Property/Casualty Benefitted From Investment Returns In 2Q
July 13 2009 - 3:39PM
Dow Jones News
Property/casualty insurers will get a welcomed boost to their
second-quarter earnings thanks to the rally in the bond and stock
markets last quarter.
On Friday, Progressive Corp.'s (PGR) reported that
second-quarter earnings rose 16% on investment gains and lower
claim costs. Progressive is one of the first insurers to report
earnings, and some analysts believe its investment results are
telling for the property/casualty sector, which insure homes, cars
and businesses. Progressive posted income of $250.1 million, or 37
cents a share. Most property/casualty insurers are scheduled to
report second-quarter results over the next several weeks.
"Property/casualty insurers' book values will go up across the
board because of the returns on their investments," said Paul
Newsome, an analyst at Sandler O'Neill & Partners.
Daryl Jones, managing director at independent research firm
Research Edge, said that Progressive's investments results "are
indicative of the industry."
Many insurers have reported investment losses in recent quarters
due to poor markets, and so a turnaround would be welcome.
Property/casualty insurers' investment portfolios are typically
conservative, and are invested heavily in high-grade corporate and
municipal bonds, mixed in with some preferreds, equities and hedge
fund holdings.
Analysts have expected that investment returns could be high for
the quarter. A Barclays Capital report on July 1 analyzed key
investment benchmark price performance in the second quarter to
estimate potential investment gains or losses for non-life
insurers. Eleven of the 15 major asset classes Barclays measures
increased in the second quarter with an overall median increase of
9%, according to the report from analyst Jay Gelb. Only four asset
classes declined in the quarter.
Gelb did note that the benefit of recovering investment
portfolios have less impact than problems such as rating agency
concerns and loss of business.
To be sure, not all are convinced property and casualty
companies will follow in Progressive's footsteps. Donald Light,
senior insurance analyst at Celent, said, "The underwriting side of
the property/casualty business continues to be weak; it is unlikely
many insurers will report good second-quarter earnings simply on
the strength of their investment results."
-By Jessica Papini, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2172;
jessica.papini@dowjones.com