CALGARY, AB, March 15, 2023 /CNW/ - InPlay Oil Corp. (TSX: IPO) (OTCQX: IPOOF) ("InPlay" or the "Company") announces its financial and operating results for the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2022, and the results of its independent oil and gas reserves evaluation effective December 31, 2022 (the "Reserve Report") prepared by Sproule Associates Limited ("Sproule"). InPlay's audited annual financial statements and notes, as well as Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") for the year ended December 31, 2022 will be available at "www.sedar.com" and our website at "www.inplayoil.com".

InPlay Oil Logo (CNW Group/InPlay Oil Corp.)

2022 Financial and Operations Highlights:

  • Achieved record average annual production of 9,105 boe/d(1) (57% light crude oil and NGLs), an increase of 51% on a debt adjusted per share basis compared to 5,768 boe/d(1) (65% light crude oil and NGLs) in 2021.
  • Implemented a monthly base cash dividend of $0.015/share in November 2022 representing only 11% to 13% of forecasted 2023 annual adjusted funds flow ("AFF")(3) and is forecast to be sustainable at WTI pricing of US$55/bbl through 2025. InPlay also instituted a Normal Course Issuer Bid ("NCIB") in October 2022, further enhancing our return to shareholder commitment.
  • Generated record annual AFF(3) of $131 million ($1.51 per weighted average basic share(4)), an increase of 178% (125% on a per share basis) compared to $47 million ($0.67 per weighted average basic share) in 2021.
  • Reduced net debt(3) to $32.9 million, a 59% reduction compared to December 31, 2021 ($80.2 million) and a 28% reduction compared to September 30, 2022 ($45.6 million).
  • Exited 2022 at 0.2x net debt to earnings before interest, taxes and depletion ("EBITDA")(2) achieving the lowest annual leverage ratio in corporate history.
  • Generated record free adjusted funds flow ("FAFF")(2) of $53 million.
  • Increased operating netbacks(2) by 33% to an annual record $45.90/boe from $34.63/boe in 2021.
  • Realized annual record operating income(2) and operating income profit margin(2) of $153 million and 64% respectively compared to $73 million and 64% in 2021.
  • Recognized net income of $83.9 million ($0.97 per basic share; $0.92 per diluted share).
  • Renegotiated our Senior Credit Facility to a fully conforming revolving credit facility with an increased total lending capacity and borrowing base of $110 million, providing significant liquidity to be used for tactical capital investment and strategic acquisitions.
  • Released our inaugural Sustainability Report highlighting the Company's significant environmental successes and reaffirming the Company's commitment to environmental stewardship while safely and efficiently developing our assets.

2022 Reserve Highlights:

  • Reserves increased across all categories with organic reserves growth, more than offsetting production, in a year without acquisition/disposition ("A&D") activity.
    • Proved developed producing ("PDP") reserves increased 31% on a debt adjusted per share basis(2) to 17,653 mboe (57% light and medium crude oil & NGLs)
    • Total proved ("TP") reserves increased 20% on a debt adjusted per share basis to 46,464 mboe (61% light and medium crude oil & NGLs)
    • Total proved plus probable ("TPP") reserves increased 20% on a debt adjusted per share basis to 61,842 mboe (63% light and medium crude oil & NGLs)
  • Achieved record NPV BT10 reserve and net asset values ("NAV")(5):
    • NPV BT10:
      • PDP: $282 million (37% increase from 2021)
      • TP: $631 million (34% increase from 2021)
      • TPP: $884 million (29% increase from 2021)
    • NAV per share:
      • PDP: $3.18 per basic share (72% increase from 2021)
      • TP: $7.20 per basic share (46% increase from 2021)
      • TPP: $10.11 per basic share (36% increase from 2021)
  • InPlay added new light oil weighted production at a capital efficiency(6) of $16,529 per boe/d in a high inflationary environment tracking the three year average of $15,418 per boe/d.
  • Successful organic development resulted in strong reserve replacement:
    • PDP replacement(6) of 153%
    • TP replacement of 117%
    • TPP replacement of 136%
  • Net Abandonment and Reclamation Obligations spending was $4.5 million, reducing our liability by 4% through the successful abandonment of 31 wellbores and the reclamation of 97 well sites.

Message to Shareholders:

InPlay had a successful year executing our strategy by delivering top-tier production growth, significant debt reduction and meaningful returns to shareholders. Efficient operations and our high quality asset base allowed the Company to generate 51% organic debt adjusted production per share growth. A record $131 million of AFF and $53 million of FAFF was generated during the year and was utilized to reduce net debt 59% from year end 2021 reducing our leverage ratio to 0.2x net debt to EBITDA for 2022. This positioned the Company to implement a return to shareholder strategy commencing with our base monthly dividend and the initiation of a share buyback program. The $0.015 monthly dividend is estimated to be only 11% to 13% of forecasted 2023 AFF based on our 2023 guidance. The Company has maintained one of the lowest debt levels across our industry and peer group, allowing the dividend to be sustainable in a scenario where WTI dropped to US$55/bbl through to the end of 2025. The Company's significant reserve value and FAFF generation capabilities place InPlay in an advantageous position to capitalize on tactical investment opportunities. InPlay's 2023 capital program has shifted towards higher oil weighted properties to allow InPlay to capitalize on the positive outlook for crude oil prices compared to the uncertainty surrounding natural gas prices in the upcoming year.

InPlay had a strong year in 2022 replacing reserves and increasing per share net asset value solely through organic growth in a year where InPlay had no significant A&D activity. This was highlighted by a 31% growth in debt adjusted PDP reserves and 72% growth in PDP NAV ($3.18 per share) demonstrating the Company's ability to create value. InPlay also exited the year with a TP NAV per share of $7.20 and a TPP NAV per share of $10.11 highlighting the compelling value of our assets.

Outlook and Operations Update:

InPlay's capital program for the first quarter of 2023 was initiated late in December 2022 with the drilling of the first of two (1.6 net) Extended Reach Horizontal ("ERH") Willesden Green wells on a single pad to take advantage of the availability of services and get ahead of what is expected to be the busiest quarter of activity for the industry in years. These wells were brought on production in early February and the average initial production ("IP") rates over the first 30 days for these flowing wells were 579 boe/d (73% light crude oil and NGLs).

The Company also drilled another two (1.6 net) ERH Willesden Green wells which were recently brought on production in early March. The average initial production ("IP") rates for these wells over the first 11 days has been 968 boe/d (85% light crude oil and NGLs).

These four wells were drilled in close proximity and have delivered initial production rates significantly above internal expectations despite being somewhat curtailed due to the high fluid rates and high back pressure in the gathering system in the area, which has also backed out production from older lower pressured offsetting wells. Our first of two upgraded gas facilities in the area is expected to come online in late March which will alleviate back pressure on the gas gathering system. This new facility coupled with natural declines and lower fluid rates as water cuts drop are expected to allow all wells to flow at more optimal levels. This is expected to reduce decline rates throughout the second quarter.

Two (0.3 net) non-operated ERH wells in Willesden Green were brought on production in February. Drilling operations have begun on an additional two (2.0 net) ERH well pad in Pembina which is expected to be brought on production in early April.

InPlay's capital program for the first half of 2023 includes plans to upgrade two operated gas facilities in Willesden Green, including the first project discussed above, providing InPlay with operated facility capacity that it controls to facilitate production growth and reduce field pressures in the current and upcoming years.

In the first quarter of 2023, the Company had natural gas production curtailments of approximately 4.5 mmcf/d starting February 15th from a third party natural gas facility due to capacity constraints. The impact of this curtailment is not expected to be significant to InPlay as the Company had previously shifted drilling plans away from this area in 2023 due to its higher gas weighted production and the high gas processing fees being charged compared to other regions. The Company responded by shutting in wells with the highest gas weighting, maximizing oil production and AFF in the strong oil pricing environment. Natural decline of production in this field, limited drilling plans from the Company and other operators in the area as well as alternative options currently being finalized are expected to alleviate the impact of this production curtailment. Our estimates of impacted production due to this curtailment is approximately 475 boe/d (68% natural gas) in the first quarter of 2023.

InPlay anticipates that the exceptional well results to date in 2023 and its upcoming drilling program will fully offset the impact of the temporary gas production curtailments and as a result, InPlay continues to reiterate its 2023 annual average production guidance of 9,500 – 10,500 boe/d(1). When considering the impacted production is predominantly gas, and the outperforming new drills have a high oil weighting, the net impact to AFF is anticipated to be minimal. With the continued value add from our high return asset base, a pristine balance sheet and a very low leverage ratio, the Company is optimistic about the potential for continued value add opportunities and increasing returns to shareholders in the upcoming year and beyond.  

Financial and Operating Results:

(CDN) ($000's)

Three months ended
December 31

Year ended

December 31


2022

2021

2022

2021

Financial





Oil and natural gas sales

58,161

37,255

238,590

113,854

Adjusted funds flow(3)

30,271

17,149

130,805

47,028

    Per share – basic(4)

0.35

0.23

1.51

0.67

    Per share – diluted(4)

0.33

0.22

1.44

0.66

    Per boe(4)

34.19

27.87

39.36

22.34

Comprehensive income

20,736

55,191

83,896

115,071

Per share – basic

0.24

0.74

0.97

1.65

Per share – diluted

0.23

0.71

0.92

1.61

Capital expenditures – PP&E and E&E

13,647

6,024

77,603

33,434

Property (dispositions)

-

-

(2)

(84)

Net Corporate acquisitions(2)

(321)

38,287

180

38,287

Net debt(3)

(32,963)

(80,196)

(32,963)

(80,196)

Shares outstanding

86,952,601

86,214,751

86,952,601

86,214,751

Basic weighted-average shares

87,106,339

74,338,118

86,895,314

69,798,836

Diluted weighted-average shares

91,229,513

77,669,551

91,137,173

71,681,264






Operational





Daily production volumes





Light and medium crude oil (bbls/d)

3,909

3,156

3,766

2,981

Natural gas liquids (boe/d)

1,532

933

1,402

782

Conventional natural gas (Mcf/d)

25,090

15,590

23,623

12,030

Total (boe/d)

9,623

6,687

9,105

5,768

Realized prices(4)





Light and medium crude oil & NGLs ($/bbls)

90.21

79.83

100.26

70.08

Conventional natural gas ($/Mcf)

5.63

5.04

5.74

4.01

Total ($/boe)

65.69

60.56

71.79

54.08

Operating netbacks ($/boe)(2)





Oil and natural gas sales

65.69

60.56

71.79

54.08

Royalties

(11.72)

(7.53)

(11.55)

(5.51)

Transportation expense

(1.26)

(1.09)

(1.18)

(1.11)

Operating costs

(14.78)

(12.51)

(13.16)

(12.83)

    Operating netback(2)

37.93

39.43

45.90

34.63

Realized gain (loss) on derivative contracts

0.17

(5.67)

(1.97)

(6.20)

    Operating netback (including realized derivative contracts)(2)

38.10

33.76

43.93

28.43

 

2022 Financial & Operations Overview:

Production averaged 9,105 boe/d (57% light crude oil & NGLs) in 2022, an annual record for the Company and a 58% increase compared to our previous record of 5,768 boe/d (65% light crude oil & NGLs) in 2021. Production averaged 9,623 boe/d (57% light crude oil & NGLs) in the fourth quarter of 2022, a quarterly record for the Company and a 44% increase in comparison to the fourth quarter of 2021. There was a build of 6,100 barrels of oil inventory at year end compared to the end of the third quarter.

InPlay's capital program for 2022 consisted of $77.6 million of development capital. The Company drilled, completed and brought on production six (6.0 net) ERH wells in Pembina, ten (9.3 net) operated ERH wells and one (0.2 net) non-operated ERH well in Willesden Green and two (2.0 net) Belly River wells. This activity amounted to the drilling of 19 gross (17.5 net) wells for an equivalent of 29.0 gross horizontal miles (26.7 net horizontal miles), our most active year to date. Other capital activity for the year consisted of construction of a modular multi-well oil production facility in Willesden Green to accommodate current and future drilling in the area and construction of two Vapor Recovery Units to increase gas conservation and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. InPlay accelerated the start of its 2023 capital program at the end of 2022 initiating drilling operations on a two well pad in Willesden Green and proactively starting facility and pipeline construction in the fourth quarter of 2022 to bring on production promptly after the completion of wells drilled in the first quarter.

The Company continues to focus on operational efficiency and is proactive in reducing the impact of the inflationary pressures and supply chain disruptions that are impacting the oil and gas industry. Despite the rising costs of services, steel and fuel costs, in addition to third party facility disruptions and processing fee increases, InPlay kept operating costs flat on a boe/d basis year over year even through this significant inflationary period, achieving an annual operating income profit margin(2) record of 64% throughout 2022. Our record production levels and operating netbacks of $45.90/boe resulting in annual record AFF of $131 million ($1.51 per weighted average basic share) during 2022, an increase of 178% compared to 2021. This significant AFF generation was used in lowering net debt by 59% to $32.6 million compared to December 31, 2021 and achieved the lowest annual leverage ratio in our corporate history of 0.2 net debt to EBITDA. In addition, InPlay recognized net income of $83.9 million during 2022, which equates to $0.97 per basic share and $0.92 per diluted share. The record setting financial results in 2022 dramatically improved InPlay's financial situation, allowing for the implementation of our return to shareholder strategy highlighted by the base monthly dividend, and places the Company in a strong position to capitalize on strategic opportunities going forward.

Notes:

1.

See "Production Breakdown by Product Type" at the end of this press release.

2.

Non-GAAP financial measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" contained within this press release.

3.

Capital management measure. See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" contained within this press release.

4.

Supplementary financial measure. See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" contained within this press release.

5.

See "Corporate Reserves Information" and "Net Asset Value" for detailed information from the Reserve Report and associated NPV and NAV calculations.

6.

"FD&A", "recycle ratio", "reserve replacement", "reserve life index" and "capital efficiency" do not have standardized meanings and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented for other entities. Refer to section "Performance Measures" for the determination and calculation of these measures.

 

2022 Reserves Overview:

As a result of the Company's continued efficient operational execution and deployment of development capital combined with the high quality of our asset base, InPlay generated reserve growth in all reserve categories compared to 2021. PDP reserves per debt adjusted share increased by 31% in 2022 to 17,653 mboe, TP reserves increased by 20% per debt adjusted share to 46,464 mboe and TPP reserves increased by 20% per debt adjusted share to 61,842 mboe. This reserve based growth more than replaced our 2022 production, with 153% of production being replaced on a PDP basis, 117% on a TP basis and 136% on a TPP basis. This reserve replacement is a strong achievement in a year without A&D activity and hyperinflation, evidencing the long-term sustainability of our current asset base.

This significant reserve growth and improvements to commodity prices resulted in record setting reserve net present values of future net revenues before tax ("NPV BT") and net asset values per basic share ("NAVPS") at December 31, 2022. The Company improved NPV BT10 reserve values to $282 million (PDP), $631 million (TP) and $884 million (TPP) using a three independent reserve evaluators average pricing and cost forecast and foreign exchange rates as at December 31, 2022 as used in the Reserve Report. This equates to Net Asset Values of $276 million and $3.18 NAVPS (PDP), $626 million and $7.20 NAVPS (TP) and $879 million and $10.11 NAVPS (TPP)(1), representing 72% (PDP), 46% (TP) and 36% (TPP) growth for each category respectively on a per share basis over 2021.

Note:

1.

See "Net Asset Value" below for detailed calculations.

 

Corporate Reserves Information:

The following summarizes certain information contained in the Reserve Report. The Reserve Report was prepared in accordance with the definitions, standards and procedures contained in the COGE Handbook and National Instrument 51-101 Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("NI 51-101"). Additional reserve information as required under NI 51-101 will be included in the Company's Annual Information Form ("AIF") which will be filed on SEDAR by the end of March 2023.

December 31, 2022

Light and
Medium


Conventional

Oil

BTAX NPV

Future
Development

Net

Undeveloped

Reserves
Category(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)

Crude Oil

NGLs

Natural Gas

Equivalent

10 %

Capital

Wells

Mbbl

Mbbl

MMcf

MBOE

($000's)

($000's)

Booked









Proved developed
      producing

6,883.0

3,210.5

45,354

17,652.5

281,527

347

-

Proved developed non-
     producing

208.4

53.1

844

402.1

6,614

602

-

Proved undeveloped

14,369.0

3,836.5

61,225

28,409.6

342,759

433,398

173.8

Total proved

21,460.4

7,100.1

107,423

46,464.2

630,900

434,347

173.8

Probable developed
      producing

1,877.9

829.3

12,065

4,717.9

61,418

355

-

Probable developed
     non-producing

51.1

12.8

229

102.1

983

602

-

Probable undeveloped

6,254.6

1,194.6

18,649

10,557.2

190,810

85,084

26.6

Total probable

8,183.6

2,036.7

30,943

15,377.2

253,211

86,040

26.6

Total proved plus
probable(6)

29,644.0

9,136.8

138,366

61,841.5

884,110

520,387

200.4


Notes:

1.

Reserves have been presented on a gross basis which are the Company's total working interest (operating and non-operating) share before the deduction of any royalties and without including any royalty interests of the Company.

2.

Based on an arithmetic average of the price forecasts of three independent reserve evaluator's (Sproule Associates Limited, McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd. and GLJ Ltd.) then current forecast at December 31, 2022, as outlined in the table herein entitled "Pricing Assumptions".

3.

It should not be assumed that the NPV amounts presented in the tables above represents the fair market value of the reserves. There is no assurance that the forecast prices and costs assumptions will be attained and variances could be material. The recovery and reserves estimates of InPlay's light and medium crude oil, natural gas liquids and conventional natural gas reserves provided herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual light and medium crude oil, conventional natural gas and natural gas liquids reserves may be greater than or less than the estimates provided herein.

4.

All future net revenues are stated prior to provision for interest, general and administrative expenses and after deduction of royalties, operating costs, estimated well abandonment, decommissioning and reclamation costs and estimated future capital expenditures. Future net revenues have been presented on a before tax basis.

5.

The Company has included abandonment, decommissioning and reclamation costs for all active and inactive assets including non-producing and suspended wells, facilities and pipelines. December 31, 2022 reserve NPV values are also inclusive of currently enacted carbon taxes.

6.

Totals may not add due to rounding.

 

Net Asset Value:

December 31, 2022

BTAX NPV 5%

BTAX NPV 10%

($000's)

$/share(6)

($000's)

$/share(6)

PDP NPV(1)(2)

318,050

3.66

281,527

3.24

Undeveloped acreage(3)

27,881

0.32

27,881

0.32

Net debt(4)(5)

(32,963)

(0.38)

(32,963)

(0.38)

Net Asset Value (basic)

312,968

3.60

276,445

3.18






December 31, 2022

BTAX NPV 5%

BTAX NPV 10%

($000's)

$/share(6)

($000's)

$/share(6)

TP NPV(1)(2)

817,148

9.40

630,900

7.26

Undeveloped acreage(3)

27,881

0.32

27,881

0.32

Net debt(4)(5)

(32,963)

(0.38)

(32,963)

(0.38)

Net Asset Value (basic)

812,066

9.34

625,818

7.20






December 31, 2022

BTAX NPV 5%

BTAX NPV 10%

($000's)

$/share(6)

($000's)

$/share(6)

TPP NPV(1)(2)

1,171,941

13.48

884,110

10.17

Undeveloped acreage(3)

27,881

0.32

27,881

0.32

Net debt(4)(5)

(32,963)

(0.38)

(32,963)

(0.38)

Net Asset Value (basic)

1,166,859

13.42

879,028

10.11


Notes:

1.

Evaluated by Sproule as at December 31, 2022. The estimated NPV does not represent fair market value of the reserves.

2.

Based on an arithmetic average of the price forecasts of three independent reserve evaluator's (Sproule Associates Limited, McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd. and GLJ Ltd.) then current forecast at December 31, 2022.

3.

Duvernay land holdings attributed a value of $14.5 million ($1,000/acre) for 14,480 net acres based on internal valuations. The remaining undeveloped acreage is based on an internal valuation of $13.4 million ($258/acre) for 51,795 net acres. These internal valuations are based on land sales in the area.

4.

Net debt as at December 31, 2022.

5.

Capital management measure. See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" contained within this press release.

6.

Based upon 86,952,601 common shares outstanding as at December 31, 2022.

Future Development Costs ("FDCs"):

FDCs increased by $18 million on a TP basis and $46 million on a TPP basis compared to the 2021 Reserve Report.

($millions)



TP

TPP

2023



80.6

82.3

2024



100.5

106.3

2025



91.9

99.8

2026



98.3

113.7

Remainder



63.0

118.3

Total undiscounted FDC



434.3

520.4

Total discounted FDC at 10% per year



350.1

410.0


Note: FDC as per Reserve Report based on forecast pricing as outlined in the table herein entitled "Pricing Assumptions"

 

Performance Measures:


2020

2021

2022

3 Year Avg

Average WTI crude oil price (US$/bbl)

39.40

67.91

94.23

67.18

Capital expenditures – PP&E and E&E ($000's)(1)

22,213

33,434

77,603

-

Production boe/d – FY(3)

3,985

5,768

9,105

6,286

Production boe/d – Q4(3)

4,259

6,687

9,623

6,856

Operating netback $/boe – FY(2)

11.45

34.63

45.90

35.16

Proved Developed Producing





Total Reserves mboe

9,677

15,890

17,653

14,407

Reserves additions mboe

2,418

8,318

5,086

15,822

FD&A (including FDCs) $/boe(1)

9.85

8.47

14.96

10.77

FD&A (excluding FDCs) $/boe(1)

9.85

8.47

14.96

10.77

Recycle Ratio(4)

1.2

4.1

3.1

3.3

Reserves Replacement(5)

166 %

395 %

153 %

230 %

RLI (years)(6)

6.6

7.5

5.3

6.3

Total Proved





Total Reserves mboe

21,624

45,891

46,464

37,993

Reserves additions mboe

4,509

26,372

3,897

34,778

FD&A (including FDCs) $/boe(1)

5.86

12.03

24.04

12.58

FD&A (excluding FDCs) $/boe(1)

5.28

2.67

19.52

4.90

Recycle Ratio(4)

2.0

2.9

1.9

2.8

Reserves Replacement(5)

309 %

1,253 %

117 %

505 %

RLI (years)(6)

14.8

21.8

14.0

16.5

Proved Plus Probable





Total Reserves mboe

32,816

60,640

61,842

51,776

Reserves additions mboe

6,980

29,929

4,525

41,434

FD&A (including FDCs) $/boe(1)

8.21

9.56

27.02

11.24

FD&A (excluding FDCs) $/boe(1)

3.41

2.36

16.81

4.11

Recycle Ratio(4)

1.4

3.6

1.7

3.1

Reserves Replacement(5)

479 %

1,422 %

136 %

602 %

RLI (years)(6)

22.5

28.8

18.6

22.5

 

In 2022, InPlay's successful exploration, development and acquisition/disposition capital program achieved a capital efficiency of $16,529 per boe/d and a three year average of $15,418 per boe/d.(7) 

Notes:

1.

Finding, Development & Acquisition ("FD&A") costs are used as a measure of capital efficiency. The calculation includes the period's capital expenditures, including Exploration and Development ("E&D") and Acquisition and Disposition ("A&D") expended in the year, less capitalized G&A expenses and undeveloped land expenditures acquired with no reserves. This total of capital expenditures, including the change in the FDC over the period, is then divided by the change in reserves, other than from production, for the period incorporating additions/reductions from extensions, infill drilling, technical revisions, acquisitions/dispositions and economic factors. For example: 2022 TPP = ($77.6 million capital expenditures – PP&E and E&E - $1.7 million capitalized G&A - $nil of land acquisitions + $nil property (dispositions) + $0.2 million net corporate acquisitions + $46.2 million change in FDCs) / (61,842 mboe – 60,640 mboe + 3,323 mboe) = $27.02 per boe. Finding and Development Costs ("F&D") are calculated the same as FD&A costs, however adjusted to exclude the capital expenditures and reserve additions/reductions from acquisition/disposition activity. See Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and Operational Information in the Reader Advisories.

2.

Non-GAAP financial measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" contained within this press release.

3.

See "Reader Advisories - Production Breakdown by Product Type"

4.

Recycle Ratio is calculated by dividing the year's operating netback per boe by the FD&A costs for that period. For example: 2022 TPP = ($45.90/$27.02) = 1.7. The recycle ratio compares netback from existing reserves to the cost of finding new reserves and may not accurately indicate the investment success unless the replacement reserves are of equivalent quality as the produced reserves. See Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and Operational Information in the Reader Advisories.

5.

The reserves replacement ratio is calculated by dividing the yearly change in reserves before production by the actual annual production for that year. For example: 2022 TPP = (61,842 mboe – 60,640 mboe + 3,323 mboe) / 3,323 mboe = 136%, which reflects the extent to which the Company was able to replace production and add reserves throughout the year.  See Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and Operational Information in the Reader Advisories.

6.

RLI is calculated by dividing the reserves in each category by the 2022 average annual production. For example 2022 TPP = (61,842 mboe) / (9,105 boe/day) = 18.6 years. See Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and Operational Information in the Reader Advisories.

7.

Capital Efficiency is calculated as the total annual exploration & development and acquisition and disposition capital expended in the year, less capitalized G&A and land acquisition costs divided by production additions comparing the fourth quarter of the previous year using a decline rate over the course of the year, calculated as follows: ($77.6 million capital expenditures (PP&E and E&E) - $1.7 million capitalized G&A - $nil of land acquisitions + $nil property (dispositions) + $3.0 million of 2021 capital adding reserves in 2022 - $nil of capital not adding reserves in 2022) / (Q4/2022 production of 9,623boe/d – Q4/2021 production of 6,687 boe/d + 2022 declined production at 28% of 1,839 boe/d). See Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and Operational Information in the Reader Advisories.

 

Pricing Assumptions:

The following tables set forth the benchmark reference prices, as at December 31, 2022, reflected in the Reserve Report. These price and cost assumptions were an arithmetic average of the price forecasts of three independent reserve evaluator's (Sproule, McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd. and GLJ Ltd.) then current forecast at the effective date of the Reserve Report.

SUMMARY OF PRICING AND INFLATION RATE ASSUMPTIONS (1)
as of December 31, 2022
FORECAST PRICES AND COSTS

Year

WTI

Cushing

Oklahoma

($US/Bbl)

Canadian

Light
Sweet

40o API

($Cdn/Bbl)

Cromer

LSB 35o
API

($Cdn/Bbl)

Natural
Gas
AECO-
C Spot

($Cdn/

MMBtu)

NGLs

Edmonton
Propane

($Cdn/Bbl)

NGLs
Edmonton
Butanes

($Cdn/Bbl)

Edmonton

Pentanes

Plus

($Cdn/Bbl)

Operating
Cost
Inflation
Rates

%/Year

Capital
Cost
Inflation
Rates

%/Year

Exchange
Rate (2)

($Cdn/$US)

Forecast(3)











2023

80.33

103.77

104.27

4.23

39.80

53.88

106.22

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.75

2024

78.50

97.74

98.21

4.40

39.13

52.67

101.35

2.3 %

2.3 %

0.77

2025

76.95

95.27

95.73

4.21

39.74

51.42

98.94

2.0 %

2.0 %

0.77

2026

77.61

95.58

96.03

4.27

39.86

51.61

100.19

2.0 %

2.0 %

0.77

2027

79.16

97.07

97.53

4.34

40.47

52.39

101.74

2.0 %

2.0 %

0.78

2028

80.75

99.01

99.47

4.43

41.28

53.44

103.78

2.0 %

2.0 %

0.78

2029

82.36

100.99

101.46

4.51

42.11

54.51

105.85

2.0 %

2.0 %

0.78

2030

84.01

103.01

103.49

4.60

42.95

55.60

107.97

2.0 %

2.0 %

0.78

2031

85.69

105.07

105.57

4.69

43.81

56.71

110.13

2.0 %

2.0 %

0.78

2032

87.40

106.69

107.19

4.79

44.47

57.56

112.33

2.0 %

2.0 %

0.78

2033

89.15

108.83

109.33

4.89

45.35

58.71

114.58

2.0 %

2.0 %

0.78


Thereafter      Escalation rate of 2.0%









Notes:

1.

This summary table identifies benchmark reference pricing schedules that might apply to a reporting issuer.

2.

The exchange rate used to generate the benchmark reference prices in this table.

3.

As at December 31, 2022.

 

InPlay would like to thank our employees, board members, lenders and shareholders for their support and contributions in achieving another record setting financial and operational year for the Company. InPlay is proud of the progress made to further strengthen the Company's financial position and asset base and we look forward delivering on our 2023 budget which is forecast to provide record setting financial and operational results and strong returns to shareholders.

For further information please contact:

Doug Bartole
President and Chief Executive Officer
InPlay Oil Corp.
Telephone: (587) 955-0632


Darren Dittmer
Chief Financial Officer
InPlay Oil Corp.
Telephone: (587) 955-0634

Reader Advisories

Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures

Throughout this press release and other materials disclosed by the Company, InPlay uses certain measures to analyze financial performance, financial position and cash flow. These non-GAAP and other financial measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed under GAAP and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other entities. The non-GAAP and other financial measures should not be considered alternatives to, or more meaningful than, financial measures that are determined in accordance with GAAP as indicators of the Company performance. Management believes that the presentation of these non-GAAP and other financial measures provides useful information to shareholders and investors in understanding and evaluating the Company's ongoing operating performance, and the measures provide increased transparency and the ability to better analyze InPlay's business performance against prior periods on a comparable basis.

Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Ratios

Included in this document are references to the terms "free adjusted funds flow", "operating income", "operating netback per boe", "operating income profit margin", "Net Debt to EBITDA", "Net Corporate Acquisitions", "Debt adjusted production per share" and "EV / DAAFF". Management believes these measures and ratios are helpful supplementary measures of financial and operating performance and provide users with similar, but potentially not comparable, information that is commonly used by other oil and natural gas companies. These terms do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than "profit (loss) before taxes", "profit (loss) and comprehensive income (loss)", "adjusted funds flow", "capital expenditures", "corporate acquisitions, net of cash acquired", "net debt", "weighted average number of common shares (basic)" or assets and liabilities as determined in accordance with GAAP as a measure of the Company's performance and financial position.

Free Adjusted Funds Flow

Management considers FAFF an important measure to identify the Company's ability to improve its financial condition through debt repayment and its ability to provide returns to shareholders. FAFF should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than AFF as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company's performance. FAFF is calculated by the Company as AFF less exploration and development capital expenditures and property dispositions (acquisitions) and is a measure of the cashflow remaining after capital expenditures before corporate acquisitions that can be used for additional capital activity, corporate acquisitions, repayment of debt or decommissioning expenditures or potentially return of capital to shareholders. Refer below for a calculation of historical FAFF and to the "Forward Looking Information and Statements" section for a calculation of forecast FAFF.

(thousands of dollars)

Three Months Ended

   December 31

Year Ended

  December 31


2022

2021

2022

2021

Adjusted funds flow

30,271

17,149

130,805

47,028

Exploration and dev. capital expenditures

(13,647)

(6,024)

(77,603)

(33,434)

Property dispositions (acquisitions)

-

-

2

84

Free adjusted funds flow

16,624

11,125

53,204

13,678

 

Operating Income/Operating Netback per boe/Operating Income Profit Margin

InPlay uses "operating income", "operating netback per boe" and "operating income profit margin" as key performance indicators. Operating income is calculated by the Company as oil and natural gas sales less royalties, operating expenses and transportation expenses and is a measure of the profitability of operations before administrative, share-based compensation, financing and other non-cash items. Management considers operating income an important measure to evaluate its operational performance as it demonstrates its field level profitability. Operating income should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than net income as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company's performance. Operating netback per boe is calculated by the Company as operating income divided by average production for the respective period. Management considers operating netback per boe an important measure to evaluate its operational performance as it demonstrates its field level profitability per unit of production. Operating income profit margin is calculated by the Company as operating income as a percentage of oil and natural gas sales. Management considers operating income profit margin an important measure to evaluate its operational performance as it demonstrates how efficiently the Company generates field level profits from its sales revenue. Refer below for a calculation of operating income, operating netback per boe and operating income profit margin.

(thousands of dollars)

Three Months Ended

December 31

Year Ended

December 31


2022

2021

2022

2021

Revenue

58,161

37,255

238,590

113,854

Royalties

(10,375)

(4,632)

(38,392)

(11,595)

Operating expenses

(13,081)

(7,695)

(43,740)

(27,009)

Transportation expenses

(1,118)

(673)

(3,920)

(2,346)

Operating income

33,587

24,255

152,538

72,904






Sales volume (Mboe)

885.3

615.2

3,323.4

2,105.1

Per boe 





     Revenue

65.69

60.56

71.79

54.08

     Royalties

(11.72)

(7.53)

(11.55)

(5.51)

     Operating expenses

(14.78)

(12.51)

(13.16)

(12.83)

     Transportation expenses

(1.26)

(1.09)

(1.18)

(1.11)

Operating netback per boe

37.93

39.43

45.90

34.63

Operating income profit margin

58 %

65 %

64 %

64 %

 

Net Debt to EBITDA

Management considers Net Debt to EBITDA an important measure as it is a key metric to identify the Company's ability to fund financing expenses, net debt reductions and other obligations. EBITDA is calculated by the Company as adjusted funds flow before interest expense. When this measure is presented quarterly, EBITDA is annualized by multiplying by four. When this measure is presented on a trailing twelve month basis, EBITDA for the twelve months preceding the net debt date is used in the calculation. This measure is consistent with the EBITDA formula prescribed under the Company's Senior Credit Facility. Net Debt to EBITDA is calculated as Net Debt divided by EBITDA. Refer below for a calculation of Net Debt to EBITDA and to the "Forward Looking Information and Statements" section for a calculation of forecast Net Debt to EBITDA.

(thousands of dollars)

Year Ended

   December 31


2022

2021

Adjusted Funds Flow

130,805

47,028

Interest expense (Credit Facility and other)

4,918

5,594

Interest expense (Lease liabilities)

25

20

EBITDA

135,748

52,642

Net Debt

32,963

80,196

Net Debt to EBITDA

0.2

1.5

 

Net Corporate Acquisitions

Management considers Net corporate acquisitions an important measure as it is a key metric to evaluate the corporate acquisition in comparison to other transactions using the negotiated consideration value and ignoring changes to the fair value of the share consideration between the signing of the definitive agreement and the closing of the transaction. Net corporate acquisitions should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than "Corporate acquisitions, net of cash acquired" as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company's performance. Net corporate acquisitions is calculated as total consideration with share consideration adjusted to the value negotiated with the counterparty, less working capital balances assumed on the corporate acquisition. Refer below for a calculation of Net corporate acquisitions and reconciliation to the nearest GAAP measure, "Corporate acquisitions, net of cash acquired".

(thousands of dollars)

Three Months Ended

December 31 

Year Ended

December 31


2022


2021

2022


2021

Corporate acquisitions, net of cash acquired

(321)


29,277

180


29,277

Share consideration(1)

-


9,985

-


9,985

Non-cash working capital acquired

(321)


(1,156)

180


(1,156)

Derivative contracts

-


181

-


181

Net Corporate acquisitions

(321)(3)


38,287

180(3)


38,287



(1) 

For purposes of the corporate acquisition, the share consideration had a negotiated value of $1.20 per share. For accounting purposes in accordance with IFRS 3, the shares issued as consideration have been valued at $2.07 per share, based on the closing price of InPlay shares on November 29, 2021.

(2) 

Net working capital acquired equals the fair value of cash and cash equivalents, accounts receivable and accrued liabilities, prepaid expenses and deposits, inventory, accounts payable and accrued liabilities and derivative contracts acquired as disclosed in note 5 of the Company's financial statements.

(3) 

During the year ended December 31, 2022, the acquired amount of Property, plant and equipment was adjusted by $0.2 million as a result of adjustments relating to the acquisition, with a corresponding increase in the recognized amounts of Accounts payable and accrued liabilities.

 

Production per Debt Adjusted Share

InPlay uses "Production per debt adjusted share" as a key performance indicator. Debt adjusted shares should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than common shares as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company's performance. Debt adjusted shares is a non-GAAP measure used in the calculation of Production per debt adjusted share and is calculated by the Company as common shares outstanding plus the change in net debt divided by the Company's current trading price on the TSX, converting net debt to equity. Debt adjusted shares should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than weighted average number of common shares (basic) as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company's performance. Management considers Debt adjusted share is a key performance indicator as it adjusts for the effects of capital structure in relation to the Company's peers. Production per debt adjusted share is calculated by the Company as production divided by debt adjusted shares. Management considers Production per debt adjusted share is a key performance indicator as it adjusts for the effects of changes in annual production in relation to the Company's capital structure. Refer below for a calculation of Production per debt adjusted share and to the "Forward Looking Information and Statements" section for a calculation of forecast Production per debt adjusted share.


Year Ended

   December 31


2022

2021

Production (boe/d)

9,105

5,768

Net Debt ($millions)

32.9

80.2

Weighted average outstanding shares

86.9

69.8

Assumed share price(2)

3.39


Production per debt adjusted share growth(1)

51 %




(1) 

Production per debt adjusted share is calculated by the Company as production divided by debt adjusted shares. Debt adjusted shares is calculated by the Company as common shares outstanding plus the change in net debt divided by the Company's current trading price on the TSX, converting net debt to equity.

(2) 

Weighted average share price throughout 2022.

 

EV / DAAFF

InPlay uses "enterprise value to debt adjusted AFF" or "EV/DAAFF" as a key performance indicator. EV/DAAFF is calculated by the Company as enterprise value divided by debt adjusted AFF for the relevant period. Debt adjusted AFF ("DAAFF") is calculated by the Company as adjusted funds flow plus financing costs. Enterprise value is a capital management measures that is used in the calculation of EV/DAAFF. Enterprise value is calculated as the Company's market capitalization plus working capital (net debt). Management considers enterprise value a key performance indicator as it identifies the total capital structure of the Company. Management considers EV/DAAFF a key performance indicator as it is a key metric used to evaluate the sustainability of the Company relative to other companies while incorporating the impact of differing capital structures. Refer to the "Forward Looking Information and Statements" section for a calculation of forecast EV/DAAFF.

Reserves per Debt Adjusted Share

InPlay uses "Reserves per debt adjusted share" as a key performance indicator. Debt adjusted shares should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than common shares as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company's performance. Debt adjusted shares is a non-GAAP measure used in the calculation of Reserves per debt adjusted share and is calculated by the Company as common shares outstanding plus the change in net debt divided by the Company's current trading price on the TSX, converting net debt to equity. Debt adjusted shares should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than weighted average number of common shares (basic) as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company's performance. Management considers Debt adjusted share is a key performance indicator as it adjusts for the effects of capital structure in relation to the Company's peers. Reserves per debt adjusted share is calculated by the Company as reserves divided by debt adjusted shares.  Management considers Reserves per debt adjusted share is a key performance indicator as it adjusts for the effects of changes in annual reserves in relation to the Company's capital structure. Refer below for a calculation of Reserves per debt adjusted share.


Year Ended December 31


PDP

TP

TPP


2022

2021

2022

2021

2022

2021

Reserves (mboe)

17,653

15,890

46,464

45,891

61,842

60,640

Net Debt ($millions)

32.9

80.2

32.9

80.2

32.9

80.2

Year end shares outstanding

87.0

86.2

87.0

86.2

87.0

86.2

Assumed share price(2)

3.39


3.39


3.39


Reserves per debt adjusted share growth(1)

31 %


20 %


20 %




(1) 

Reserves per debt adjusted share is calculated by the Company as reserves divided by debt adjusted shares. Debt adjusted shares is calculated by the Company as common shares outstanding plus the change in net debt divided by the Company's current trading price on the TSX, converting net debt to equity.

(2) 

Weighted average share price throughout 2022.

 

Capital Management Measures

Adjusted Funds Flow

Management considers adjusted funds flow to be an important measure of InPlay's ability to generate the funds necessary to finance capital expenditures. Adjusted funds flow is a GAAP measure and is disclosed in the notes to the Company's consolidated financial statements for the year ending December 31, 2022. All references to adjusted funds flow throughout this document are calculated as funds flow adjusting for decommissioning expenditures and transaction and integration costs. This item is adjusted from funds flow as decommissioning expenditures are incurred on a discretionary and irregular basis and are primarily incurred on previous operating assets and transaction costs are non-recurring costs for the purposes of an acquisition, making the exclusion of these items relevant in Management's view to the reader in the evaluation of InPlay's operating performance. The Company also presents adjusted funds flow per share whereby per share amounts are calculated using weighted average shares outstanding consistent with the calculation of profit (loss) per common share.

Net Debt / Working Capital

Net debt / working capital is a GAAP measure and is disclosed in the notes to the Company's consolidated financial statements for the year ending December 31, 2022, and the most recently filed quarterly financial statements. The Company closely monitors its capital structure with a goal of maintaining a strong balance sheet to fund the future growth of the Company. The Company monitors net debt / working capital as part of its capital structure. The Company uses net debt / working capital (bank debt plus accounts payable and accrued liabilities less accounts receivables and accrued receivables, prepaid expenses and deposits and inventory) as an alternative measure of outstanding debt. Management considers net debt / working capital an important measure to assist in assessing the liquidity of the Company.

Supplementary Measures

"Average realized crude oil price" is comprised of crude oil commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company's crude oil production. Average prices are before deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains and losses on financial instruments.

"Average realized NGL price" is comprised of NGL commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company's NGL production. Average prices are before deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains and losses on financial instruments.

"Average realized natural gas price" is comprised of natural gas commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company's natural gas production. Average prices are before deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains and losses on financial instruments.

"Average realized commodity price" is comprised of commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company's production. Average prices are before deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains and losses on financial instruments.

"Adjusted funds flow per weighted average basic share" is comprised of adjusted funds flow divided by the basic weighted average common shares.

"Adjusted funds flow per weighted average diluted share" is comprised of adjusted funds flow divided by the diluted weighted average common shares.

"Adjusted funds flow per boe" is comprised of adjusted funds flow divided by total production.

Forward-Looking Information and Statements

This news release contains certain forward–looking information and statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words "expect", "anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "may", "will", "project", "should", "believe", "plans", "intends", "forecast" and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information or statements. In particular, but without limiting the foregoing, this news release contains forward-looking information and statements pertaining to the following: the recognition of significant additional reserves under the heading "Corporate Reserves Information", the future net value of InPlay's reserves, the future development capital and costs, the life of InPlay's reserves and the net asset values disclosed under the heading "Net Asset Value" including the internal value ascribed to undeveloped acreage; the Company's planned 2023 capital program including wells to be drilled and completed and the timing of the same; 2023 guidance based on the planned capital program and all associated underlying assumptions set forth in this press release including, without limitation, forecasts of 2023 annual average production levels, debt adjusted production levels, adjusted funds flow, free adjusted funds flow, Net Debt/EBITDA ratio, operating income profit margin, and Management's belief that the Company can grow some or all of these attributes and specified measures; light crude oil and NGLs weighting estimates; expectations regarding future commodity prices; future oil and natural gas prices; future liquidity and financial capacity; future results from operations and operating metrics; future costs, expenses and royalty rates; future interest costs; the exchange rate between the $US and $Cdn; future development, exploration, acquisition, development and infrastructure activities and related capital expenditures, including our planned 2023 capital program; the amount and timing of capital projects; forecasted spending on decommissioning; that 2023 will be another record year for the Company; and methods of funding our capital program.

Without limitation of the foregoing, readers are cautioned that the Company's future dividend payments to shareholders of the Company, if any, and the level thereof will be subject to the discretion of the Board of Directors of InPlay. The Company's dividend policy and funds available for the payment of dividends, if any, from time to time, is dependent upon, among other things, levels of FAFF, leverage ratios, financial requirements for the Company's operations and execution of its growth strategy, fluctuations in commodity prices and working capital, the timing and amount of capital expenditures, credit facility availability and limitations on distributions existing thereunder, and other factors beyond the Company's control. Further, the ability of the Company to pay dividends will be subject to applicable laws, including satisfaction of solvency tests under the Business Corporations Act (Alberta), and satisfaction of certain applicable contractual restrictions contained in the agreements governing the Company's outstanding indebtedness.

Forward-looking statements or information are based on a number of material factors, expectations or assumptions of InPlay which have been used to develop such statements and information but which may prove to be incorrect. Although InPlay believes that the expectations reflected in such forward looking statements or information are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements because InPlay can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. In addition to other factors and assumptions which may be identified herein, assumptions have been made regarding, among other things: the impact of increasing competition; the general stability of the economic and political environment in which InPlay operates; the timely receipt of any required regulatory approvals; the ability of InPlay to obtain qualified staff, equipment and services in a timely and cost efficient manner; drilling results; the ability of the operator of the projects in which InPlay has an interest in to operate the field in a safe, efficient and effective manner; the ability of InPlay to obtain debt financing on acceptable terms; the timing and amount of purchases under the Company's NCIB; the anticipated tax treatment of the monthly base dividend; field production rates and decline rates; the ability to replace and expand oil and natural gas reserves through acquisition, development and exploration; the timing and cost of pipeline, storage and facility construction and the ability of InPlay to secure adequate product transportation; future commodity prices; that various conditions to a shareholder return strategy can be satisfied; expectations regarding the potential impact of COVID-19 and the Russia/Ukraine conflict; currency, exchange and interest rates; regulatory framework regarding royalties, taxes and environmental matters in the jurisdictions in which InPlay operates; and the ability of InPlay to successfully market its oil and natural gas products.

The forward-looking information and statements included herein are not guarantees of future performance and should not be unduly relied upon. Such information and statements, including the assumptions made in respect thereof, involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results or events to defer materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking information or statements including, without limitation: the continuing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia/Ukraine conflict; inflation and the risk of a global recession; changes in our planned 2023 capital program; changes in our long range plan; changes in our approach to shareholder returns, including in relation to the Company's NCIB and the timing and amount of any potential purchases thereunder; changes in commodity prices and other assumptions outlined herein; the risk that dividend payments may be reduced, suspended or cancelled; the potential for variation in the quality of the reservoirs in which we operate; changes in the demand for or supply of our products; unanticipated operating results or production declines; changes in tax or environmental laws, royalty rates or other regulatory matters; changes in development plans or strategies of InPlay or by third party operators of our properties; changes in our credit structure, increased debt levels or debt service requirements; inaccurate estimation of our light crude oil and natural gas reserve and resource volumes; limited, unfavorable or a lack of access to capital markets; increased costs; a lack of adequate insurance coverage; the impact of competitors; and certain other risks detailed from time-to-time in InPlay's continuous disclosure documents filed on SEDAR including our Annual Information Form and our MD&A.

This press release contains future-oriented financial information and financial outlook information (collectively, "FOFI") about InPlay's financial and leverage targets and objectives, InPlay's long-term forecast, and potential dividends and share buybacks, all of which are subject to the same assumptions, risk factors, limitations, and qualifications as set forth in the above paragraphs. The actual results of operations of InPlay and the resulting financial results will likely vary from the amounts set forth in this press release and such variation may be material. InPlay and its management believe that the FOFI has been prepared on a reasonable basis, reflecting management's reasonable estimates and judgments. However, because this information is subjective and subject to numerous risks, it should not be relied on as necessarily indicative of future results. Except as required by applicable securities laws, InPlay undertakes no obligation to update such FOFI. FOFI contained in this press release was made as of the date of this press release and was provided for the purpose of providing further information about InPlay's anticipated future business operations and strategy. Readers are cautioned that the FOFI contained in this press release should not be used for purposes other than for which it is disclosed herein. 

The internal projections, expectations, or beliefs underlying our Board approved 2023 capital budget and associated guidance, as well as management's preliminary estimates and targets in respect of plans for 2024 and beyond (which are not based on Board approved budgets at this time), are subject to change in light of, among other factors, the impact of world events including pandemics and the Russia/Ukraine conflict, ongoing results, prevailing economic circumstances, volatile commodity prices, and industry conditions and regulations. InPlay's financial outlook and guidance provides shareholders with relevant information on management's expectations for results of operations, excluding any potential acquisitions or dispositions, for such time periods based upon the key assumptions outlined herein. In this document reference is made to the Company's longer range 2024 and beyond internal plan and associated economic model. Such information reflects internal estimates and targets used by management for the purposes of making capital investment decisions and for internal long range planning and budget preparation. Readers are cautioned that events or circumstances could cause capital plans and associated results to differ materially from those predicted and InPlay's guidance for 2023, and more particularly 2024 and beyond, may not be appropriate for other purposes. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on same.

The forward-looking information and statements contained in this news release speak only as of the date hereof and InPlay does not assume any obligation to publicly update or revise any of the included forward-looking statements or information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable securities laws.

InPlay's 2022 annual guidance and a comparison to 2022 actual results are outlined below.




Guidance

FY 2022(1)

Actuals

FY 2022

Variance

Variance (%)

Production

Boe/d


9,100 – 9,200

9,105

-

-

Adjusted Funds Flow

$ millions


$131 – $133

$131

-

-

Capital Expenditures

$ millions


$76 – $78

$77.6

-

-

Free Adjusted Funds Flow

$ millions


$53 – $57

$53

-

-

Net Debt(2)

$ millions


($31) – ($32)

($33)

($1)(1)

3 %



(1) 

As previously released January 18, 2023.

(2) 

This variance is due to slightly higher decommissioning expenditures and the build of inventory volumes at the end of 2022 impacting fourth quarter production.

 

Risk Factors to FLI

Risk factors that could materially impact successful execution and actual results of the Company's 2023 capital program and associated guidance and long-term preliminary plans and estimates include:

  • volatility of petroleum and natural gas prices and inherent difficulty in the accuracy of predictions related thereto;
  • changes in Federal and Provincial regulations;
  • the Company's ability to secure financing for the Board approved 2023 capital program and longer term capital plans sourced from AFF, bank or other debt instruments, asset sales, equity issuance, infrastructure financing or some combination thereof;
  • those additional risk factors set forth in the Company's MD&A and most recent Annual Information Form filed on SEDAR

Key Budget and Underlying Material Assumptions to FLI

The key budget and underlying material assumptions used by the Company in the development of its 2023 guidance and preliminary estimates and plans for 2024 and 2025 are as follows:




Actuals

FY 2022

Guidance

FY 2023(1)

Preliminary Plan

FY 2024(1)(5)

Preliminary Plan

FY 2025(1)(5)

WTI

US$/bbl


$94.23

$80.00

$75.00

$70.00

NGL Price

$/boe


$50.14

$45.80

$43.00

$40.00

AECO

$/GJ


$5.04

$3.40

$4.50

$4.65

Foreign Exchange Rate

CDN$/US$


0.77

0.73

0.73

0.73

MSW Differential

US$/bbl


$1.82

$3.20

$3.00

$3.00

Production

Boe/d


9,105

9,500 – 10,500

10,250 – 11,250

10,950 – 11,950

Revenue

$/boe


71.79

60.25 – 65.25

58.50 – 63.50

55.25 – 60.25

Royalties

$/boe


11.55

8.75 – 10.25

7.50 – 9.00

6.00 – 7.50

Operating Expenses

$/boe


13.16

11.75 – 14.75

11.00 – 14.00

10.50 – 13.50

Transportation

$/boe


1.18

1.10 – 1.35

1.00 – 1.25

0.90 – 1.15

Interest

$/boe


1.49

0.35 – 0.85

0.00 – 0.10

0.00 – 0.10

General and Administrative

$/boe


2.86

2.25 – 2.95

2.15 – 2.85

2.05 – 2.75

Hedging loss (gain)

$/boe


1.97

(0.50) – (0.75)

–

–

Decommissioning Expenditures

$ millions


$3.0

$3.5 – $4.0

$5.0 – $5.5

$5.0 – $5.5

Adjusted Funds Flow

$ millions


$131

$126 – $138

$138 – $150

$144 – $154

Dividends

$ millions


$3

$15 – $16

$15 – $16

$15 – $16











Actuals

FY 2022

Guidance

FY 2023(1)

Preliminary Plan

FY 2024(1)(5)

Preliminary Plan

FY 2025(1)(5)

Adjusted Funds Flow

$ millions


$131

$126 – $138

$138 – $150

$144 – $154

Capital Expenditures

$ millions


$77.6

$75 – $80

$76 – $81

$77 – $82

Free Adjusted Funds Flow

$ millions


$53

$46 – $63

$57 – $74

$62 – $77











Actuals

FY 2022

Guidance

FY 2023(1)

Preliminary Plan

FY 2024(1)(5)

Preliminary Plan

FY 2025(1)(5)

Adjusted Funds Flow

$ millions


$131

$126 – $138

$138 – $150

$144 – $154

Interest

$/boe


1.49

0.35 – 0.85

0.00 – 0.10

0.00 – 0.10

EBITDA

$ millions


$136

$128 – $140

$138 – $150

$144 – $154

Working Capital (Net Debt)

$ millions


($33)

($2) – $10

$38 – $50

$81 – $92

Net Debt/EBITDA



0.2

(0.1) – 0.1

(0.2) – (0.4)

(0.5) – (0.6)











Actuals

FY 2022

Guidance

FY 2023(1)

Preliminary Plan

FY 2024(1)(5)

Preliminary Plan

FY 2025(1)(5)

Production

Boe/d


9,105

9,500 – 10,500

10,250 – 11,250

10,950 – 11,950

Opening Working Cap. (Net Debt)

$ millions


($80.2)

($33)

($2) – $10

$38 – $50

Ending Working Cap. (Net Debt)

$ millions


($33)

($2) – $10

$38 – $50

$81 – $92

Weighted avg. outstanding shares

# millions


86.9

88.6

89.1

89.1

Assumed Share price

$


3.39(3)

3.00

3.00

3.00

Prod. per debt adj. share growth(2)



51 %

16% – 36%

17% – 36%

18% – 37%











Actuals

FY 2022

Guidance

FY 2023(1)

Preliminary Plan

FY 2024(1)(5)

Preliminary Plan

FY 2025(1)(5)

Share outstanding, end of year

# millions


87.0

89.1

89.1

89.1

Assumed Share price

$


3.03(4)

3.00

3.00

3.00

Market capitalization

$ millions


$263

$267

$267

$267

Working Capital (Net Debt)

$ millions


($33)

($2) – $10

$38 – $50

$81 – $92

Enterprise value

$millions


$296

$257 – $269

$217 – $229

$175 – $186

Adjusted Funds Flow

$ millions


$131

$126 – $138

$138 – $150

$144 – $154

Interest

$/boe


1.49

0.35 – 0.85

0.00 – 0.10

0.00 – 0.10

Debt Adjusted AFF

$ millions


$136

$128 – $140

$138 – $150

$144 – $154

EV/DAAFF



2.2

2.1 – 1.8

1.7 – 1.4

1.3 – 1.1



(1) 

As previously released January 18, 2023.

(2) 

Production per debt adjusted share is calculated by the Company as production divided by debt adjusted shares. Debt adjusted shares is calculated by the Company as common shares outstanding plus the change in working capital (net debt) divided by the Company's current trading price on the TSX, converting working capital (net debt) to equity. Future share prices assumed to be consistent with the current share price.

(3) 

Weighted average share price throughout 2022.

(4) 

Ending share price at December 31, 2022.

(5) 

InPlay's estimates and plans for 2024 and beyond remain preliminary in nature and do not, at this time, reflect a Board approved capital expenditure budget.



  • See "Production Breakdown by Product Type" below
  • Quality and pipeline transmission adjustments may impact realized oil prices in addition to the MSW Differential provided above
  • Changes in working capital (net debt) are not assumed to have a material impact between the years presented above.
  • The assumptions above do not include potential future purchases through the Company's NCIB.

Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and Operational Information

Our oil and gas reserves statement for the year ended December 31, 2022, which will include complete disclosure of our oil and gas reserves and other oil and gas information in accordance with NI 51-101, will be contained within our Annual Information Form which will be available on our SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com on or before March 31, 2023. The recovery and reserve estimates contained herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. In relation to the disclosure of estimates for individual properties, such estimates may not reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves and future net revenue for all properties, due to the effects of aggregation. The Company's belief that it will establish additional reserves over time with conversion of probable undeveloped reserves into proved reserves is a forward-looking statement and is based on certain assumptions and is subject to certain risks, as discussed above under the heading "Forward-Looking Information and Statements".

This press release contains metrics commonly used in the oil and natural gas industry, such as "finding, development and acquisition costs", "finding and development costs", "operating netbacks", "recycle ratios", "reserve replacement" and "reserve life index" or "RLI". Each of these terms are calculated by InPlay as described in the section "Performance Measures" in this press release. These terms do not have standardized meanings or standardized methods of calculation and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies, and therefore should not be used to make such comparisons. Such metrics have been included herein to provide readers with additional information to evaluate the Company's performance, however such metrics should not be unduly relied upon.

Finding, development and acquisition ("FD&A") and finding and development ("F&D") costs take into account reserves revisions during the year on a per boe basis. The aggregate of the costs incurred in the financial year and changes during that year in estimated future development costs may not reflect total finding and development costs related to reserves additions for that year. Finding, development and acquisition costs have been presented in this press release because acquisitions and dispositions can have a significant impact on our ongoing reserves replacement costs and excluding these amounts could result in an inaccurate portrayal of our cost structure. Exploration & development capital means the aggregate exploration and development costs incurred in the financial year on exploration and on reserves that are categorized as development. Exploration & development capital excludes capitalized administration costs. Acquisition capital amounts to the total amount of cash and share consideration net of any working capital balances assumed with an acquisition on closing.

Management uses these oil and gas metrics for its own performance measurements and to provide shareholders with measures to compare InPlay's operations over time, however such measures are not reliable indicators of InPlay's future performance and future performance may not be comparable to the performance in prior periods. Readers are cautioned that the information provided by these metrics, or that can be derived from the metrics presented in this press release, should not be relied upon for investment or other purposes, however such measures are not reliable indicators on InPlay's future performance and future performance may not be comparable to the performance in prior periods. 

References to light crude oil, NGLs or natural gas production in this press release refer to the light and medium crude oil, natural gas liquids and conventional natural gas product types, respectively, as defined in National Instrument 51-101, Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("Nl 51-101").

Test Results and Initial Production Rates

Test results and initial production ("IP") rates disclosed herein, particularly those short in duration, may not necessarily be indicative of long term performance or of ultimate recovery. A pressure transient analysis or well-test interpretation has not been carried out and thus certain of the test results provided herein should be considered to be preliminary until such analysis or interpretation has been completed.

Production Breakdown by Product Type

Disclosure of production on a per boe basis in this press release consists of the constituent product types as defined in NI 51–101 and their respective quantities disclosed in the table below:


Light and Medium
Crude oil

(bbls/d)

NGLs

(boe/d)

Conventional Natural
gas

(Mcf/d)

Total

(boe/d)

Q4 2021 Average Production

3,156

933

15,590

6,687

2021 Average Production

2,981

782

12,030

5,768

Q4 2022 Average Production  

3,909

1,532

25,090

9,623

2022 Average Production

3,766

1,402

23,623

9,105

2023 Annual Guidance

4,520

1,385

24,570

10,000(1)

2024 Annual Preliminary Plan

4,655

1,565

27,180

10,750(2)

2025 Annual Preliminary Plan

4,900

1,685

29,190

11,450(2)


Notes:

1.

This reflects the mid-point of the Company's 2023 production guidance range of 9,500 to 10,500 boe/d.

2.

This reflects the mid-point of the Company's updated annual production forecast range.

3.

With respect to forward–looking production guidance, product type breakdown is based upon management's expectations based on reasonable assumptions but are subject to variability based on actual well results.

 

References to crude oil, NGLs or natural gas production in this press release refer to the light and medium crude oil, natural gas liquids and conventional natural gas product types, respectively, as defined in National Instrument 51-101, Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("Nl 51-101").

BOE equivalent

Barrel of oil equivalents or BOEs may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of 6 mcf: 1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different than the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a 6:1 conversion basis may be misleading as an indication of value. 

SOURCE InPlay Oil Corp.

Copyright 2023 Canada NewsWire

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