BofA Merrill Lynch Fund Manager Survey Finds Risk Appetite at Highest Point Since April 2006 as Double-Dip Recession Fears Fade
October 14 2009 - 8:30AM
PR Newswire (US)
Investors See Brighter Corporate Profits on Horizon - Shift from
Cash to Equities NEW YORK and LONDON, Oct. 14 /PRNewswire/ --
Investors' risk appetite has reached its highest point in more than
three years amid continued optimism about the prospects for a
global economic recovery and rising corporate profits, according to
the BofA Merrill Lynch Survey of Fund Managers for October. (Logo:
http://www.newscom.com/cgi-bin/prnh/20090812/CL60095LOGO )
Investors are increasingly confident that the threat of a
double-dip recession is waning. A net 65 percent of respondents
believe a global recession is unlikely in the next 12 months, up
from 47 percent a month earlier. A net 72 percent of respondents
believe the outlook for corporate profits will improve in the next
year, up from 68 percent a month earlier. The survey also shows
asset allocators shifting out of cash and into equities as risk
appetite grows. Their cash positions are at their lowest level
since January 2004. A net 7 percent of respondents are underweight
cash in October, compared to a net 10 percent overweight a month
earlier. A net 38 percent of panelists are overweight equities, up
from 27 percent in September. Technology, Energy, Materials and
Industrials are the favored sectors for asset allocators in October
with investors still shying away from financial stocks. "Equities
remain in a sweet spot: fears of a double-dip have receded, while
worries about inflation and monetary tightening are not imminent
enough to prevent an October surge in risk appetite," said Michael
Hartnett, chief global equity strategist at BofA Merrill Lynch
Global Research. Investors seeing value in Europe hits eight-year
high Asset allocators are showing a growing conviction that global
corporate profits will post double digit earnings growth, the
survey shows. A net 39 percent of panelists think profits will rise
by at least 10 percent in the next 12 months, up from just 25
percent in September. Optimism about Europe is pronounced in the
October survey. A net 30 percent of global portfolio managers see
eurozone equities as undervalued relative to other regions, the
highest reading since April 2001. A net 9 percent of panelists want
to overweight the region in the next 12 months, up from 7 percent
last month. This contrasts with Japan, which a net 20 percent of
investors regard as the least attractive region a year ahead. The
change in sentiment coincides with a shift in investors' appetite
for European financials. Investors are overweight European banks
for the first time since June 2007, courtesy of greater confidence
in bank balance sheets and profitability trends. "Europe is
emerging phoenix-like from the ashes as confidence in its banks
boosts overall confidence in European equities," said Gary Baker,
head of European equity strategy at BofA Merrill Lynch Global
Research. Chinese confidence rebounds: U.S. dollar confidence sinks
Confidence in the prospects for the Chinese economy and emerging
markets in general remains robust. A net 49 percent of respondents
think China's economy will strengthen in the next 12 months, up
from 35 percent in September. A net 36 percent of respondents also
said they would most like to overweight emerging markets in the
next year. Continuing weakness in the U.S. dollar has resulted in a
growing number of respondents who believe the dollar is
undervalued. A net 20 percent of panelists regard the currency as
undervalued, compared to one percent a month earlier. Japan's
economic outlook is marked by a growing number of asset allocators
who view the yen as overvalued. A net 34 percent of respondents
believe it is overvalued, compared to just 21 percent last month.
"Confidence in Chinese growth has rebounded but worries over a U.S.
dollar crisis are on the rise. The dollar is seen as undervalued
and the yen as very overvalued, suggesting that central bank
intervention in currency markets in coming months could soon prove
successful," said Michael Hartnett. A total of 229 fund managers,
managing a total of US$616 billion, participated in the global
survey from 2 October to 8 October. A total of 195 managers,
managing US$384 billion, participated in the regional surveys. The
survey was conducted by BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research with the
help of market research company TNS. Through its international
network in more than 50 countries, TNS provides market information
services in over 80 countries to national and multi-national
organizations. It is ranked as the fourth-largest market
information group in the world. Bank of America Bank of America is
one of the world's largest financial institutions, serving
individual consumers, small- and middle-market businesses and large
corporations with a full range of banking, investing, asset
management and other financial and risk management products and
services. The company's corporate and investment banking, and sales
and trading businesses operate under the Bank of America Merrill
Lynch brand. Bank of America Merrill Lynch focuses on middle-market
and large corporations, institutional investors, financial
institutions and government entities. It provides innovative
services in M&A, equity and debt capital raising, lending,
trading, risk management, research, and liquidity and payments
management. Bank of America Merrill Lynch serves clients in more
than 150 countries and has relationships with 99 percent of the
U.S. Fortune 500 companies and nearly 96 percent of the Fortune
Global 500. Bank of America Merrill Lynch is the marketing name for
the global banking and global markets businesses of Bank of America
Corporation. Lending, derivatives, and other commercial banking
activities are performed globally by banking affiliates of Bank of
America Corporation, including Bank of America, N.A., member FDIC.
Securities, strategic advisory, and other investment banking
activities are performed globally by investment banking affiliates
of Bank of America Corporation ("Investment Banking Affiliates"),
including, in the United States, Banc of America Securities LLC and
Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated, which are
both registered broker-dealers and members of FINRA and SIPC, and,
in other jurisdictions, locally registered entities. Investment
products offered by Investment Banking Affiliates: Are Not FDIC
Insured * May Lose Value * Are Not Bank Guaranteed
http://www.bankofamerica.com/
http://www.newscom.com/cgi-bin/prnh/20090812/CL60095LOGODATASOURCE:
Bank of America CONTACT: Susan McCabe Walley, Bank of America,
+1-212-449-0389, , or Tomos Rhys Edwards, Bank of America,
+44-20-7995-2763, Web Site: http://www.bankofamerica.com/
Copyright