current combined loan amount of first and second liens using
comprehensive loan and property data, but also the impact of
distressed sale discounts on loans in serious delinquency or
foreclosure. While distressed sales are making up an ever-shrinking
portion of real estate transactions -- just 14.2 percent in
September, the lowest share since 2007 -- these sales have
prices about 25 percent lower than traditional transactions.
Improperly weighing the influence of second liens or distressed
sale discounts can skew measures of Americans' equity, or lack
thereof, in their homes."
In addition, the October data revealed the ongoing impact of the
disparities between judicial and non-judicial foreclosure states.
Judicial states are lagging in home price recovery since the
national market's trough in January
2012, and are likewise seeing higher rates of new problem
loans and foreclosure starts than their non-judicial counterparts.
However, increasing levels of foreclosure sale activity have helped
improve pipeline ratios (the ratio of loans that are seriously
delinquent and in foreclosure to the six-month average of
foreclosure sales) in judicial states. The judicial state pipeline
ratio had declined from a high of 118 months of inventory, down to
47 months as of October, much closer to the non-judicial states' 39
months of inventory.
As reported in LPS' First Look release, other key results from
LPS' latest Mortgage Monitor report include:
Total U.S. loan
delinquency rate:
|
6.28%
|
Month-over-month
change in delinquency rate:
|
-2.8%
|
Total U.S.
foreclosure presale inventory rate:
|
2.54%
|
Month-over-month
change in foreclosure presale inventory
rate:
|
-3.2%
|
States with highest
percentage of non-current* loans:
|
MS, FL, NJ, NY,
LA
|
States with the
lowest percentage of non-current* loans:
|
CO, MT, SD, AK,
ND
|
|
*Non-current totals
combine foreclosures and delinquencies as a percent of active loans
in that state.
Totals are extrapolated based on LPS Data & Analytics'
loan-level database of mortgage assets.
|
To view the Mortgage Monitor Snapshot series, LPS' video version
of the Mortgage Monitor, go to
http://www.lpsvcs.com/LPSCorporateInformation/CommunicationCenter/DataReports/Pages/Mortgage-Monitor-Snapshot.aspx
About the Mortgage Monitor
LPS manages the nation's
leading repository of loan-level residential mortgage data and
performance information on nearly 40 million loans across the
spectrum of credit products. The company's research experts
carefully analyze this data to produce a summary supplemented by
dozens of charts and graphs that reflect trend and point-in-time
observations for LPS' monthly Mortgage Monitor Report. To review
the full report, visit
http://www.lpsvcs.com/LPSCorporateInformation/CommunicationCenter/DataReports/Pages/Mortgage-Monitor.aspx
About Lender Processing Services
LPS (NYSE: LPS)
delivers comprehensive technology solutions and services, as well
as powerful data and analytics, to the nation's top mortgage
lenders, servicers and investors. As a proven and trusted partner
with deep client relationships, LPS offers the only end-to-end
suite of solutions that provides major U.S. banks and many federal
government agencies the technology and data needed to support
mortgage lending and servicing operations, meet unique regulatory
and compliance requirements and mitigate risk.
These integrated solutions support origination, servicing,
portfolio retention and default servicing. LPS' servicing solutions
include MSP, the industry's leading loan-servicing platform, which
is used to service approximately 50 percent of all U.S. mortgages
by dollar volume. The company also provides proprietary data and
analytics for the mortgage, real estate and capital markets
industries. Lender Processing Services is a Fortune 1000 company
headquartered in Jacksonville,
Fla. For more information, please visit www.lpsvcs.com.
SOURCE Lender Processing Services