Earnings Preview: Sara Lee - Analyst Blog
May 01 2012 - 12:14PM
Zacks
Sara Lee Corp. (SLE), one of the world’s
leaders in manufacturing and marketing of a range of branded
packaged meat, bakery and beverage products, is scheduled to report
its third quarter 2012 financial results on Thursday, May 3, 2012,
before the market opens.
The current Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter is pegged
at 25 cents a share. The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects revenues
to be $1,944 million for the quarter.
Second Quarter 2012 Recap
Sara Lee, which faces stiff competition from Kraft Foods
Inc. (KFT) and Tyson Foods Inc. (TSN),
posted earnings of 27 cents per share that climbed 28.6% from 21
cents in the year-ago period. Earnings also exceeded the Zacks
Consensus Estimate of 25 cents by 8%.
Net sales for the quarter climbed 5.8% to $2,044 million
compared with $1,932 million in the prior-year period. Revenues
lagged the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2,153 million.
(Read our full coverage on this earnings report: Mixed 2Q for
Sara Lee).
Agreement of Estimate Revisions
Over the past 30 days, one of the ten analysts covering Sara Lee
has revised estimate upwards for the current quarter. For fiscal
2012, two out of the ten analysts have revised their estimates, of
which one increased and the other decreased.
Sara Lee is on track to split the company into two publicly
traded firms: an international coffee and tea business and a North
American retail, foodservice and specialty meats business. The
spin-off, which is expected to be completed by June this year, is
part of Sara Lee’s plan to trim its portfolio in order to provide
the best foundation for a strong and focused business.
Magnitude of Estimate Revisions
Over the past 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has
increased from 24 cents to 25 cents per share for the current
quarter. For fiscal 2012, the estimate increased by a penny to 93
cents over the same period.
The overall positive revisions by analysts indicate faith in the
pending spin-off, which will allow the company to focus on its most
profitable food and beverage businesses.
Earnings Surprise History
With respect to earnings surprises, Sara Lee has topped the
Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the preceding four quarters.
Over the last four quarters, its earnings surprise ranged from a
negative 4.00% to a positive 8.00%, with the average earnings
surprise being a positive 3.29%.
Recommendation
We are encouraged by Sara Lee’s focus on leveraging its consumer
brands to generate sales growth. The company intends to bring in
changes in the organizational structure and product portfolio,
thereby improving operational efficiency.
However, commodity-price inflation and stiff competition in the
branded food industry leave us concerned.
We currently have a Neutral recommendation on Sara Lee
Corporation. The stock carries a Zacks #3 Rank (short-term Hold
rating).
KRAFT FOODS INC (KFT): Free Stock Analysis Report
SARA LEE (SLE): Free Stock Analysis Report
TYSON FOODS A (TSN): Free Stock Analysis Report
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