MS-P Morgan Stanley

December 2024

Preliminary Pricing Supplement No. 5,615

Registration Statement Nos. 333-275587; 333-275587-01

Dated December 23, 2024

Filed pursuant to Rule 424(b)(2)

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Structured Investments

Opportunities in U.S. Equities

Contingent Income Buffered Auto-Callable Securities due January 4, 2030, with 1-Year Initial Non-Call Period

Based on the Performance of the S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index

Fully and Unconditionally Guaranteed by Morgan Stanley

Principal at Risk Securities

The securities offered are unsecured obligations of Morgan Stanley Finance LLC (“MSFL”) and are fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Morgan Stanley. The securities have the terms described in the accompanying product supplement, index supplement and prospectus, as supplemented or modified by this document. The securities do not provide for the regular payment of interest and provide a minimum payment at maturity of only 15% of the stated principal amount. Instead, the securities will pay a contingent quarterly coupon (as well as any contingent quarterly coupons from prior quarterly periods for which a contingent quarterly coupon was not paid), but only with respect to each observation date on which the index closing value of the underlying index is greater than or equal to 70% of the initial index value, which we refer to as the coupon barrier level. In addition, starting one year after the original issue date, if the index closing value of the underlying index is greater than or equal to 100% of the initial index value, which we refer to as the call threshold level, on any quarterly redemption determination date, the securities will be automatically redeemed for an amount per security equal to the stated principal amount plus the related contingent quarterly coupon and the contingent quarterly coupons with respect to any prior observation date for which a contingent quarterly coupon was not paid. No further payments will be made on the securities once they have been redeemed. At maturity, if the securities have not previously been redeemed and the final index value of the underlying index has increased, remained unchanged or decreased by an amount less than or equal to the buffer amount of 15% from the initial index value, investors will receive the stated principal amount and the related contingent quarterly coupon and any previously unpaid contingent quarterly coupons from prior observation dates. If, however, the final index value of the underlying index has decreased by more than the buffer amount of 15% from the initial index value, investors will lose 1% of principal for every 1% decline in the final index value of the underlying index from the initial index value beyond the buffer amount of 15%. Under these circumstances, the payment at maturity will be less than the stated principal amount of the securities. Accordingly, investors in the securities must be willing to accept the risk of losing up to 85% of their initial investment and also the risk of not receiving any contingent quarterly coupons throughout the 5-year term of the securities. These long-dated securities are for investors who are willing to risk their principal and seek an opportunity to earn interest at a potentially above-market rate in exchange for the risk of receiving few or no contingent quarterly coupons over the 5-year term of the securities, with no possibility of being called out of the securities until after the initial 1-year non-call period. Investors will not participate in any appreciation of the underlying index. The securities are issued as part of MSFL’s Series A Global Medium-Term Notes program.

The S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index (the “Index” or the “underlying index”) is a rules-based, long-only index that was developed by S&P® Dow Jones Indices LLC (“S&P®”), in coordination with Morgan Stanley, and was established on March 14, 2022. The underlying index employs a rules-based quantitative strategy that consists of a risk-adjusted, momentum-based, or trend following, approach to construct a portfolio composed of equity futures contracts. In addition, the strategy applies an overall volatility-targeting feature upon the resulting portfolio and is subject to a 4.0% per annum daily decrement.

The goal of the underlying index is to provide rules-based exposure to unfunded, rolling positions in equity futures contracts, with a maximum exposure to the futures contracts of 400%. The index components are selected from a universe of three equity futures contracts – the E-Mini Nasdaq-100 Futures (“NQ”), which reference the Nasdaq-100 Index®, the E-Mini S&P 500 Futures (“ES”), which reference the S&P 500® Index, and the E-Mini Russell 2000 Futures (“QR”), which reference the Russell 2000® Index. We refer to the E-Mini Nasdaq-100 Futures, the E-Mini S&P 500 Futures and the E-Mini Russell 2000 Futures as the Index Components.

There are seven discrete steps in calculating the underlying index level: (1) a risk-adjusted momentum signal is calculated for each Index Component; (2) the index composition (the “Base Index”) is calculated using the risk-adjusted momentum signals; (3) the realized volatility level of the Base Index (the “Base Volatility”) is calculated; (4) theoretical leverage is calculated based on the Base Volatility and the underlying index’s targeted volatility; (5) the theoretical leverage is compared to the actual leverage; (6) if necessary, the actual leverage is adjusted; and (7) a 4.0% per annum daily decrement is applied.

For more information see “Annex A—S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index” below and “Risk Factors—Risks Relating to the Underlying Index” below.

All payments are subject to our credit risk. If we default on our obligations, you could lose some or all of your investment. These securities are not secured obligations and you will not have any security interest in, or otherwise have any access to, any underlying reference asset or assets.

(1)The securities will be sold only to investors purchasing the securities in fee-based advisory accounts.

(2)MS & Co. expects to sell all of the securities that it purchases from us to an unaffiliated dealer at a price of $ per security, for further sale to certain fee-based advisory accounts at the price to public of $1,000 per security. MS & Co. will not receive a sales commission with respect to the securities. See “Supplemental information regarding plan of distribution; conflicts of interest.” For additional information, see “Plan of Distribution (Conflicts of Interest)” in the accompanying product supplement.

(3)See "Use of proceeds and hedging" on page 24.

The securities involve risks not associated with an investment in ordinary debt securities. See “Risk Factors” beginning on page 12.

The Securities and Exchange Commission and state securities regulators have not approved or disapproved these securities, or determined if this document or the accompanying product supplement, index supplement and prospectus is truthful or complete. Any representation to the contrary is a criminal offense.

The securities are not deposits or savings accounts and are not insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other governmental agency or instrumentality, nor are they obligations of, or guaranteed by, a bank.

You should read this document together with the related product supplement, index supplement and prospectus, each of which can be accessed via the hyperlinks below. When you read the accompanying product supplement and index supplement, please note that all references in such supplements to the prospectus dated November 16, 2023, or to any sections therein, should refer instead to the accompanying prospectus dated April 12, 2024 or to the corresponding sections of such prospectus, as applicable. Please also see “Additional Terms of the Securities” and “Additional Information About the Securities” at the end of this document.

As used in this document, “we,” “us” and “our” refer to Morgan Stanley or MSFL, or Morgan Stanley and MSFL collectively, as the context requires.

Product Supplement for Auto-Callable Securities dated November 16, 2023 Index Supplement dated November 16, 2023 Prospectus dated April 12, 2024

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Contingent Income Buffered Auto-Callable Securities due January 4, 2030, with 1-Year Initial Non-Call Period

Based on the Performance of the S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index

Principal at Risk Securities

Observation Dates, Redemption Determination Dates, Coupon Payment Dates and Early Redemption Dates

* The securities are not subject to automatic early redemption until the fourth coupon payment date, which is January 5, 2026.

December 2024 Page 2

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Contingent Income Buffered Auto-Callable Securities due January 4, 2030, with 1-Year Initial Non-Call Period

Based on the Performance of the S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index

Principal at Risk Securities

Investment Summary

Contingent Income Buffered Auto-Callable Securities

Principal at Risk Securities

The Contingent Income Buffered Auto-Callable Securities due January 4, 2030, with 1-Year Initial Non-Call Period Based on the Performance of the S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index, which we refer to as the securities, provide an opportunity for investors to earn a contingent quarterly coupon (as well as any contingent quarterly coupons for any prior quarterly periods for which a contingent quarterly coupon was not paid) with respect to each quarterly observation date on which the index closing value or the final index value, as applicable, is greater than or equal to 70% of the initial index value, which we refer to as the coupon barrier level. It is possible that the index closing value of the underlying index could remain below the coupon barrier level for extended periods of time or even throughout the term of the securities so that you may receive few or no contingent quarterly coupons.

If the index closing value is greater than or equal to 100% of the initial index value, which we refer to as the call threshold level, on any quarterly redemption determination date, beginning on December 30, 2025 (approximately one year after the original issue date), the securities will be automatically redeemed for an early redemption payment equal to the stated principal amount plus the contingent quarterly coupon with respect to the related observation date and any previously unpaid contingent quarterly coupons from prior observation dates. No further payments will be made on the securities once they have been redeemed. If the securities have not previously been redeemed and the final index value is greater than or equal to 85% of the initial index value, meaning that the underlying index has not declined by an amount greater than the buffer amount of 15%, the payment at maturity will be the sum of the stated principal amount, the contingent quarterly coupon with respect to the final observation date and any previously unpaid contingent quarterly coupons with respect to the prior observation dates. However, if the securities have not previously been redeemed and the final index value is less than 85% of the initial index value, meaning that the underlying index has declined by an amount greater than the buffer amount of 15%, investors will lose 1% of principal for every 1% decline in the final index value of the underlying index from the initial index value beyond the buffer amount of 15%. If the final index value of the underlying index is greater than or equal to the coupon barrier level, investors will receive the contingent quarterly coupon with respect to the final observation date and any previously unpaid contingent quarterly coupons with respect to the prior observation dates. In this case, the payment at maturity will be less than the stated principal amount of the securities. Investors in the securities must be willing to accept the risk of losing up to 85% of their initial investment and also the risk of not receiving any contingent quarterly coupons throughout the entire 5-year term of the securities. In addition, investors will not participate in any appreciation of the underlying index.

December 2024 Page 3

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Contingent Income Buffered Auto-Callable Securities due January 4, 2030, with 1-Year Initial Non-Call Period

Based on the Performance of the S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index

Principal at Risk Securities

The original issue price of each security is $1,000. This price includes costs associated with issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities, which are borne by you, and, consequently, the estimated value of the securities on the pricing date will be less than $1,000. We estimate that the value of each security on the pricing date will be approximately $914.90, or within $55.00 of that estimate. Our estimate of the value of the securities as determined on the pricing date will be set forth in the final pricing supplement.

What goes into the estimated value on the pricing date?

In valuing the securities on the pricing date, we take into account that the securities comprise both a debt component and a performance-based component linked to the underlying index. The estimated value of the securities is determined using our own pricing and valuation models, market inputs and assumptions relating to the underlying index, instruments based on the underlying index, volatility and other factors including current and expected interest rates, as well as an interest rate related to our secondary market credit spread, which is the implied interest rate at which our conventional fixed rate debt trades in the secondary market.

What determines the economic terms of the securities?

In determining the economic terms of the securities, including the contingent quarterly coupon rate, the call threshold level, the buffer amount and the coupon barrier level, we use an internal funding rate, which is likely to be lower than our secondary market credit spreads and therefore advantageous to us. If the issuing, selling, structuring and hedging costs borne by you were lower or if the internal funding rate were higher, one or more of the economic terms of the securities would be more favorable to you.

What is the relationship between the estimated value on the pricing date and the secondary market price of the securities?

The price at which MS & Co. purchases the securities in the secondary market, absent changes in market conditions, including those related to the underlying index, may vary from, and be lower than, the estimated value on the pricing date, because the secondary market price takes into account our secondary market credit spread as well as the bid-offer spread that MS & Co. would charge in a secondary market transaction of this type and other factors. However, because the costs associated with issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities are not fully deducted upon issuance, for a period of up to 6 months following the issue date, to the extent that MS & Co. may buy or sell the securities in the secondary market, absent changes in market conditions, including those related to the underlying index, and to our secondary market credit spreads, it would do so based on values higher than the estimated value. We expect that those higher values will also be reflected in your brokerage account statements.

MS & Co. may, but is not obligated to, make a market in the securities, and, if it once chooses to make a market, may cease doing so at any time.

December 2024 Page 4

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Contingent Income Buffered Auto-Callable Securities due January 4, 2030, with 1-Year Initial Non-Call Period

Based on the Performance of the S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index

Principal at Risk Securities

Key Investment Rationale

The securities offer investors an opportunity to earn a contingent quarterly coupon (plus any previously unpaid contingent quarterly coupons from prior observation dates) with respect to each observation date on which the index closing value or the final index value, as applicable, is greater than or equal to 70% of the initial index value, which we refer to as the coupon barrier level. The securities may be redeemed prior to maturity for the stated principal amount per security plus the applicable contingent quarterly coupon and any previously unpaid contingent quarterly coupons, and the payment at maturity will vary depending on the final index value, as follows:

December 2024 Page 5

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Contingent Income Buffered Auto-Callable Securities due January 4, 2030, with 1-Year Initial Non-Call Period

Based on the Performance of the S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index

Principal at Risk Securities

How the Securities Work

The following diagrams illustrate the potential outcomes for the securities depending on (1) the index closing values on each quarterly observation date, (2) the index closing values on each quarterly redemption determination date (starting after one year) and (3) the final index value. Please see “Hypothetical Examples” beginning on page 8 for illustration of hypothetical payouts on the securities.

Diagram #1: Contingent Quarterly Coupons (Beginning on the First Coupon Payment Date until Early Redemption or Maturity)

Diagram #2: Automatic Early Redemption (Starting after One Year)

December 2024 Page 6

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Contingent Income Buffered Auto-Callable Securities due January 4, 2030, with 1-Year Initial Non-Call Period

Based on the Performance of the S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index

Principal at Risk Securities

Diagram #3: Payment at Maturity if No Automatic Early Redemption Occurs

For more information about the payout upon an early redemption or at maturity in different hypothetical scenarios, see “Hypothetical Examples” starting on page 8.

December 2024 Page 7

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Contingent Income Buffered Auto-Callable Securities due January 4, 2030, with 1-Year Initial Non-Call Period

Based on the Performance of the S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index

Principal at Risk Securities

Hypothetical Examples

The following hypothetical examples illustrate how to determine whether a contingent quarterly coupon is paid with respect to an observation date and how to calculate the payment at maturity if the securities have not been automatically redeemed early. The following examples are for illustrative purposes only. Whether you receive a contingent quarterly coupon will be determined by reference to the index closing value of the underlying index on each quarterly observation date, and the amount you will receive at maturity will be determined by reference to the final index value of the underlying index on the final observation date. The actual initial index value, call threshold level and coupon barrier level for the underlying index will be determined on the pricing date. All payments on the securities are subject to our credit risk. The numbers in the hypothetical examples below may have been rounded for the ease of analysis. The below examples are based on the following terms:

* The actual contingent quarterly coupon will be an amount determined by the calculation agent based on the actual contingent quarterly coupon rate and the number of days in the applicable payment period, calculated on a 30/360 day-count basis. The hypothetical contingent quarterly coupon of $31.25 is used in these examples for ease of analysis.

December 2024 Page 8

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Contingent Income Buffered Auto-Callable Securities due January 4, 2030, with 1-Year Initial Non-Call Period

Based on the Performance of the S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index

Principal at Risk Securities

How to determine whether a contingent quarterly coupon is payable with respect to an observation date:

On hypothetical observation date 1, the underlying index closes at or above the coupon barrier level. Therefore, a contingent quarterly coupon of $31.25 is paid on the relevant coupon payment date.

On hypothetical observation date 2, the underlying index closes below the coupon barrier level, and, accordingly, no contingent quarterly coupon is paid on the relevant coupon payment date.

On hypothetical observation date 3, the underlying index closes at or above the coupon barrier level. Therefore, investors receive the hypothetical contingent quarterly coupon with respect to the third observation date as well as the previously unpaid contingent quarterly coupon with respect to the second observation date.

If the index closing value of the underlying index is less than the coupon barrier level on each observation date, you will not receive any contingent quarterly coupons for the entire 5-year term of the securities.

December 2024 Page 9

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Contingent Income Buffered Auto-Callable Securities due January 4, 2030, with 1-Year Initial Non-Call Period

Based on the Performance of the S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index

Principal at Risk Securities

How to calculate the payment at maturity (if the securities have not been automatically redeemed):

Starting after one year, if the index closing value of the underlying index is greater than or equal to the call threshold level on any quarterly redemption determination date, the securities will be automatically redeemed for an early redemption payment equal to the stated principal amount for each security you hold plus the contingent quarterly coupon with respect to the related observation date and any previously unpaid contingent quarterly coupons from prior observation dates.

The examples below illustrate how to calculate the payment at maturity if the securities have not been automatically redeemed prior to maturity.

In example 1, the final index value of the underlying index is less than the coupon barrier level, and the underlying index has decreased by an amount greater than the buffer amount of 15% from the initial index value. Therefore, investors are exposed to the downside performance of the underlying index at maturity, and investors lose 1% of the principal amount for every 1% decline in the final index value of the underlying index from the initial index value beyond the buffer amount of 15%. Moreover, investors do not receive any contingent quarterly coupon for the final quarterly period.

In example 2, the final index value of the underlying index is greater than or equal to the coupon barrier level, and the underlying index has decreased by an amount greater than the buffer amount of 15% from the initial index value. Therefore, investors are exposed to the downside performance of the underlying index at maturity, and investors lose 1% of the principal amount for every 1% decline in the final index value of the underlying index from the initial index value beyond the buffer amount of 15%. However, because the final index value of the underlying index is

December 2024 Page 10

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Contingent Income Buffered Auto-Callable Securities due January 4, 2030, with 1-Year Initial Non-Call Period

Based on the Performance of the S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index

Principal at Risk Securities

greater than or equal to the coupon barrier level, investors receive the contingent quarterly coupon with respect to the final observation date and any previously unpaid contingent quarterly coupons from prior observation dates.

In examples 3 and 4, the final index value of the underlying index is greater than or equal to the coupon barrier level, and the underlying index has increased, remained unchanged or decreased by an amount less than or equal to the buffer amount of 15% from the initial index value. Therefore, investors receive at maturity the stated principal amount of the securities plus the contingent quarterly coupon with respect to the final observation date and any previously unpaid contingent quarterly coupons from prior observation dates.

If the final index value of the underlying index has decreased by more than the buffer amount of 15% from the initial index value, you will be exposed to the downside performance of the underlying index beyond the buffer amount, and your payment at maturity will be less than the stated principal amount. Under these circumstances, you will lose some, and up to 85%, of your investment in the securities.

December 2024 Page 11

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Contingent Income Buffered Auto-Callable Securities due January 4, 2030, with 1-Year Initial Non-Call Period

Based on the Performance of the S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index

Principal at Risk Securities

Risk Factors

This section describes the material risks relating to the securities. For further discussion of these and other risks, you should read the section entitled “Risk Factors” in the accompanying product supplement, index supplement and prospectus. You should also consult your investment, legal, tax, accounting and other advisers in connection with your investment in the securities.

Risks Relating to an Investment in the Securities

￭The securities provide a minimum payment at maturity of only 15% of your principal. The terms of the securities differ from those of ordinary debt securities in that they provide a minimum payment at maturity of only 15% of the stated principal amount of the securities, subject to our credit risk. If the securities have not been automatically redeemed prior to maturity, and if the final index value of the underlying index has decreased by more than the buffer amount of 15% from the initial index value, you will lose 1% of your principal for every 1% decline in the final index value of the underlying index from the initial index value beyond the buffer amount of 15%. Under this scenario, the payment at maturity will be less than the stated principal amount. You could lose up to 85% of your investment in the securities.

￭The securities do not provide for the regular payment of interest. The terms of the securities differ from those of ordinary debt securities in that they do not provide for the regular payment of interest. Instead, the securities will pay a contingent quarterly coupon but only if the index closing value of the underlying index is at or above the coupon barrier level on the related observation date. If the index closing value of the underlying index is lower than the coupon barrier level on the relevant observation date for any interest period, we will pay no coupon on the applicable coupon payment date. However, if the contingent quarterly coupon is not paid on any coupon payment date because the index closing value of the underlying index is less than the coupon barrier level on the related observation date, such unpaid contingent quarterly coupon will be paid on a later coupon payment date but only if the index closing value of the underlying index on such later observation date is greater than or equal to the coupon barrier level. Therefore, you will not receive such unpaid contingent quarterly coupon if the index closing value of the underlying index is less than the coupon barrier level on each subsequent observation date. It is possible that the index closing value of the underlying index will be less than the coupon barrier level for extended periods of time or even throughout the entire term of the securities so that you will receive few or no contingent quarterly coupons. If you do not earn sufficient contingent quarterly coupons over the term of the securities, the overall return on the securities may be less than the amount that would be paid on a conventional debt security of ours of comparable maturity.

￭The contingent quarterly coupon, if any, is based on the value of the underlying index on only the related quarterly observation date at the end of the related interest period. Whether the contingent quarterly coupon will be paid on any coupon payment date will be determined at the end of the relevant interest period based on the index closing value of the underlying index on the relevant quarterly observation date. As a result, you will not know whether you will receive the contingent quarterly coupon on any coupon payment date until near the end of the relevant interest period. Moreover, because the contingent quarterly coupon is based solely on the value of the underlying index on quarterly observation dates, if the index closing value of the underlying index on any observation date is below the coupon barrier level, you will not receive the contingent quarterly coupon for the related interest period, or any previously unpaid contingent quarterly coupons, even if the value of the underlying index was at or above the coupon barrier level on other days during that interest period.

￭Investors will not participate in any appreciation in the value of the underlying index. Investors will not participate in any appreciation in the value of the underlying index from the initial index value, and the return on the securities will be limited to the contingent quarterly coupons, if any, that are paid with respect to each observation date on which the index closing value or the final index value, as applicable, is greater than or equal to the coupon barrier level until the securities are redeemed or reach maturity.

￭The market price will be influenced by many unpredictable factors. Several factors, many of which are beyond our control, will influence the value of the securities in the secondary market and the price at which MS & Co. may be willing to purchase or sell the securities in the secondary market. We expect that generally the level of interest rates available in the market and the value of the underlying index on any day, in relation to the call threshold level, coupon barrier level and initial index value, will affect the value of the securities more than any other factors. Other factors that may influence the value of the securities include:

othe volatility (frequency and magnitude of changes in value) of the underlying index,

owhether the index closing value of the underlying index is currently or has been below the coupon barrier level on any observation date,

December 2024 Page 12

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Contingent Income Buffered Auto-Callable Securities due January 4, 2030, with 1-Year Initial Non-Call Period

Based on the Performance of the S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index

Principal at Risk Securities

ogeopolitical conditions and economic, financial, political, regulatory or judicial events that affect the Index Components or securities markets generally and which may affect the value of the underlying index,

odividend rates on the securities underlying the indices referenced by the Index Components,

othe time remaining until the securities mature,

ointerest and yield rates in the market,

othe availability of comparable instruments,

othe composition of the underlying index, the compositions of the indices referenced by the Index Components and changes in the constituent stocks of such indices, and

oany actual or anticipated changes in our credit ratings or credit spreads.

Generally, the longer the time remaining to maturity, the more the market price of the securities will be affected by the other factors described above. Some or all of these factors will influence the price that you will receive if you sell your securities prior to maturity. In particular, if the underlying index has closed near or below the coupon barrier level, the market value of the securities is expected to decrease substantially and you may have to sell your securities at a substantial discount from the stated principal amount of $1,000 per security.

You cannot predict the future performance of the underlying index based on its historical performance. The value of the underlying index may decrease and be below the coupon barrier level on each observation date so that you will receive no contingent quarterly coupons, and the underlying index may decrease by more than the buffer amount of 15% from the initial index value on the final observation date so that you will lose some, and up to 85%, of your initial investment in the securities. There can be no assurance that the index closing value of the underlying index will be greater than or equal to the coupon barrier level on any observation date so that you will receive any contingent quarterly coupon during the term of the securities, or that it will not have declined by more than the buffer amount of 15% from the initial index value on the final observation date so that you do not suffer a loss on your initial investment in the securities. See “S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index Overview” below.

￭The securities are subject to our credit risk, and any actual or anticipated changes to our credit ratings or credit spreads may adversely affect the market value of the securities. You are dependent on our ability to pay all amounts due on the securities on each coupon payment date, upon automatic redemption or at maturity, and therefore you are subject to our credit risk. If we default on our obligations under the securities, your investment would be at risk and you could lose some or all of your investment. As a result, the market value of the securities prior to maturity will be affected by changes in the market’s view of our creditworthiness. Any actual or anticipated decline in our credit ratings or increase in the credit spreads charged by the market for taking our credit risk is likely to adversely affect the market value of the securities.

￭As a finance subsidiary, MSFL has no independent operations and will have no independent assets. As a finance subsidiary, MSFL has no independent operations beyond the issuance and administration of its securities and will have no independent assets available for distributions to holders of MSFL securities if they make claims in respect of such securities in a bankruptcy, resolution or similar proceeding. Accordingly, any recoveries by such holders will be limited to those available under the related guarantee by Morgan Stanley and that guarantee will rank pari passu with all other unsecured, unsubordinated obligations of Morgan Stanley. Holders will have recourse only to a single claim against Morgan Stanley and its assets under the guarantee. Holders of securities issued by MSFL should accordingly assume that in any such proceedings they would not have any priority over and should be treated pari passu with the claims of other unsecured, unsubordinated creditors of Morgan Stanley, including holders of Morgan Stanley-issued securities.

￭Investing in the securities is not equivalent to investing in the underlying index. Investing in the securities is not equivalent to investing in the underlying index, the Index Components or the component stocks of the indices referenced by the Index Components. As an investor in the securities, you will not have voting rights or rights to receive dividends or other distributions or any other rights with respect to the component stocks of the indices referenced by the Index Components.

￭Reinvestment risk. The term of your investment in the securities may be shortened due to the automatic early redemption feature of the securities. If the securities are redeemed prior to maturity, you will receive no more contingent quarterly coupons and may be forced to invest in a lower interest rate environment and may not be able to reinvest at comparable terms or returns. However, under no circumstances will the securities be redeemed in the first year of the term of the securities.

￭The securities will not be listed on any securities exchange and secondary trading may be limited. Accordingly, you should be willing to hold your securities for the entire 5-year term of the securities. The securities will not be listed on any securities exchange. Therefore, there may be little or no secondary market for the securities. MS & Co. may, but is not

December 2024 Page 13

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Contingent Income Buffered Auto-Callable Securities due January 4, 2030, with 1-Year Initial Non-Call Period

Based on the Performance of the S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index

Principal at Risk Securities

obligated to, make a market in the securities and, if it once chooses to make a market, may cease doing so at any time. When it does make a market, it will generally do so for transactions of routine secondary market size at prices based on its estimate of the current value of the securities, taking into account its bid/offer spread, our credit spreads, market volatility, the notional size of the proposed sale, the cost of unwinding any related hedging positions, the time remaining to maturity and the likelihood that it will be able to resell the securities. Even if there is a secondary market, it may not provide enough liquidity to allow you to trade or sell the securities easily. Since other broker-dealers may not participate significantly in the secondary market for the securities, the price at which you may be able to trade your securities is likely to depend on the price, if any, at which MS & Co. is willing to transact. If, at any time, MS & Co. were to cease making a market in the securities, it is likely that there would be no secondary market for the securities. Accordingly, you should be willing to hold your securities to maturity.

￭The rate we are willing to pay for securities of this type, maturity and issuance size is likely to be lower than the rate implied by our secondary market credit spreads and advantageous to us. Both the lower rate and the inclusion of costs associated with issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities in the original issue price reduce the economic terms of the securities, cause the estimated value of the securities to be less than the original issue price and will adversely affect secondary market prices. Assuming no change in market conditions or any other relevant factors, the prices, if any, at which dealers, including MS & Co., may be willing to purchase the securities in secondary market transactions will likely be significantly lower than the original issue price, because secondary market prices will exclude the issuing, selling, structuring and hedging-related costs that are included in the original issue price and borne by you and because the secondary market prices will reflect our secondary market credit spreads and the bid-offer spread that any dealer would charge in a secondary market transaction of this type as well as other factors.

The inclusion of the costs of issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities in the original issue price and the lower rate we are willing to pay as issuer make the economic terms of the securities less favorable to you than they otherwise would be.

However, because the costs associated with issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities are not fully deducted upon issuance, for a period of up to 6 months following the issue date, to the extent that MS & Co. may buy or sell the securities in the secondary market, absent changes in market conditions, including those related to the underlying index, and to our secondary market credit spreads, it would do so based on values higher than the estimated value, and we expect that those higher values will also be reflected in your brokerage account statements.

￭The estimated value of the securities is determined by reference to our pricing and valuation models, which may differ from those of other dealers and is not a maximum or minimum secondary market price. These pricing and valuation models are proprietary and rely in part on subjective views of certain market inputs and certain assumptions about future events, which may prove to be incorrect. As a result, because there is no market-standard way to value these types of securities, our models may yield a higher estimated value of the securities than those generated by others, including other dealers in the market, if they attempted to value the securities. In addition, the estimated value on the pricing date does not represent a minimum or maximum price at which dealers, including MS & Co., would be willing to purchase your securities in the secondary market (if any exists) at any time. The value of your securities at any time after the date of this document will vary based on many factors that cannot be predicted with accuracy, including our creditworthiness and changes in market conditions. See also “The market price will be influenced by many unpredictable factors” above.

￭Hedging and trading activity by our affiliates could potentially adversely affect the value of the securities. One or more of our affiliates and/or third-party dealers expect to carry out hedging activities related to the securities (and to other instruments linked to the underlying index, the Index Components or the component stocks of the indices referenced by the Index Components), including trading in the Index Components and the stocks that constitute the indices referenced by the Index Components as well as in other instruments related to the underlying index. As a result, these entities may be unwinding or adjusting hedge positions during the term of the securities, and the hedging strategy may involve greater and more frequent dynamic adjustments to the hedge as the final observation date approaches. Some of our affiliates also trade the stocks that constitute the indices referenced by the Index Components and other financial instruments related to the underlying index on a regular basis as part of their general broker-dealer and other businesses. Any of these hedging or trading activities on or prior to the pricing date could potentially increase the initial index value, and, therefore, could increase (i) the value at or above which the underlying index must close on the redemption determination dates so that the securities are redeemed prior to maturity for the early redemption payment, (ii) the coupon barrier level, which is the value at or above which the underlying index must close on each observation date so that you receive a contingent quarterly coupon or to receive any unpaid contingent quarterly coupon from prior observation dates on the securities and (iii) the value at or above which the underlying index must close on the final observation date so that you are not exposed to the negative performance of the underlying index at maturity. Additionally, such hedging or trading activities during the term of the securities could potentially affect the value of

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the underlying index on the redemption determination dates and observation dates, and, accordingly, whether the securities are automatically called prior to maturity, whether we pay a contingent quarterly coupon on each coupon payment date and, if the securities are not called prior to maturity, the payout to you at maturity.

￭The calculation agent, which is a subsidiary of Morgan Stanley and an affiliate of MSFL, will make determinations with respect to the securities. As calculation agent, MS & Co. will determine the initial index value, the call threshold level, the coupon barrier level, the index closing value on each observation date, including the final index value, whether the contingent quarterly coupon will be paid on each coupon payment date, whether you receive any previously unpaid contingent quarterly coupons, whether the securities will be redeemed following any redemption determination date, whether a market disruption event has occurred, and the payment that you will receive upon an automatic early redemption or at maturity. Moreover, certain determinations made by MS & Co., in its capacity as calculation agent, may require it to exercise discretion and make subjective judgments, such as with respect to the occurrence or non-occurrence of market disruption events and the selection of a successor index or calculation of the index closing value in the event of a market disruption event or discontinuance of the underlying index. These potentially subjective determinations may affect the payout to you upon an automatic early redemption or at maturity. For further information regarding these types of determinations, see "Description of Auto-Callable Securities—Postponement of Determination Dates," "—Alternate Exchange Calculation in Case of an Event of Default,” "—Discontinuance of Any Underlying Index; Alteration of Method of Calculation” and "—Calculation Agent and Calculations" in the accompanying product supplement. In addition, MS & Co. has determined the estimated value of the securities on the pricing date.

￭The U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities are uncertain. There is no direct legal authority as to the proper treatment of the securities for U.S. federal income tax purposes, and, therefore, significant aspects of the tax treatment of the securities are uncertain.

Please read the discussion under “Additional Information—Tax considerations” in this document concerning the U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities. We intend to treat a security for U.S. federal income tax purposes as a single financial contract that provides for a coupon that will be treated as gross income to you at the time received or accrued, in accordance with your regular method of tax accounting. Under this treatment, the ordinary income treatment of the coupon payments, in conjunction with the capital loss treatment of any loss recognized upon the sale, exchange or settlement of the securities, could result in adverse tax consequences to holders of the securities because the deductibility of capital losses is subject to limitations. We do not plan to request a ruling from the Internal Revenue Service (the “IRS”) regarding the tax treatment of the securities, and the IRS or a court may not agree with the tax treatment described herein. If the IRS were successful in asserting an alternative treatment for the securities, the timing and character of income or loss on the securities might differ significantly from the tax treatment described herein. For example, under one possible treatment, the IRS could seek to recharacterize the securities as debt instruments. In that event, U.S. Holders (as defined below) would be required to accrue into income original issue discount on the securities every year at a “comparable yield” determined at the time of issuance (as adjusted based on the difference, if any, between the actual and the projected amount of any contingent payments on the securities) and recognize all income and gain in respect of the securities as ordinary income. The risk that financial instruments providing for buffers, triggers or similar downside protection features, such as the securities, would be recharacterized as debt is greater than the risk of recharacterization for comparable financial instruments that do not have such features. Moreover, future legislation, Treasury regulations or IRS guidance could adversely affect the U.S. federal tax consequences of an investment in the securities, possibly retroactively.

Non-U.S. Holders (as defined below) should note that we currently intend to withhold on any coupon paid to Non-U.S. Holders generally at a rate of 30%, or at a reduced rate specified by an applicable income tax treaty under an “other income” or similar provision, and will not be required to pay any additional amounts with respect to amounts withheld.

Both U.S. and Non-U.S. Holders should consult their tax advisers regarding the U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities, including possible alternative treatments, as well as tax consequences arising under the laws of any state, local or non-U.S. taxing jurisdiction.

Risks Relating to the Underlying Index

￭No assurance can be given that the investment strategy used to construct the underlying index will achieve its intended results or that the underlying index will be successful or will outperform any alternative index or strategy that might reference the Index Components. No assurance can be given that the investment strategy on which the underlying index is based will be successful or that the underlying index will outperform any alternative strategy that might be

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employed with respect to the Index Components. The underlying index has been developed based on predetermined rules that may not prove to be advantageous or successful, and that will not be adjusted for market conditions.

￭The decrement of 4% per annum will adversely affect the performance of the underlying index in all cases, whether the underlying index appreciates or depreciates. The S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index includes a decrement feature, whereby 4% per annum is deducted daily from the level of the underlying index. The level of the Base Index will track the performance of an index from which no such decrement is deducted, and as a result, the underlying index will underperform the tracked index in all cases. The level of the underlying index may decline even if the constituents of the Base Index appreciate. Because of the deduction of the decrement, the underlying index will underperform the performance of an identical index without such a decrement feature.

￭The underlying index is subject to risks associated with the use of significant leverage. At times, the underlying index will use significant leverage in an effort to achieve its target volatility. When the underlying index employs leverage, any declines in the prices of the Index Components will be magnified, resulting in accelerated losses.

￭The underlying index may not be fully invested. On a weekly index rebalance day, the underlying index's exposure to the Index Components will be less than 100% when the implied volatility of the Index Components is above 40%. If the underlying index's exposure to the Index Components is less than 100%, the underlying index will not be fully invested, and any uninvested portion will earn no return. The underlying index may be significantly uninvested on any given day, and will realize only a portion of any gains due to appreciation of the Index Components on any such day. Additionally, the 4.0% per annum decrement is deducted daily, even when the underlying index is not fully invested.

￭The underlying index was established on March 14, 2022 and therefore has very limited operating history. The performances of the underlying index and some of the component data have been retrospectively simulated for the period from January 1, 2019 to March 11, 2022. As such, performance for periods prior to the establishment of the underlying index has been retrospectively simulated by Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC on a hypothetical basis. A retrospective simulation means that no actual investment which allowed a tracking of the performance of the underlying index existed at any time during the period of the retrospective simulation. The methodology and the underlying index used for the calculation and retrospective simulation of the underlying index has been developed with the advantage of hindsight. In reality, it is not possible to invest with the advantage of hindsight and therefore this historical performance is purely theoretical and may not be indicative of future performance.

￭As the underlying index is new and has very limited historical performance, any investment in the underlying index may involve greater risk than an investment in an index with longer actual historical performance and a proven track record. All information regarding the performance of the underlying index prior to March 14, 2022 is hypothetical and back-tested, as the underlying index did not exist prior to that time. It is important to understand that hypothetical back-tested index performance information is subject to significant limitations, in addition to the fact that past performance is never a guarantee of future performance. In particular:

oS&P® Dow Jones Indices LLC developed the rules of the underlying index with the benefit of hindsight - that is, with the benefit of being able to evaluate how the underlying index rules would have caused the underlying index to perform had it existed during the hypothetical back-tested period.

oThe hypothetical back-tested performance of the underlying index might look different if it covered a different historical period. The market conditions that existed during the historical period covered by the hypothetical back-tested index performance information in this note are not necessarily representative of the market conditions that will exist in the future.

oIt is impossible to predict whether the underlying index will rise or fall. The actual future performance of the underlying index may bear little relation to the historical or hypothetical back-tested levels of the underlying index.

￭Higher future prices of the futures contracts to which the Index is linked relative to their current prices may adversely affect the value of the underlying index and the value of the securities. The Index Components are selected from a universe of three equity futures contracts currently listed for trading on the CME. As the relevant futures contract approaches expiration, it is replaced by a contract that has a later expiration. Thus, for example, a contract purchased and held in September may specify a December expiration. As time passes, the contract expiring in December is replaced by a contract for delivery in March. This process is referred to as “rolling.” If the market for these contracts is (putting aside other considerations) in “backwardation,” where the prices are lower in the distant delivery months than in the nearer delivery

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months, the sale of the December contract would take place at a price that is higher than the price of the March contract, thereby creating a “roll yield.” While many futures contracts have historically exhibited consistent periods of backwardation, backwardation will most likely not exist at all times. It is also possible for the market for these contracts to be in “contango.” Contango markets are those in which the prices of contracts are higher in the distant delivery months than in the nearer delivery months. The presence of contango and absence of backwardation in the market for these contracts could result in negative “roll yields,” which could adversely affect the value of the underlying index, and, accordingly, the value of the securities.

￭Suspensions or disruptions of market trading in futures markets could adversely affect the price of the securities. Securities markets and futures markets are subject to temporary distortions or other disruptions due to various factors, including the lack of liquidity in the markets, the participation of speculators and government regulation and intervention. In addition, U.S. futures exchanges and some foreign exchanges have regulations that limit the amount of fluctuation in futures contract prices which may occur during a single business day. These limits are generally referred to as “daily price fluctuation limits” and the maximum or minimum price of a contract on any given day as a result of these limits is referred to as a “limit price.” Once the limit price has been reached in a particular contract, no trades may be made at a different price. Limit prices have the effect of precluding trading in a particular contract or forcing the liquidation of contracts at disadvantageous times or prices. These circumstances could adversely affect the value of the underlying index, and, therefore, the value of the securities.

￭Legal and regulatory changes could adversely affect the return on and value of your securities. Futures contracts and options on futures contracts, including those related to the underlying index, are subject to extensive statutes, regulations, and margin requirements. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission, commonly referred to as the “CFTC,” and the exchanges on which such futures contracts trade, are authorized to take extraordinary actions in the event of a market emergency, including, for example, the retroactive implementation of speculative position limits or higher margin requirements, the establishment of daily limits and the suspension of trading. Furthermore, certain exchanges have regulations that limit the amount of fluctuations in futures contract prices that may occur during a single five-minute trading period. These limits could adversely affect the market prices of relevant futures and options contracts and forward contracts.

￭The E-mini Russell 2000 Futures are one of the Index Components and are subject to risks associated with small-capitalization companies. The E-mini Russell 2000 Futures are one of the Index Components and are based on the Russell 2000® Index, which consists of stocks issued by companies with relatively small market capitalization. Therefore, at times, the underlying index will be based in part on the value of small-capitalization companies. These companies often have greater stock price volatility, lower trading volume and less liquidity than large-capitalization companies and therefore the E-mini Russell 2000 Futures may be more volatile than futures contracts based on indices that consist of stocks issued by large-capitalization companies. Stock prices of small-capitalization companies are also more vulnerable than those of large-capitalization companies to adverse business and economic developments, and the stocks of small-capitalization companies may be thinly traded. In addition, small capitalization companies are typically less well-established and less stable financially than large-capitalization companies and may depend on a small number of key personnel, making them more vulnerable to loss of personnel. Such companies tend to have smaller revenues, less diverse product lines, smaller shares of their product or service markets, fewer financial resources and less competitive strengths than large-capitalization companies and are more susceptible to adverse developments related to their products.

￭Adjustments to the underlying index could adversely affect the value of the securities. The publisher of the underlying index may add, delete or substitute the Index Components or make other methodological changes that could change the value of the underlying index. Any of these actions could adversely affect the value of the securities. The publisher of the underlying index may also discontinue or suspend calculation or publication of the underlying index at any time. In these circumstances, MS & Co., as the calculation agent, will have the sole discretion to substitute a successor index that is comparable to the discontinued index. MS & Co. could have an economic interest that is different than that of investors in the securities insofar as, for example, MS & Co. is permitted to consider indices that are calculated and published by MS & Co. or any of its affiliates.

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S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index Overview

The S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index is a rules-based, long-only index that was developed by S&P®, in coordination with Morgan Stanley, and was established on March 14, 2022. The underlying index employs a rules-based quantitative strategy that consists of a risk-adjusted, momentum-based, or trend following, approach to construct a portfolio composed of equity futures contracts. In addition, the strategy applies an overall volatility-targeting feature upon the resulting portfolio and is subject to a 4.0% per annum daily decrement. For additional information about the S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index, see the information set forth under “Annex A—S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index” below.

The inception date for the underlying index was March 14, 2022. The information regarding the underlying index prior to March 14, 2022 is a hypothetical retrospective simulation calculated by the underlying index publisher, using the same methodology as is currently employed for calculating the underlying index based on historical data. A retrospective simulation means that no actual investment which allowed a tracking of the performance of the index existed at any time during the period of the retrospective simulation. Investors should be aware that no actual investment which allowed a tracking of the performance of the underlying index was possible at any time prior to March 14, 2022. Such data must be considered illustrative only.

Information as of market close on December 19, 2024:

The following graph sets forth the hypothetical retrospective and historical daily index closing values of the underlying index for the period from January 1, 2019 through December 19, 2024. The related table sets forth the hypothetical retrospective and historical high and low closing values, as well as end-of-quarter closing values, of the underlying index for each quarter in the same period. The index closing value of the underlying index on December 19, 2024 was 1,074.39. The underlying index was established on March 14, 2022. The information prior to March 14, 2022 is a hypothetical retrospective simulation calculated by the underlying index publisher and must be considered illustrative only. No assurance can be given as to the index closing value of the underlying index on any observation date, including the final observation date.

* The black solid line indicates the coupon barrier level, which is 70% of the initial index value.

** The underlying index was established on March 14, 2022. The information prior to March 14, 2022 is a hypothetical retrospective simulation calculated by the underlying index publisher and must be considered illustrative only.

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“S&P®” is a trademark of S&P Global, Inc. For more information, see “Annex A—S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index” below.

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Additional Terms of the Securities

Please read this information in conjunction with the terms on the front cover of this document.

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Additional Information About the Securities

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Annex A—S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index

Overview

The S&P® U.S. Equity Momentum 40% VT 4% Decrement Index (the “Index”) is a rules-based, long-only index that was developed by S&P® Dow Jones Indices LLC (“S&P®”), in coordination with Morgan Stanley, and was established on March 14, 2022. The Index employs a rules-based quantitative strategy that consists of a risk-adjusted, momentum-based, or trend following, approach to construct a portfolio composed of equity futures contracts. In addition, the strategy applies an overall volatility-targeting feature upon the resulting portfolio and is subject to a 4.0% per annum daily decrement.

Index Strategy

The goal of the Index is to provide rules-based exposure to unfunded, rolling positions in equity futures contracts, with a maximum exposure to the futures contracts of 400%. The index components are selected from a universe of three equity futures contracts – the E-Mini Nasdaq-100 Futures (“NQ”), which reference the Nasdaq-100 Index®, the E-Mini S&P 500 Futures (“ES”), which reference the S&P 500® Index, and the E-Mini Russell 2000 Futures (“QR”), which reference the Russell 2000® Index. We refer to the E-Mini Nasdaq-100 Futures, the E-Mini S&P 500 Futures and the E-Mini Russell 2000 Futures as the Index Components. For more information on the E-Mini Nasdaq-100 Futures, the E-Mini S&P 500 Futures and the E-Mini Russell 2000 Futures, see “Index Components” below.

Calculation of Index Level

There are seven discrete steps in calculating the Index level: (1) a risk-adjusted momentum signal is calculated for each Index Component (see “Determining the Risk-Adjusted Momentum Signal for Each Futures Contract”); (2) the index composition (the “Base Index”) is calculated using the risk-adjusted momentum signals (see “Calculation of the Base Index”); (3) the realized volatility level of the Base Index (the “Base Volatility”) is calculated (see “Volatility Targeting”); (4) theoretical leverage is calculated based on the Base Volatility and the Index’s targeted volatility (see “Leverage” and “Volatility Targeting”); (5) the theoretical leverage is compared to the actual leverage (see “Leverage”); (6) if necessary, the actual leverage is adjusted (see “Leverage”); and (7) a 4.0% per annum daily decrement is applied (see “Decrement Deduction”).

Determining the Risk-Adjusted Momentum Signal for Each Futures Contract

The Base Index is rebalanced daily according to each Index Component’s risk-adjusted momentum signal. To calculate the risk-adjusted momentum signals, each Index Component’s longer-term moving average price is divided by its shorter-term moving average price. The resulting value is then divided by that Index Component’s volatility, with the quotient representing the risk-adjusted momentum signal. Each Index Component’s longer-term moving average price is calculated over a period of two months and the shorter-term moving average price is calculated over a period of one month.

Calculation of the Base Index

The Base Index for the Index is calculated daily. At any given time, the Base Index is composed of either two or three of the Index Components. The Base Index is calculated based on the risk-adjusted momentum signal (see “Determining the Risk-Adjusted Momentum Signal for Each Index Component”). On a daily basis, the top two Index Components, as measured by risk-adjusted momentum signal, are weighted in the Base Index at 50% each. In a scenario where all three Index Components have identical risk-adjusted momentum signals, each Index Component is weighted as 33.333% of the Base Index. In a scenario where one Index Component has the highest risk-adjusted momentum signal, and the other two Index Components have identical risk-adjusted momentum signals, the Index Component with the highest risk-adjusted momentum signal is weighted as 50% of the Base Index and the other two Index Components are each weighted as 25% of the Base Index.

Volatility Targeting

On a daily basis, the Index’s exposure to the Index Components is adjusted in an effort to seek a target volatility of 40%. If the Base Volatility is less than the target volatility of 40%, the Index will employ leveraged exposure of up to four times (meaning the Index can have up to 400% exposure to the Index Components comprising the Base Index) to seek to achieve the target volatility, subject to the filter described below (see “Leverage”). Under no circumstances will the Index seek to employ exposure of greater than 400% to the Index Components. Subject to the filter described below (see “Leverage”), if the Base Volatility is above 40%, the Index’s exposure to the Index Components will be reduced to be less than 100% in an effort to seek the target volatility of 40%.

Leverage

The targeted leverage based on the realized volatility of the Base Index (the “theoretical leverage”) will often differ from the actual leverage the Index employs at a given time because the Index employs a filter (the “Filter”) that regulates changes to

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the actual leverage. The Filter operates in such a way so that the actual leverage is adjusted only when the difference between the actual leverage and the theoretical leverage exceeds a 5% threshold. The theoretical leverage and actual leverage are calculated daily, and when the difference between the two exceeds the 5% threshold, a change in actual leverage is implemented, with a two-day lag.

Decrement Deduction

The Index applies a 4.0% per annum daily decrement that will reduce the level of the Index, regardless of whether the Index appreciates or depreciates. The decrement is applied daily at a rate of 4.0% per annum, even when the Index is not fully invested in the Base Index. The decrement is applied daily after any leverage has been applied. Because of the deduction of the decrement, the Index will underperform the performance of an identical index without such a decrement feature.

Index Components

Futures contracts are contracts that legally obligate the holder to buy or sell an asset at a predetermined delivery price during a specified future time period. The Index Components are rolled forward once a quarter, with one-third of the contracts being rolled forward on each of the fourth, third, and second day prior to expiration.

E-Mini Nasdaq-100 Futures

E-mini Nasdaq-100 Futures (the “NQ”) are U.S. dollar-denominated futures contracts on the Nasdaq-100 Index® traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (the “CME”), where each futures contract references a value of $20 times the level of the Nasdaq-100 Index®. The CME is a derivatives marketplace based in Chicago that facilitates the trading of futures and options. The NQ trades in increments of 0.25 index points with each incremental movement, or “tick,” which in this case would be each 0.25-point movement, equaling five dollars.

NQ contracts listed for the nearest five quarters, for each March, June, September and December, and the nearest three Decembers are available for trading. Trading of the NQ contracts terminates at 9:30 A.M. Eastern time on the third Friday of the contract month.

The daily settlement prices of the NQ contracts are based on trading activity in the relevant contract (and in the case of a lead month also being the expiration month, together with trading activity on lead month-second month spread contracts) on the CME during a specified settlement period. The final settlement price of NQ contracts is based on the opening prices of the component stocks in the Nasdaq 100® Index, determined on the third Friday of the contract month. For more information on the Nasdaq-100® Index, see “Nasdaq-100® Index” in the accompanying index supplement.

E-Mini S&P 500 Futures

E-mini S&P 500 Futures (the “ES”) are U.S. dollar-denominated futures contracts, based on the S&P 500® Index, traded on the CME, representing a contract unit of $50 multiplied by the S&P 500® Index, measured in cents per index point.

ES contracts listed for the nearest nine quarters, for each March, June, September and December, and the nearest three Decembers are available for trading. Trading of the ES contracts terminates at 9:30 A.M. Eastern time on the third Friday of the contract month.

The daily settlement prices of the ES contracts are based on trading activity in the relevant contract (and in the case of a lead month also being the expiry month, together with trading activity on lead month-second month spread contracts) on the CME during a specified settlement period. The final settlement price of ES contracts is based on the opening prices of the component stocks in the S&P 500® Index, determined on the third Friday of the contract month. For more information on the S&P 500® Index, see “S&P® U.S. Indices—S&P 500® Index” in the accompanying index supplement.

E-Mini Russell 2000 Futures

E-mini Russell 2000 Futures (the “QR”) are a U.S. dollar-denominated futures contracts, based on the Russell 2000® Index, traded on the CME, representing a contract unit of $50 multiplied by the Russell 2000® Index, measured in cents per index point. The QR trades in increments of 0.10 index points with each tick equaling five dollars.

QR contracts listed for the nearest five quarters, for each March, June, September and December, and the nearest three Decembers are available for trading. Trading of the ES contracts terminates at 9:30 A.M. Eastern time on the third Friday of the contract month.

The daily settlement prices of the QR contracts are based on trading activity in the relevant contract (and in the case of a lead month also being the expiry month, together with trading activity on lead month-second month spread contracts) on the CME during a specified settlement period. The final settlement price of QR contracts is based on the opening prices of the component stocks in the Russell 2000® Index, determined on the third Friday of the contract month. For more information on the Russell 2000® Index, see “Russell Indices—Russell 2000® Index” in the accompanying index supplement.

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Overview of Futures Markets

Futures contracts are traded on regulated futures exchanges, in the over-the-counter market and on various types of electronic trading facilities and markets. As of the date of this pricing supplement, all of the Index Components are exchange-traded futures contracts. A futures contract provides for a specified settlement month in which the cash settlement is made by the seller (whose position is therefore described as “short”) and acquired by the purchaser (whose position is therefore described as “long”).

No purchase price is paid or received on the purchase or sale of a futures contract. Instead, an amount of cash or cash equivalents must be deposited with the broker as “initial margin.” This amount varies based on the requirements imposed by the exchange clearing houses, but it may be lower than 5% of the notional value of the contract. This margin deposit provides collateral for the obligations of the parties to the futures contract.

By depositing margin, which may vary in form depending on the exchange, with the clearing house or broker involved, a market participant may be able to earn interest on its margin funds, thereby increasing the total return that it may realize from an investment in futures contracts. However, the Index is not a total return index and does not reflect interest that could be earned on funds notionally committed to the trading of futures contracts.

At any time prior to the expiration of a futures contract, a trader may elect to close out its position by taking an opposite position on the exchange on which the trader obtained the position, subject to the availability of a liquid secondary market. This operates to terminate the position and fix the trader’s profit or loss. Futures contracts are cleared through the facilities of a centralized clearing house and a brokerage firm that is a member of the clearing house.

Futures exchanges may adopt rules and take other actions that affect trading, including imposing speculative position limits, maximum price fluctuations and trading halts and suspensions and requiring liquidation of contracts in certain circumstances.

December 2024 Page 28