(TSX: NFI, OTC: NFYEF, TSX: NFI.DB) NFI Group Inc.
("NFI" or the "Company"), a leader in zero-emission electric
mobility solutions, today announced its unaudited interim condensed
consolidated financial results for the third quarter of 2024.
Key financial metrics for the quarter and for
the last twelve months are highlighted below:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
in millions except deliveries and per Share amounts |
2024 Q3 |
Change1 |
2024 Q3 LTM |
Change1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Deliveries (EUs) |
|
994 |
|
|
(5 |
%) |
|
4,594 |
|
|
21 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
IFRS Measures3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Revenue |
$ |
711 |
|
|
0 |
% |
$ |
3,077 |
|
|
19 |
% |
Net loss |
$ |
(15 |
) |
|
62 |
% |
$ |
(24 |
) |
|
92 |
% |
Net loss per Share |
$ |
(0.13 |
) |
|
69 |
% |
$ |
(0.20 |
) |
|
94 |
% |
Net cash (used in) generated from operations |
$ |
(45 |
) |
|
(18 |
%) |
$ |
53 |
|
|
145 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Non-IFRS Measures2,3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted EBITDA2 |
$ |
53 |
|
|
375 |
% |
$ |
185 |
|
|
681 |
% |
Adjusted Net Loss2 |
$ |
(5 |
) |
|
88 |
% |
$ |
(23 |
) |
|
83 |
% |
Adjusted Net Loss per Share2 |
$ |
(0.04 |
) |
|
90 |
% |
$ |
(0.20 |
) |
|
88 |
% |
Free Cash Flow2 |
$ |
2 |
|
|
105 |
% |
$ |
(16 |
) |
|
88 |
% |
Total Liquidity2 (including minimum liquidity requirement of $50
million) |
$ |
146 |
|
|
(14 |
%) |
$ |
146 |
|
|
(14 |
%) |
Return on Invested Capital2 (ROIC) |
|
5 |
% |
|
6 |
% |
|
5 |
% |
|
6 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Footnotes:
|
1. |
Results noted herein are for the 13-week period ("2024 Q3”) and the
52-week period ("2024 Q3 LTM”) ended September 29, 2024. The
comparisons reported in this press release compare 2024 Q3 to the
13-week period ("2023 Q3") and 2024 Q3 LTM to the 52-week period
("2023 Q3 LTM") ended October 1, 2023. Comparisons and comments are
also made to the 13-week period (“2024 Q2”) ended June 30, 2024.
The term “LTM” is an abbreviation for “Last Twelve Month
Period”. |
|
2. |
Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Net Loss, and Free Cash Flow represent
non-IFRS measures; Adjusted Net Loss per Share and Return on
Invested Capital ("ROIC") are non-IFRS ratios; and Total Liquidity
and Backlog are supplementary financial measures. Such measures and
ratios are not defined terms under IFRS and do not have standard
meanings, so they may not be a reliable way to compare NFI to other
companies. Adjusted Net Loss per Share is based on the non-IFRS
measure Adjusted Net Loss. ROIC is based on net operating profit
after tax and average invested capital, both of which are non-IFRS
measures. See “Non-IFRS Measures” and detailed reconciliations of
IFRS Measures to non-IFRS Measures in the Appendices of this press
release. Readers are advised to review the unaudited interim
condensed consolidated financial statements (including notes) (the
“Financial Statements”) and the related Management's Discussion and
Analysis (the "MD&A"). |
|
|
|
"The third quarter of 2024 saw significant
improvement in gross margins, Adjusted EBITDA2, ROIC2 and positive
Free Cash Flow2, with another strong performance from the
aftermarket segment. Our backlog remains at record levels, with a
value of nearly $12 billion, positioning us extremely well for 2025
with firm sales now booking into 2026. We also saw a large increase
in our average sale price per transit bus reflecting the
completion of all legacy inflation impacted contracts,” said Paul
Soubry, President and Chief Executive Officer, NFI.
“While our production recovery continued, a seat
significant supplier, specified by our transit customers,
negatively impacted third quarter North American operations. This
disruption, and its cascading impacts, lowered our quarterly
deliveries, new vehicle production rates and led to
higher-than-expected quarter-ending inventory balances. We are
working directly with that supplier’s leadership team to action a
recovery plan that is expected to improve their performance through
early 2025. The plan includes their engagement of an external
operations consultant, the use of third-party labour and dedicated
onsite resources from NFI overseeing production.
“As a result, period ending liquidity2 declined
during the quarter, reflecting higher inventory balances stemming
from the impact of seat disruption, higher cost zero-emission buses
and the expected seasonality impacts of bus builds for private
markets, in advance of the busier fourth quarter. This decline was
somewhat offset by our successful efforts to increase progress
payments and milestone billings from customers plus the use of our
Export Development Canada performance guarantee program.
"We anticipate a busy finish to this year with
improved margin performance as we deliver buses, recover seat
disrupted deliveries, continue our strong aftermarket performance
and add several large-scale multi-year orders to our backlog. We
are also actioning multiple strategic initiatives to capitalize on
record customer demand for NFI’s market leading position, this
includes expanding our Canadian transit bus production which will
free-up U.S. capacity and provide more targeted resources to North
American transit operations. These efforts best position NFI to
generate sustainable financial growth and shareholder value through
2025 and the longer-term," Soubry concluded.
Segment Results
Manufacturing segment revenue
for 2024 Q3 decreased by $9 million, or 2%, compared to 2023 Q3,
driven by lower North American heavy-duty transit bus deliveries,
which were impacted by supply disruption primarily linked to seat
supply. This was offset by higher motorcoach and low-floor cutaway
bus deliveries and higher overall manufacturing segment average
selling price per unit delivered. On an LTM basis revenue increased
by 20.7%, reflecting higher deliveries in all product segments.
Manufacturing operations experienced a net loss
of $5.8 million in 2024 Q3 compared to a net loss of $39.9 million
in 2023 Q3. The reduction in net loss was driven by improved gross
margins and higher motorcoach and low-floor cutaway deliveries.
Manufacturing Adjusted EBITDA2 improved by $32 million, or 222%,
compared to 2023 Q3 and Manufacturing Adjusted EBITDA2 as a
percentage of revenue showed continued improvement, increasing from
(3%) in 2023 Q3 to 3.1% in 2024 Q3. These increases were driven by
improved gross margins and favourable sales mix. On an LTM basis,
Manufacturing net loss and Adjusted EBITDA2 both showed significant
improvement, reflecting higher deliveries and improved gross
margins.
At the end of 2024 Q3, the Company's total
backlog2 (firm and options) of 14,590 EUs increased by 53% from the
prior year. This increase is driven by the record number of awards
received year-to-date (“YTD”). During the quarter, NFI added 1,050
EUs of new orders, an 8.2% year-over-year improvement, supporting
an LTM book-to-bill ratio of 115.4%. Backlog2 for 2024 Q3 has a
total dollar value of $12.0 billion, and the average price of an EU
in backlog2 is now $0.82 million, a 19.5% increase from 2023
Q3.
Aftermarket segment delivered
another quarter of strong revenue of $153 million, an increase of
$10 million, or 7%, compared to 2023 Q3, driven by increased volume
in North American public and private markets. 2024 Q3 Aftermarket
segment net earnings increased by $2.2 million, or 8.1%, compared
to 2023 Q3. The increase was primarily due to improved sales
volume, pricing adjustments and favourable product mix. Aftermarket
Adjusted EBITDA2 was $34 million, an increase of $3 million, or 8%,
year-over-year, primarily driven by the same items that improved
net earnings. Aftermarket Adjusted EBITDA2 as a percentage of
revenue was strong at 23%. On an LTM basis, Aftermarket net
earnings and Adjusted EBITDA2 increased by 22.4% and 20.0%
respectively.
Net Loss, Adjusted Net
Loss2, and Return on Invested
Capital2
In 2024 Q3, the Company incurred a net loss of
$15 million, representing a $25 million, or 62% improvement from
2023 Q3, driven by increases in revenue and gross profit and lower
interest expense.
Adjusted Net Loss2 for 2024 Q3 of $5 million
improved from 2023 Q3 Adjusted Net Loss2 of $38 million, as a
result of the same items that impacted net losses, adjusted for
unrealized fair market gains related to the Company’s prepayment
option on second-lien debt, plus other normalization adjustments
including non-recurring restructuring and past service and pension
costs.
2024 Q3 ROIC2 increased to 5.3% from (1.0%)
in 2023 Q3, primarily due to the increase in Adjusted EBITDA2. The
invested capital2 base increased due to a gradual increase in
long-term debt, temporarily higher working capital balances and an
increase in the fair market value of the prepayment option on the
Company’s second lien debt.
Liquidity2
The Company’s Total Liquidity2 position, which
combines cash on-hand plus available capacity under its senior
first lien credit facilities (without consideration given to the
minimum liquidity requirement of $50 million), was $146 million as
at the end of 2024 Q3, down $33 million from the end of 2024 Q2.
Total Liquidity2 position was negatively impacted by a $35 million
investment in working capital, driven by increased inventory
balances for raw materials and work-in-process, reflecting higher
input costs for ZEB components, the impact of seat supply
disruption and higher carrying balances to support consistent
supply across other components. Offsetting increasing in inventory
were higher deferred revenue amounts of $48 million, reflecting the
Company’s success in improving payment terms with customers.
Outlook
Management anticipates improvements to revenue,
gross profit, Adjusted EBITDA2, Free Cash Flow2, net earnings, and
ROIC2, in the near-and-longer term, as the Company ramps up
production, executes on its backlog2, delivers a higher number of
ZEBs, grows its aftermarket business, and benefits from the growing
demand for its buses, coaches, parts, and services.
Management believes market demand is evident
through the Company’s continued new orders and an extremely strong
public transit funding environment in North America and other
international jurisdictions. This funding environment drives the
Company’s North American bid universe which currently has active
bids of 5,533 EUs, and a five-year forecasted customer demand of
20,690 EUs. In addition, the Company has seen improved competitive
dynamics within the North American market, leading to the Company
recording its highest new awards ever in 2024, with expectations
for further large awards in the fourth quarter of the year. NFI has
also seen overall market demand within private coach and
international transit markets grow, driven by increasing ridership,
travel and return to work initiatives. These demand factors are
expected to drive additional new orders going forward.
As referenced in the Company’s risk disclosure,
the highly customized nature of NFI’s products can result in
specific suppliers having an adverse impact on the Company’s
operations and new vehicle production, as currently evidenced by
seat supply disruption. The Company anticipates that there may
continue to be challenges in receiving certain components as
suppliers recover their operations and as NFI increases production
of ZEBs (where the supply chain is not as established as in
traditional propulsion systems). Overall, NFI has seen a
significant improvement in its moderate and high-risk suppliers,
with only two high risk suppliers remaining out of the Company’s
top 750 suppliers, driven by a combination of improvements in
global supply chain health and actions taken by NFI’s supply and
sourcing teams.
NFI is advancing its program to increase new
vehicle production line entry rates, which were up 6.5%
year-over-year, but down by 9.0% from 2024 Q2, as the Company
manages certain supply disruptions and lower labour efficiency with
new team members improving their production throughput while NFI
increases overall ZEB production.
Updated Financial Guidance
Based on YTD performance and expectations for
the fourth quarter, NFI has updated its financial guidance for
Fiscal 2024, as originally disclosed on January 17, 2024, to
reflect the following:
- Impacts of seat supply disruption
on North American transit operations and expected impact on 2024 Q4
results
- Expected fourth quarter deliveries
reflecting the Company’s inventory, production schedule and
backlog2
- Aftermarket performance and
expected fourth quarter sales
- Timing of certain zero-emission bus
deliveries in North America and the U.K.
Targets for 2025 have remained the same and are
outlined in the table below.
|
Previous 2024 Guidance |
|
Updated 2024 Guidance |
|
2025 Targets |
|
Revenue |
$3.2 to $3.6 billion |
|
$3.1 to $3.3 billion |
|
~$4 billion |
|
ZEBs (electric) as a percentage of manufacturing sales |
30% to 35% |
|
20% to 25% |
|
~40% |
|
Adjusted EBITDA2 |
$240 to $280 million |
|
$210 to $240 million |
|
>$350 million (with a $400 million annualized run rate by the
fourth quarter) |
|
Cash Capital Expenditures |
$50 to $60 million |
|
$50 to $60 million |
|
~$55 million |
|
Return on Invested Capital2 – provided for 2025 targets |
|
|
|
|
>12% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
With YTD Adjusted EBITDA2 of $146 million, NFI
YTD has delivered 61% to 70% of its revised Adjusted
EBITDA2 range of $210 million to $240 million of 2024. NFI expects
to deliver $64 to $94 million of Adjusted EBITDA2 in the fourth
quarter of 2024. This range reflects the impacts of potential
delays in delivering buses impacted by the North American seating
disruption, the percentage of zero-emission buses delivered in the
quarter and the potential impacts of operational efficiencies.
NFI continues to target 2025 Adjusted EBITDA2 of
greater than $350 million based on anticipated volume growth and
margin improvement, underpinned by firm backlog2 and expected
aftermarket performance. In addition, disrupted North American
transit deliveries from 2024 are all contractually sold, and the
units that are not delivered in 2024 will be shipped in 2025. The
Company is currently completing its annual operating plan for 2025,
factoring in the impacts of seat supply disruption, and the
improving competitive dynamics in North America, among other
factors. NFI will provide an update in the first quarter of 2025.
Please refer to the Company's 2023 Q4 and Fiscal 2023 MD&A for
details on the assumptions that drive 2025 targets, as well as
certain applicable risks.
Given the heightened investment in inventory,
NFI is continuing specific actions to improve its near-term
liquidity position including the following:
- Seeking advanced payments from
customers for vehicles impacted by seat disruption that are
currently in inventory
- Advancing discussions on further
milestone payments, deposits and advanced billings from customers
within Canada, the U.S. and the U.K.
- Utilizing the performance guarantee
facility with EDC to lower letter of credit requirements
- Negotiating improved payment terms
with select suppliers in North America and the U.K.
Subsequent to quarter-end, the Company
proactively obtained a waiver for the $50 million liquidity
requirement under its senior secured facilities, effective until
December 31, 2024, providing access to those funds if required.
NFI anticipates that its current cash position
and capacity under its existing credit facilities, combined with
its expected fourth quarter performance, and anticipated
success in obtaining progress payments or milestone payments from
customers, alongside access to capital markets, will be sufficient
to fund operations, meet financial obligations as they come due,
and provide the funds necessary for capital expenditures.
NFI's guidance and targets are subject to the
risk that the current seat supply disruptions are extended and/or
exacerbated beyond management’s current expectations, and the risk
of additional supply or operational disruptions.
In addition, the guidance and targets do not
reflect potential escalated impact on supply chains or other
factors arising directly or indirectly as a result of geopolitical
risks and ongoing conflicts in Ukraine, Russia, Israel, Palestine,
and the Middle East. Although NFI does not have direct suppliers in
these regions, additional supply delays, possible shortages of
critical components or increases in raw material costs may arise as
the conflicts progress and if certain suppliers’ operations and/or
subcomponent supply from affected countries are disrupted further.
In addition, there may also be further general industry-wide price
increases for components and raw materials used in vehicle
production as well as further increases in the cost of labour and
potential difficulties in sourcing an increase in the supply of
labour. See Appendix B Forward Looking Statements for risks and
other factors and the Company's filings on SEDAR at
www.sedarplus.ca.
Third Quarter 2024 Results Conference
Call and Filing
A conference call for analysts and interested
listeners will be held on Thursday, November 7, 2024, at 9:00 a.m.
Eastern Time (ET). An accompanying results presentation will be
available prior to market open on November 7, 2024, at
www.nfigroup.com.
For attendees who wish to join by webcast,
registration is not required; the event can be accessed
at https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/oaotv724/. Attendees who
wish to join by phone can dial 1.888.596.4144 and use the
Conference ID 2577984. NFI encourages attendees to join via webcast
as a results presentation will be presented and users can also
submit questions to management through the platform. The results
presentation will be available at www.nfigroup.com.
A replay of the call will be accessible from about
12:00 p.m. ET on November 7, 2024, until 11:59 p.m. ET on November
6, 2025, at https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/oaotv724/. The
replay will also be available on NFI's website at:
www.nfigroup.com.
About NFI Group
Leveraging 450 years of combined experience, NFI
is leading the electrification of mass mobility around the world.
With zero-emission buses and coaches, infrastructure, and
technology, NFI meets today’s urban demands for scalable smart
mobility solutions. Together, NFI is enabling more livable cities
through connected, clean, and sustainable transportation.
With over 9,000 team members in ten countries,
NFI is a leading global bus manufacturer of mass mobility solutions
under the brands New Flyer® (heavy-duty transit
buses), MCI® (motor coaches), Alexander
Dennis Limited (single and double-deck buses),
Plaxton (motor coaches), ARBOC®
(low-floor cutaway and medium-duty buses), and NFI
Parts™. NFI currently offers the widest range of
sustainable drive systems available, including zero-emission
electric (trolley, battery, and fuel cell), natural gas, electric
hybrid, and clean diesel. In total, NFI supports its installed base
of over 100,000 buses and coaches around the world. NFI’s common
shares (“Shares”) trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange (“TSX”) under
the symbol NFI and its convertible unsecured debentures
(“Debentures”) trade on the TSX under the symbol NFI.DB. News and
information is available at www.nfigroup.com, www.newflyer.com,
www.mcicoach.com, nfi.parts, www.alexander-dennis.com, arbocsv.com,
and carfaircomposites.com.
For investor inquiries, please contact: Stephen
King P: 204.224.6382 Stephen.King@nfigroup.com
Appendix A - Reconciliation
Tables
Reconciliation of Net Loss to Adjusted EBITDA and
Net Operating Profit after Taxes
Non-IFRS measures in the appendices of this press
release have been denoted with an "NG". Please see the “Non-IFRS
and Other Financial Measures” section.
Management believes that Adjusted EBITDANG, and
net operating profit after taxesNG ("NOPAT") are important measures
in evaluating the historical operating performance of the Company.
However, Adjusted EBITDANG and NOPATNG are not recognized earnings
measures under International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS")
and do not have standardized meanings prescribed by IFRS.
Accordingly, Adjusted EBITDANG and NOPATNG may not be comparable to
similar measures presented by other issuers. Readers of this press
release are cautioned that Adjusted EBITDANG should not be
construed as an alternative to net earnings or loss determined in
accordance with IFRS as an indicator of the Company's performance
and NOPATNG should not be construed as an alternative to earnings
or loss from operations determined in accordance with IFRS as an
indicator of the Company's performance. See "Non-IFRS Measures" for
the definition of Adjusted EBITDANG. The following table reconciles
net loss to Adjusted EBITDANG based on the historical financial
statements of the Company for the periods indicated. The
Company defines NOPATNG as Adjusted EBITDANG less depreciation of
plant and equipment, depreciation of right-of-use assets and income
taxes at a rate of 31%.
($ thousands) |
2024 Q3 |
2023 Q3 |
2024 Q3 LTM |
2023 Q3 LTM |
Net loss |
(14,993 |
) |
(39,926 |
) |
(24,190 |
) |
(286,396 |
) |
Addback |
|
|
|
|
Income taxes |
360 |
|
(4,546 |
) |
(15,644 |
) |
(31,662 |
) |
Interest expense10 |
38,553 |
|
42,932 |
|
140,420 |
|
139,847 |
|
Amortization |
18,708 |
|
21,470 |
|
80,234 |
|
83,682 |
|
Loss (gain) on disposition of property, plant and equipment and
right of use assets |
11 |
|
(101 |
) |
(94 |
) |
1,261 |
|
Gain (loss) on debt modification15 |
- |
|
(10,508 |
) |
1,600 |
|
(10,508 |
) |
Loss on debt extinguishment16 |
- |
|
- |
|
234 |
|
- |
|
Unrealized foreign exchange (gain) loss on non-current monetary
items and forward foreign exchange contracts |
1,585 |
|
(1,611 |
) |
(5,271 |
) |
(1,493 |
) |
Past service costs and other pension costs7 |
- |
|
- |
|
(7,000 |
) |
4,764 |
|
Equity settled stock-based compensation |
925 |
|
677 |
|
2,891 |
|
2,314 |
|
Unrecoverable insurance costs and other8 |
- |
|
- |
|
1,009 |
|
164 |
|
Expenses incurred outside of normal operations12 |
- |
|
308 |
|
132 |
|
3,742 |
|
Prior year sales tax provision9 |
- |
|
60 |
|
41 |
|
60 |
|
Out of period costs11 |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
(938 |
) |
Impairment loss on goodwill13 |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
103,900 |
|
Impairment loss on intangible assets14 |
- |
|
- |
|
1,028 |
|
- |
|
Restructuring costs6 |
8,056 |
|
2,412 |
|
9,616 |
|
14,923 |
|
Adjusted EBITDA |
53,205 |
|
11,167 |
|
185,006 |
|
23,660 |
|
Depreciation of property, plant and equipment and right of use
assets |
(10,718 |
) |
(13,590 |
) |
(48,124 |
) |
(52,406 |
) |
Tax at 31% |
(13,171 |
) |
751 |
|
(42,433 |
) |
8,911 |
|
NOPAT |
29,316 |
|
(1,672 |
) |
94,449 |
|
(19,835 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted EBITDA is comprised of: |
|
|
|
|
Manufacturing |
17,329 |
|
(14,162 |
) |
60,077 |
|
(83,688 |
) |
Aftermarket |
34,333 |
|
31,678 |
|
136,251 |
|
113,589 |
|
Corporate |
1,543 |
|
(6,349 |
) |
(11,322 |
) |
(6,241 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow per Share
Management uses Free Cash FlowNG and Free Cash
Flow per ShareNG as non-IFRS measures to evaluate the Company’s
operating performance and liquidity and to assess the Company’s
ability to pay dividends on its Shares, service debt, and meet
other payment obligations. However, Free Cash FlowNG and Free Cash
Flow per ShareNG are not recognized earnings measures under IFRS
and do not have standardized meanings prescribed by IFRS.
Accordingly, Free Cash FlowNG and the associated per Share figure
may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other
issuers. Readers of this press release are cautioned that Free Cash
FlowNG should not be construed as an alternative to cash flows from
operating activities determined in accordance with IFRS as a
measure of liquidity and cash flow. See "Non-IFRS Measures" for the
definition of Free Cash FlowNG. The following table reconciles net
cash generated by operating activities to Free Cash FlowNG.
The Company defines Free Cash Flow per ShareNG
as Free Cash FlowNG divided by the average number of Shares
outstanding.
($ thousands, except per Share figures) |
2024 Q3 |
2023 Q3 |
2024 Q3 LTM |
2023 Q3 LTM |
Net cash generated by (used in) operating activities |
(45,240 |
) |
(38,785 |
) |
52,974 |
|
(117,433 |
) |
Changes in non-cash working capital items2 |
35,445 |
|
11,105 |
|
28,812 |
|
30,348 |
|
Interest paid2 |
45,824 |
|
33,076 |
|
110,034 |
|
105,744 |
|
Interest expense2 |
(30,837 |
) |
(36,390 |
) |
(125,904 |
) |
(116,609 |
) |
Income taxes recovered2 |
9,788 |
|
(21 |
) |
(8,143 |
) |
(17,853 |
) |
Current income tax (expense) recovery2 |
(6,206 |
) |
(3,012 |
) |
(7,488 |
) |
17,624 |
|
Repayment of obligations under lease |
(3,867 |
) |
(4,046 |
) |
(23,683 |
) |
(20,054 |
) |
Cash capital expenditures |
(7,309 |
) |
(8,516 |
) |
(31,914 |
) |
(21,324 |
) |
Acquisition of intangible assets |
(3,097 |
) |
(3,402 |
) |
(13,156 |
) |
(11,182 |
) |
Proceeds from disposition of property, plant and equipment |
66 |
|
1,045 |
|
1,442 |
|
1,264 |
|
Defined benefit funding3 |
975 |
|
996 |
|
3,393 |
|
1,966 |
|
Defined benefit expense3 |
(1,237 |
) |
(693 |
) |
(3,523 |
) |
(1,168 |
) |
Past service costs and other pension costs7 |
- |
|
- |
|
(7,000 |
) |
- |
|
Expenses incurred outside of normal operations12 |
- |
|
308 |
|
132 |
|
3,742 |
|
Equity hedge |
- |
|
2,844 |
|
- |
|
3,183 |
|
Unrecoverable insurance costs and other8 |
- |
|
- |
|
1,009 |
|
164 |
|
Out of period costs11 |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
(938 |
) |
Prior year sales tax provision8 |
- |
|
60 |
|
41 |
|
60 |
|
Restructuring costs6 |
8,056 |
|
2,411 |
|
12,170 |
|
13,358 |
|
Foreign exchange gain (loss) on cash held in foreign currency4 |
(406 |
) |
(137 |
) |
(4,895 |
) |
2,433 |
|
Free Cash Flow |
1,955 |
|
(43,157 |
) |
(15,699 |
) |
(126,675 |
) |
U.S. exchange rate1 |
1.3516 |
|
1.3580 |
|
1.3480 |
|
1.3333 |
|
Free Cash Flow (C$) |
2,642 |
|
(58,607 |
) |
(21,326 |
) |
(170,706 |
) |
Free Cash Flow per Share (C$)5 |
0.0222 |
|
(0.6224 |
) |
(0.1792 |
) |
(2.0964 |
) |
Declared dividends on Shares (C$) |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
Declared dividends per Share (C$)5 |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. |
U.S. exchange rate (C$ per US$) is the average exchange rate for
the period. |
|
|
2. |
Changes in non-cash working capital are excluded from the
calculation of Free Cash FlowNG as these temporary fluctuations are
managed through the Company’s secured senior credit facilities
which are available to fund general corporate requirements,
including working capital requirements, subject to borrowing
capacity restrictions. Changes in non-cash working capital are
presented on the unaudited interim condensed consolidated
statements of cash flows net of interest and income taxes
paid. |
|
|
3. |
The cash effect of the difference between the defined benefit
expense and funding is included in the determination of cash from
operating activities. This cash effect is excluded in the
determination of Free Cash FlowNG as management believes that the
defined benefit expense amount provides a more appropriate measure,
as the defined benefit funding can be impacted by special payments
to reduce the unfunded pension liability. |
|
|
4. |
Foreign exchange gain (loss) on cash held in foreign currency is
excluded in the determination of cash from operating activities
under IFRS; however, because it is a cash item, management believes
it should be included in the calculation of Free Cash FlowNG. |
|
|
5. |
Per Share calculations for Free Cash FlowNG (C$) are determined by
dividing Free Cash FlowNG by the total number of all issued and
outstanding Shares using the weighted average over the period. The
weighted average number of Shares outstanding for 2024 Q3 was
119,028,532 and 94,169,027 for 2023 Q3. The weighted average number
of Shares outstanding for 2024 Q3 LTM and 2023 Q3 LTM was
118,989,934 and 81,426,753, respectively. Per Share calculations
for declared dividends (C$) are determined by dividing the amount
of declared dividends by the number of outstanding Shares at the
respective period end date. |
|
|
6. |
Normalized to exclude non-operating restructuring costs. Costs
primarily relate to severance costs, inefficient labour costs,
increased medical costs and right-of-use asset impairments and
inventory impairments associated with restructuring initiatives.
Free Cash FlowNG reconciling amounts are net of right-of-use asset
and property, plant and equipment impairments. |
|
|
7. |
Costs and recoveries associated with amendments to, and closures
of, the Company's pension plans. 2022 Q2 includes $7.0 million for
the liability related to the closure of MCI’s Pembina facility and
withdrawal from the multi-employer pension plan. In 2023 Q4, the
Company made the decision to continue operations of the Pembina
facility indefinitely, thereby reversing the above adjustments made
in 2022 Q2. Also included in Adjusted EBITDANG is $4.8 million of
pension past service costs incurred during 2023 Q1. |
|
|
8. |
Normalized to exclude non-operating costs related to an insurance
event that are not recoverable, or are related to the
deductible. |
|
|
9. |
Provision for sales taxes as a result of a previous state sales tax
review. |
|
|
10. |
Includes fair market value adjustments to interest rate swaps, cash
conversion option on the debentures, and to the prepayment option
on the Company’s second lien debt. 2024 Q3 includes a loss of $2.8
million and 2023 Q3 includes a loss of $1.9 million for the
interest rate swaps. 2024 Q3 includes a loss of $5.2 million and
2023 Q2 includes a loss of $1.5 million on the cash conversion
option. The prepayment option had a gain of $5.4 million in 2024 Q3
and a loss of $0.5 million in 2023 Q3. |
|
|
11. |
Includes adjustments made related to expenses that pertain to prior
years. 2022 Q3 and 2022 Q4 includes expenses related to amounts
that should have been capitalized from prior years. |
|
|
12. |
Includes adjustments made related to items that occurred outside of
normal operations. This includes specified items purchased in
broker markets at a premium and associated broker fees, which the
Company provided to suppliers, and does not normally directly
purchase. Also included is the additional labour costs associated
with the shortage of the specified item. |
|
|
13. |
Includes 2022 Q4 impairment charges with respect to ARBOC's
goodwill of $23.2 million and the Alexander Dennis manufacturing
cash generating unit ("CGU")'s goodwill of $80.7 million. |
|
|
14. |
In 2024 Q1, the Company recognized an impairment loss on a New
Product Development (“NPD”) project for $1.0 million. |
|
|
15. |
As a result of the Company's comprehensive refinancing, the Company
had recognized an accounting gain in 2023 Q3 stemming from the
modification made to its senior secured credit facilities. In 2023
Q4, an accounting loss was recorded to adjust the gain on debt
modification. |
|
|
16. |
In 2024 Q2, the Company had recognized an accounting loss on the
debt extinguishment of the amendments made to the Manitoba
Development Corporation senior unsecured debt facility (“MDC Senior
Unsecured Facility”). |
|
|
Reconciliation of Net Loss to Adjusted Net
Loss
Adjusted Net Earnings (Loss)NG and Adjusted Net
Earnings (Loss) per ShareNG are not recognized measures under IFRS
and do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS.
Accordingly, Adjusted Net Earnings (Loss)NG and Adjusted Net
Earnings (Loss) per ShareNG may not be comparable to similar
measures presented by other issuers. Readers of this press release
are cautioned that Adjusted Net Earnings (Loss)NG and Adjusted Net
Earnings (Loss) per ShareNG should not be construed as an
alternative to net earnings (loss), or net earnings (loss) per
Share, determined in accordance with IFRS as indicators of the
Company's performance. See Non-IFRS Measures for the definition of
Adjusted Net Earnings (Loss)NG and Adjusted Net Earnings (Loss) per
ShareNG. The following table reconcile net loss to Adjusted Net
Earnings (Loss)NG based on the historical financial statements of
the Company for the periods indicated.
($ thousands, except per Share figures) |
2024 Q3 |
2023 Q2 |
2024 Q3 LTM |
2023 Q3 LTM |
Net loss |
(14,993 |
) |
(39,926 |
) |
(24,190 |
) |
(286,396 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
Adjustments, net of tax1, 2 |
|
|
|
|
Unrealized foreign exchange (gain) loss |
1,094 |
|
(1,111 |
) |
(3,637 |
) |
(1,030 |
) |
Unrealized loss on interest rate swap |
1,915 |
|
1,292 |
|
794 |
|
7,299 |
|
Unrealized (gain) loss on Cash Conversion Option |
3,598 |
|
1,055 |
|
1,134 |
|
(1,456 |
) |
Unrealized gain on prepayment option of second lien debt3 |
(3,734 |
) |
328 |
|
(6,640 |
) |
328 |
|
Accretion in carrying value of long-term debt associated with debt
modification4 |
- |
|
1,014 |
|
- |
|
1,014 |
|
Gain on debt modification5 |
- |
|
(7,250 |
) |
1,104 |
|
(7,250 |
) |
Accretion associated to gain on debt modification |
(345 |
) |
- |
|
(1,458 |
) |
0 |
|
Loss on debt extinguishment6 |
- |
|
- |
|
161 |
|
0 |
|
Equity swap settlement fee7 |
- |
|
2,428 |
|
- |
|
2,428 |
|
Equity settled stock-based compensation |
638 |
|
467 |
|
1,994 |
|
1,597 |
|
Loss (gain) on disposition of property, plant and equipment |
8 |
|
(70 |
) |
(65 |
) |
870 |
|
Past service costs and other pension costs8 |
- |
|
- |
|
(4,830 |
) |
3,287 |
|
Unrecoverable insurance costs and other9 |
- |
|
- |
|
696 |
|
114 |
|
Expenses incurred outside of normal operations10 |
- |
|
213 |
|
(1,191 |
) |
2,582 |
|
Other tax adjustments11 |
- |
|
201 |
|
- |
|
22,292 |
|
Out of period costs12 |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
(1,911 |
) |
Accretion in carrying value of convertible debt and cash conversion
option |
1,419 |
|
1,318 |
|
5,511 |
|
5,218 |
|
Prior year sales provision13 |
- |
|
42 |
|
28 |
|
42 |
|
Impairment loss on goodwill14 |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
103,900 |
|
Impairment loss on intangible assets15 |
- |
|
- |
|
709 |
|
- |
|
Restructuring costs16 |
5,559 |
|
1,664 |
|
6,635 |
|
10,296 |
|
Adjusted Net Loss |
(4,841 |
) |
(38,335 |
) |
(23,245 |
) |
(136,776 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
Earnings (Loss) per Share (basic) |
(0.13 |
) |
(0.42 |
) |
(0.20 |
) |
(3.52 |
) |
Earnings (Loss) per Share (fully diluted) |
(0.13 |
) |
(0.42 |
) |
(0.20 |
) |
(3.52 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted Net Earnings (Loss) per Share (basic) |
(0.04 |
) |
(0.41 |
) |
(0.20 |
) |
(1.68 |
) |
Adjusted Net Earnings (Loss) per Share (fully diluted) |
(0.04 |
) |
(0.41 |
) |
(0.20 |
) |
(1.68 |
) |
1. |
Addback items are derived from the historical financial statements
of the Company. |
|
|
2. |
The Company has utilized a rate of 31.0% to tax effect the
adjustments for the periods above. |
|
|
3. |
The unrealized gain on the prepayment option is related to the
Company's second lien debt instrument. The gain is the result of an
increase in the options fair value between June 30, 2024 and
September 29, 2024. |
|
|
4. |
Normalized to exclude the over accretion of transaction costs
relating to the Company's senior secured credit facilities. |
|
|
5. |
As a result of the Company's comprehensive refinancing, the Company
has recognized an accounting gain stemming from the modification
made to its senior secured credit facilities. |
|
|
6. |
In 2024 Q2, the Company had recognized an accounting loss on the
debt extinguishment of the amendments made to the MDC Senior
Unsecured Facility. |
|
|
7. |
During the year the Company settled its equity swaps which were
used to hedge the exposure associated with changes in value of its
Shares with respect to outstanding management restricted units and
a portion of the outstanding performance share units, and deferred
share units. |
|
|
8. |
Costs and recoveries associated with amendments to, and closures
of, the Company's pension plans. 2022 Q2 includes $7.0 million for
the liability related to the anticipated closure of MCI’s Pembina
facility and withdrawal from the multi-employer pension plan. In
2023 Q4, the Company made the decision to continue operations of
the Pembina facility indefinitely, thereby reversing the above
adjustments made in 2022 Q2. Also included is $4.8 million of
pension past service costs incurred during 2023 Q1. |
|
|
9. |
Normalized to exclude non-operating costs related to an insurance
event that are not recoverable, or are related to the
deductible. |
|
|
10. |
Includes adjustments made related to items that occurred outside of
normal operations. This includes specified items purchased in
broker markets at a premium and associated broker fees, which the
Company provided to suppliers, and does not normally directly
purchase. Also included is the additional labour costs associated
with the shortage of the specified item. |
|
|
11. |
Includes the impact of changes in deferred tax balances as a result
of substantively enacted tax rate changes. The 2022 amounts include
the impact of the revaluation of deferred tax balances due to the
enacted increase in the UK corporate tax rate from 19% to 25% in
2021 Q3. Also included in 2022 Q4 is the impact of the reduction of
deferred tax assets related to the derecognition of loss carry
forwards in Canada, and restricted interest in the UK. |
|
|
12. |
Includes adjustments made related to expenses that pertain to prior
years. 2022 Q3 and 2022 Q4 includes expenses related to amounts
that should have been capitalized from prior years. |
|
|
13. |
Provision for sales taxes as a result of a previous state sales tax
review. |
|
|
14. |
Includes 2022 Q4 impairment charges with respect to ARBOC's
goodwill of $23.2 million and the Alexander Dennis manufacturing
CGU's goodwill of $80.7 million. |
|
|
15. |
In 2024 Q1, the Company recognized an impairment loss on a NPD
project for $1.0 million. |
|
|
16. |
Normalized to exclude non-operating restructuring costs. Costs
primarily relate to severance costs, inefficient labour costs,
increased medical costs and right-of-use asset impairments and
inventory impairments associated with other restructuring
initiatives. Free Cash FlowNG reconciling amounts are net of
right-of-use asset and property, plant and equipment
impairments. |
|
|
Reconciliation of Shareholders' Equity to
Invested Capital
The following table reconciles Shareholders'
Equity to Invested Capital. The average invested capital for the
last twelve months is used in the calculation of ROICNG. ROICNG is
not a recognized measure under IFRS and does not have a
standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS. Accordingly, ROIC may not
be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. See
Non-IFRS Measures for the definition of ROICNG.
($ thousands) |
2024 Q3 |
2024 Q2 |
2024 Q1 |
2023 Q4 |
Shareholders' Equity |
699,717 |
|
704,031 |
|
697,580 |
|
702,913 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Addback |
|
|
|
|
Long term debt |
610,624 |
|
576,145 |
|
562,324 |
|
536,037 |
|
Second lien debt |
173,309 |
|
172,910 |
|
172,568 |
|
172,396 |
|
Obligation under lease |
130,020 |
|
131,382 |
|
135,959 |
|
138,003 |
|
Convertible Debentures |
230,453 |
|
225,628 |
|
225,972 |
|
228,985 |
|
Senior unsecured debt |
56,210 |
|
54,997 |
|
61,081 |
|
61,796 |
|
Derivatives |
2,327 |
|
(2,740 |
) |
(1,783 |
) |
8,010 |
|
Cash |
(59,720 |
) |
(77,445 |
) |
(68,491 |
) |
(49,615 |
) |
Bank indebtedness |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
Invested Capital |
1,842,940 |
|
1,784,908 |
|
1,785,210 |
|
1,798,525 |
|
Average of invested capital over the quarter |
1,813,922 |
|
1,785,059 |
|
1,791,868 |
|
1,802,654 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2023 Q2 |
2023 Q1 |
2022 Q4 |
2022 Q3 |
Shareholders' Equity |
706,177 |
|
495,140 |
|
533,756 |
|
577,575 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Addback |
|
|
|
|
Long term debt |
583,948 |
|
935,605 |
|
911,203 |
|
896,626 |
|
Second lien debt |
172,975 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
Capital leases |
130,102 |
|
124,405 |
|
127,247 |
|
131,625 |
|
Convertible Debentures |
221,427 |
|
225,081 |
|
218,719 |
|
217,516 |
|
Senior unsecured debt |
60,838 |
|
87,363 |
|
86,431 |
|
- |
|
Derivatives |
6,814 |
|
(9,422 |
) |
(17,164 |
) |
(21,620 |
) |
Cash |
(75,498 |
) |
(57,488 |
) |
(59,375 |
) |
(49,987 |
) |
Bank indebtedness |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
Invested Capital |
1,806,783 |
|
1,800,684 |
|
1,800,817 |
|
1,751,735 |
|
Average of invested capital over the quarter |
1,803,734 |
|
1,800,751 |
|
1,776,276 |
|
1,798,614 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Appendix B - Non-IFRS Measures and
Forward-Looking Statements
Non-IFRS Measures
References to “Adjusted EBITDA” are to earnings
before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization after
adjusting for the effects of certain non-recurring and/or
non-operations related items and expenses incurred outside the
normal course of operations that do not reflect the current ongoing
cash operations of the Company. These adjustments include gains or
losses on disposal of property, plant and equipment, fair value
adjustment for total return swap, unrealized foreign exchange
losses or gains on non-current monetary items and forward foreign
exchange contracts, costs associated with assessing strategic and
corporate initiatives, past service costs and other pension costs
or recovery, non-operating costs or recoveries related to business
acquisition, fair value adjustment to acquired subsidiary company's
inventory and deferred revenue, proportion of the total return swap
realized, equity settled stock-based compensation, expenses
incurred outside the normal course of operations, recovery of
currency transactions, prior year sales tax provision, COVID-19
costs and impairment loss on goodwill and non-operating
restructuring costs.
References to "NOPAT" are to Adjusted EBITDA
less depreciation of plant and equipment, depreciation of
right-of-use assets and income taxes at a rate of 31%.
“Free Cash Flow” means net cash generated by or
used in operating activities adjusted for changes in non-cash
working capital items, interest paid, interest expense, income
taxes paid, current income tax expense, repayment of obligation
under lease, cash capital expenditures, acquisition of intangible
assets, proceeds from disposition of property, plant and equipment,
costs associated with assessing strategic and corporate
initiatives, fair value adjustment to acquired subsidiary company's
inventory and deferred revenue, defined benefit funding, defined
benefit expense, past service costs and other pension costs or
recovery, expenses incurred outside the normal course of
operations, proportion of total return swap, unrecoverable
insurance costs, prior year sales tax provision, non-operating
restructuring costs, extraordinary COVID-19 costs, foreign exchange
gain or loss on cash held in foreign currency.
References to "ROIC" are to NOPAT divided by
average invested capital for the last twelve month period
(calculated as to shareholders’ equity plus long-term debt,
obligations under leases, other long-term liabilities and
derivative financial instrument liabilities less cash).
References to "Adjusted Net Earnings (Loss)" are
to net earnings (loss) after adjusting for the after tax effects of
certain non-recurring and/or non-operational related items that do
not reflect the current ongoing cash operations of the Company
including: fair value adjustments of total return swap, unrealized
foreign exchange loss or gain, unrealized gain or loss on the
interest rate swap, impairment loss on goodwill, portion of the
total return swap realized, costs associated with assessing
strategic and corporate initiatives, fair value adjustment to
acquired subsidiary company's inventory and deferred revenue,
equity settled stock-based compensation, gain or loss on disposal
of property, plant and equipment, past service costs and other
pension costs or recovery, recovery on currency transactions,
expenses incurred outside the normal course of operations prior
year sales tax provision, COVID-19 costs and non-operating
restructuring costs .
References to "Adjusted Net Earnings (Loss) per
Share" are to Adjusted Net Earnings (Loss) divided by the average
number of Shares outstanding.
Management believes Adjusted EBITDA, ROIC, Free
Cash Flow, Adjusted Net Earnings (Loss) and Adjusted Net Earnings
(Loss) per Share are useful measures in evaluating the performance
of the Company. However, Adjusted EBITDA, ROIC, Free Cash Flow,
Adjusted Net Earnings (Loss) and Adjusted Earnings (Loss) per Share
are not recognized earnings or cash flow measures under IFRS and do
not have standardized meanings prescribed by IFRS. Readers of this
press release are cautioned that ROIC, Adjusted Net Earnings (Loss)
and Adjusted EBITDA should not be construed as an alternative to
net earnings or loss or cash flows from operating activities
determined in accordance with IFRS as an indicator of NFI’s
performance, and Free Cash Flow should not be construed as an
alternative to cash flows from operating, investing and financing
activities determined in accordance with IFRS as a measure of
liquidity and cash flows. A reconciliation of net earnings (loss)
to Adjusted EBITDA, based on the Financial Statements, has been
provided under the headings “Reconciliation of Net Loss to Adjusted
EBITDA and Net Operating Profit After Taxes”. A reconciliation of
net earnings (loss) to Adjusted Net Earnings (Loss) is provided
under the heading “Reconciliation of Net Loss to Adjusted Net
Loss”.
NFI's method of calculating Adjusted EBITDA,
ROIC, Free Cash Flow, Adjusted Net Earnings and Adjusted Net
Earnings per Share may differ materially from the methods used by
other issuers and, accordingly, may not be comparable to similarly
titled measures used by other issuers. Dividends paid from Free
Cash Flow are not assured, and the actual amount of dividends
received by holders of Shares will depend on, among other things,
the Company's financial performance, debt covenants and
obligations, working capital requirements and future capital
requirements, all of which are susceptible to a number of risks, as
described in NFI’s public filings available on SEDAR at
www.sedarplus.ca.
"Total Liquidity" is not a recognized measure
under IFRS and does not have a standardized meaning prescribed by
IFRS. The Company defines liquidity as cash on-hand plus available
capacity under its credit facilities without consideration given to
the $50 minimum liquidity requirement under the Company’s senior
credit facilities.
The value of the Company’s "backlog" is not a
recognized measure under IFRS and does not have a standardized
meaning prescribed by IFRS.
References to NFI's geographic regions for the
purpose of reporting global revenues are as follows: "North
America" refers to Canada, United States, and Mexico; United
Kingdom and Europe refer to the United Kingdom and Europe; and
"Asia Pacific" or "APAC" refers to Hong Kong, Malaysia, Singapore,
Australia, and New Zealand.
Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains “forward-looking
information” and “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of
applicable Canadian securities laws, which reflect the expectations
of management regarding the Company’s future growth, financial
performance, and liquidity and objectives and the Company’s
strategic initiatives, plans, business prospects and opportunities,
including the impact of and recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic,
supply chain disruptions and plans to address them. The words
“believes”, “views”, “anticipates”, “plans”, “expects”, “intends”,
“projects”, “forecasts”, “estimates”, “guidance”, “goals”,
“objectives”, “targets” and similar words or expressions of future
events or conditional verbs such as “may”, “will”, “should”,
“could”, “would” are intended to identify forward-looking
statements. These forward-looking statements reflect management’s
current expectations regarding future events (including the
temporary nature of the supply chain disruptions and operational
challenges, production improvement, labour supply shortages and
labour rates, the recovery of the Company’s markets and the
expected benefits to be obtained through its “NFI Forward”
initiatives) and the Company’s financial and operating performance
and speak only as of the date of this press release. By their very
nature, forward-looking statements require management to make
assumptions and involve significant risks and uncertainties, should
not be read as guarantees of future events, performance or results,
and give rise to the possibility that management’s predictions,
forecasts, projections, expectations or conclusions will not prove
to be accurate, that the assumptions may not be correct and that
the Company’s future growth, financial condition, ability to
generate sufficient cash flow and maintain adequate liquidity, and
the Company’s strategic initiatives, objectives, plans, business
prospects and opportunities, including the Company’s plans and
expectations relating to the impact of and recovery from the
COVID-19 pandemic, supply chain disruptions, operational
challenges, labour supply shortages and inflationary and labour
rate pressures, will not occur or be achieved.
A number of factors that may cause actual
results to differ materially from the results discussed in the
forward-looking statements include: the Company’s business,
operating results, financial condition and liquidity may be
materially adversely impacted by the aftermath and ongoing impacts
of the global COVID-19 pandemic and related supply chain and
operational challenges, inflationary effects, and labour supply
challenges; while the Company is closely managing its liquidity, it
is possible that various events (such as delayed deliveries and
customer acceptances, delayed customer payments, supply chain
issues, product recalls and warranty claims) could significantly
impair the Company’s liquidity and there can be no assurance that
the Company would be able to obtain additional liquidity when
required in such circumstances; the Company’s business, operating
results, financial condition and liquidity may be materially
adversely impacted by ongoing conflicts in Ukraine, Russia, Israel
and Palestine, due to factors including but not limited to further
supply chain disruptions, inflationary pressures and tariffs on
certain raw materials and components that may be necessary for the
Company’s operations; funding may not continue to be available to
the Company’s customers at current levels or at all; the Company’s
business is affected by economic factors and adverse developments
in economic conditions which could have an adverse effect on the
demand for the Company’s products and the results of its
operations; currency fluctuations could adversely affect the
Company’s financial results or competitive position; interest rates
could change substantially, materially impacting the Company’s
revenue and profitability; an active, liquid trading market for the
Shares and/or the Debentures may cease to exist, which may limit
the ability of securityholders to trade Shares and/or Debentures;
the market price for the Shares and/or the Debentures may be
volatile; if securities or industry analysts do not publish
research or reports about the Company and its business, if they
adversely change their recommendations regarding the Shares or if
the Company’s results of operations do not meet their expectations,
the Share price and trading volume could decline, in addition, if
securities or industry analysts publish inaccurate or unfavorable
research about the Company or its business, the Share price and
trading volume of the Shares could decline; competition in the
industry and entrance of new competitors; current requirements
under U.S. “Buy America” regulations may change and/or become more
onerous or suppliers’ “Buy America” content may change; failure of
the Company to comply with the U.S. Disadvantaged Business
Enterprise (“DBE”) program requirements or the failure to have its
DBE goals approved by the U.S. FTA; absence of fixed term customer
contracts, exercise of options and customer suspension or
termination for convenience; local content bidding preferences in
the United States may create a competitive disadvantage;
requirements under Canadian content policies may change and/or
become more onerous; the Company’s business may be materially
impacted by climate change matters, including risks related to the
transition to a lower-carbon economy; operational risk resulting
from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and/or systems
or from external events, including fiduciary breaches, regulatory
compliance failures, legal disputes, business disruption,
pandemics, floods, technology failures, processing errors, business
integration, damage to physical assets, employee safety and
insurance coverage; the Company may not be able to maintain
performance bonds or letters of credit required by its contracts or
obtain performance bonds and letters of credit required for new
contracts; international operations subject the Company to
additional risks and costs and may cause profitability to decline;
compliance with international trade regulations, tariffs and
duties; dependence on unique or limited sources of supply;
dependence on supply of engines that comply with emission
regulations; a disruption, termination or alteration of the supply
of vehicle chassis or other critical components from third-party
suppliers could materially adversely affect the sales of certain of
the Company’s products; the Company’s profitability can be
adversely affected by increases in raw material and component
costs; the Company may incur material losses and costs as a result
of product warranty costs, recalls, failure to comply with motor
vehicle manufacturing regulations and standards and the remediation
of transit buses and motor coaches; production delays may result in
liquidated damages under the Company’s contracts with its
customers; catastrophic events, including those related to impacts
of climate change, may lead to production curtailments or
shutdowns; the Company may not be able to successfully renegotiate
collective bargaining agreements when they expire and may be
adversely affected by labour disruptions and shortages of labour;
the Company’s operations are subject to risks and hazards that may
result in monetary losses and liabilities not covered by insurance
or which exceed its insurance coverage; the Company may be
adversely affected by rising insurance costs; the Company is
subject to litigation in the ordinary course of business and may
incur material losses and costs as a result of product liability
and other claims; the Company may have difficulty selling pre-owned
coaches and realizing expected resale values; the Company may incur
costs in connection with regulations relating to axle weight
restrictions and vehicle lengths; the Company may be subject to
claims and liabilities under environmental, health and safety laws;
dependence on management information systems and cyber security
risks; the Company’s ability to execute its strategy and conduct
operations is dependent upon its ability to attract, train and
retain qualified personnel, including its ability to retain and
attract executives, senior management and key employees; the
Company may be exposed to liabilities under applicable
anti-corruption laws and any determination that it violated these
laws could have a material adverse effect on its business; the
Company’s risk management policies and procedures may not be fully
effective in achieving their intended purposes; internal controls
over financial reporting, no matter how well designed, have
inherent limitations; there are inherent limitations to the
effectiveness of any system of disclosure controls and procedures,
including the possibility of human error and the circumvention or
overriding of the controls and procedures; ability to successfully
execute strategic plans and maintain profitability; development of
competitive or disruptive products, services or technology;
development and testing of new products or model variants;
acquisition risk; reliance on third-party manufacturers;
third-party distribution/dealer agreements; availability to the
Company of future financing; the Company may not be able to
generate the necessary amount of cash to service its existing debt,
which may require the Company to refinance its debt; the Company’s
substantial consolidated indebtedness could negatively impact the
business; the restrictive covenants in the Company’s credit
facilities could impact the Company’s business and affect its
ability to pursue its business strategies; in December 2022, the
Board made the decision to suspend the payment of dividends given
credit agreement constraints and to support the Company’s focus on
improving its liquidity and financial position and the resumption
of dividends is not assured or guaranteed; a significant amount of
the Company’s cash may be distributed, which may restrict potential
growth; the Company is dependent on its subsidiaries for all cash
available for distributions; Coliseum has a significant influence
over the Company and its interests may not align with those of the
Company’s other securityholders; the Company may not be able to
make principal payments on the Debentures; redemption by the
Company of the Debentures for Shares will result in dilution to
holders of Shares; Debentures may be redeemed by the Company prior
to maturity; the Company may not be able to repurchase the
Debentures upon a change of control as required by the trust
indenture under which the Debentures were issued (the “Indenture”);
conversion of the Debentures following certain transactions could
lessen or eliminate the value of the conversion privilege
associated with the Debentures; future sales or the possibility of
future sales of a substantial number of Shares or Debentures may
impact the price of the Shares and/or the Debentures and could
result in dilution; payments to holders of the Debentures are
subordinated in right of payment to existing and future Senior
Indebtedness (as described under the Indenture) and will depend on
the financial health of the Company and its creditworthiness; if
the Company is required to write down goodwill or other intangible
assets, its financial condition and operating results would be
negatively affected; and income and other tax risk resulting from
the complexity of the Company’s businesses and operations and the
income and other tax interpretations, legislation and regulations
pertaining to the Company’s activities being subject to continual
change.
Factors relating to the aftermath and ongoing
effects of the global COVID-19 pandemic include: ongoing economic
and social disruptions; production rates may not increase as
planned and may decrease; ongoing and future supply delays and
shortages of parts and components, and shipping and freight delays,
and disruption to or shortage of labour supply may continue or
worsen; the pandemic has adversely affected operations of suppliers
and customers and those effects may continue or worsen; the
increase in customers' purchase of Company's products may not
continue and may reverse; the supply of parts and components by
suppliers continues to be challenged and may deteriorate; the
recovery of the Company’s markets in the future may not continue
and demand may be lower than expected; the Company’s ability to
obtain access to additional capital if required may be impaired;
and the Company’s financial performance and condition, obligations,
cash flow and liquidity and its ability to maintain compliance with
the covenants under its credit facilities may be impaired. There
can be no assurance that the Company will be able to maintain
sufficient liquidity for an extended period or have access to
additional capital or government financial support; and there can
be no assurance as to if or when production operations will return
to pre-pandemic production rates. There is also no assurance that
governments will provide continued or adequate stimulus funding for
public transit agencies to purchase transit vehicles or that public
or private demand for the Company’s vehicles will return to
pre-pandemic levels on a sustained basis in the anticipated period
of time.
The Company cautions that the COVID-19 pandemic
may return or worsen or other pandemics or similar events may
arise. Such events are inherently unpredictable and may have severe
and far-reaching impacts on the Company's operations, markets, and
prospects.
Factors relating to the Company's “NFI Forward”
initiatives include: the Company's ability to successfully execute
the initiative and to generate the planned savings in the expected
time frame or at all; management may have overestimated the amount
of savings and production efficiencies that can be generated or may
have underestimated the amount of costs to be expended; the
implementation of the initiative may take longer than planned to
achieve the expected savings; further restructuring and
cost-cutting may be required in order to achieve the objectives of
the initiative; the estimated amount of savings generated under the
initiative may not be sufficient to achieve the planned benefits;
combining business units and/or reducing the number of production
or parts facilities may not achieve the efficiencies anticipated;
and the impact of the continuing global COVID-19 pandemic, supply
chain challenges and inflationary pressures. There can be no
assurance that the Company will be able to achieve the anticipated
financial and operational benefits, cost savings or other benefits
of the initiative.
Factors relating to the Company’s financial
guidance and targets disclosed in this press release include, in
addition to the factors set out above, the degree to which actual
future events accord with, or vary from, the expectations of, and
assumptions used by, the Company’s management in preparing the
financial guidance and targets and the Company’s ability to
successfully execute the “NFI Forward” initiatives and to generate
the planned savings in the expected time frame or at all.
Although the Company has attempted to identify
important factors that could cause actual actions, events or
results to differ materially from those described in
forward-looking statements, there may be other factors that could
cause actions, events or results not to be as anticipated,
estimated or intended or to occur or be achieved at all. Specific
reference is made to “Risk Factors” in the Company’s Annual
Information Form for a discussion of the factors that may affect
forward-looking statements and information. Should one or more of
these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying
assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially
from those described in forward-looking statements and information.
The forward-looking statements and information contained herein are
made as of the date of this press release (or as otherwise
indicated) and, except as required by law, the Company does not
undertake to update any forward-looking statement or information,
whether written or oral, that may be made from time to time by the
Company or on its behalf. The Company provides no assurance that
forward-looking statements and information will prove to be
accurate, as actual results and future events could differ
materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly,
readers and investors should not place undue reliance on
forward-looking statements and information.
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