US Drilling, Natural Gas Shares Lead As Hot Streak Continues
January 05 2009 - 3:17PM
Dow Jones News
By Steve Gelsi
Shares of natural gas and petroleum producers extended their hot
streak on Monday as the sector tapped into a fresh $2 surge in oil
prices on top of recent gains.
Crude prices gained 23% in the past week -- the largest jump in
22 years, according to Pritchard Capital Partners.
Oil service stocks have risen 22% since a low point on Dec. 5.
Exploration and production stocks are up 33% from their Nov. 21
lows.
Catalysts for higher energy prices include the conflict in Gaza
between Israel and Hamas, a call from Iran to cut off oil sales to
countries that support Israel, and Russia's natural gas dispute
with Ukraine.
Against this backdrop, crude prices accelerated gains from
earlier in the session to close up $2.01 at $48.35 a barrel in
regular trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
The Amex Oil Index (XOI) rose 1.2% to 1,033. Refiner Valero
(VLO) led the charge with a rise of more than 5% to $24.45.
The Amex Natural Gas Index (XNG) rose 4% to 411, breaking
through the 400 level for the first time since Dec. 11. Component
Questar (STR) rose 7% to $36.62 after a Barron's article praised
its results from the Haynesville shale.
The Philadelphia Oil Service Index (OSXX) jumped 3.5% to at 135.
Components National Oilwell Varco (NOV) and Exterran Holdings (EXH)
both rose about 6%.
Adding a heavy dose of caution to the buying spree in the
sector, UBS analysts downgraded 10 names from the oil service
sector to neutral from buy while leaving six buy ratings intact in
the face of slack demand for oil and eroding price power.
A recent move up from the group amounts to a bear market rally,
UBS said.
"In our minds, it's about two things: when does global oil
demand start to turn up and when does the pricing pendulum swing
back in favor of the service companies?" said UBS analysts, who
expect oil prices to stay in the $50 a barrel range through the
spring.
UBS maintained buy ratings on Halliburton (HAL) and Baker
Hughes, but downgraded Schlumberger (SLB), Weatherford (WFT) and BJ
Services (BJS) to neutral.
UBS kept buy ratings on Transocean (RIG), Noble Cop. (NE) and
Atwood Oceanics (ATW), but cut shares of Diamond Offshore (DO) and
Ensco (ESV) to neutral and assigned a sell rating on Hercules
Offshore (HERO).
Among energy stocks in the spotlight, Chesapeake Energy Corp.
(CHK) rose 6% to $18.32. The company said it sold volume from
various assets in the Anadarko and Arkoma Basins for $412 million,
conveying a royalty interest to investors associated with Argonaut
Private Equity.
Assets sold include proved reserves of approximately 98 billion
cubic feet equivalent. Under the deal, termed a "production payment
transaction," Chesapeake retains drilling rights on the properties
below currently producing intervals. The Oklahoma City-based
natural gas company said the move was part of efforts to build up
cash reserves. The purchase was financed by GS Loan Partners, an
affiliate of The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
Soleil Securities on Monday downgraded Tesoro Corp. (TSO) to
sell from hold after a 64% run-up in the refining giant's share
price in the past month.
Tesoro could be facing threats from imports now that Reliance
Petroleum's Jamnagar refinery in India has started up. Refining
margins on the West Coast improved in the second half of December
because of lower production, but refinery utilization rates have
been rising and demand remains weak, Soleil noted.
Shares of Tesoro nevertheless rose 1.7% to $14.03.
-Steve Gelsi; 415-439-6400; AskNewswires@dowjones.com
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