Reinforce Your Portfolio by Diversifying into Iron Ore -- SECFilings.com
October 19 2018 - 8:30AM
via NEWMEDIAWIRE -- SECFilings.com, a leading financial news and
information portal offering free real time public company filing
alerts, announces the publication of an article covering what’s
driving iron-ore prices higher and why investors may want to
diversify into development-stage opportunities, like Black
Iron Inc. (TSX: BKI) (OTC: BKIRF) (FRANKFURT: BIN).
The iron-ore market is dominated by a few multi-billion dollar
companies, including Vale SA, BHP Billiton plc, and Rio Tinto plc.
With iron-ore prices on the rise, Vale shares have risen nearly 20
percent so far this year. But investors may want to look beyond the
majors for the best value—development-stage companies nearing
commercialization may have a place in savvy portfolios.
Focus on High-Grade Producers
China’s efforts to reduce excess capacity and improve
environmental standards has created a rift in the industry. Vale
and Ferrexpo plc are leading producers of high-grade 65% iron-ore,
which explains why they’ve been outperforming BHP Billiton and Rio
Tinto. The gap between benchmark and high-grade iron-ore has
increased three-fold over the past two years and is poised to
continue to rise amid the environmental crackdown.
Currently, benchmark 62% iron-ore trades at around $71 per ton
and high-grade 65% iron-ore trades closer to $97 per ton, which
amounts to a nearly $30 per ton premium. The demand for high-grade
iron-ore is poised to continue to rise in the future, which means
that companies producing it could benefit from both higher pricing
(e.g. stronger margins) and greater volume (e.g. higher revenue)—a
compelling dynamic.
Investors interested in the iron-ore space should consider
high-grade producers, like Vale and Ferrexpo, rather than benchmark
grade producers to capitalize on these trends. In particular, Vale
recently announced record iron-ore production during the third
quarter and plans to cut its net debt in half to $10 billion and
increase returns to shareholders over the coming quarters, which
could catalyze the stock even further moving forward.
Diversify into Early-Stage Opportunities
Precious metals investors are familiar with diversifying between
junior and major producers, but the practice is less common for
industrial metals. Investors interested in the iron-ore market
should consider this kind of diversification to maximize their
potential portfolio returns and limit the risk from any individual
stock turning lower. But there are only a handful of attractive
opportunities in the space focused on high-grade iron-ore.
Black Iron Inc. (TSX: BKI) (OTC: BKIRF) (FRANKFURT: BIN) is
a development-stage opportunity that aims to produce 68%
ultra-high-grade iron-ore. Management believes that this
level of purity could command a $40 per ton premium over benchmark
iron-ore prices, particularly given the rarity of only 4% of global
producers being able to achieve this high iron grade. The company’s
100%-owned project in Ukraine was initially derailed by the Russian
crisis, but is making progress once again.
Assuming a conservative $62 per ton long-term price for
benchmark iron-ore and iron content premium of $5 per 1% iron, the
company projects a 40% percent after-tax levered internal rate of
return. At current prices, the company estimates it could achieve a
68% after-tax levered return given the strong pricing for premium
iron-ore. These are compelling returns from a potential pure-play
on iron-ore’s strength.
Earlier this month, the company announced that it received a
formal proposal from Ukraine’s government to lease a plot of land
connected to its Shymanivske iron ore body for location of the
processing plant, tailings, and waste rock. This marks a
significant milestone for the company and demonstrates the
Ukrainian government’s support for the mine to be constructed in a
timely manner starting mid next year.
Management has also been recently holding discussions with
potential offtake partners including large steel mills and metals
traders to provide the right to purchase its product over a period
of time in exchange for a meaningful investment to help fund the
project’s construction and build out—the final piece of
commercializing the venture.
Looking Ahead
The iron-ore market is likely to become increasingly bifurcated
thanks to China’s crackdown on steelmaker emissions. While Vale has
been a popular investment, for good reason, investors may want to
consider diversifying into development-stage names like Black
Iron Inc. (TSX: BKI) (OTC: BKIRF) (FRANKFURT: BIN) as well. The
company’s project could pay dividends over the long-term as China
continues to seek higher-grade iron-ore.
For more information on how to diversify your portfolio please
visit the company’s website at http://blackiron.com
Please follow the link to read the full
article: http://analysis.secfilings.com/articles/207-reinforce-your-portfolio-by-diversifying-into-iron-ore
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