CALGARY
AB, March 13, 2024 /CNW/ - InPlay Oil Corp.
(TSX: IPO) (OTCQX: IPOOF) ("InPlay" or the "Company") announces its
financial and operating results for the three and twelve months
ended December 31, 2023, and the
results of its independent oil and gas reserves evaluation
effective December 31, 2023 (the
"Reserve Report") prepared by Sproule Associates Limited
("Sproule"). InPlay's audited annual financial statements and
notes, as well as Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A")
for the year ended December 31, 2023
will be available at "www.sedarplus.ca" and our website at
"www.inplayoil.com". An updated presentation will be available soon
on our website.
2023 Financial and Operations Highlights:
- Achieved average annual production of 9,025 boe/d(1)
(58% light crude oil and NGLs) and average quarterly production of
9,596 boe/d(1) (59% light crude oil and NGLs) in the
fourth quarter, an increase of 7% compared to 9,003
boe/d(1) (57% light crude oil and NGLs) in the third
quarter of 2023.
- Achieved a quarterly record for light oil production of 4,142
bbl/d in the fourth quarter of 2023.
- Generated strong adjusted funds flow ("AFF")(2) of
$91.8 million ($1.03 per basic share(3)), the second
highest level ever achieved by the Company, despite WTI prices
decreasing 18% and AECO natural gas prices decreasing 50% compared
to 2022.
- Realized strong operating income profit margins of 58% during
2023 notwithstanding the significant benchmark commodity price
decreases.
- Returned $16.5 million to
shareholders through our monthly base dividend and normal course
issuer bid ("NCIB") share repurchases, representing an annual yield
of 8.2% relative to year-end market capitalization. Since
November 2022 InPlay has distributed
$22.8 million in dividends, or
$0.255 per share including dividends
declared to date in 2024.
- Recorded net income of $32.7
million ($0.37 per basic
share; $0.36 per diluted share).
InPlay has now returned to a positive retained earnings position on
the balance sheet demonstrating that the Company has generated
positive earnings since inception (net of dividends paid).
- Invested $84.5 million to drill,
complete and equip 12 (10.5 net) Extended Reach Horizontal ("ERH")
wells in Willesden Green, five (5.0 net) ERH wells in Pembina, one
(1.0 net) multilateral Belly River well and three (0.6 net)
non-operated ERH wells in Willesden Green, in addition to capital
spent on two major natural gas facility upgrades to increase
operated natural gas takeaway capacity for future growth.
- Exited 2023 at 0.5x net debt to earnings before interest, taxes
and depletion ("EBITDA")(2) which is among the lower
leverage ratios amongst our peers.
- Renewed our revolving Senior Credit Facility with a total
lending capacity and borrowing base of $110
million, providing significant liquidity to be used for
tactical capital investment and strategic acquisitions.
- Dedicated $3.3 million to the
successful abandonment of 29 (23.1 net) wellbores, 114 (103.3 net)
pipelines and the reclamation of 35 (29.3) wellsites.
2023 Reserve Highlights:
- An organic 2023 capital program without acquisition/disposition
("A&D") activity resulted in:
- Proved developed producing ("PDP") reserves of 17,293 mboe (56%
light and medium crude oil & NGLs)
- Proved developed non-producing ("PDNP") reserves of 1,002 mboe
(76% light and medium crude oil & NGLs) are expected to move to
the PDP reserve category throughout the year, with over 60% of the
related wells expected to be finished and on production in the
first half of 2024.
- Total proved ("TP") reserves of 45,919 mboe (62% light and
medium crude oil & NGLs)
- Total proved plus probable ("TPP") reserves of 61,594 mboe (63%
light and medium crude oil & NGLs)
- On a year-over-year basis, PDP, TP and TPP reserves remained
relatively unchanged.
- Reserves life index ("RLI")(6) for PDP, TP and TPP
of approximately 5.2 years, 13.9 years and 18.7 years, respectively
highlight a sizable drilling inventory for InPlay to sustainably
develop over time.
- Delivered TPP Finding, Development and Acquisition ("FD&A")
costs (including changes in future development costs) of
$23.36/boe notwithstanding
$7 million in capital expenditures
spent on non-recurring facility projects in 2023 to enhance our
natural gas takeaway capacity. This generated a recycle ratio of
1.4x based on an operating netback of $31.61/boe.
- Achieved healthy NPV BT10 reserve values(5):
- NPV BT10:
- PDP: $242 million
- PDP+PDNP: $261 million
- TP: $571 million
- TPP: $824 million
Message to Shareholders:
InPlay had another year of solid operational and financial
performance in 2023 while continuing to deliver strong returns to
shareholders and maintaining a solid balance sheet. The continued
development of our drilling inventory has yielded consistent and
sustainable results, with our team constantly evaluating options to
provide further shareholder returns.
Average 2023 production of 9,025 boe/d(1) generated
AFF of $91.8 million ($1.03 per share). InPlay returned $16.5 million to shareholders through our monthly
base dividend and normal course issuer bid ("NCIB") share
repurchases. The Company maintained its balance sheet strength with
a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.5x and total debt capacity of
$110 million, allowing the financial
flexibility to take advantage of strategic opportunities and
weather periods of market volatility.
InPlay achieved strong before tax estimated net present
values ("NPV") of future net revenues associated with our 2023
year-end reserves and discounted at 10% ("NPV BT10") although
impacted by weaker future commodity prices in comparison to
December 31, 2022. Forecasted WTI and
AECO prices used in the Reserve Report decreased by 8% and 48% in
year one and 4% and 23% in year two respectively. The Company
achieved NPV BT10 reserve values of $242
million (PDP), $571 million
(TP) and $824 million (TPP) based on
a three independent reserve evaluator average pricing, cost
forecast and foreign exchange rates as at December 31, 2023 as used in the Reserve
Report.
InPlay remains focused on disciplined development of our high
rate of return assets with a focus on maximizing free adjusted
funds flow alongside a reasonable production growth profile while
maintaining conservative leverage ratios, with the ultimate goal of
maximizing returns to shareholders. The Company will remain
disciplined and flexible and can quickly adjust capital activity to
respond to changing market conditions.
Outlook and Operations Update:
InPlay's capital program for the first quarter of 2024 started
with a two (1.9 net) ERH well pad in Willesden Green which came on
production at the end of February and is in the early stages of
cleanup. Drilling of three (3.0 net) Pembina Cardium ERH wells has
been completed with completion operations currently underway. These
wells are expected to come on production by the end of March and
offset five successful wells drilled in 2023 characterized by low
decline rates and high light oil and liquids weightings. An
additional two (0.3 net) non-operated Willesden Green ERH wells
have recently been drilled, are being completed, and are expected
to come online in mid-March with another one (0.35 net)
non-operated Willesden Green ERH well drilled in March and expected
to be on production in the second quarter.
The Company's first (1.0 net) multilateral Belly River
horizontal well was brought on production in December. The well has
been on production with no decline and is meeting internal
expectations with initial production ("IP") rates of 84 boe/d (96%
light crude oil and liquids) and 89 boe/d (97% light crude oil and
liquids) over its first 30 and 60 days respectively. The Belly
River is characterized by high quality sweet light oil that
receives premium pricing to our realized benchmark MSW commodity
price. We are encouraged by the results that we are seeing
from this well and will continue to evaluate expanding the use of
this technology on further potential areas in our Belly River
play.
WTI prices remained volatile early in 2024 but have improved
throughout the quarter to approximately US $78/bbl, exceeding the US $75/bbl assumption utilized in our previously
released 2024 budget. Future differentials to WTI, including MSW ,
are forecasted to significantly improve by 55% – 60% throughout the
balance of the year compared to the fourth quarter of 2023 and
first quarter of 2024 as new pipeline capacity comes online in the
second quarter. The relatively weak Canadian dollar is supportive
of the Canadian crude oil price environment and is expected to
continue throughout the year. Natural gas prices have been
challenged with warmer than average temperatures impacting winter
demand resulting in weak AECO prices forecasted through to the end
of the summer. InPlay has implemented crude oil and natural gas
hedges at favorable pricing levels to mitigate risk and add
stability during periods of market volatility.
As previously announced, InPlay's Board of Directors approved a
2024 capital budget of $64 –
$67 million which is forecast to
result in annual average production of 9,000 –
9,500 boe/d(1) (59% – 61% light crude oil and
NGLs). InPlay has taken a measured and disciplined approach
to capital allocation for 2024 with a program focused on high
return oil weighted locations driving annual oil production growth
at the midpoint of guidance of approximately 7% over 2023 despite a
20% to 25% reduction in capital spending year over year. The
capital program is designed to responsibly manage the pace of
development, maintain operational and financial flexibility and
remain focused on delivering return of capital to shareholders. The
Company achieved record quarterly light oil production of 4,142
bbl/d and increased our light oil and NGLs weighting to 59% in the
fourth quarter of 2023. This higher weighting of light oil and NGLs
is expected to continue in 2024 as a result of our oil focused
drilling program, allowing the Company to take advantage of the
strong oil price environment which is the Company's main revenue
and AFF driver.
Financial and Operating Results:
(CDN)
($000's)
|
Three months
ended
December
31
|
Year
ended
December
31
|
|
2023
|
2022
|
2023
|
2022
|
Financial
|
|
|
|
|
Oil and natural gas
sales
|
47,631
|
58,161
|
179,366
|
238,590
|
Adjusted funds
flow(3)
|
23,544
|
30,271
|
91,784
|
130,805
|
Per
share – basic(4)
|
0.26
|
0.35
|
1.03
|
1.51
|
Per
share – diluted(4)
|
0.26
|
0.33
|
1.01
|
1.44
|
Per
boe(4)
|
26.67
|
34.19
|
27.86
|
39.36
|
Comprehensive
income
|
11,576
|
20,736
|
32,702
|
83,896
|
Per share –
basic
|
0.13
|
0.24
|
0.37
|
0.97
|
Per share –
diluted
|
0.13
|
0.23
|
0.36
|
0.92
|
Capital expenditures –
PP&E and E&E
|
14,632
|
13,647
|
84,466
|
77,603
|
Property acquisitions
(dispositions)
|
-
|
-
|
327
|
(2)
|
Net Corporate
acquisitions(2)
|
-
|
(321)
|
-
|
180
|
Net
debt(3)
|
45,679
|
32,963
|
45,679
|
32,963
|
Shares
outstanding
|
90,307,765
|
86,952,601
|
90,307,765
|
86,952,601
|
Basic weighted-average
shares
|
90,257,367
|
87,106,339
|
89,072,110
|
86,895,314
|
Diluted
weighted-average shares
|
91,749,661
|
91,229,513
|
90,615,976
|
91,137,173
|
(CDN)
($000's)
|
Three months
ended
December
31
|
Year
ended
December
31
|
|
2023
|
2022
|
2023
|
2022
|
Operational
|
|
|
|
|
Daily production
volumes
|
|
|
|
|
Light and medium crude
oil (bbls/d)
|
4,142
|
3,909
|
3,822
|
3,766
|
Natural gas liquids
(boe/d)
|
1,520
|
1,532
|
1,396
|
1,402
|
Conventional natural
gas (Mcf/d)
|
23,606
|
25,090
|
22,839
|
23,623
|
Total
(boe/d)
|
9,596
|
9,623
|
9,025
|
9,105
|
Realized
prices(4)
|
|
|
|
|
Light and medium crude
oil & NGLs ($/bbls)
|
80.83
|
90.21
|
81.74
|
100.26
|
Conventional natural
gas ($/Mcf)
|
2.55
|
5.63
|
2.84
|
5.74
|
Total
($/boe)
|
53.95
|
65.69
|
54.45
|
71.79
|
Operating netbacks
($/boe)(2)
|
|
|
|
|
Oil and natural gas
sales
|
53.95
|
65.69
|
54.45
|
71.79
|
Royalties
|
(7.18)
|
(11.72)
|
(6.84)
|
(11.55)
|
Transportation
expense
|
(1.06)
|
(1.26)
|
(0.95)
|
(1.18)
|
Operating
costs
|
(14.99)
|
(14.78)
|
(15.05)
|
(13.16)
|
Operating netback(2)
|
30.72
|
37.93
|
31.61
|
45.90
|
Realized gain (loss)
on derivative contracts
|
0.66
|
0.17
|
1.10
|
(1.97)
|
Operating netback (including realized derivative
contracts)(2)
|
31.38
|
38.10
|
32.71
|
43.93
|
2023 Financial & Operations Overview:
Production averaged 9,025 boe/d(1) (58% light crude
oil & NGLs) in 2023 compared to 9,105 boe/d(1) (57%
light crude oil & NGLs) in 2022. Production averaged 9,596
boe/d(1) (59% light crude oil & NGLs) in the fourth
quarter of 2023, a 7% increase in comparison to the third quarter
of 2023. Production for 2023 was impacted by approximately 650
boe/d over the year due to extraordinary curtailments experienced
from third party capacity constraints and turnarounds, Alberta wildfires, and delays in starting up
our natural gas facility in the third quarter as discussed in our
prior press releases.
In 2023, commodity prices decreased over 2022 levels. WTI oil
prices decreased 18% predominantly as a result of increased supply
and sentiment on future demand. Natural gas prices weakened due to
production growth in North America
with higher than normal inventory levels in North America and Europe, resulting in a 50% decrease in AECO
pricing compared to 2022. These lower commodity prices resulted in
a 24% decline in our realized sales price driving a decrease to AFF
and netbacks compared to 2022, which was partially offset by
realized hedging gains.
InPlay's capital program for 2023 consisted of $84.5 million of development capital. The Company
drilled, completed and brought on production 12 (10.5 net) Extended
Reach Horizontal ("ERH") wells in Willesden Green, five (5.0 net)
ERH wells in Pembina, one (1.0 net) multilateral Belly River well
and three (0.6 net) non-operated ERH well in Willesden Green. This
activity amounted to the drilling of 21 gross (17.1 net) wells.
Capital activity in 2023 was also focused on expanding and
upgrading our natural gas facility infrastructure to accommodate
future growth. InPlay completed two major facility upgrades in 2023
to increase operated natural gas takeaway capacity and to mitigate
potential production issues arising from third party outages and
capacity constraints. These projects have already shown value by
reducing back pressure on wells and lowering declines while
improving our liquids weighting with higher natural gas liquids
recovery. After the completion of these projects, more consistent
run times and the transportation of associated natural gas to our
lower cost operated facilities has resulted in operating costs
trending downward in the last quarter of 2023 which is expected to
continue into 2024.
Notes:
|
1.
|
See "Production
Breakdown by Product Type" at the end of this press
release.
|
2.
|
Non-GAAP financial
measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under
International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and
therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar
measures for other companies. Please refer to "Non-GAAP and Other
Financial Measures" contained within this press release and in our
most recently filed MD&A.
|
3.
|
Capital management
measure. See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" contained
within this press release.
|
4.
|
Supplementary
financial measure. See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures"
contained within this press release.
|
5.
|
See "Corporate
Reserves Information" for detailed information from the Reserve
Report and associated NPV calculations.
|
6.
|
"FD&A", "recycle
ratio", "reserve life index" and "capital efficiency" do not
have standardized meanings and therefore may not be comparable to
similar measures presented for other entities. Refer to section
"Performance Measures" for the determination and calculation of
these measures.
|
7.
|
Based on a current
share price of $2.30.
|
Corporate Reserves Information:
The following summarizes certain information contained in the
Reserve Report. The Reserve Report was prepared in accordance
with the definitions, standards and procedures contained in the
COGE Handbook and National Instrument 51-101 Standards of
Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("NI 51-101"). Additional
reserve information as required under NI 51-101 will be included in
the Company's Annual Information Form ("AIF") which will be filed
on SEDAR by the end of March
2024.
December 31,
2023
|
Light and
Medium
|
|
Conventional
|
Oil
|
BTAX
NPV
|
Future
Development
|
Net
Undeveloped
|
Reserves
Category(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)
|
Crude
Oil
|
NGLs
|
Natural
Gas
|
Equivalent
|
10 %
|
Capital
|
Wells
|
Mbbl
|
Mbbl
|
MMcf
|
MBOE
|
($000's)
|
($000's)
|
Booked
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proved developed
producing
|
6,446.9
|
3,281.0
|
45,392
|
17,293.1
|
242,298
|
45
|
-
|
Proved developed
non-
producing
|
599.2
|
164.8
|
1,429
|
1,002.2
|
18,600
|
1,363
|
-
|
Proved
undeveloped
|
13,598.5
|
4,359.1
|
57,993
|
27,623.2
|
310,198
|
429,296
|
172.7
|
Total proved
|
20,644.7
|
7,804.8
|
104,814
|
45,918.5
|
571,097
|
430,704
|
172.7
|
Probable developed
producing
|
1,873.3
|
911.1
|
13,081
|
4,964.5
|
60,813
|
-
|
-
|
Probable developed
non-producing
|
165.9
|
77.9
|
805
|
377.9
|
6,288
|
21
|
-
|
Probable
undeveloped
|
5,994.6
|
1,348.8
|
17,939
|
10,333.1
|
185,391
|
77,732
|
23.6
|
Total
probable
|
8,033.8
|
2,337.8
|
31,824
|
15,675.5
|
252,492
|
77,753
|
23.6
|
Total proved plus
probable(6)
|
28,678.4
|
10,142.6
|
136,639
|
61,594.1
|
823,589
|
508,457
|
196.3
|
Notes:
|
1.
|
Reserves have been
presented on a gross basis which are the Company's total working
interest (operating and non-operating) share before the deduction
of any royalties and without including any royalty interests of the
Company.
|
2.
|
Based on an
arithmetic average of the price forecasts of three independent
reserve evaluator's (Sproule Associates Limited, McDaniel &
Associates Consultants Ltd. and GLJ Ltd.) then current forecast at
December 31, 2023, as outlined in the table herein entitled
"Pricing Assumptions".
|
3.
|
It should not be
assumed that the NPV amounts presented in the tables above
represents the fair market value of the reserves. There is no
assurance that the forecast prices and cost assumptions will be
attained and variances could be material. The recovery and reserves
estimates of InPlay's light and medium crude oil, natural gas
liquids and conventional natural gas reserves provided herein are
estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated
reserves will be recovered. Actual light and medium crude oil,
conventional natural gas and natural gas liquids reserves may be
greater than or less than the estimates provided
herein.
|
4.
|
All future net
revenues are stated prior to provision for interest, general and
administrative expenses and after deduction of royalties, operating
costs, estimated well abandonment, decommissioning and reclamation
costs and estimated future capital expenditures. Future net
revenues have been presented on a before tax basis.
|
5.
|
The Company has
included abandonment, decommissioning and reclamation costs for all
active and inactive assets including non-producing and suspended
wells, facilities and pipelines. December 31, 2023 reserve NPV
values are also inclusive of currently enacted carbon
taxes.
|
6.
|
Totals may not add
due to rounding.
|
Net Present Values of Reserves:
December 31,
2023
|
BTAX NPV
5%
|
BTAX NPV
10%
|
($000's)
|
($000's)
|
PDP
NPV(1)(2)
|
271,987
|
242,298
|
TP
NPV(1)(2)
|
744,150
|
571,097
|
TPP
NPV(1)(2)
|
1,098,195
|
823,589
|
Notes:
|
1.
|
Evaluated by Sproule
as at December 31, 2023. The estimated NPV does not represent
fair market value of the reserves.
|
2.
|
Based on an
arithmetic average of the price forecasts of three independent
reserve evaluator's (Sproule Associates Limited, McDaniel &
Associates Consultants Ltd. and GLJ Ltd.) then current forecast at
December 31, 2023.
|
Future Development Costs ("FDCs"):
The following FDCs are included in the 2023 Reserve Report:
($millions)
|
|
|
TP
|
TPP
|
2024
|
|
|
55.9
|
55.9
|
2025
|
|
|
97.5
|
106.6
|
2026
|
|
|
91.8
|
112.2
|
2027
|
|
|
105.6
|
115.2
|
Remainder
|
|
|
79.8
|
118.6
|
Total undiscounted
FDC
|
|
|
430.7
|
508.5
|
Total discounted FDC at
10% per year
|
|
|
338.6
|
394.6
|
Note: FDC as per
Reserve Report based on forecast pricing as outlined in the table
herein entitled "Pricing Assumptions"
|
The $509 million of total FDC in
the Reserve Report generates approximately $521 million in future net present value
discounted at 10%.
Performance Measures:
|
2021
|
2022
|
2023
|
3 Year
Avg
|
Average WTI crude oil
price (US$/bbl)
|
67.91
|
94.23
|
77.62
|
79.92
|
FD&A
Costs(1)
|
70,486
|
76,081
|
83,085
|
76,551
|
Production boe/d –
FY(3)
|
5,768
|
9,105
|
9,025
|
7,966
|
Operating netback $/boe
– FY(2)
|
34.63
|
45.90
|
31.61
|
37.78
|
Proved Developed
Producing
|
|
|
|
|
Total Reserves
mboe
|
15,890
|
17,653
|
17,293
|
16,945
|
Reserves additions
mboe
|
8,318
|
5,086
|
2,935
|
5,446
|
FD&A (including
FDCs) $/boe(1)
|
8.47
|
14.96
|
28.31
|
14.06
|
FD&A (excluding
FDCs) $/boe(1)
|
8.47
|
14.96
|
28.31
|
14.06
|
Recycle
Ratio(4)
|
4.1
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
2.7
|
RLI
(years)(5)
|
7.5
|
5.3
|
5.2
|
5.8
|
Total Proved
|
|
|
|
|
Total Reserves
mboe
|
45,891
|
46,464
|
45,919
|
46,091
|
Reserves additions
mboe
|
26,372
|
3,897
|
2,748
|
11,006
|
FD&A (including
FDCs) $/boe(1)
|
12.03
|
24.04
|
28.92
|
14.86
|
FD&A (excluding
FDCs) $/boe(1)
|
2.67
|
19.52
|
30.23
|
6.96
|
Recycle
Ratio(4)
|
2.9
|
1.9
|
1.1
|
2.5
|
RLI
(years)(5)
|
21.8
|
14.0
|
13.9
|
15.9
|
Proved Plus
Probable
|
|
|
|
|
Total Reserves
mboe
|
60,640
|
61,842
|
61,594
|
61,359
|
Reserves additions
mboe
|
29,929
|
4,525
|
3,047
|
12,500
|
FD&A (including
FDCs) $/boe(1)
|
9.56
|
27.02
|
23.36
|
12.79
|
FD&A (excluding
FDCs) $/boe(1)
|
2.36
|
16.81
|
27.27
|
6.12
|
Recycle
Ratio(4)
|
3.6
|
1.7
|
1.4
|
3.0
|
RLI
(years)(5)
|
28.8
|
18.6
|
18.7
|
21.1
|
Notes:
|
1.
|
Finding, Development
& Acquisition ("FD&A") costs are used as a measure of
capital efficiency. The calculation includes the period's capital
expenditures, including Exploration and Development ("E&D") and
Acquisition and Disposition ("A&D") expended in the year, less
capitalized G&A expenses and undeveloped land expenditures
acquired with no reserves. This total of capital expenditures,
including the change in the FDC over the period, is then divided by
the change in reserves, other than from production, for the period
incorporating additions/reductions from extensions, infill
drilling, technical revisions, acquisitions/dispositions and
economic factors. For example: 2023 TPP = ($84.5 million capital
expenditures – PP&E and E&E - $1.7 million capitalized
G&A - $nil of land acquisitions + $0.3 property acquisitions -
$11.9 million change in FDCs) / (61,594 mboe – 61,842 mboe + 3,294
mboe) = $23.36 per boe. Finding and Development Costs
("F&D") are calculated the same as FD&A costs, however
adjusted to exclude the capital expenditures and reserve
additions/reductions from acquisition/disposition activity. See
Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and
Operational Information in the Reader Advisories.
|
2.
|
Non-GAAP financial
measure or ratio that does not have a standardized meaning under
International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and
therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar
measures for other companies. Please refer to "Non-GAAP and Other
Financial Measures" contained within this press release and our
most recently filed MD&A.
|
3.
|
See "Reader
Advisories - Production Breakdown by Product Type"
|
4.
|
Recycle Ratio is
calculated by dividing the year's operating netback per boe by the
FD&A costs for that period. For example: 2023 TPP =
($31.61/$23.36) = 1.4. The recycle ratio compares netback from
existing reserves to the cost of finding new reserves and may not
accurately indicate the investment success unless the replacement
reserves are of equivalent quality as the produced reserves. See
Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and
Operational Information in the Reader Advisories.
|
5.
|
RLI is calculated by
dividing the reserves in each category by the 2023 average annual
production. For example 2023 TPP = (61,594 mboe) / (9,025 boe/d) =
18.7 years. See Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas
Reserves and Operational Information in the Reader
Advisories.
|
Pricing Assumptions:
The following tables set forth the benchmark reference prices,
as at December 31, 2023, reflected in
the Reserve Report. These price and cost assumptions were an
arithmetic average of the price forecasts of three independent
reserve evaluator's (Sproule, McDaniel & Associates Consultants
Ltd. and GLJ Ltd.) then current forecast and Sproule's foreign
exchange rate forecast at the effective date of the Reserve
Report.
SUMMARY OF PRICING AND INFLATION RATE
ASSUMPTIONS (1)
as of December 31, 2023
FORECAST PRICES AND COSTS
Year
|
WTI
Cushing
Oklahoma
($US/Bbl)
|
Canadian
Light
Sweet
40o
API
($Cdn/Bbl)
|
Cromer
LSB
35o
API
($Cdn/Bbl)
|
Natural
Gas
AECO-
C Spot
($Cdn/
MMBtu)
|
NGLs
Edmonton
Propane
($Cdn/Bbl)
|
NGLs
Edmonton
Butanes
($Cdn/Bbl)
|
Edmonton
Pentanes
Plus
($Cdn/Bbl)
|
Operating
Cost
Inflation
Rates
%/Year
|
Capital
Cost
Inflation
Rates
%/Year
|
Exchange
Rate (2)
($Cdn/$US)
|
Forecast(3)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2024
|
73.67
|
92.91
|
93.57
|
2.20
|
29.65
|
47.69
|
96.79
|
0.0 %
|
0.0 %
|
0.75
|
2025
|
74.98
|
95.04
|
95.86
|
3.37
|
35.13
|
48.83
|
98.75
|
2.0 %
|
2.0 %
|
0.75
|
2026
|
76.14
|
96.07
|
96.46
|
4.05
|
35.43
|
49.36
|
100.71
|
2.0 %
|
2.0 %
|
0.76
|
2027
|
77.66
|
97.99
|
98.39
|
4.13
|
36.14
|
50.35
|
102.72
|
2.0 %
|
2.0 %
|
0.76
|
2028
|
79.22
|
99.95
|
100.36
|
4.21
|
36.86
|
51.35
|
104.78
|
2.0 %
|
2.0 %
|
0.76
|
2029
|
80.80
|
101.94
|
102.36
|
4.30
|
37.60
|
52.38
|
106.87
|
2.0 %
|
2.0 %
|
0.76
|
2030
|
82.42
|
103.98
|
104.41
|
4.38
|
38.35
|
53.43
|
109.01
|
2.0 %
|
2.0 %
|
0.76
|
2031
|
84.06
|
106.06
|
106.50
|
4.47
|
39.12
|
54.50
|
111.19
|
2.0 %
|
2.0 %
|
0.76
|
2032
|
85.74
|
108.18
|
108.63
|
4.56
|
39.90
|
55.58
|
113.41
|
2.0 %
|
2.0 %
|
0.76
|
2033
|
87.46
|
110.35
|
110.80
|
4.65
|
40.70
|
56.70
|
115.67
|
2.0 %
|
2.0 %
|
0.76
|
|
Thereafter
Escalation rate of 2.0%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
|
1.
|
This summary table
identifies benchmark reference pricing schedules that might apply
to a reporting issuer.
|
2.
|
The exchange rate
used to generate the benchmark reference prices in this
table.
|
3.
|
As at December 31,
2023.
|
The payment date for InPlay's March
2024 dividend declared on March 1,
2024 has been amended to March 28,
2024 due to Canadian banks being closed on the previously
disclosed payment date of March 29,
2024.
On behalf of our employees, management team and Board of
Directors, we would like to thank our shareholders for their
support and look forward to an exciting 2024 and beyond.
For further information please contact:
Doug Bartole
President and Chief Executive Officer
InPlay Oil Corp.
Telephone: (587) 955-0632
Darren Dittmer
Chief Financial Officer
InPlay Oil Corp.
Telephone: (587) 955-0634
Reader Advisories
Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures
Throughout this press release and other materials disclosed by
the Company, InPlay uses certain measures to analyze financial
performance, financial position and cash flow. These non-GAAP and
other financial measures do not have any standardized meaning
prescribed under GAAP and therefore may not be comparable to
similar measures presented by other entities. The non-GAAP and
other financial measures should not be considered alternatives to,
or more meaningful than, financial measures that are determined in
accordance with GAAP as indicators of the Company performance.
Management believes that the presentation of these non-GAAP and
other financial measures provides useful information to
shareholders and investors in understanding and evaluating the
Company's ongoing operating performance, and the measures provide
increased transparency and the ability to better analyze InPlay's
business performance against prior periods on a comparable
basis.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Ratios
Included in this document are references to the terms "free
adjusted funds flow", "operating income", "operating netback per
boe", "operating income profit margin", "Net Debt to EBITDA", "Net
corporate acquisitions", "Production per debt adjusted share" and
"EV / DAAFF". Management believes these measures and ratios are
helpful supplementary measures of financial and operating
performance and provide users with similar, but potentially not
comparable, information that is commonly used by other oil and
natural gas companies. These terms do not have any standardized
meaning prescribed by GAAP and should not be considered an
alternative to, or more meaningful than "profit (loss) before
taxes", "profit (loss) and comprehensive income (loss)", "adjusted
funds flow", "capital expenditures", "corporate acquisitions, net
of cash acquired", "net debt", "weighted average number of common
shares (basic)" or assets and liabilities as determined in
accordance with GAAP as a measure of the Company's performance and
financial position.
Free Adjusted Funds Flow ("FAFF")
Management considers FAFF an important measure to identify the
Company's ability to improve its financial condition through debt
repayment and its ability to provide returns to shareholders. FAFF
should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful
than AFF as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of
the Company's performance. FAFF is calculated by the Company as AFF
less exploration and development capital expenditures and property
dispositions (acquisitions) and is a measure of the cashflow
remaining after capital expenditures before corporate acquisitions
that can be used for additional capital activity, corporate
acquisitions, repayment of debt or decommissioning expenditures or
potentially return of capital to shareholders. Refer to the
"Forward Looking Information and Statements" section for a
calculation of forecast FAFF.
Operating Income/Operating Netback per boe/Operating Income
Profit Margin
InPlay uses "operating income", "operating netback per boe" and
"operating income profit margin" as key performance indicators.
Operating income is calculated by the Company as oil and natural
gas sales less royalties, operating expenses and transportation
expenses and is a measure of the profitability of operations before
administrative, share-based compensation, financing and other
non-cash items. Management considers operating income an important
measure to evaluate its operational performance as it demonstrates
its field level profitability. Operating income should not be
considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than net income
as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the
Company's performance. Operating netback per boe is calculated by
the Company as operating income divided by average production for
the respective period. Management considers operating netback per
boe an important measure to evaluate its operational performance as
it demonstrates its field level profitability per unit of
production. Operating income profit margin is calculated by the
Company as operating income as a percentage of oil and natural gas
sales. Management considers operating income profit margin an
important measure to evaluate its operational performance as it
demonstrates how efficiently the Company generates field level
profits from its sales revenue. Refer below for a calculation of
operating income, operating netback per boe and operating income
profit margin. Refer to the "Forward Looking Information and
Statements" section for a calculation of forecast operating income,
operating netback per boe and operating income profit margin.
(thousands of
dollars)
|
Three Months
Ended
December 31
|
Year Ended
December 31
|
|
2023
|
2022
|
2023
|
2022
|
Revenue
|
47,631
|
58,161
|
179,366
|
238,590
|
Royalties
|
(6,339)
|
(10,375)
|
(22,516)
|
(38,392)
|
Operating
expenses
|
(13,233)
|
(13,081)
|
(49,576)
|
(43,740)
|
Transportation
expenses
|
(940)
|
(1,118)
|
(3,130)
|
(3,920)
|
Operating
income
|
27,119
|
33,587
|
104,144
|
152,538
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sales volume
(Mboe)
|
882.8
|
885.3
|
3,294.1
|
3,323.4
|
Per
boe
|
|
|
|
|
Revenue
|
53.95
|
65.69
|
54.45
|
71.79
|
Royalties
|
(7.18)
|
(11.72)
|
(6.84)
|
(11.55)
|
Operating
expenses
|
(14.99)
|
(14.78)
|
(15.05)
|
(13.16)
|
Transportation expenses
|
(1.06)
|
(1.26)
|
(0.95)
|
(1.18)
|
Operating netback per
boe
|
30.72
|
37.93
|
31.61
|
45.90
|
Operating income profit
margin
|
57 %
|
58 %
|
58 %
|
64 %
|
Net Debt to EBITDA
Management considers Net Debt to EBITDA an important measure as
it is a key metric to identify the Company's ability to fund
financing expenses, net debt reductions and other obligations.
EBITDA is calculated by the Company as adjusted funds flow before
interest expense. When this measure is presented quarterly, EBITDA
is annualized by multiplying by four. When this measure is
presented on a trailing twelve month basis, EBITDA for the twelve
months preceding the net debt date is used in the calculation. This
measure is consistent with the EBITDA formula prescribed under the
Company's Senior Credit Facility. Net Debt to EBITDA is calculated
as Net Debt divided by EBITDA. Refer to the "Forward Looking
Information and Statements" section for a calculation of forecast
Net Debt to EBITDA.
Net Corporate Acquisitions
Management considers Net corporate acquisitions an important
measure as it is a key metric to evaluate the corporate acquisition
in comparison to other transactions using the negotiated
consideration value and ignoring changes to the fair value of the
share consideration between the signing of the definitive agreement
and the closing of the transaction. Net corporate acquisitions
should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful
than "Corporate acquisitions, net of cash acquired" as determined
in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company's
performance. Net corporate acquisitions is calculated as total
consideration with share consideration adjusted to the value
negotiated with the counterparty, less working capital balances
assumed on the corporate acquisition. Refer below for a calculation
of Net corporate acquisitions and reconciliation to the nearest
GAAP measure, "Corporate acquisitions, net of cash acquired".
(thousands of
dollars)
|
Three Months
Ended
December 31
|
Year Ended
December 31
|
|
2023
|
2022
|
2023
|
2022
|
Corporate acquisitions,
net of cash acquired
|
-
|
(321)
|
-
|
180
|
Share
consideration(1)
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Non-cash working
capital acquired
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Derivative
contracts
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Net Corporate
acquisitions
|
-
|
(321)(1)
|
-
|
180(1)
|
(1)
|
During the year ended
December 31, 2022, the acquired amount of Property, plant and
equipment was adjusted by $0.2 million as a result of adjustments
relating to the acquisition, with a corresponding increase in the
recognized amounts of Accounts payable and accrued
liabilities.
|
Production per Debt Adjusted Share
InPlay uses "Production per debt adjusted share" as a key
performance indicator. Debt adjusted shares should not be
considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than common
shares as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the
Company's performance. Debt adjusted shares is a non-GAAP measure
used in the calculation of Production per debt adjusted share and
is calculated by the Company as common shares outstanding plus the
change in net debt divided by the Company's current trading price
on the TSX, converting net debt to equity. Debt adjusted shares
should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful
than weighted average number of common shares (basic) as determined
in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company's
performance. Management considers Debt adjusted share to be a key
performance indicator as it adjusts for the effects of capital
structure in relation to the Company's peers. Production per debt
adjusted share is calculated by the Company as production divided
by debt adjusted shares. Management considers Production per debt
adjusted share to be a key performance indicator as it adjusts for
the effects of changes in annual production in relation to the
Company's capital structure. Refer to the "Forward Looking
Information and Statements" section for a calculation of forecast
Production per debt adjusted share.
EV / DAAFF
InPlay uses "enterprise value to debt adjusted AFF" or
"EV/DAAFF" as a key performance indicator. EV/DAAFF is calculated
by the Company as enterprise value divided by debt adjusted AFF for
the relevant period. Debt adjusted AFF ("DAAFF") is calculated by
the Company as adjusted funds flow plus financing costs. Enterprise
value is a capital management measure that is used in the
calculation of EV/DAAFF. Enterprise value is calculated as the
Company's market capitalization plus net debt. Management considers
enterprise value a key performance indicator as it identifies the
total capital structure of the Company. Management considers
EV/DAAFF a key performance indicator as it is a key metric used to
evaluate the sustainability of the Company relative to other
companies while incorporating the impact of differing capital
structures. Refer to the "Forward Looking Information and
Statements" section for a calculation of forecast EV/DAAFF.
Capital Management Measures
Adjusted Funds Flow
Management considers adjusted funds flow to be an important
measure of InPlay's ability to generate the funds necessary to
finance capital expenditures. Adjusted funds flow is a GAAP measure
and is disclosed in the notes to the Company's financial statements
for the year ended December 31, 2023.
All references to adjusted funds flow throughout this document are
calculated as funds flow adjusting for decommissioning expenditures
and transaction and integration costs. Decommissioning expenditures
are adjusted from funds flow as they are incurred on a
discretionary and irregular basis and are primarily incurred on
previous operating assets. Transaction costs are non-recurring
costs for the purposes of an acquisition, making the exclusion of
these items relevant in Management's view to the reader in the
evaluation of InPlay's operating performance. The Company also
presents adjusted funds flow per share whereby per share amounts
are calculated using weighted average shares outstanding consistent
with the calculation of profit per common share.
Net Debt
Net debt is a GAAP measure and is disclosed in the notes to the
Company's financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2023. The Company closely monitors
its capital structure with the goal of maintaining a strong balance
sheet to fund the future growth of the Company. The Company
monitors net debt as part of its capital structure. The Company
uses net debt (bank debt plus accounts payable and accrued
liabilities less accounts receivables and accrued receivables,
prepaid expenses and deposits and inventory) as an alternative
measure of outstanding debt. Management considers net debt an
important measure to assist in assessing the liquidity of the
Company.
Supplementary Measures
"Average realized crude oil price" is comprised of
crude oil commodity sales from production, as determined in
accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company's crude oil volumes.
Average prices are before deduction of transportation costs and do
not include gains and losses on financial instruments.
"Average realized NGL price" is comprised of NGL
commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance with
IFRS, divided by the Company's NGL volumes. Average prices are
before deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains
and losses on financial instruments.
"Average realized natural gas price" is comprised of
natural gas commodity sales from production, as determined in
accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company's natural gas volumes.
Average prices are before deduction of transportation costs and do
not include gains and losses on financial instruments.
"Average realized commodity price" is comprised of
commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance with
IFRS, divided by the Company's volumes. Average prices are before
deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains and
losses on financial instruments.
"Adjusted funds flow per weighted average basic
share" is comprised of adjusted funds flow divided by the
basic weighted average common shares.
"Adjusted funds flow per weighted average diluted
share" is comprised of adjusted funds flow divided by the
diluted weighted average common shares.
"Adjusted funds flow per boe" is comprised of adjusted
funds flow divided by total production.
Forward-Looking Information and Statements
This news release contains certain forward–looking information
and statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws.
The use of any of the words "expect", "anticipate", "continue",
"estimate", "may", "will", "project", "should", "believe", "plans",
"intends", "forecast" and similar expressions are intended to
identify forward-looking information or statements. In particular,
but without limiting the foregoing, this news release contains
forward-looking information and statements pertaining to the
following: the Company's business strategy, milestones and
objectives; the recognition of significant additional reserves
under the heading "Corporate Reserves Information", the future net
value of InPlay's reserves, the future development capital and
costs, the life of InPlay's reserves; the expectation that PDNP
reserves will move to the PDP reserve category throughout 2023 and
the timing thereof; the Company's planned 2024 capital program
including wells to be drilled and completed and the timing of the
same including, without limitation, the timing of wells coming on
production; 2024 guidance based on the planned capital program and
all associated underlying assumptions set forth in this press
release including, without limitation, forecasts of 2024 annual
average production levels, adjusted funds flow, free adjusted funds
flow, Net Debt/EBITDA ratio, operating income profit margin, and
Management's belief that the Company can grow some or all of these
attributes and specified measures; light crude oil and NGLs
weighting estimates including the expectation that the high light
oil and liquids weighting will continue into 2024; expectations
regarding future commodity prices; future oil and natural gas
prices including the forecast that MSW differentials to WTI are
forecasted to improve through 2024; future liquidity and financial
capacity; future results from operations and operating metrics;
future costs, expenses and royalty rates including the expectation
that downward trending operating costs will continue into 2024;
future interest costs; the exchange rate between the $US and $Cdn;
future development, exploration, acquisition, development and
infrastructure activities and related capital expenditures,
including our planned 2024 capital program; the amount and timing
of capital projects; and methods of funding our capital
program.
The internal projections, expectations, or beliefs underlying
our Board approved 2024 capital budget and associated guidance are
subject to change in light of, among other factors, the impact of
world events including the Russia/Ukraine conflict and war in the Middle East, ongoing results, prevailing
economic circumstances, volatile commodity prices, and changes in
industry conditions and regulations. InPlay's 2024 financial
outlook and guidance provides shareholders with relevant
information on management's expectations for results of operations,
excluding any potential acquisitions or dispositions, for such time
periods based upon the key assumptions outlined herein. Readers are
cautioned that events or circumstances could cause capital plans
and associated results to differ materially from those predicted
and InPlay's guidance for 2024 may not be appropriate for other
purposes. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on
same.
Forward-looking statements or information are based on a number
of material factors, expectations or assumptions of InPlay which
have been used to develop such statements and information but which
may prove to be incorrect. Although InPlay believes that the
expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements or
information are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on
forward-looking statements because InPlay can give no assurance
that such expectations will prove to be correct. In addition to
other factors and assumptions which may be identified herein,
assumptions have been made regarding, among other things: the
impact of increasing competition; the general stability of the
economic and political environment in which InPlay operates; the
timely receipt of any required regulatory approvals; the ability of
InPlay to obtain qualified staff, equipment and services in a
timely and cost efficient manner; drilling results; the ability of
the operator of the projects in which InPlay has an interest in to
operate the field in a safe, efficient and effective manner; the
ability of InPlay to obtain debt financing on acceptable terms; the
anticipated tax treatment of the monthly base dividend; the
timing and amount of purchases under the Company's NCIB; field
production rates and decline rates; the ability to replace and
expand oil and natural gas reserves through acquisition,
development and exploration; the timing and cost of pipeline,
storage and facility construction and the ability of InPlay to
secure adequate product transportation; future commodity prices;
that various conditions to a shareholder return strategy can be
satisfied; the ongoing impact of the Russia/Ukraine conflict and war in the Middle East; currency, exchange and interest
rates; regulatory framework regarding royalties, taxes and
environmental matters in the jurisdictions in which InPlay
operates; and the ability of InPlay to successfully market its oil
and natural gas products.
Without limitation of the foregoing, readers are cautioned that
the Company's future dividend payments to shareholders of the
Company, if any, and the level thereof will be subject to the
discretion of the Board of Directors of InPlay. The Company's
dividend policy and funds available for the payment of dividends,
if any, from time to time, is dependent upon, among other things,
levels of FAFF, leverage ratios, financial requirements for the
Company's operations and execution of its growth strategy,
fluctuations in commodity prices and working capital, the timing
and amount of capital expenditures, credit facility availability
and limitations on distributions existing thereunder, and other
factors beyond the Company's control. Further, the ability of the
Company to pay dividends will be subject to applicable laws,
including satisfaction of solvency tests under the Business
Corporations Act (Alberta),
and satisfaction of certain applicable contractual restrictions
contained in the agreements governing the Company's outstanding
indebtedness.
The forward-looking information and statements included herein
are not guarantees of future performance and should not be unduly
relied upon. Such information and statements, including the
assumptions made in respect thereof, involve known and unknown
risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual
results or events to defer materially from those anticipated in
such forward-looking information or statements including, without
limitation: the continuing impact of the Russia/Ukraine conflict and war in the Middle East; inflation and the risk of a
global recession; changes in our planned 2024 capital program;
changes in our approach to shareholder returns; changes in
commodity prices and other assumptions outlined herein; the risk
that dividend payments may be reduced, suspended or cancelled; the
potential for variation in the quality of the reservoirs in which
we operate; changes in the demand for or supply of our products;
unanticipated operating results or production declines; changes in
tax or environmental laws, royalty rates or other regulatory
matters; changes in development plans or strategies of InPlay or by
third party operators of our properties; changes in our credit
structure, increased debt levels or debt service requirements;
inaccurate estimation of our light crude oil and natural gas
reserve and resource volumes; limited, unfavorable or a lack of
access to capital markets; increased costs; a lack of adequate
insurance coverage; the impact of competitors; and certain other
risks detailed from time-to-time in InPlay's continuous
disclosure documents filed on SEDAR including our Annual
Information Form and our MD&A.
This press release contains future-oriented financial
information and financial outlook information (collectively,
"FOFI") about InPlay's financial and leverage targets and
objectives, potential dividends, share buybacks and beliefs
underlying our Board approved 2024 capital budget and associated
guidance, all of which are subject to the same assumptions, risk
factors, limitations, and qualifications as set forth in the above
paragraphs. The actual results of operations of InPlay and the
resulting financial results will likely vary from the amounts set
forth in this press release and such variation may be material.
InPlay and its management believe that the FOFI has been prepared
on a reasonable basis, reflecting management's reasonable estimates
and judgments. However, because this information is subjective and
subject to numerous risks, it should not be relied on as
necessarily indicative of future results. Except as required by
applicable securities laws, InPlay undertakes no obligation to
update such FOFI. FOFI contained in this press release was made as
of the date of this press release and was provided for the purpose
of providing further information about InPlay's anticipated future
business operations and strategy. Readers are cautioned
that the FOFI contained in this press release should not be used
for purposes other than for which it is disclosed herein.
The forward-looking information and statements contained in this
news release speak only as of the date hereof and InPlay does not
assume any obligation to publicly update or revise any of the
included forward-looking statements or information, whether as a
result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as
may be required by applicable securities laws.
InPlay's 2023 annual guidance and a comparison to 2023 actual
results are outlined below.
|
|
|
Guidance
FY
2023(1)
|
Actuals
FY 2023
|
Variance
|
Variance (%)
|
Production
|
Boe/d
|
|
9,000 –
9,100
|
9,025
|
-
|
-
|
Adjusted Funds
Flow
|
$ millions
|
|
$91 – $93
|
$92
|
-
|
-
|
Capital
Expenditures
|
$ millions
|
|
$84.5
|
$84.5
|
-
|
-
|
Free Adjusted Funds
Flow
|
$ millions
|
|
$6 – $8
|
$7
|
-
|
-
|
Net Debt
|
$ millions
|
|
$47 – $45
|
$46
|
-
|
-
|
(1)
|
As previously released
January 29, 2024.
|
Risk Factors to FLI
Risk factors that could materially impact successful execution
and actual results of the Company's 2024 capital program and
associated guidance and estimates include:
- volatility of petroleum and natural gas prices and inherent
difficulty in the accuracy of predictions related thereto;
- the extent of any unfavourable impacts of wildfires in the
province of Alberta.
- changes in Federal and Provincial regulations;
- the Company's ability to secure financing for the Board
approved 2024 capital program and longer-term capital plans sourced
from AFF, bank or other debt instruments, asset sales, equity
issuance, infrastructure financing or some combination thereof;
and
- those additional risk factors set forth in the Company's
MD&A and most recent Annual Information Form filed on
SEDAR
Key Budget and Underlying Material Assumptions to FLI
The key budget and underlying material assumptions used by the
Company in the development of its 2024 guidance are as follows:
|
|
|
Actuals
FY 2023
|
Guidance
FY
2023(1)
|
Guidance
FY
2024(1)
|
WTI
|
US$/bbl
|
|
$77.62
|
$77.61
|
75.00
|
NGL Price
|
$/boe
|
|
$36.51
|
$36.60
|
$36.85
|
AECO
|
$/GJ
|
|
$2.50
|
$2.50
|
$2.35
|
Foreign Exchange
Rate
|
CDN$/US$
|
|
0.74
|
0.74
|
0.74
|
MSW
Differential
|
US$/bbl
|
|
$3.25
|
$3.25
|
$4.45
|
Production
|
Boe/d
|
|
9,025
|
9,000 –
9,100
|
9,000 –
9,500
|
Revenue
|
$/boe
|
|
54.45
|
54.00 –
55.00
|
51.25 –
56.25
|
Royalties
|
$/boe
|
|
6.84
|
6.50 – 7.00
|
5.90 – 7.40
|
Operating
Expenses
|
$/boe
|
|
15.05
|
14.50 –
15.50
|
12.75 –
15.75
|
Transportation
|
$/boe
|
|
0.95
|
0.90 – 1.05
|
0.85 – 1.10
|
Interest
|
$/boe
|
|
1.65
|
1.50 – 1.70
|
1.50 – 2.00
|
General and
Administrative
|
$/boe
|
|
3.13
|
3.00 – 3.30
|
2.50 – 3.25
|
Hedging loss
(gain)
|
$/boe
|
|
(1.10)
|
(1.00) –
(1.25)
|
0.00 – 0.15
|
Decommissioning
Expenditures
|
$ millions
|
|
$3.3
|
$3.5 – $4.0
|
$4.0 – $4.5
|
Adjusted Funds
Flow
|
$ millions
|
|
$92
|
$91 – $93
|
$89 – $96
|
Dividends
|
$ millions
|
|
$16
|
$16
|
$16 – $17
|
|
|
|
Actuals
FY 2023
|
Guidance
FY
2023(1)
|
Guidance
FY
2024(1)
|
Adjusted Funds
Flow
|
$ millions
|
|
$92
|
$91 – $93
|
$89 – $96
|
Capital
Expenditures
|
$ millions
|
|
$84.5
|
$84.5
|
$64 – $67
|
Free Adjusted Funds
Flow
|
$ millions
|
|
$7
|
$6 – $8
|
$22 – $32
|
|
|
|
Actuals
FY 2023
|
Guidance
FY
2023(1)
|
Guidance
FY
2024(1)
|
Revenue
|
$/boe
|
|
54.45
|
54.00 –
55.00
|
51.25 –
56.25
|
Royalties
|
$/boe
|
|
6.84
|
6.50 – 7.00
|
5.90 – 7.40
|
Operating
Expenses
|
$/boe
|
|
15.05
|
14.50 –
15.50
|
12.75 –
15.75
|
Transportation
|
$/boe
|
|
0.95
|
0.90 – 1.05
|
0.85 – 1.10
|
Operating
Netback
|
$/boe
|
|
31.61
|
31.00 –
32.00
|
29.50 –
34.50
|
Operating Income Profit
Margin
|
|
|
58 %
|
58 %
|
59 %
|
|
|
|
Actuals
FY 2023
|
Guidance
FY
2023(1)
|
Guidance
FY
2024(1)
|
Adjusted Funds
Flow
|
$ millions
|
|
$92
|
$91 – $93
|
$89 – $96
|
Interest
|
$/boe
|
|
1.65
|
1.50 – 1.70
|
1.50 – 2.00
|
EBITDA
|
$ millions
|
|
$98
|
$97 – $99
|
$95 – $102
|
Net Debt
|
$ millions
|
|
$46
|
$45 – $47
|
$37 – $44
|
Net
Debt/EBITDA
|
|
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.4 – 0.5
|
|
|
|
Actuals
FY 2023
|
Guidance
FY
2023(1)
|
Production
|
Boe/d
|
|
9,025
|
9,000 –
9,100
|
Opening Net
Debt
|
$ millions
|
|
$33
|
$33
|
Ending Net
Debt
|
$ millions
|
|
$46
|
$45 – $47
|
Weighted avg.
outstanding shares
|
# millions
|
|
89.1
|
89.1
|
Assumed Share
price
|
$
|
|
2.65(3)
|
2.65
|
Prod. per debt adj.
share growth(2)(5)
|
|
|
(8 %)
|
(7%) – (9%)
|
|
|
|
Actuals
FY 2023
|
Guidance
FY
2023(1)
|
Share outstanding, end
of year
|
# millions
|
|
91.1
|
91.1
|
Assumed Share
price
|
$
|
|
2.21(4)
|
2.21
|
Market
capitalization
|
$ millions
|
|
$201
|
$201
|
Net Debt
|
$ millions
|
|
$46
|
$45 – $47
|
Enterprise
value
|
$millions
|
|
$247
|
$246 – $248
|
Adjusted Funds
Flow
|
$ millions
|
|
$92
|
$91 – $93
|
Interest
|
$/boe
|
|
1.65
|
1.50 – 1.70
|
Debt Adjusted
AFF
|
$ millions
|
|
$98
|
$97 – $99
|
EV/DAAFF(5)
|
|
|
2.5
|
2.6 – 2.5
|
(1)
|
As previously released
January 29, 2024.
|
(2)
|
Production per debt
adjusted share is calculated by the Company as production divided
by debt adjusted shares. Debt adjusted shares is calculated by the
Company as common shares outstanding plus the change in net debt
divided by the Company's current trading price on the TSX,
converting net debt to equity. Future share prices are assumed to
be consistent with the current share price.
|
(3)
|
Weighted average share
price throughout 2023.
|
(4)
|
Ending share price at
December 31, 2023.
|
(5)
|
The Company has
withdrawn its 2024 and 2025 production per debt adjusted share and
EV/DAAFF forecast for 2024 and 2025. The Company believes that
these metrics can be quite variable and hard to reasonably estimate
given the volatility in the Company's share price, which is a
material assumption used in the calculation of these
metrics.
|
(6)
|
Continued commodity
price volatility and current weak industry sentiment has resulted
in the Company taking a conservative and disciplined approach to
capital allocation in 2024 and future years. Preliminary
estimates and plans for 2025 and beyond will be dependent on the
stability of commodity prices and industry sentiment balancing
manageable growth and ensuring the long term sustainability of our
return of capital to shareholder strategy. As a result, the Company
previously withdrew its preliminary estimates and plans for
2025.
|
• See "Production
Breakdown by Product Type" below
|
• Quality and pipeline
transmission adjustments may impact realized oil prices in addition
to the MSW Differential provided above
|
• Changes in working
capital are not assumed to have a material impact between the years
presented above.
|
Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and
Operational Information
Our oil and gas reserves statement for the year ended
December 31, 2023, which will include
complete disclosure of our oil and gas reserves and other oil and
gas information in accordance with NI 51-101, will be contained
within our Annual Information Form which will be available on our
SEDAR profile at www.sedarplus.com on or before March 31, 2024. The recovery and reserve
estimates contained herein are estimates only and there is no
guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. In
relation to the disclosure of estimates for individual properties,
such estimates may not reflect the same confidence level as
estimates of reserves and future net revenue for all properties,
due to the effects of aggregation. The Company's belief that it
will establish additional reserves over time with conversion of
probable undeveloped reserves into proved reserves is a
forward-looking statement and is based on certain assumptions and
is subject to certain risks, as discussed above under the heading
"Forward-Looking Information and Statements".
This press release contains metrics commonly used in the oil and
natural gas industry, such as "finding, development and acquisition
costs", "finding and development costs", "operating netbacks",
"recycle ratios", and "reserve life index" or "RLI". Each of
these terms are calculated by InPlay as described in the section
"Performance Measures" in this press release. These terms do
not have standardized meanings or standardized methods of
calculation and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures
presented by other companies, and therefore should not be used to
make such comparisons. Such metrics have been included herein to
provide readers with additional information to evaluate the
Company's performance, however such metrics should not be unduly
relied upon.
Finding, development and acquisition ("FD&A") and finding
and development ("F&D") costs take into account reserves
revisions during the year on a per boe basis. The aggregate
of the costs incurred in the financial year and changes during that
year in estimated future development costs may not reflect total
finding and development costs related to reserves additions for
that year. Finding, development and acquisition costs have
been presented in this press release because acquisitions and
dispositions can have a significant impact on our ongoing reserves
replacement costs and excluding these amounts could result in an
inaccurate portrayal of our cost structure. Exploration &
development capital means the aggregate exploration and development
costs incurred in the financial year on exploration and on reserves
that are categorized as development. Exploration &
development capital excludes capitalized administration costs.
Acquisition capital amounts to the total amount of cash and share
consideration net of any working capital balances assumed with an
acquisition on closing.
Management uses these oil and gas metrics for its own
performance measurements and to provide shareholders with measures
to compare InPlay's operations over time, however such measures are
not reliable indicators of InPlay's future performance and future
performance may not be comparable to the performance in prior
periods. Readers are cautioned that the information provided
by these metrics, or that can be derived from the metrics presented
in this press release, should not be relied upon for investment or
other purposes, however such measures are not reliable indicators
on InPlay's future performance and future performance may not be
comparable to the performance in prior periods.
References to light crude oil, NGLs or natural gas production in
this press release refer to the light and medium crude oil, natural
gas liquids and conventional natural gas product types,
respectively, as defined in National Instrument 51-101, Standards
of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("Nl 51-101").
Production Breakdown by Product Type
Disclosure of production on a per boe basis in this document
consists of the constituent product types as defined in
NI 51–101 and their respective quantities disclosed in the
table below:
|
Light and Medium
Crude oil
(bbls/d)
|
NGLs
(boe/d)
|
Conventional
Natural
gas
(Mcf/d)
|
Total
(boe/d)
|
Q4 2022 Average
Production
|
3,909
|
1,532
|
25,090
|
9,623
|
2022 Average
Production
|
3,766
|
1,402
|
23,623
|
9,105
|
Q4 2023 Average
Production
|
4,142
|
1,520
|
23,606
|
9,596
|
2023 Average
Production
|
3,822
|
1,396
|
22,839
|
9,025
|
2023 Annual
Guidance
|
3,840
|
1,390
|
22,920
|
9,050(1)
|
2024 Annual
Guidance
|
4,090
|
1,395
|
22,590
|
9,250(2)
|
Notes:
|
1.
|
This reflects the
mid-point of the Company's 2023 production guidance range of 9,000
to 9,100 boe/d.
|
2.
|
This reflects the
mid-point of the Company's 2024 production guidance range of 9,000
to 9,500 boe/d.
|
References to crude oil, NGLs or natural gas production in this
press release refer to the light and medium crude oil, natural gas
liquids and conventional natural gas product types, respectively,
as defined in National Instrument 51-101, Standards of Disclosure
for Oil and Gas Activities ("Nl 51-101").
BOE equivalent
Barrel of oil equivalents or BOEs may be misleading,
particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of 6 mcf:
1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily
applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value
equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on
the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is
significantly different than the energy equivalency of 6:1,
utilizing a 6:1 conversion basis may be misleading as an indication
of value.
Initial Production Rates
References in this press release to IP rates, other short-term
production rates or initial performance measures relating to new
wells are useful in confirming the presence of hydrocarbons;
however, such rates are not determinative of the rates at which
such wells will commence production and decline thereafter and are
not indicative of long-term performance or of ultimate recovery.
While encouraging, readers are cautioned not to place reliance on
such rates in calculating the aggregate production for the Company.
Accordingly, the Company cautions that the test results should be
considered to be preliminary.
SOURCE InPlay Oil Corp.