Canadian Natural Resources Limited (“Canadian Natural” or the
“Company”) is providing a corporate update on its capital
flexibility and its continued focus on effective and efficient
operations.
Canadian Natural is well positioned through the
current global COVID-19 challenges, due to our significant long
life low decline asset base that has 27.8 years of reserve life
based on proved reserves and 36.0 years of reserve life based on
proved plus probable reserves. Of the proved reserves, 83% is
derived from long life low decline assets and 77% of budgeted 2020
liquids production is from the same type of long life low decline
assets. Importantly, Canadian Natural’s Oil Sands Mining and
Upgrading assets have a reserve life in excess of 43 years. These
Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading assets have a production capability
in the range of 430,000 - 475,000 bbl/d of Synthetic Crude Oil
("SCO"), with operating costs of approximately US$13/bbl. These
assets currently make up approximately 45% of our liquids
production and continue to generate substantial free cash flow at
current commodity price levels.
Canadian Natural’s asset base has low sustaining
capital and low reservoir risk which allows it to effectively
manage through commodity price cycles, with little impact on our
near term production levels and net asset value, thereby preserving
long term value for our shareholders and creditors. The Company
maintains a flexible and disciplined capital allocation strategy,
with a focus on maintaining a strong financial position throughout
the commodity price cycle.
With the continued volatility in commodity
pricing, the Company has identified and implemented further
opportunities to reduce its 2020 capital spending budget to
approximately $2,960 million, a $1,090 million reduction from its
original 2020 budget. Notwithstanding this spending reduction,
there is no change to our 2020 corporate production guidance
volumes of 1,137,000 - 1,207,000 BOE/d; originally issued on
December 4, 2019. Canadian Natural's long life low decline asset
base and its associated low annual sustaining capital of
approximately $3 billion, coupled with the ramp up of production
volumes at Kirby North, Primrose and Jackfish production, all where
capital for these projects was largely incurred in 2019 and before,
results in similar targeted production levels in 2021 and 2022.
Summary of 2020 capital budget by areas are as
follows:
($
million) |
Original 2020Budget |
Current Revised Budget |
Conventional/Unconventional |
$ |
1,550 |
|
$ |
990 |
|
Long Life Low Decline |
$ |
2,500 |
|
$ |
1,970 |
|
Total |
$ |
4,050 |
|
$ |
2,960 |
|
Canadian Natural’s ability to maintain our
original 2020 corporate production guidance volumes is a reflection
of the strength of our long life low decline production base, our
low maintenance capital costs and our effective and efficient
operations which drive low operating costs. Further, the ability of
the Company to generate free cash flow is enhanced by our
production mix, where approximately 60% of liquids production is
light oil and SCO, subject to light oil pricing, driving
significant positive netbacks, even in the current price
environment. This is supported by effective and efficient
operations across the entire asset base where the Company continues
to be focused on margin growth and its industry leading operating
and sustaining capital costs.
The revised capital budget, with no change to
our 2020 corporate production guidance volumes, ensures strong
adjusted funds flow in the current challenging environment to cover
the current dividend and maintain balance sheet strength. As
part of this balance sheet strength, the Company has suspended
share purchases under its issuer bid as at March 11, 2020. In
addition, Canadian Natural’s current liquidity is approximately $5
billion consisting of cash, including approximately $1 billion in
estimated cash reserves as at March 31, 2020, and availability
under committed credit facilities, which is more than sufficient to
retire, when due, any current debt retirement obligations.
As part of the continued focus on effective and
efficient operations, the Company has reviewed its compensation
program in light of the current commodity volatility. Effective
April 2020 the President’s annual salary has been reduced 20%,
while other members of the Management Committee will have annual
salaries reduced by 15% and Vice-President positions will have
annual salaries reduced by 12%. Concurrently, the Board of
Directors has also agreed to reduce their annual Board cash
retainer by 10%.
The Company is continuing to monitor the rapidly
changing COVID-19 situation, following provincial and federal
health guidelines to ensure the wellbeing of our employees and is
taking the necessary precautions to ensure the safety of our office
and field operations staff. Canadian Natural is confident
that it can maintain effective operations with our current
procedures and protocols.
Canadian Natural is a senior oil and natural gas
production company, with continuing operations in its core areas
located in Western Canada, the U.K. portion of the North Sea and
Offshore Africa.
CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES LIMITED |
2100, 855
- 2nd Street S.W. Calgary, Alberta, T2P4J8Phone: 403-514-7777
Email: ir@cnrl.comwww.cnrl.com |
|
|
STEVE W. LAUTExecutive Vice-Chairman TIM
S. MCKAYPresident MARK A.
STAINTHORPEChief Financial Officer and Senior
Vice-President, Finance Trading Symbol - CNQToronto Stock
ExchangeNew York Stock Exchange |
ADVISORY
Special Note Regarding Forward-Looking
Statements
Certain statements relating to Canadian Natural
Resources Limited (the "Company") in this document or documents
incorporated herein by reference constitute forward-looking
statements or information (collectively referred to herein as
"forward-looking statements") within the meaning of applicable
securities legislation. Forward-looking statements can be
identified by the words "believe", "anticipate", "expect", "plan",
"estimate", "target", "continue", "could", "intend", "may",
"potential", "predict", "should", "will", "objective", "project",
"forecast", "goal", "guidance", "outlook", "effort", "seeks",
"schedule", "proposed", "aspiration" or expressions of a similar
nature suggesting future outcome or statements regarding an
outlook. Disclosure related to expected future commodity pricing,
forecast or anticipated production volumes, royalties, production
expenses, capital expenditures, income tax expenses and other
guidance provided throughout the Company's Management’s Discussion
and Analysis ("MD&A") of the financial condition and results of
operations of the Company, constitute forward-looking statements.
Disclosure of plans relating to and expected results of existing
and future developments, including, without limitation, those in
relation to the Company's assets at Horizon, AOSP, Primrose thermal
projects, the Pelican Lake water and polymer flood project, the
Kirby Thermal Oil Sands Project, the Jackfish Thermal Oil Sands
Project, the timing and future operations of the North West
Redwater bitumen upgrader and refinery, construction by third
parties of new, or expansion of existing, pipeline capacity or
other means of transportation of bitumen, crude oil, natural gas,
natural gas liquids ("NGLs") or synthetic crude oil ("SCO") that
the Company may be reliant upon to transport its products to
market, development and deployment of technology and technological
innovations, the assumption of operations at processing facilities,
and the "Outlook" section of the Company's MD&A, particularly
in reference to the 2020 guidance provided with respect to budgeted
capital expenditures, also constitute forward-looking statements.
These forward-looking statements are based on annual budgets and
multi-year forecasts, and are reviewed and revised throughout the
year as necessary in the context of targeted financial ratios,
project returns, product pricing expectations and balance in
project risk and time horizons. These statements are not guarantees
of future performance and are subject to certain risks. The reader
should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements
as there can be no assurances that the plans, initiatives or
expectations upon which they are based will occur.
In addition, statements relating to "reserves"
are deemed to be forward-looking statements as they involve the
implied assessment based on certain estimates and assumptions that
the reserves described can be profitably produced in the future.
There are numerous uncertainties inherent in estimating quantities
of proved and proved plus probable crude oil, natural gas and NGLs
reserves and in projecting future rates of production and the
timing of development expenditures. The total amount or timing of
actual future production may vary significantly from reserves and
production estimates.
The forward-looking statements are based on
current expectations, estimates and projections about the Company
and the industry in which the Company operates, which speak only as
of the earlier of the date such statements were made or as of the
date of the report or document in which they are contained, and are
subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could
cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the
Company to be materially different from any future results,
performance or achievements expressed or implied by such
forward-looking statements. Such risks and uncertainties include,
among others: general economic and business conditions (including
as a result of demand and supply effects resulting from the
COVID-19 virus pandemic and the actions of OPEC and non-OPEC
countries) which will, among other things, impact demand for and
market prices of the Company’s products; volatility of and
assumptions regarding crude oil, natural gas and NGL prices;
fluctuations in currency and interest rates; assumptions on which
the Company’s current guidance is based; economic conditions in the
countries and regions in which the Company conducts business;
political uncertainty, including actions of or against terrorists,
insurgent groups or other conflict including conflict between
states; industry capacity; ability of the Company to implement its
business strategy, including exploration and development
activities; impact of competition; the Company’s defense of
lawsuits; availability and cost of seismic, drilling and other
equipment; ability of the Company and its subsidiaries to complete
capital programs; the Company’s and its subsidiaries’ ability to
secure adequate transportation for its products; unexpected
disruptions or delays in the mining, extracting or upgrading of the
Company’s bitumen products; potential delays or changes in plans
with respect to exploration or development projects or capital
expenditures; ability of the Company to attract the necessary
labour required to build, maintain and operate its thermal and oil
sands mining projects; operating hazards and other difficulties
inherent in the exploration for and production and sale of crude
oil and natural gas and in mining, extracting or upgrading the
Company’s bitumen products; availability and cost of financing; the
Company’s and its subsidiaries’ success of exploration and
development activities and its ability to replace and expand crude
oil and natural gas reserves; timing and success of integrating the
business and operations of acquired companies and assets;
production levels; imprecision of reserves estimates and estimates
of recoverable quantities of crude oil, natural gas and NGLs not
currently classified as proved; actions by governmental authorities
(including production curtailments mandated by the Government of
Alberta); government regulations and the expenditures required to
comply with them (especially safety and environmental laws and
regulations and the impact of climate change initiatives on capital
expenditures and production expenses); asset retirement
obligations; the adequacy of the Company’s provision for taxes; and
other circumstances affecting revenues and expenses.
The Company’s operations have been, and in the
future may be, affected by political developments and by national,
federal, provincial, state and local laws and regulations such as
restrictions on production, changes in taxes, royalties and other
amounts payable to governments or governmental agencies, price or
gathering rate controls and environmental protection regulations.
Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or
should any of the Company’s assumptions prove incorrect, actual
results may vary in material respects from those projected in the
forward-looking statements. The impact of any one factor on a
particular forward-looking statement is not determinable with
certainty as such factors are dependent upon other factors, and the
Company’s course of action would depend upon its assessment of the
future considering all information then available.
Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of
factors is not exhaustive. Unpredictable or unknown factors not
discussed in the Company's MD&A could also have adverse effects
on forward-looking statements. Although the Company believes that
the expectations conveyed by the forward-looking statements are
reasonable based on information available to it on the date such
forward-looking statements are made, no assurances can be given as
to future results, levels of activity and achievements. All
subsequent forward-looking statements, whether written or oral,
attributable to the Company or persons acting on its behalf are
expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary
statements. Except as required by applicable law, the Company
assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements in the
Company's MD&A, whether as a result of new information, future
events or other factors, or the foregoing factors affecting this
information, should circumstances or the Company's estimates or
opinions change.
Special Note Regarding non-GAAP
Financial Measures
This press release includes references to
financial measures commonly used in the crude oil and natural gas
industry, such as: adjusted net earnings (loss) from operations;
adjusted funds flow (previously referred to as funds flow from
operations) and net capital expenditures. These financial measures
are not defined by International Financial Reporting Standards
("IFRS") and therefore are referred to as non-GAAP measures. The
non-GAAP measures used by the Company may not be comparable to
similar measures presented by other companies. The Company uses
these non-GAAP measures to evaluate its performance. The non-GAAP
measures should not be considered an alternative to or more
meaningful than net earnings (loss), cash flows from operating
activities, and cash flows used in investing activities, as
determined in accordance with IFRS, as an indication of the
Company's performance.
Adjusted net earnings (loss) from operations is
a non-GAAP measure that represents net earnings (loss) as presented
in the Company's consolidated Statements of Earnings (Loss),
adjusted for the after-tax effects of certain items of a non-
operational nature. The Company considers adjusted net earnings
(loss) from operations a key measure in evaluating its performance,
as it demonstrates the Company's ability to generate after-tax
operating earnings from its core business areas. The reconciliation
“Adjusted Net Earnings (Loss) from Operations, as Reconciled to Net
Earnings (Loss)" is presented in the Company’s MD&A.
Adjusted funds flow (previously referred to as
funds flow from operations) is a non-GAAP measure that represents
cash flows from operating activities as presented in the Company's
consolidated Statements of Cash Flows, adjusted for the net change
in non-cash working capital, abandonment expenditures and movements
in other long-term assets, including the unamortized cost of the
share bonus program and prepaid cost of service tolls. The Company
considers adjusted funds flow a key measure as it demonstrates the
Company’s ability to generate the cash flow necessary to fund
future growth through capital investment and to repay debt. The
reconciliation “Adjusted Funds Flow, as Reconciled to Cash Flows
from Operating Activities” is presented in the Company’s
MD&A.
Net capital expenditures is a non-GAAP measure
that represents cash flows used in investing activities as
presented in the Company's consolidated Statements of Cash Flows,
adjusted for the net change in non-cash working capital, investment
in other long-term assets, share consideration in business
acquisitions and abandonment expenditures. The Company considers
net capital expenditures a key measure as it provides an
understanding of the Company’s capital spending activities in
comparison to the Company's annual capital budget. The
reconciliation “Net Capital Expenditures, as Reconciled to Cash
Flows used in Investing Activities” is presented in the Net Capital
Expenditures section of the Company’s MD&A.
Free cash flow is a non-GAAP measure that
represents cash flows from operating activities as presented in the
Company's consolidated Statements of Cash Flows, adjusted for the
net change in non-cash working capital from operating activities,
abandonment, certain movements in other long-term assets, less net
capital expenditures and dividends on common shares. The Company
considers free cash flow a key measure in demonstrating the
Company’s ability to generate cash flow to fund future growth
through capital investment, pay returns to shareholders, and to
repay debt.
Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure that
represents net earnings (loss) as presented in the Company's
consolidated Statements of Earnings (Loss), adjusted for interest,
taxes, depletion, depreciation and amortization, stock based
compensation expense (recovery), unrealized risk management
gains (losses), unrealized foreign exchange gains (losses), and
accretion of the Company’s asset retirement obligation. The Company
considers adjusted EBITDA a key measure in evaluating its operating
profitability by excluding non-cash items.
Debt to adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure
that is derived as the current and long-term portions of long-term
debt, divided by the 12 month trailing Adjusted EBITDA, as defined
above. The Company considers this ratio to be a key measure in
evaluating the Company's ability to pay off its debt.
Debt to book capitalization is a non-GAAP
measure that is derived as net current and long-term debt, divided
by the book value of common shareholders' equity plus net current
and long-term debt. The Company considers this ratio to be a key
measure in evaluating the Company's ability to pay off its
debt.
Available liquidity is a non-GAAP measure that
is derived as cash and cash equivalents, total bank and term credit
facilities, less amounts drawn on the bank and credit facilities
including under the commercial paper program. The Company considers
available liquidity a key measure in evaluating the sustainability
of the Company’s operations and ability to fund future growth. See
note 8 - Long-term Debt in the Company’s consolidated financial
statements.
Special Note Regarding Currency,
Financial Information and Production
This press release should be read in conjunction
with the Company's MD&A and unaudited interim consolidated
financial statements for the three months and year ended December
31, 2019 and the Company's MD&A and the audited consolidated
financial statements of the Company for the year ended December 31,
2018. All dollar amounts are referenced in millions of Canadian
dollars, except where noted otherwise. The Company’s unaudited
interim consolidated financial statements for the three months and
year ended December 31, 2019 and the Company's MD&A have been
prepared in accordance with IFRS as issued by the International
Accounting Standards Board ("IASB"). Changes in the Company's
accounting policies in accordance with IFRS, including the adoption
of IFRS 16 "Leases" on January 1, 2019, are discussed in the
"Changes in Accounting Policies" section of the Company's MD&A.
In accordance with the new IFRS 16 "Leases" standard, comparative
period balances in 2018 reported in the Company's MD&A have not
been restated.
Production volumes and per unit statistics are
presented throughout the Company's MD&A on a "before royalties"
or "company gross" basis, and realized prices are net of blending
and feedstock costs and exclude the effect of risk management
activities. In addition, reference is made to crude oil and natural
gas in common units called barrel of oil equivalent ("BOE"). A BOE
is derived by converting six thousand cubic feet ("Mcf") of natural
gas to one barrel ("bbl") of crude oil (6 Mcf:1 bbl). This
conversion may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation,
since the 6 Mcf:1 bbl ratio is based on an energy equivalency
conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does
not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. In comparing the
value ratio using current crude oil prices relative to natural gas
prices, the 6 Mcf:1 bbl conversion ratio may be misleading as an
indication of value. In addition, for the purposes of the Company's
MD&A, crude oil is defined to include the following
commodities: light and medium crude oil, primary heavy crude oil,
Pelican Lake heavy crude oil, bitumen (thermal oil), and SCO.
Production on an "after royalties" or "company net" basis is also
presented in the Company's MD&A for information purposes
only.
Additional information relating to the Company,
including its Annual Information Form for the year ended December
31, 2018, is available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com, and on EDGAR at
www.sec.gov. Detailed guidance on production levels, capital
expenditures and production expenses can be found on the Company's
website at www.cnrl.com. Information on the Company's website,
including such guidance, does not form part of and is not
incorporated by reference in the Company's MD&A.
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