By Carla Mozee
Most major Latin American equity markets fell Wednesday as
investors prepared for possible comments by U.S. monetary policy
makers about the future direction of interest rates and their view
about the state of the economy.
"Market attention is firmly fixed on today's FOMC meeting, with
equities and [foreign exchange] trading in confined ranges," said
analysts at RBC Capital Markets in a note to clients Wednesday.
The Federal Open Market Committee, in concluding a two-day
meeting, is expected by analysts to leave its interest-rate target
near zero, but investors will watch to see how far policymakers
believe the world's largest economy is on the road to recovery.
Brazil's Bovespa fell 0.5% to 61,156, moving toward its first
loss in four sessions. The index on Tuesday finished at its best
level in more than 14 months following a decision by Moody's
Investors Service to lift Brazil's debt rating to investment
grade.
Communication and retail stocks weighed in Brazil, with shares
of wireless services provider Tim Participacoes (TSU) down 2.7%,
and department-stores operator Lojas Renner off by 2.4%.
Mexico's IPC fell 0.7% to 29,303 and was cruising toward its
fourth consecutive loss. Shares of market heavyweight America Movil
(AMX) fell 1.2% and Wal-Mart de Mexico (WMMVY) fell 1.7%.
RBC Capital said Standard & Poor's lead analyst covering
Mexico "struck a negative-leaning tone late Tuesday, suggesting
that President Calderon is likely to have difficulty persuading the
opposition-PRI to support his fiscal and economic proposals."
S&P analyst Lisa Schineller was quoted as saying in an
interview with Bloomberg News that administrations nearing the end
of their terms "lose momentum."
Argentina's Merval on Wednesday fell 0.4% to 2,039.
But Chile's IPSA outperformed, rising 1%, with shares of
Empresas CMPC up nearly 10%. The pulp and paper producer signed a
memorandum of agreement to purchase a unit of Brazil's Aracruz for
about $1.43 billion. In São Paulo, shares of Aracruz (ARA) rose
2.5%.
Making the grade
Brazil's currency continued to strengthen on Wednesday, trading
at 1.784 reals per U.S. dollar from Tuesday's yearly high at 1.798
reals per dollar after Moody's upgrade of its ratings on Brazil's
foreign- and local-currency government bonds to Baa3, or the
agency's lowest level of investment grade. Moody's also said its
outlook is positive.
Improvement in the government-debt structure was "an important
contributing factor" to the upgrade, said Mauro Leos, Moody's
regional credit officer for Latin America, in a statement.
Brazil's currency is up nearly 30% on a year-to-date basis,
reflecting fundamental developments, noted Brown Brothers Harriman
senior currency analyst Win Thin in a note to clients
Wednesday.
The country is also likely to be upgraded again next year, wrote
Thin.
"While the move brings Moody's into line with S&P's and
Fitch's BBB- rating, the upgrade will open up an investor class
that is prohibited from investing in split-rated investment grade
countries," he said.
Along with Brazil, Chile and Mexico are the only countries in
Latin America to have unified investment grades from the three
ratings agencies, said Thin.
In ETF action, the iShares MSCI Brazil Index (EWZ) slipped less
than 1%.