By Carla Mozee
Latin American equities were mostly lower on Friday, tracking
declines on Wall Street where job losses in the U.S. continued to
climb last month.
Brazilian shares lost their grip on earlier gains, although
anticipation grew for a big interest rate cut in the wake of poor
industrial production figures. The Bovespa was off 0.7% to
37,096.74.
In Mexico, the benchmark equity index slid 0.8% at 17,224.42,
with shares of Cemex SAB (CX) off more than 5% and extending losses
from the prior day on concerns about the cement maker's planned
issuance of bonds.
Equities in Mexico on Friday had been halted for about half an
hour because of a technical problem on the exchange.
In Argentina, the Merval rose 1.8% to 962.55 and Chile's IPSA
fell 0.5%.
On Wall Street, the S&P 500 Index slumped 1.5% to 672.82 and
the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1% to 6.525.
Investors in regional markets and on Wall Street examined a
report from the U.S. Labor Department that the economy lost 651,000
jobs in February, pushing the unemployment rate to its highest in
more than 25 years, to 8.1%. The government also revised higher the
number of losses seen in January and December.
"From an employment perspective, this is already the deepest
U.S. recession since 1958 and we've yet to see the pace of job
losses slow," wrote economist Benjamin Reitzes at BMO Capital
Markets on Friday.
In Brazil, industrial production for January rose 2.3%, compared
with the 12.4% decline in December, said the Brazilian Census
Bureau. The January figure was considerably below the consensus
estimate for a rise of 8.5%, according to Itaú Securities.
The year-over-year contraction was 17.2%, the worst showing
since February 1991. In December, the year-over-year decline was
14.8%.
In afternoon trades, the iShares MSCI Brazil Index Fund (EWZ),
an exchange-traded fund, fell 0.9%.
The industrial production report arrived before Brazil's central
bank meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday, and market professionals
have held to their outlook for a cut in the Selic rate, which
currently stands at 12.75%.
A Dow Jones Newswires survey of 18 analysts released Friday
shows that 15 of them foresee a rate cut of 100 basis points, or a
full percentage point. Such a move would match the size of the
bank's rate cut in January.
Win Thin, senior currency strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman,
said the risk for a larger cut is rising and now expects
policymakers to slash the rate by 150 basis points to 11.25%. A cut
of that size occurred in 2003, said Thin in a note Friday.
"While inflation remains stubbornly high, we think the focus of
policy-makers is firmly on avoiding a deep downturn," he said.
Brazil's currency, the real, weakened after the report, and was
off 0.3% at 2.374 versus the U.S. dollar from Thursday.
Shares of interest-rate sensitive banks were higher. Federally
run Banco do Brasil was up 1.4%, Banco Bradesco (BBD) and Unibanco
(UBB) each rose 0.8% and Itau (ITU) rose 1.4%.
Meanwhile, shares of Petrobras (PBR) turned lower, down 1.8%.
The oil giant is slated to post fourth-quarter earnings Friday
evening, and analysts expect a decline because of lower oil
prices.
Regional indexes were heading for weekly losses ranging between
3% and 5%.