PEA outlines the potential for a
competitive and globally significant high-grade lithium project
targeting up to ~800 ktpa spodumene concentrate
CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS
REGARDING THE PEA
|
The Preliminary
Economic Assessment (PEA) referred to in this announcement is a
preliminary technical, conceptual and economic study of the
potential viability of developing the Shaakichiuwaanaan Project by
constructing a concentrate processing facility on site. The PEA
referred to in this announcement is conceptual, at scoping study
level only, which is based on a lower level of technical assessment
that is not sufficient to support the estimation of mineral
reserves and is inherently uncertain. The PEA has an accuracy of ±
25-30% only to determine potential viability. It does not have the
same level of detail, precision and confidence to determine
technical and economic viability as a pre-feasibility study (PFS)
or definitive feasibility study (FS). Further exploration and
evaluation work and appropriate studies are required before the
Company will be in a position to estimate any mineral reserves or
to provide any assurance of an economic development case.
Approximately 75% of the Life of Mine production is in the
Indicated Mineral Resource category and 25% is in the Inferred
Mineral Resource Category. The use of Inferred Mineral Resources in
the PEA is not the determining factor in the viability of the
Shaakichiuwaanaan Project. The Inferred Mineral Resource is
considered too speculative geologically to have the economic
considerations applied to them that would enable them to be
categorised as mineral reserves and is not the determining factor
in the viability of the Shaakichiuwaanaan Project. Inferred Mineral
Resources are that part of the mineral resource for which quantity
and grade, or quality are estimated on the basis of limited
geologic evidence and sampling, which is sufficient to imply but
not verify grade or quality continuity. Inferred Mineral Resources
may therefore not be converted to mineral reserves. Whilst both the
CIM Code and JORC Code provide that it is reasonably expected,
though not guaranteed, that the majority of Inferred Mineral
Resources could be upgraded to Indicated Mineral Resources with
continued exploration, in accordance with ASX Listing Rule 5.16.4,
there is a low level of geological confidence associated with
Inferred Mineral Resources and there is no certainty that further
exploration work will result in the determination of Indicated
Mineral Resources or that the production target in the PEA will be
realized. Accordingly, there is no certainty that the PEA or its
conclusions will be realised.
The PEA is based on the material assumptions outlined elsewhere in
this announcement. These include pricing assumptions and
assumptions about the availability of funding including the
availability of tax credits under CTM-ITC and cash flow from Stage
1 operations which are not guaranteed. While the Company considers
all the material assumptions to be based on reasonable grounds,
there is no certainty that they will prove to be correct or that
the range of outcomes indicated by the PEA will be achieved.
In accordance with ASX's guidance on scoping studies, the Company
makes the following statements.
To achieve the range of outcomes indicated in the PEA, funding in
the order of $869.7 million is required for Stage 1 and $503.8
million for Stage 2, representing a total of $1,373.5 million
(including contingency, pre-operating expenditure and assuming no
CTM-ITC nor Stage 1 cashflow becomes available). Despite the
Company having a track record of raising funds, investors should
note that there is no certainty that the Company will be able to
raise funding when needed. However, the Company has concluded it
has a reasonable basis for providing the forward-looking statements
included in this news release and believes that it has a
"reasonable basis" to expect it will be able to fund the
development of the Project based on the assumed long-term pricing
and on a staged development approach (and therefore staged funding
strategy), which involves a combination of potential strategic
partnering, strategic debt, equity financing, potential operating
cashflows, tax credits and funding from available government
infrastructure funds. It is possible that such funding may only be
available on terms that may be dilutive to or otherwise affect the
value of the Company's existing shares. It is also possible that
the Company could pursue other strategies to provide alternative
funding options. Given the uncertainties involved, investors should
not make any investment decisions based solely on the results of
the PEA.
Please refer to the "Disclaimer for Forward Looking Information"
section at the end of this document for more information regarding
assumptions and risks surrounding forward looking statements
contained herein.
|
VANCOUVER, BC, Aug. 21,
2024 /CNW/ - August 22,
2024 – Sydney,
Australia
HIGHLIGHTS
- Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) completed by independent
consultants, BBA and Primero, outlining a preliminary base case
scenario for a staged development of the cornerstone CV5 Spodumene
Pegmatite, via both open pit and underground mining methods.
- High-grade Nova Zone1 (including 21.8 million
tonnes at 2.1% Li2O of which 93% is Indicated, 7% is
Inferred Resource category respectively) to be targeted and
prioritised via underground mining methods, allowing direct access
to higher grade material and minimizing the environmental
footprint.
- At the targeted Stage 2 production rate of ~800
ktpa2 spodumene concentrate, this would potentially
position Patriot as the 4th largest spodumene
concentrate producer globally3.
- Potential pre-tax net present value ("NPV")8% of
$4.7 billion (US$3.6 billion) and after-tax NPV8% of
$2.9 billion (US$2.2 billion) with a pre-tax internal rate of
return ("IRR") of 38% (after-tax IRR of 34%) at US$1,375 per tonne (SC5.5, FOB Bécancour
basis).
- Payback period of 3.6 years at an assumed average lithium price
of US$1,375 per tonne (SC5.5, FOB
Bécancour basis) or US$1,500 per
tonne (SC6, FOB Bécancour basis), with life of mine ("LOM") of up
to 24 years.
- Targeting to become a North American top-tier, lower cost
producer with an estimated average LOM cash operating
cost4 at site of $510
per tonne (US$387) and total cash
operating cost free-on-board ("FOB" Bécancour)5 of
$736 per tonne (US$560)6.
- An estimated break-even SC6 price (on a fully ramped
800 ktpa, EBITDA, FOB Bécancour basis) of US$587/t highlights the potentially viable nature
of the Shaakichiuwaanaan Project throughout the lithium price
cycle.
- Estimated to indicatively generate approximately $8.3 billion in Project Cash Flow (unlevered)
over LOM.
- Average annual EBITDA7 anticipated to be in the
order of $850M and annual
FCF8 of $515M at an
assumed spodumene price of US$1,375
per tonne (SC5.5, FOB Bécancour basis).
- Phased development strategy with anticipated Stage 1 capital
expenditure estimate of $761M
(US$579M) for the first 400 ktpa
capacity including contingency and Net Capex of $640M (US$487M)
leveraging the proposed 30% Canadian Clean Technology Manufacturing
– Investment Tax Credit ("CTM-ITC")9.
- Estimated Stage 2 expansion Capex of $504M (US$383M)
including contingency and Net Capex of $408M (US$310M)
leveraging the proposed CTM-ITC, to reach a production capacity of
~800 ktpa of spodumene concentrate per year.
- The combined net cost10 to reach nameplate
production for both Stage 1 and Stage 2 is estimated to be
approximately $608M (US$462M) taking into account funding that could
come from both cash flows from Stage 1 and proposed CMT-ITC tax
credits.
- Process plant feed rate following Stage 2 expansion at an
average of ~4.5 Mtpa11 via simple DMS-only process;
average LOM lithia recovery of 69.5%; spodumene concentrate grade
at 5.5% Li2O.
- Access to existing, high quality transportation infrastructure
with potential future improvements in the region combined with a
low-carbon footprint, low cost and mainly renewable electricity
source.
- Tier 1, stable mining jurisdiction of Eeyou Istchee James Bay
region of Québec (under modern land claims agreement – James Bay
Northern Quebec Agreement "JBNQA") combined with a strong
relationship with the Cree Nation of Chisasibi, Cree Nation Government and all
stakeholders.
- The Eeyou Istchee James Bay region's unique Examination
Committee "COMEX" permitting process, with its well-defined
guidelines, ensures a structured and clear path to project
approval, fostering strong community and stakeholder
engagement.
- Significant opportunities to enhance returns through further
resource expansion, optimized mining to further prioritise access
to the high-grade Nova Zone earlier and additional cost-saving
measures indicate transformative potential.
- The Company will consider progressing a Feasibility Study,
which among other options may include a trade-off study for a
smaller high-grade focused development scenario, to optimise the
project in the event of a lower price environment.
- The Project remains on track with FID targeted in CY27,
indicatively paving the way for the construction to progress
through CY28 and first production commencing in early CY29.
___________
|
1
|
The Nova Zone is a
subset of the CV5 Resource, proposed to be accessed via the same
underground mining method targeting the overall PEA underground
Resource of 39.8 Mt @ 1.54% Li2O (70% is Indicated, 30%
is Inferred Resource category respectively).
|
2
|
The annual production
rate of ~800 ktpa is calculated considering the period of full
production, i.e. Years 4 to 18 – see Figure 34.
|
3
|
See Figure
2.
|
4
|
Cash operating cost at
site includes mining, processing and site administration expenses
calculated on an SC5.5 basis. They are non-IFRS financial measures,
and when expressed per tonne, non-IFRS ratios. Refer to
"Non-IFRS and other financial measures" for further
information on these measures.
|
5
|
Total cash operating
cost (FOB Bécancour) includes mining, processing, site
administration, and product transportation to Bécancour calculated
on an SC5.5 basis. They are non-IFRS financial measures, and when
expressed per tonne, non-IFRS ratios. Refer to "Non-IFRS
and other financial measures" for further information on
these measures.
|
6
|
Refer to Table 4 – Cash
Operating Costs.
|
7
|
EBITDA is a non-IFRS
financial measure which is comprised of net income or loss from
operations before income taxes, finance expense – net, depreciation
and amortization. This annual EBITDA is calculated considering the
period of full production (i.e., Years 4 to 18). Refer to
"Non-IFRS and other financial measures" for further
information on these measures.
|
8
|
FCF is a non-IFRS
financial measure defined as cash provided from operating
activities, less cash outlays for sustaining capital, and less
taxes. The annual FCF is calculated considering the period of full
production (i.e., Years 4 to 18). Refer to "Non-IFRS and
other financial measures" for further information on these
measures.
|
9
|
The CTM-ITC (enacted on
June 20, 2024) provides for up to 30% of the cost of the investment
in eligible property used for eligible activities through a
refundable investment credit mechanism – see Table 3 for a full
breakdown of the capital cost estimate.
|
10
|
The combined net cost
includes Capex, Opex during pre-production of $108.3M, estimated
CMT-ITC tax credits of $216.7M, contingency of $242.8M and
potential cash flow during expansion of $548.7M – see Table 3 for a
full breakdown of the capital cost estimate.
|
11
|
The average process
plant feed rate of ~4.5 ktpa is calculated considering the period
of full production, i.e. Years 4 to 18.
|
MANAGEMENT COMMENT
Ken Brinsden,
President, CEO, & Managing Director for the Company, said:
"Although studies are still at an early stage the potential
outcomes of the PEA for the Shaakichiuwaanaan Project highlights
the opportunity for Patriot Battery Metals to become a global
lithium leader and a key supplier of lithium raw materials
to the emerging North American and European battery materials
supply chain.
"The PEA outlines a staged development pathway
for Shaakichiuwaanaan, commencing with an initial 400 ktpa
production capacity which is intended to allow us to leverage the
key competitive advantages of this world-class deposit to provide
lithium raw materials in emerging western markets.
"Importantly, the resources to be mined
include a high-grade component in the Nova Zone that creates an
opportunity for a potentially resilient project, while also giving
us considerable flexibility in terms of how we progress
Shaakichiuwaanaan. This flexibility and scalability could allow us
to adapt nimbly to evolving market conditions, while continuing to
grow the resource base.
"As we consider moving to the Feasibility
Study stage, the Project's anticipated low operating costs and
expected IRA-compliant high-quality lithium product could make us
an ideal partner for downstream players, making this a highly
strategic asset in the future lithium landscape. There is also
strong inbound interest from strategic partners to support Stage 1
funding, alongside potential access to Government funding
mechanisms.
"The Shaakichiuwaanaan Project is potentially
well positioned to anchor the North American lithium supply chain,
meeting demand for decades to come, in the process targeting
significant returns for all our stakeholders while maintaining a
strong emphasis on sustainability and limited environmental
impact," Mr. Brinsden added.
Patriot Battery Metals Inc.
("Patriot" or the "Company") (TSX: PMET) (ASX: PMT)
(OTCQX: PMETF) (FSE: R9GA), is pleased to announce the results of a
Preliminary Economic Assessment ("PEA") for the
Shaakichiuwaanaan Project (the "Project" or the
"Property") (formerly known as Corvette), located in the
Eeyou Istchee James Bay region of Québec, Canada.
The PEA outlines a scenario for the staged
development of the cornerstone CV5 Spodumene Pegmatite via both
open pit and underground mining methods, thereby maximizing earlier
access to the high-grade Nova Zone. This scenario provides
optionality and flexibility to unlock the potential of the
Shaakichiuwaanaan Project to become a leading lithium raw materials
supplier in North America.
This study is based on the CV5 Pegmatite
component of the recently announced updated Shaakichiuwaanaan
Mineral Resource Estimate ("MRE"), which is the largest known
lithium pegmatite Mineral Resource in the Americas and the
8th largest globally (see news release dated
August 5, 2024).
Although no final investment decision has been
reached for the Shaakichiuwaanaan Project, the compelling economic
potential presented in the PEA, coupled with the expected
straightforward nature of the Project in terms of geology,
pegmatite geometry, mining methodology and processing, supports the
Company considering to progress a Feasibility Study ("FS"). If a FS
is progressed, it would be targeted for completion during the
September quarter 2025, in parallel with the submission of the
Project Environmental and Social Impact Assessment "ESIA"
documentation.
It is contemplated that a trade-off study would
also be undertaken at the early stage of a FS to explore the
potential advantages of further prioritizing a potentially smaller
scale underground development to access the high-grade Nova Zone
within CV5, during the Stage 1 development1. This study
will aim to further define and optimise the Project's potential
economic returns and potentially create flexibility to increase the
plant feed grade during periods of possible lower pricing outcomes.
Higher plant feed grades could improve the yield-to-product,
thereby directly correlating to lower unit production costs. This
strategy has the potential to deliver a more financially resilient
project in a low-price scenario, ensuring more sustainable returns
and operations through the lithium price cycles.
A technical report prepared in accordance with
National Instrument 43-101 Standards of Disclosure for Mineral
Projects ("NI 43-101") including the PEA and the MRE will be
filed on SEDAR+ by September 19,
2024.
Unless otherwise indicated, all references to "$"
or "CA$" in this release are to Canadian dollars and references to
"US$" in this release are to US dollars. A foreign exchange
conversation rate of US$ of 0.76US$/CA$ has been used over the LOM.
___________
|
1
|
The PEA contemplates
Stage 1 as being open pit mining only, with the Stage 2 expansion
phase focusing on underground mining to access the Nova Zone in
parallel to the open pit mining. The trade-off study included in
the FS will explore the advantages of bringing forward the
underground mining operation as part of the Stage 1
development.
|
PRELIMINARY ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT (PEA) SUMMARY
Cautionary Statement: The PEA is
preliminary in nature and includes inferred mineral resources that
are considered too speculative geologically to have the economic
considerations applied to them. Inferred mineral resources are that
part of the mineral resource for which quantity and grade or
quality are estimated on the basis of limited geologic evidence and
sampling, which is sufficient to imply but not verify grade or
quality continuity. Inferred mineral resources may not be converted
to mineral reserves. It is reasonably expected, though not
guaranteed, that the majority of Inferred mineral resources could
be upgraded to Indicated mineral resources with continued
exploration. Accordingly, there is no certainty that the
preliminary economic assessment will be realized.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The PEA for the Shaakichiuwaanaan Project
highlights its economic potential and strategic advantages,
potentially positioning it among the largest
producers1 and as a top-tier low-cost producer of
lithium. The PEA outlines a promising staged development scenario
for the cornerstone CV5 Pegmatite deposit, utilizing both open pit
and underground mining methods, to ensure earlier access to the
high-grade Nova Zone.
Using DMS only processing a 5.5% Li2O
spodumene concentrate will be targeted in both the Stage 1 and
Stage 2 expansion production scenarios. The concentrate will be
transported by road and rail to Bécancour, where the base case
assumes it to be converted to lithium chemicals by the customer(s)
or otherwise loaded at the Bécancour port facilities for seaborne
trade.
As announced on August 5,
2024, Shaakichiuwaanaan hosts the largest known lithium
pegmatite Mineral Resource in the Americas and the 8th
largest known globally. Based on the preliminary economic results
of the PEA for the proposed development of the CV5 Spodumene
Pegmatite, the Company will consider advancing the Project to the
FS level, which if progressed is expected to be completed in the
September Quarter 2025. The Company's strategy will emphasize
resource growth and a phased development approach, ensuring
flexibility and scalability to adapt to market conditions.
The PEA incorporates a staged development
strategy, with Stage 1 targeting production capacity of ~400 kpta
of spodumene concentrate with an estimated Initial Net Capex of
$640M (US$487M)2, including contingency and
proposed CTM-ITC tax credits.
This first stage lays a solid foundation for the
Project to commence production, with a subsequent Stage 2 expansion
aimed at doubling the production capacity to ~800 ktpa. The Stage 2
expansion has an estimated Net Capex of $408M (US$310M)
including contingency and proposed CTM-ITC tax credits3.
The combined net cost requirement to reach nameplate production for
both Stage 1 and Stage 2 is estimated to be approximately
$608M (US$462M)4 taking into account
cash flows from Stage 1 and proposed CMT-ITC tax credits.
The Company will only commit to development after
considering the economic conditions that prevail or are foreseeable
at the time that an initial production decision, or when a
subsequent expansion decision is made. That said, through the
publication of this preliminary economic assessment, the Company
believes the Shaakichiuwaanaan Project has the potential to be a
long-life lithium asset with unique competitive
characteristics.
Staged development also opens the opportunity for
the expansion capacity to be funded partly or entirely through
internal cash flows expected to be generated from Stage 1. This
will be further assessed in any future FS.
With the production scenario outlined in the PEA,
the Shaakichiuwaanaan Project could become one of the largest
spodumene producers in the world5 at the completion
of the Stage 2 expansion phase, and potentially the largest
spodumene producer in the Americas, offering production of SC5.5
spodumene concentrate in a stable jurisdiction.
Financial estimates in the PEA are based on a
long-term weighted average spodumene concentrate price of
US$1,375/t (SC5.5 – FOB Bécancour
basis), which currently sits above spot pricing, but is derived
from market price forecasts by independent reporting agencies,
banking commodities analyst reports and recently published
technical reports.
The PEA demonstrates the potential for robust
economics, highlighted by a combined after-tax NPV8% of
$2.9 billion (US$2.2 billion) and after-tax IRR of 34%. The
Project's mine life is projected at 24 years, based on a total
extracted Mineral Resource of 66% of total resources defined at
CV5, generating significant net cash flows with capital payback
achieved in 3.6 years.
Further analysis of the preferred project mining
methodology for CV5 will be a key component of any proposed FS
activities. The FS would seek to determine the most economic
approach for mining the resource, based on the PEA's hybrid mining
method (inclusive of both open pit and underground mining methods)
for the base scope.
The FS would also include an early trade-off
study that will evaluate accelerated development of the
higher-grade Nova Zone, with the aim of bringing it into production
as early as possible. Increasing the feed grade to the processing
facility from a higher-grade zone is expected to be directly
correlated to lower process plant production costs, and therefore
earlier access to the Nova Zone potentially creates greater
resilience to lower product pricing outcomes.
The Company's PEA mining strategy has adopted
both open-pit and underground mining methods and was designed to
gain earlier underground access to the high-grade Nova Zone in the
northeast area of the CV5 Pegmatite than would be possible with
just open pit mining. This approach has the potential to reduce the
Project's operational footprint, potentially simplifying the
approval process by decreasing the open pits strip ratio and
therefore minimizing waste deposition at surface. The open pit
strip ratio during the proposed PEA LOM scenario is estimated to be
a low 3.7:1.
The mining strategy is further complemented by
ramping up production in low-strip, higher-grade areas of the open
pit(s), which also serves to de-risk project execution, ensuring
stable production in the initial years. This phased and incremental
expansion is designed to allow for managed growth and adaptability,
which the Company would expect could be further enhanced by
accessing the Nova Zone earlier in the mine's development.
Additionally, the strategy adopted in the PEA
aligns with positioning the Company to support downstream chemical
conversion in Québec, reflecting its commitment to integrating the
value chain and enhancing local economic benefits.
Furthermore, this strategy has the potential to
establish the Company as a key player in the development of a
global North America &
Europe supply chain for lithium,
helping to meet the rising demand for locally sourced, high-quality
lithium products which are compliant with the United States Inflation Reduction
Act ("IRA"). While focusing on Québec, the Project's attributes
would potentially make it attractive for downstream partners
globally, potentially capable of producing significant volumes
steadily for decades under various market conditions.
Considering the economic potential outlined in
the PEA, the Project is now advancing to its next phase of
development – with a FS being considered for completion in the
September Quarter 2025. Continued drilling will aim to complete
additional mineral resource upgrades from the Inferred to Indicated
categories to support the FS, expand the size of the existing
Mineral Resource base and explore new exploration targets, further
optimizing the value of the Shaakichiuwaanaan Project.
__________
|
1
|
Refer to Figure
2.
|
2
|
The Net Capex excludes
Opex during pre-production of $108.3M and assumes eligibility for a
tax credit of $121.1M under the CTM-ITC legislation. Stage 1 has
Capex of $761M which excludes CTM-ITC credits and pre-production
opex – see Table 3 for a full breakdown of the capital cost
estimate.
|
3
|
The Net Capex estimate
of $408M assumes eligibility for a tax credit of $95.6M under the
CTM- ITC legislation. Stage 2 expansion has Capex of $503.9M
excluding CTM-ITC credits – see Table 3 for a full breakdown of the
capital cost estimate.
|
4
|
The combined net cost
includes Capex, Opex during pre-production of $108.3M, estimated
CMT-ITC tax credits of $216.7M, contingency of $242.9M and cash
flow during expansion of $548.7M – see Table 3 for a full breakdown
of the capital cost estimate.
|
5
|
Refer to Figure
2.
|
LONG-TERM LITHIUM PRICE ASSUMPTIONS
Price forecasts are typically presented in the
market on a 6% Li2O spodumene concentrate ("SC6") basis.
For the purpose of this PEA the Company's pricing assumption has
been calibrated to SC5.5 by adjusting for lithium content on a pro
rata basis. The PEA assumes the product will be converted to
lithium chemicals in Bécancour by the customer(s), or otherwise
loaded to vessels for seaborne trade and therefore the forecast
price is presented on a FOB Bécancour basis.
The PEA uses a long-term weighted average
spodumene price assumption of US$1,375 (SC5.5, FOB Bécancour basis) per tonne.
This assumed price is supported by recent market price forecasts
from independent reporting agencies, banking commodities analyst
reports and company disclosures and recently published technical
reports, which indicate spodumene prices generally cluster around
US$1,300–US$1,500 per tonne for 5.5%
spodumene concentrate. Therefore, a price assumption for the PEA
within this range is considered to fairly represent foreseeable
longer-run market conditions applicable to the project development
scenario, as compared to current spot pricing of Spodumene
Concentrate US$760/t (SC6, FOB
Australia basis -15/08/24).
Globally, demand for lithium remains robust,
primarily fuelled by the electric vehicle ("EV") sector. Global EV
sales growth reached 20% in H1 2024, with EV market share rising to
17.8% in 2023 and projected to reach 20% of all car sales in 2024,
combining BEV and PHEV passenger cars. Additionally, energy storage
systems and consumer electronics continue to contribute
significantly to overall demand. In 2024, globally, lithium demand
for energy storage systems ("ESS") should be around 200,000 US tons
(compared to 1.5 M US tons for Ev's), a threefold increase in
4 years and representing the demand of the EV market from 2019.
More importantly, the United
States is the 2nd largest battery storage market
and doubled in size in 2023.1
Despite sufficient chemical capacity supporting
China's domestic consumption and
export markets, refining capacity limitations in Western markets
could affect the availability of battery-grade lithium products
compliant with Western legal framework like the IRA and European
Battery Passport process. This presents a strategic opportunity for
Patriot, with its North American, potentially IRA-compliant sourced
spodumene, to become a key player in the ex-China battery supply chain.
For instance, an IRA-compliant country or trading
partner must have a free trade agreement with the U.S., adhere to
high environmental and labour standards, ensure a stable and secure
supply chain and comply with U.S. regulatory guidelines. These
criteria promote sustainable practices and strategic supply chain
security.
In a similar vein, the European Union's Battery
Passport initiative aims to enhance the sustainability and
transparency of the battery supply chain. It mandates that
batteries, particularly those used in Evs, carry a digital passport
containing essential information about their lifecycle. This
includes data on sourcing, production, usage and recycling
processes. The initiative promotes responsible sourcing of raw
materials, reduces environmental impact, and ensures compliance
with social and environmental standards. By providing detailed
traceability, the Battery Passport fosters consumer trust,
facilitates recycling and supports the circular economy. It also
aligns with the EU's broader Green Deal goals, driving innovation
and sustainability in the battery industry.
The importance of IRA and Battery
Passport-compliant ("BPC") material and the challenges for some
industry participants to comply with those restrictions puts the
Shaakichiuwaanaan Project in a unique position.
These factors and the desire in Western markets
for IRA and BPC compliant product further support the decision to
use a long-term spodumene price assumption of US$1,375 (SC5.5, FOB Bécancour) per tonne in our
PEA, reflecting a balanced and strategic approach to future market
conditions and project viability.
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
The Shaakichiuwaanaan Project is expected to
yield an average annual production run-rate of
~800,0002 tpa of SC5.5 after commissioning both the
initial Stage 1 and Stage 2 expansion phases. Based on this
production rate and over the mine life, the Project generates an
estimated after-tax NPV8% of $2.9
billion (US$2.2 billion) and
after-tax IRR of 34% which is derived using an assumed average life
of mine spodumene concentrate price of US$1,375 (FOB Bécancour) for SC5.5.
__________
|
1
|
IEA Report, Global EV
Outlook 2024,
https://www.iea.org/reports/global-ev-outlook-2024/trends-in-electric-cars
|
2
|
The annual production
rate of ~800 ktpa is calculated considering the period of full
production, i.e. Years 4 to 18 – see Figure 34.
|
The financial summary and key physical parameters
of the Project are provided in the following tables:
Table 1: Summary of Estimated Project
Economics
Financial Results
|
Unit
|
CA$
|
US$
|
Long term price
assumption (SC5.5 – FOB Bécancour basis)
|
$/t
|
1,809
|
1,375
|
Pre-Tax
NPV0%
|
$
|
13,299
|
10,107
|
Pre-Tax
NPV8%
|
$
|
4,699
|
3,571
|
After-Tax
NPV0%
|
$
|
8,308
|
6,314
|
After-Tax
NPV8%
|
$
|
2,937
|
2,232
|
Pre-Tax
IRR
|
%
|
38
|
After-Tax
IRR
|
%
|
34
|
Payback
Period
|
year
|
3.6
|
Table 2: Estimated Production
Metrics
Key Metrics
|
Unit
|
Value
|
Stage 1 Construction
and Ramp Up Phase
|
year
|
2
|
Stage 2 Expansion
Construction and Ramp Up Phase
|
year
|
2
|
Years of
operations
|
year
|
24
|
Open Pit
|
|
|
Resource
mined
|
Mt
|
50.5
|
Waste mined
(including pre-strip)
|
Mt
|
188.6
|
Total tonnes
mined
|
Mt
|
239.0
|
LOM open pit strip
ratio (waste tonnes: resource tonnes)
|
Mt
|
3.7
|
Underground
|
|
|
Resource
mine
|
Mt
|
39.8
|
Total
|
|
|
Total resource (Open
Pit + Underground) mined and processed
|
Mt
|
90.2
|
Average DMS process
plant feed rate1
|
Mtpa
|
4.5
|
Average
Li2O recovery
|
%
|
69.5
|
Average feed
grade
|
%
|
1.31
|
Spodumene
Concentrate
|
Mt
|
14.9
|
Spodumene Concentrate
grade
|
%
|
5.5
|
Annual production
rate2
|
ktpa
|
800
|
- The average process plant feed rate of ~4.5 ktpa is
calculated considering the period of full production, i.e. Years 4
to 18.
- The annual production rate of ~800 ktpa is calculated
considering the period of full production, i.e. Years 4 to 18
– see Figure 34.
CAPITAL COST ESTIMATE
Table 3: Summary of Estimated Capital
Expenditures
Capital Expenditure
|
Stage 1
Capital Cost (M$)
|
Expansion
Capital (M$)
|
Combined
Phases (M$)
|
LOM
Sustaining
Capital
(M$)
|
Total
Cost
(M$)
|
General
|
142.1
|
9.0
|
151.1
|
-
|
151.1
|
Mine and
stockpiles
|
148.4
|
29.8
|
178.2
|
256.4
|
434.6
|
Process
|
124.6
|
124.6
|
249.2
|
26.0
|
275.2
|
Terminals (truck and
train)
|
8.5
|
-
|
8.5
|
-
|
8.5
|
Other services and
facilities
|
14.3
|
-
|
14.3
|
-
|
14.3
|
Underground mine
lateral development
|
-
|
110.9
|
110.9
|
203.4
|
314.3
|
Underground mine
infrastructure & paste plant
|
-
|
71.3
|
71.3
|
144.1
|
215.4
|
Fish habitat
compensation
|
20.1
|
-
|
20.1
|
-
|
20.1
|
Indirect
cost
|
140.5
|
78.2
|
218.7
|
-
|
218.7
|
Subtotal
|
598.5
|
423.8
|
1,022.3
|
629.9
|
1,652.2
|
Contingency
|
162.9
|
80.0
|
242.9
|
21.5
|
264.4
|
Total Capex
|
761.4
|
503.9
|
1,265.2
|
651.4
|
1,916.6
|
Clean Technology
Manufacturing (CTM) Investment Tax Credit
(ITC)1
|
(121.1)
|
(95.6)
|
(216.7)
|
(13.5)
|
(230.2)
|
Net Capex
|
640.3
|
408.2
|
1,048.5
|
637.9
|
1,686.4
|
Pre-Production Opex
|
Stage 1
Capital Cost
(M$)
|
Expansion
Capital
(M$)
|
Combined
Phases
(M$)
|
LOM
Sustaining
Capital
(M$)
|
Total
Cost
(M$)
|
Pre-production cost
for process plant
|
26.0
|
-
|
26.0
|
-
|
26.0
|
Mine
preproduction/preparation
|
82.3
|
-
|
82.3
|
-
|
82.3
|
Totals and Cash Flow
|
Stage 1
Capital Cost
(M$)
|
Expansion
Capital
(M$)
|
Combined
Phases
(M$)
|
LOM
Sustaining
Capital
(M$)
|
Total
Cost
(M$)
|
Net Total Pre-Production Opex +
Capex
|
748.6
|
408.2
|
1,156.8
|
637.9
|
1,794.7
|
Cash flow during
expansion2
|
-
|
(548.7)
|
(548.7)
|
-
|
(548.7)
|
Net Total Pre-Production Opex and Capex + Estimated
Cash Flow
|
748.6
|
(140.5)
|
608.1
|
637.9
|
1,246.0
|
Gross Total Pre-Production Opex + Capex Without Tax
Credit
|
869.7
|
503.8
|
1,373.5
|
651.4
|
2,024.9
|
- PMET may be eligible for CTM-ITC (Investment Tax Credit). This
legislation has been enacted on June 20,
2024. There is no guarantee the Company will be able to
access the ITC. If the ITC does not become available, the total
capex including contingency will increase by the amounts shown in
this row.
- Cashflows from Stage 1 would be dependent (amongst other
things) on reaching nameplate capacity on Stage 1, applicable
pricing at the time of production/expansion and the overall
economic viability of the Stage 1 operations and its cashflows,
which are not guaranteed. The PEA is only a preliminary economic
assessment based on mineral resources which are not reserves and
there is no certainty that the PEA assessment, including Stage 1
cashflows, can be realized. Mineral resources that are not ore
reserves do not demonstrate economic viability.
Management proposes to adopt a phased capital
expenditure strategy to ensure financial prudence and
adaptability.
Capital Expenditure
The development strategy for the
Shaakichiuwaanaan Project outlined in the PEA employs a staged
capital expenditure strategy, based on scalability to match
customers chemical capacity and prevailing economic conditions.
This approach ensures that initial infrastructure investments
support future expansion while optimizing financial efficiency. The
staged development strategy seeks to leverage initial cash flows
from Stage 1 operations to fully fund subsequent expansions in
Stage 2, potentially reducing reliance on external financing.
Stage 1
It is anticipated that Stage 1 of the development
will require an initial Net Capex of $640M (US$487M)1, including contingency and
proposed CTM-ITC tax credits. This phase includes building
infrastructure to a scale that supports the Stage 2 Expansion
Phase, which has been identified as a potentially cost-efficient
strategy at the PEA level. While this strategy has been identified
as cost-efficient, the infrastructure will need to be subject to
further analysis and optimization during the FS to ensure it is
being built in the most effective and cost-efficient manner.
General infrastructure includes the main access
road, bridge, electrical powerline, and accommodation camp, all
designed to serve both the Pre-production and Expansion Phases.
Additionally, the Mine and Stockpiles category encompasses the
garage, fuel station, and stockpile area, while the Process
category includes capital expenditures for the first production
train with a capacity of 2.5 Mtpa. An overall contingency has been
applied to all direct and indirect costs and is expected to
decrease as estimates are refined through detailed design
engineering. Further detailed assessment of eligibility for the 30%
CTM-ITC investment tax credit could potentially further reduce the
overall cost. Refer to section on Funding Strategy below for
further information on CTM-ITC. This strategic initial investment
sets a solid foundation for future expansion and enhances the
project's long-term viability.
Expansion Phase (Stage 2)
It is anticipated that the Stage 2 Expansion
Phase, which includes focusing on developing the underground mine,
will require estimated Net Capex of $408M (US$310M)
including contingency and proposed CTM-ITC tax credits2.
This phase assumes it could potentially be funded through estimated
internal cash flows generated from Stage 1, totalling $549M. These cashflows would be dependent
(amongst other things) on the Project reaching nameplate production
capacity on Stage 1, applicable pricing at the time of
production/expansion and the overall economic viability of the
Stage 1 operation and its cashflows, which are not
guaranteed3.
The Expansion Phase includes costs exclusively
related to the construction and development of the underground
mine, the expansion of the second train of the processing plant,
and their related indirect costs and contingencies. Development of
the underground mine will begin in Year 1, one year after the
commencement of open pit operations. All the expansion capital
allocated to the processing plant is for building the second phase
(Train 2), which is identical to the first.
___________
|
1
|
The Net Capex of $640M
excludes Opex during pre-production of $108.3M and assumes a tax
credit of $121.1M under the proposed CTM-ITC legislation. Stage 1
has total Capex of $761M which excludes CTM-ITC credits and
pre-production opex – see Table 3 for a full breakdown of the
capital cost estimate.
|
2
|
The Net Capex estimate
of $408M assumes a tax credit of $95.6M under the proposed CTM-ITC
legislation. Stage 2 expansion has total Capex of $503.9M excluding
CTM-ITC credits - see Table 3 for a full breakdown of the capital
cost estimate.
|
3
|
The PEA is only a
preliminary economic assessment based on mineral resources which
are not ore reserves and there is no certainty that the PEA
assessment, including Stage 1 cashflows, can be realised. Mineral
resources that are not ore reserves do not demonstrate economic
viability including in respect of those Stage 1
cashflows.
|
Cash Operating Costs1
Table 4: Estimated Cash Operating Costs
(SC5.5 – FOB Bécancour basis)
Financials Results
|
CA$/t
|
US$a /t
|
Mining
|
305
|
232
|
Processing
|
99
|
75
|
Site
Administration
|
106
|
81
|
Cash Operating Cost at
Siteb
|
510
|
387
|
Transportation
cost
|
226
|
173
|
Total Cash Operating Cost (FOB
Bécancour)c
|
736
|
560
|
Sustaining
Capital
|
44
|
33
|
All-In Sustaining Cost – (FOB
Bécancour)d
|
780
|
593
|
a.
|
Exchange rate of
0.76US$/CA$.
|
b.
|
Cash operating cost at
site includes mining, processing, and site administration, it is
a non-IFRS measure, and when expressed per tonne, a non-IFRS
ratio. Refer to "Non-IFRS and other financial
measures" for further information on these measures.
|
c.
|
Total cash operating
cost (FOB Bécancour) includes mining, processing, site
administration, and product transportation to Bécancour, It is a
non-IFRS measure, and when expressed per tonne, a non-IFRS ratio.
Refer to "Non-IFRS and other financial measures" for
further information on these measures.
|
d.
|
All-in sustaining costs
("AISC") includes mining, processing, site administration, and
product transportation costs to Bécancour and sustaining capital
over the LOM per unit of concentrate produced during the LOM, and
excludes Royalties. It is a non-IFRS measure, and when expressed
per tonne, a non-IFRS ratio. Refer to "Non-IFRS and other
financial measures" for further information on these
measures.
|
____________
|
1
|
Refer to
"Non-IFRS and other financial measures" for further
information on these measures.
|
Mining
With a strong focus on sustainability, minimizing
surface disturbance and accessing high-grade zones earlier in the
mining profile, management proposes adopting a hybrid method
inclusive of both open pit and underground mining methods. The
hybrid method emerged as the optimal choice, balancing economic
efficiency with environmental considerations (e.g., reduced Project
footprint), and respecting our First Nations partners.
This hybrid approach provides significant
flexibility, allowing access to higher-grade zones as needed, which
is essential for maximizing Project value while balancing the
processing plant throughput and grade and maintaining resource
quality.
In the Eeyou Istchee region, underground mining
is successfully being deployed at the Éléonore Gold Mine and a
hybrid of underground and open pit mining was used at the Stornoway
Diamond Mine. The hybrid approach is also expected to reduce
project risk throughout the commodity price cycle by allowing more
immediate access to higher grade underground areas earlier in the
mine plan and significantly reducing the project footprint and the
impact to fish and fish habitat thereby reducing the fish
compensation requirements.
Initially, open pit mining will be employed at
the southwest end of the CV5 Pegmatite, accounting for
approximately 56% of the LOM total production target. This method
provides efficient access to near-surface and low-strip
mineralization, ensuring a steady and cost-effective supply of
material to the processing facilities.
As operations progress, and in parallel to
continued open pit mining, the Project is expected to then
transition to underground mining to extract the remaining 44% of
the LOM production target. This method targets high-grade
mineralized zones, minimizing surface footprint including
disturbance to local water bodies.
The hybrid development of both open pit and
underground areas is anticipated to give the Project significant
development flexibility and optionality, allowing access to
higher-grade zones as needed. This resilience is crucial in
challenging market conditions, providing the benefits of a
multi-asset mine.
The ability to pivot between different mining
methods allows for consistent mill feed quality and recovery rates,
enhancing the Project's potential economic robustness and long-term
viability.
Figure 3 illustrates the high-grade stopes
within the Nova Zone, located near the surface between a depth of
200 m and 500 m. This zone, with grades exceeding 2.5%
Li2O, is targeted first in the underground mining
sequence in Stage 2 to enhance project economics (additional
high-grade stope figures are provided in the mining section of the
Appendix).
The large crystal structures are anticipated to
allow for easy recovery using dense media separation ("DMS") only.
By mining the open pit and the Nova Zone simultaneously, a higher
DMS Plant feed grade could be expected to be achieved, providing a
competitive advantage, especially in a lower spodumene price
environment. The Nova Zone is also well defined as approximately
93% of the mineralized material in this zone is classified as
Indicated Resources.
This strategic advantage underscores Patriot's
commitment to responsible and sustainable mining practices while
maximizing resource extraction. Underground mining facilitates
selective mining of high-grade zones, which in turn may position
the Company with a competitive advantage in relation to lower
operating costs (see below).
High-Grade Mining Potential
Subsets of the Shaakichiuwaanaan CV5 Resource
under consideration in this PEA are high-grade, but in particular
within the 'Nova Zone'1 as proposed to be mined
underground. Selectively targeting the high-grade mining areas has
the potential to reduce costs during periods of lower lithium
pricing, improving the optionality of the mine.
While a higher-grade, smaller scale scenario has
not been considered within the PEA, the Company is evaluating this
approach in the FS under consideration as one of the options that
could be deployed in the future, in response to a lower pricing
environment.
____________
|
1
|
Approximately 93% of
the mineralized material in the Nova Zone is classified as
Indicated Resource. 7% as Inferred Resource.
|
Table 5 further illustrates Patriot's unique
position in the underground setting to have the flexibility to
adopt various mining approaches in response to changing market
conditions. Within the Resource, the PEA has determined that there
is underground mineral resource of approximately 21.8 Mt
(diluted & recovered) at 2.10% Li2O per the grade
bins shown in Table 5. This resource has the potential to be
targeted to reduce costs in a lower pricing environment.
Mining and processing a higher grade has the
effect of increasing the 'yield-to-product' derived from processing
the resource. That is, more concentrate is produced by processing
the same resource tonnes at increased grade and increasing
overall spodumene recovery as the processed grade increases.
Using the PEA processing metrics (outlined below and in the
Appendices) it is estimated that site costs would reduce by
approximately 35-45% via processing 2.1% grade as compared to the
PEA LOM average grade of 1.33%.
Processing
The PEA uses a DMS-only process for resource
beneficiation, selected for its processing simplicity and
efficiency in commissioning and ramp-up. By adopting the DMS-only
approach, the Project benefits from lower operating expenses due to
the reduced complexity and energy requirements. This streamlined
process is expected to enhance economic efficiency and aligns with
the commitment to sustainable and responsible mining practices.
This design incorporates two parallel production
lines at a feed design capacity of 2.5 Mtpa each, a plant size that
has been repeatedly and successfully built and operated in the
spodumene industry. Additionally, the DMS process generates a
minimal quantity of dry-stacked tailings, further enhancing the
Project's efficiency and reducing waste management
requirements.
The DMS-only flowsheet has been validated by
extensive metallurgical testwork conducted by SGS Canada and
supervised by Primero, both with extensive experience in lithium
processing operations.
The testwork to date (summarised in
Figure 5) has confirmed that the coarse spodumene is the
dominant lithium mineral, achieving concentrate grades of over 5.5%
Li2O with global lithium recoveries in HLS testing
ranging from 70% to 85% (for feed grades in the range 1.0% to 1.5%
Li2O respectfully).
The Shaakichiuwaanaan pegmatites have repeatedly
shown excellent processing performance, generating high recoveries
at the target concentrate grade. This ease of processing is
attributed to the consistently large spodumene crystals found in
the CV5 Pegmatite. The robust recoveries exhibited across a range
of feed lithium grades is a key differentiator for the Project.
The testwork results from both HLS and DMS of the
CV5 material, the expected recovery curve from a 3-size range DMS
plant (processing Shaakichiuwaanaan pegmatites) and, for reference,
recoveries from other operating DMS-only plants (as compiled by
external consultants, Primero) are shown comparatively in
Figure 5. The project's higher expected recovery (compared
with other DMS-only operations) is due to the wide size range being
treated (9.5 to 0.65 mm), the quality of the material (large
spodumene grains with a narrow grain size distribution) and the
three size range DMS plant (which lessens the impact of particle
size effect in the DMS process).
By achieving high recoveries with a simpler DMS
process design, the Shaakichiuwaanaan Project positions itself with
a competitive advantage in the lithium market. Figure 5 shows
the majority of other operating DMS-only plants ('Industrial DMS
Only Performance'), achieving recovery rates well below the
estimated Shaakichiuwaanaan Project DMS lithia recovery performance
from test work to date.
Site Support Costs
The PEA proposes operations under a fly-in
fly-out ("FIFO") model, which is reflected in the projected site
administrative costs. This model ensures that the necessary mining
expertise is readily available on-site, contributing to higher
initial administrative expenses.
The Company's development vision includes
building local capacity and including a model that leverages the
skills and talents of the local community, including our First
Nations partners. This strategy aims to foster greater community
involvement, localizing economic benefits and ultimately reducing
administrative costs. By investing in local training and
development, the Project will not only enhance its economic
efficiency but also strengthen its commitment to sustainable and
responsible mining practices.
Infrastructure
The Project benefits from being close to
significant existing infrastructure, including all-season road
access direct to the CV5 Pegmatite, which connects to the regional
provincial network, as well as hydro powerline infrastructure and
the LG‑4 hydroelectric dam complex located ~50 km from CV5. Power
costs to site are estimated in this PEA to be $0.05 kW/h. The provincial power rate is very low
when compared to other global mining jurisdictions and may further
increase Shaakichiuwaanaan's competitive advantage during
challenging lithium market cycles.
The PEA for the Project considers a comprehensive
array of infrastructure to ensure smooth and efficient operations.
Key facilities include garages for mining fleets, light vehicles,
and highway trucks, as well as administrative offices, dry rooms,
warehouses, and auxiliary buildings. These support structures are
essential for day-to-day operations, maintenance, and
administrative activities.
In addition, the site will include extensive
waste rock and rejects management systems, complete with ditching
and pond systems for effective water management. Fresh water wells
and water treatment plants ensure a reliable supply of water.
The site infrastructure also includes an
electrical substation and overhead powerlines to connect to
Hydro-Québec's renewable energy grid. Further essential facilities
include an emulsion plant, explosive storage magazines, fuel
storage pads, refueling stations, and a permanent workers camp to
accommodate construction and operational personnel. The Matagami
Transshipment Centre is also a key logistical hub, facilitating the
efficient transport of materials and resources.
Energy
The Shaakichiuwaanaan Project is set to benefit
from low-cost, green renewable energy provided by Hydro-Québec. The
Project's proximity to existing Hydro-Québec infrastructure ensures
a reliable and sustainable power supply. A new 69 kV transmission
line will be constructed to connect the site to the 315 kV Tilly
substation, located approximately 55 km away.
This connection should provide ample capacity,
with a new electrical substation at the site offering a firm
capacity of over 30 MVA, meeting the Project's estimated power
consumption of 25.7 MW. The use of Hydro-Québec's renewable
electrical energy aligns with our commitment to sustainability and
reduces the Project's carbon footprint considerably compared to a
fossil fuel supported alternative.
Moreover, the energy consumption for the Project
would be relatively low for a hard rock spodumene project, due to
the adoption of a DMS only process, which is less energy-intensive
compared to traditional flotation methods. This contributes to
lower operational expenses and further enhances the Project's
environmental credentials. The combination of efficient energy use
and sustainable sourcing positions the Shaakichiuwaanaan Project as
an environmentally responsible venture.
Final access to power will be subject to both
further engineering assessment and application and approvals to
access the Hydro-Québec system.
Transport
The CV5 Pegmatite is situated approximately 13.5
km south of the regional and all‑weather Trans-Taiga Road and is
accessible year-round by all-season road. Therefore, the existing
transportation infrastructure provides a solid foundation for
efficient logistics. Highway trucks will transport spodumene
concentrate approximately 834 km along the existing all-season
regional road network to the Transshipment Centre in Matagami, QC, where it will be transferred to
railcars for rail transport to Bécancour via Canadian National
Railway's extensive North American railroad network.
Further to the base case transport approach, as
outlined above, there are other opportunities for optimization that
may help reduce transport costs and expenses. For example, the
Project stands to benefit from infrastructure projects under La
Grande Alliance between the Cree Nation and the Government of
Québec, such as the connection between the Renard Mine and the
Trans-Taiga Road, which could positively impact project logistics
and reduce costs by reducing the road transport distance
significantly. For more detail on the strategy on optimizing
transportation and reducing costs, refer to the Key Opportunities
section of this announcement.
The strategic choices made in mining, processing,
site support, infrastructure, energy, and transport collectively
are expected to result in highly competitive operating costs for
the Shaakichiuwaanaan Project. These potential cost advantages are
driven by economies of scale, the simplicity of the DMS process,
and the ability to selectively mine high-grade zones. Additionally,
the access to low-cost green energy from Hydro-Québec and the
benefits from regional infrastructure projects further enhance cost
efficiency.
EBITDA1 Lithium Price Sensitivity
Analysis
Sensitivity analysis was completed to determine
the impact of various factors on the Project economics. It
indicates that the Project is most influenced by spodumene prices.
For every US$200/t (SC6 basis)
increase in the spodumene concentrate price, the PEA shows that
annual EBITDA increased by CA$187.3M.
For this PEA the Company's pricing assumption has
been calibrated to SC5.5 by adjusting for lithium content on a pro
rata basis. The spodumene price used is US$1,375/tonne (SC5.5% FOB Bécancour basis)
equivalent to US$1,500/tonne (SC6 FOB
Bécancour basis).
__________
|
1
|
EBITDA is a
non-IFRS financial measure and ratio which is comprised of net
income or loss from operations before income taxes, finance expense
– net, depreciation and amortization. This annual EBITDA is
calculated considering the period of full production (i.e., Years 4
to 18). Refer to "Non-IFRS and other financial measures" for
further information on these measures.
|
Importantly, the PEA estimates EBITDA of CA$106M
at US$700/t (SC6, FOB Bécancour
basis) approximating current spot prices for Spodumene Concentrate
of US$760/t (PLATTS SC6, FOB
Australia 15/08/24), with the project generating positive EBITDA as
low as approximately US$600/t (SC6,
FOB Bécancour basis).
NPV SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Sensitivity analysis was completed to determine
the impact of various factors on the Project NPV. It indicates that
the Project is most influenced by spodumene prices. For every
US$200/t (SC6 basis) increase in the
spodumene concentrate price, the post-tax project NPV8%
increased by CA$820M. This highlights the upside potential and
strong economic leverage the Project holds in a rising market
environment.
Current market conditions (as defined by current
spot pricing of Spodumene Concentrate US$760/t (SC6, FOB Australia basis -15/08/24) are
not representative of recent market price forecasts on a long-term
basis from independent reporting agencies, banking commodities
analyst reports and company disclosures and recently published
technical reports, which indicate spodumene prices generally
cluster around US$1,300–US$1,500 per
tonne for 5.5% spodumene concentrate1. The Company has
used US$1,375/t (SC5.5 FOB Bécancour
basis) (which equates to approximately US$1,500/t (SC6 FOB Bécancour basis)), in its PEA
with the project estimated to be NPV accretive at levels well below
this price. Refer to Figure 7.
The PEA demonstrates on a preliminary basis that
NPV is estimated to remain accretive, even with a significant
increase in total Project capital costs. This financial resilience
indicates the Project's potentially strong financial framework.
___________
|
1
|
Refer Appendix 1 –
Lithium Market and Commodity Price Assumptions
|
In addition to a favourable NPV at long-term
price estimates, the Project can yield substantial
EBITDA1 and FCF1 after the Stage 2 expansion phase
and commissioning. The combination of the hybrid mining method, low
strip ratio open pit(s), the DMS only processing pathway, and
low-cost renewable energy anticipated from Hydro-Québec provides
significant flexibility and resilience.
This approach allows for consistent mill feed
quality and recovery rates, minimizes operational expenses, and
enhances overall Project economics.
___________
|
1
|
|
EBITDA and FCF
are non-IFRS measures. Refer to "Non-IFRS and other financial
measures" for further information on these measures.
|
The Project's potential to generate significant
cash flows and withstand market volatility is a key advantage. This
potential resilience to market volatility is expected to attract
midstream and downstream participants in the industry supply chain
who are seeking a stable supply of spodumene concentrate for
decades, irrespective of market conditions. By ensuring a constant
feed the Shaakichiuwaanaan Project strengthens its position as a
reliable and valuable long-term partner in the lithium supply
chain.
KEY OPPORTUNITIES:
Given the results of this PEA, the Company will
now consider the progress of a FS, with the potential of reaching a
final investment decision for the Project in 2027. This
demonstrates the Company's commitment to optimizing the Project and
maximizing shareholder value.
This section outlines key opportunities with the
potential to further enhance Project efficiency and
sustainability.
- Optimise early access via underground to the Nova zone:
Providing access to the potential in higher-grade process plant
feed and lower operating costs earlier in the production
cycle.
- Increase Mineral Resources: Focus on increasing Mineral
Resources and mine life through further exploration of the Project
and surrounding zones like CV13, including its high-grade Vega
Zone. Each additional year of plant feed is expected to Project
economics and optimize the mine plan.
- Optimize underground development: Increase Stope Size
and reduce lateral development for cost savings.
- Mining Fleet Optimization: Consider the use of
autonomous trucks and optimize truck size.
- Optimized Material Handling: Improve material handling
systems to reduce equipment reliance.
- Backfill alternatives vs Paste fill Plant: Trade-off
study needed to identify the optimal solution.
- Project Schedule Optimization: Streamline project
schedules and further refine the phased approach to optimize
capital and operational expenditure.
- Decarbonisation: Study alternatives for heating
methods.
- Labour Costs: Develop local capacity to reduce the FIFO
model and establish an integrated operations centre with a strong
on-site presence.
- Addition of bolt-on tantalum recovery circuit: The
Project contains a significant tantalum component that is
anticipated to be recoverable from the spodumene concentrate
tailings.
- Valorizing lithium in DMS tailings: The DMS middlings
and undersize still contain a meaningful amount of lithium which
may be recoverable later in the mine-life through the addition of a
flotation circuit.
- Meet with La Grande Alliance Stakeholders: During early
FS phase, meet with First Nations and government stakeholders with
a goal to optimize the transportation of Shaakichiuwaanaan Project
concentrate. Specifically, to investigate the timing of planned
highway 167 expansion in La Grande Alliance's Feasibility Study to
determine the potential reduced cost of haulage of concentrate,
from site to next stage of processing at Bécancour Quebec.
OPTIMIZE DOWNSTREAM LOGISTICS
The Shaakichiuwaanaan Project stands to benefit
significantly from La Grande Alliance ("LGA") Memorandum of
Understanding ("MOU") between the Cree Nation and Québec
government. This 30‑year, 3-phase infrastructure plan aims to
connect, develop and protect the Eeyou Istchee / James Bay territory and includes several key
projects that can reduce traffic on the Billy Diamond Highway
("BDH"), drastically reduce transportation costs and CO2
emissions and enhance the Project's overall sustainability, all
while building on the Company's relationship with the Crees.
Connection between Renard Mine and Trans-Taiga
Road:
- During Years 6-15 of LGA plan, a proposed road extension
between the Renard Mine and the Trans-Taiga Road is envisioned.
This key piece of infrastructure could reduce trucking
considerably, resulting in significant cost savings and a reduction
in CO2 emissions. In addition, this road would reduce
traffic on the BDH from the Shaakichiuwaanaan Project and other
projects in the region. As the BDH is the only route for Crees to
access their communities, increased traffic due to the cumulative
effects of numerous projects has become a major concern for project
development in the region. The extension of Route 167 would
decrease traffic by providing an alternate route for concentrate
and supply transport. This initiative demonstrates the commitment
to improving infrastructure in the Eeyou Istchee region, which can
positively impact logistics for the Shaakichiuwaanaan Project.
- Refer to the Route 167 - Mine
Renard to Trans-Taiga Road document available on the LGA
website: https://www.lagrandealliance.quebec/
Railroad Extension from Matagami to the Trans-Taiga Road (junction
with the BDH & TT at KM541):
- The LGA plans to extend the railroad from Matagami to the Trans-Taiga junction with the
BDH in two phases, which could eliminate the need for an additional
540 km of trucking. During Phase 1 (Years 1-5), the railway from
Matagami to Rupert River would be established. During Phase
2 (Years 6-15), the railway would be extended between Rupert River and the ‑Trans Taiga junction with
the BDH at KM541. This extension would not only reduce logistical
costs but also decrease the Project's carbon footprint, aligning
with our commitment to green energy and sustainability.
- Details of the proposed railroad network can be found in the
Proposed-Rupert-La-Grande-Rail document available on the LGA
website: https://www.lagrandealliance.quebec.
James Bay Port Development:
- During Phase 3 of the LGA plan (Years 16-30), the development
of a port in James Bay is
proposed. Although it may not be available year-round, sea freight
options could further reduce logistics costs. Utilizing a port for
transportation could enhance the Project's economic efficiency,
providing an alternative shipping route that supports sustainable
practices.
- Information about the proposed port and infrastructure
improvements is available in the La Grande
Alliance_Résumé-D_Rail-Route-Billy-Diamond document available on
the LGA website: https://www.lagrandealliance.quebec.
These infrastructure improvements align with the
Project's goals of cost efficiency and sustainability. They also
underscore the strategic importance of the partnership with the
Cree community, recognizing the meaningful role the Crees play in
infrastructure in Eeyou Istchee and fostering local economic
development and ensuring the Project's success in the long
term.
The potential incorporation of the LGA
infrastructure plan into the Shaakichiuwaanaan Project highlights
the potential for significant reduction in traffic on the BDH and
therefore transportation cost reductions and enhanced
sustainability. By leveraging these improvements, the Project can
reduce CO2 emissions, contribute to the green economy,
and showcase the critical importance of partnering with the Cree
Nation. These advancements are expected to provide substantial
benefits, making the Shaakichiuwaanaan Project a model of
cost-efficient and sustainable mining operations.
FUNDING STRATEGY
The Project has the potential to be the largest
known lithium project in North
America and could support decades-long production as a
high-quality raw material supplier in the North American supply
chain. Patriot is progressing a phased development intended to
optimize equity returns and reduce the upfront funding requirement.
The Company aims to identify the most cost-effective and
value-enhancing funding package to benefit both the Company and its
shareholders.
- Stage 1 phase: Phased development strategy with
anticipated Stage 1 funding requirement of $870M (US$661M) for
the first 400 ktpa capacity including contingency and
pre-production Opex, with potential funding solutions which could
include a combination of debt, strategic and listed equity and
government programs.
- Stage 2 expansion: Additional 400 ktpa to reach an
aggregate 800 ktpa spodumene project which may possibly be funded
through internal cash flows generated from the Stage 1 Operation.
Cashflows from Stage 1 supporting Stage 2 funding would be
dependent on (amongst other things) reaching nameplate capacity on
Stage 1, applicable pricing at the time of production/expansion and
the overall economic viability of the Stage 1 operations and its
cashflows, which are not guaranteed1.
Refer to Figure 11 for an indicative
potential funding structure.
Further, the Project has attracted strong
interest from Tier 1 lithium supply chain participants, including
lithium converters, OEMs, and trading houses. The Company is
preliminary in exploring a range of funding options intermingled
with potential downstream collaboration.
CTM-ITC Tax Credits and other government
supports
The Company and its tax advisors have reviewed
the initial capital budget for the Project in conjunction with the
CTM-ITC first introduced in the 2023 Canadian Federal Budget and
enacted on June 20, 2024. As
contemplated, the tax credit would provide for up to 30% of the
cost of the investment in eligible property used for eligible
activities through a refundable investment credit mechanism.
Based on the review, the Company and its tax
advisors estimate that up to $790M of
expected costs associated with the Project may be deemed eligible
under the aforementioned tax credit, leading to a potential
refundable investment tax credit of approximately $217M before the end of the expansion phase.
There is no guarantee the Company will be able to access all or
part of the CTM-ITC. If it does not become available at all, the
total Capex for stages 1 and 2 (including contingency) will
increase by $217M (see
Table 3).
In addition, the Project stands to benefit from
Québec's new tax holiday for large investment projects, offering
substantial tax relief on capital investment. This incentive is
expected to enhance the financial attractiveness of the
Shaakichiuwaanaan Project and has been incorporated in the tax
routing. Based on the location of the Project and planned eligible
investment expenditures, the new tax holiday could provide income
tax savings of $146M over the first 5
year of production.
Potential participation from provincial and
federal institutions, along with various infrastructure and
critical minerals initiatives offered by the Canadian government,
further supports the Project's funding strategy. Institutions such
as the Critical Minerals Infrastructure Fund, Export Development
Canada, the Canadian Infrastructure Bank and Investissement Québec
have historically supported mining projects throughout all economic
cycles and currently have government mandates to accelerate the
development of critical mineral mining projects.
This ecosystem enhances the Project's funding
prospects and aligns with North American and European priorities
for sustainable and strategic development.
__________
|
1
|
The PEA is only a
preliminary economic assessment based on mineral resources which
are not reserves and there is no certainty that the PEA assessment,
including Stage 1 cashflows, can be realized. Mineral resources
that are not ore reserves do not demonstrate economic
viability.
|
By leveraging a strategic combination of debt,
equity, government programs and internal cash flows, the Company
believes that it is possible to advance the Project as
anticipated.
CONCLUSION
The PEA for the Shaakichiuwaanaan Project
highlights its potential to become a leading global lithium
producer, enhancing shareholder value while potentially minimizing
dilution. By leveraging strategic partnerships and a staged
development approach, the Company aims to establish a robust
presence in the North American lithium supply chain.
This integrated strategy, supported by government
incentives and careful financial planning, targets the long-term
sustainability and viability of the Project, positioning it as a
cornerstone for the future of lithium raw materials supply to the
North American and European markets.
With a clear path to advance directly to a FS and
an intention to reach a Final Investment Decision by 2027, the
Company is committed to unlocking the full potential of the
Shaakichiuwaanaan Project. This next phase of development will
continue to focus on enhancing economic returns.
Cautionary Statement: The PEA
remains preliminary in nature and includes inferred mineral
resources that are considered too speculative geologically to have
the economic considerations applied to them that would enable them
to be categorized as mineral reserves, and there is no certainty
that the preliminary economic assessment will be realized. Mineral
resources that are not mineral reserves do not have demonstrated
economic viability.
____________
|
1
|
Refer to Table 3 for
relevant details.
|
QUALIFIED/COMPETENT PERSON
The independent Competent Person ("CP"), as
defined under JORC, and Qualified Person ("QP"), as defined by NI
43-101 for this estimate is Todd
McCracken, P.Geo., Director - Mining & Geology -
Central Canada, BBA Engineering
Ltd. The Effective Date of the Mineral Resource Estimate is
August 21, 2024 (through drill hole
CV24-526).
The statements relating in this Press Release
that relates to the mining section presented in the Appendix 1 is
based on information compiled by BBA Inc. and reviewed by
Hugo Latulippe, who is a
Professional Engineer registered with the Ordre des Ingénieurs du
Québec ("OIQ"). Mr. Latulippe is a mining engineer and Principal
Engineer for Mining and Geology at BBA Inc., a consulting firm
based in Montréal, Québec, Canada.
Mr. Latulippe takes responsibility for the mining aspects of
the Shaakichiuwaanaan PEA Press Release as a CP. Mr. Latulippe has
sufficient experience relevant to the style of mineralization and
type of deposit under consideration and to the activity he is
undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person as such term is
defined in the JORC Code (2012 edition)) and a Qualified Person (as
such term is defined in NI 43-101. The CP, Mr. Latulippe, has
reviewed the Shaakichiuwaanaan PEA Press Release and has given his
consent to the inclusion in the report of the matters based on his
information in the form and context within which it appears.
The statements relating in this Press Release
that relates to the project infrastructure section presented in the
Appendix 1 is based on information compiled by BBA Inc. and
reviewed by Luciano Piciacchia, who
is a Professional Engineer registered with the OIQ. Mr. Piciacchia
is a geotechnical engineer and Principal Geotechnical Engineer at
BBA Inc., a consulting firm based in Montréal, Québec, Canada. Mr. Piciacchia takes
responsibility for the infrastructure aspects of the
Shaakichiuwaanaan PEA Report as a CP. Mr. Piciacchia has sufficient
experience relevant to the style of project consideration and to
the activity he is undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person as
such term is defined in the JORC Code (2012 edition)) and a
Qualified Person (as such term is defined in NI 43-101. The CP, Mr.
Piciacchia, has reviewed the Shaakichiuwaanaan PEA Report and has
given his consent to the inclusion in the report of the matters
based on his information in the form and context within which it
appears.
The statements relating in this Press Release
that relates to the financial and economic analysis section
presented in the Appendix 1 is based on information compiled by BBA
Inc. and reviewed by Shane K. A.
Ghouralal, P.Eng, MBA, who is a Professional Engineer
registered with the Professional Engineers Ontario ("PEO") and
Professional Engineers and Geoscientists of Newfoundland and Labrador ("PEGNL"). Mr. Ghouralal is a mining
engineer and Senior Mining Consultant at BBA Inc., a consulting
firm based in Montréal, Québec Canada. Mr. Ghouralal takes responsibility for
the financial modelling and economic analysis aspects of the
Shaakichiuwaanaan PEA Report as a CP. Mr. Ghouralal has
sufficient experience relevant to the style of mineralization and
type of deposit under consideration and to the activity he is
undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person as such term is
defined in the JORC Code (2012 edition)) and a Qualified Person (as
such term is defined in NI 43‑101. The CP, Mr. Ghouralal,
has reviewed the Shaakichiuwaanaan PEA Report and has given his
consent to the inclusion in the report of the matters based on his
information in the form and context within which it appears.
The statements relating in this Press Release
that relates to the processing section presented in the Appendix 1
is based on information compiled by Primero Group Americas Inc. and
reviewed by Ryan Cunningham P. Eng.,
who is a Professional Engineer registered with the OIQ. Mr.
Cunningham is a processing engineer and Process Engineering Manager
for Primero Group Americas Inc., a consulting firm based in
Montréal, Québec, Canada. Mr.
Cunningham takes responsibility for the processing aspects of the
Shaakichiuwaanaan PEA Report as a CP. Mr. Cunningham has sufficient
experience relevant to the style of mineralization, type of deposit
and processing methodology under consideration and to the activity
he is undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person as such term is
defined in the JORC Code (2012 edition)) and a Qualified Person (as
such term is defined in NI 43‑101. The CP, Mr. Cunningham, has
reviewed the Shaakichiuwaanaan PEA Report and has given his consent
to the inclusion in the report of the matters based on his
information in the form and context within which it appears.
APPENDIX 1 – SUMMARY OF PRELIMINARY ECONOMIC
ASSESSMENT
INTRODUCTION
The Shaakichiuwaanaan Property (the "Property" or
"Project") is located approximately 220 km east of Radisson, QC, and 330 km west of the Cree
Nation of Chisasibi, QC. The
northern border of the Property's primary claim grouping is located
within approximately 6 km to the south of the Trans-Taiga Road and
powerline infrastructure corridor (Figure 12) The La Grande-4
("LG4") hydroelectric dam complex is located approximately 40 km
north-northeast of the Property. The CV5 Spodumene Pegmatite, part
of the Shaakichiuwaanaan MRE, is located central to the Property,
approximately 13.5 km south of KM270 on the Trans-Taiga Road
and is accessible year-round by all-season road. The CV13 Spodumene
Pegmatite is located approximately 3 km west-southwest of
CV5.
The Property is comprised of 463 CDC mineral
claims that cover an area of approximately 23,710 ha with the
primary claim grouping extending dominantly east-west for
approximately 51 km as a nearly continuous, single claim
block. All claims are registered 100% in the name of Lithium Innova
Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company.
Cautionary Statement: The PEA is
preliminary in nature and includes inferred mineral resources that
are considered too speculative geologically to have the economic
considerations applied to them that would enable them to be
categorized as mineral reserves, and there is no certainty that the
preliminary economic assessment will be realized. Mineral resources
that are not mineral reserves do not have demonstrated economic
viability.
There are two primary claim groups that are
relevant to the Project – one straddling KM-270 of the Trans-Taiga
Road, and the second with its northern border located directly
south of KM-270, approximately 5.8 km from the Trans-Taiga
Road and powerline infrastructure corridor (Figure 12). The
LG‑4 hydroelectric dam complex is located approximately 30 km
north-northeast of the Property. The Project is located central to
the Property, approximately 13 km south of KM-270 on the
Trans-Taiga Road, 14 km south of the powerline, and 50 km southwest
of the LG‑4 dam complex.
The Project is located in Eeyou Istchee /
James Bay on the traditional
territory of the Cree Nation of Chisasibi (trapline CH39), on Category III
Land as defined under the James
Bay and Northern Québec Agreement ("JBNQA"). The Eeyou
Istchee James Bay Regional Government ("EIJBRG") is the designated
municipality for the region including the Property.
The Trans-Taiga is an all-season gravel road that
trends east-west through the region and connects approximately 210
km to the west of the Project to the Billy Diamond Highway (Rte.
109) at KM541, which extends north to Radisson and south to Matagami, where it connects to Québec's
regional road and railroad network. The Project may be accessed by
helicopter, float plane, snowmobile, and winter road. The winter
road, extending south from KM-270 of the Trans-Taiga Road, has
recently been upgraded to provide all-season road access to the
Project.
The Property is located in a sub-arctic climate
region. Over the course of the year, the temperature typically
varies from -27 °C to 20 °C, with rare extremes of
-35 °C and 26 °C. Snow covers the ground from mid-October
to late May, limiting field work in the winter period to drilling
and geophysics. The Property topography consists of forested gently
rolling hills, drainages, and muskeg swamps between approximately
260 m and 350 m elevation, typical of the James Bay
Region.
The CV5 Deposit is located partially under a lake
named 001 ("Lake 001"). Water management is important, and the PEA
considers an underground mining portion to access higher grade
earlier in the mining sequence, minimize the impact on the lake,
reduce the fish habit impact and still recovering the most part of
the mineral resource. A water dam and diversion ditch are
required.
PROJECT DESCRIPTION
The PEA is centered around open pit and
underground mining of CV5, followed by DMS-only processing on site
to produce a 5.5% Li2O spodumene concentrate that is
then transported by road and rail to Bécancour, Québec. There are
no slurry tailings produced from the process plant and therefore
the study does not include the requirement for a tailings dam. The
PEA assumes product will be converted to Lithium chemicals in
Bécancour by the customer(s). Multiples lithium bearing pegmatites
have been defined at CV5 to date. Within the PEA, most of the
mineable resources is mined from a single pegmatite that has up to
140 m in thickness with the balance mined from other adjacent
pegmatites.
MINERAL RESOURCE
The PEA is underpinned by the Shaakichiuwaanaan
Mineral Resource Estimate (MRE or Mineral Resource), specifically
the CV5 Spodumene Pegmatite component. The Shaakichiuwaanaan
Mineral Resource (see news release dated August 5, 2024) includes both the CV5 and CV13
spodumene pegmatites for a total of 80.1 Mt at 1.44%
Li2O Indicated and 62.5 Mt at 1.31% Li2O
Inferred, for 4.88 Mt contained lithium carbonate equivalent
("LCE"). Presented by resource location/name, this MRE includes
Mineral Resources of 78.6 Mt at 1.43% Li2O Indicated and
43.3 Mt at 1.25% Li2O Inferred at CV5, and 1.5 Mt at
1.62% Li2O Indicated and 19.1 Mt at 1.46%
Li2O Inferred at CV13. The PEA, as announced herein,
considers only the Mineral Resources from the CV5 Spodumene
Pegmatite.
The Shaakichiuwaanaan Mineral Resource cut-off
grade (which in turn is different to the assessed PEA cut-off
grade) is variable depending on the mining method and pegmatite
(0.4% Li2O open pit, 0.6% Li2O underground
CV5, and 0.8% Li2O underground CV13). The Effective Date
of the Shaakichiuwaanaan Mineral Resource is June 27, 2024. Mineral Resources are not Mineral
Reserves as they do not have demonstrated economic viability.
The CV5 Pegmatite component of the
Shaakichiuwaanaan Mineral Resource is supported by 344 holes
(129,673 m) and 11 outcrop channels
(63 m). The block model for the CV5 Pegmatite Mineral Resource
is presented below in Figure 13 and Figure 14.
GEOLOGY
The Property overlies a large portion of the Lac
Guyer Greenstone Belt, considered part of the larger La Grande
River Greenstone Belt, and is dominated by volcanic rocks
metamorphosed to amphibolite facies. Rocks of the Guyer Group
(amphibolite, iron formation, intermediate to mafic volcanics,
peridotite, pyroxenite, komatiite, as well as felsic volcanics)
predominantly underly the Property (Figure 15). The
amphibolite rocks that trend east-west (generally steeply south
dipping) through this region are bordered to the north by the Magin
Formation (conglomerate and wacke) and to the south by an
assemblage of tonalite, granodiorite, and diorite, in addition to
metasediments of the Marbot Group (conglomerate, wacke) in the
areas proximal to the CV5 Spodumene Pegmatite. Several
regional-scale Proterozoic gabbroic dykes also cut through portions
of the Property (Lac Spirt Dykes, Senneterre Dykes). The lithium
pegmatites on the Property are hosted predominantly within
amphibolite's, metasediments, and to a lesser extent ultramafic
rocks.
To date, the LCT pegmatites at the Property have
been observed to occur within a corridor of approximately 1 km in
width that extends in a general east-west direction across the
Property for at least 25 km – the 'CV Lithium Trend' – with
significant areas of prospective trend that remain to be assessed
(Figure 16). To date, eight distinct lithium pegmatite
clusters have been discovered along the CV Lithium Trend at the
Property – CV4, CV5, CV8, CV9, CV10, CV12, CV13, and CV14
(Figure 15). The core area of the trend includes the CV5 and
CV13 spodumene pegmatites with approximate strike lengths of 4.6 km
and 2.3 km, respectively, as defined by drilling to date and which
remain open.
To date, at the CV5 Spodumene Pegmatite, multiple
individual spodumene pegmatite dykes have been geologically
modelled (Figure 17 and Figure 18). However, a vast
majority of the CV5 Mineral Resource is hosted within a single,
large, principal spodumene pegmatite dyke (Figure 19), which
is flanked on both sides by multiple, subordinate, sub-parallel
trending dykes. The CV5 Spodumene Pegmatite, including the
principal dyke, is modelled to extend continuously over a lateral
distance of at least 4.6 km and remains open along strike at both
ends and to depth along a large portion of its length. The width of
the currently known mineralized corridor at CV5 is approximately
~500 m, with spodumene pegmatite intersected at depths of more
than 450 m in some locations
(vertical depth from surface). The pegmatite dykes at CV5 trend
west-southwest (approximately 250°/070° RHR), and therefore dip
northerly, which is different than the host amphibolites,
metasediments, and ultramafics which dip moderately in a southerly
direction.
The principal spodumene pegmatite dyke at CV5
ranges from <10 m to more than
125 m in true width, and may pinch
and swell aggressively along strike, as well as up and down dip. It
is primarily the thickest at near-surface to moderate depths
(<225 m), forming a relatively
bulbous, elongated shape, which may flair to surface and to depth
variably along its length. As drilling has focused over the
principal dyke, the immediate CV5 corridor has not been adequately
drill tested and it is interpreted that additional subordinate
pegmatite lenses are situated proximal, especially in the
southcentral areas of the deposit. The pegmatites that define CV5
are relatively undeformed and very competent, although likely have
some meaningful structural control.
The CV5 Spodumene Pegmatite display internal
fractionation along strike and up/down dip, which is evidenced by
variation in mineral abundance including spodumene and tantalite.
This is highlighted by the high-grade Nova Zone, situated at the
base of the principal pegmatite body, and traced over a significant
distance with multiple drill hole intercepts (core length) ranging
from 2 m to 25 m at >5% Li2O, within a
significantly wider mineralized zone of >2% Li2O.
MINING
The mining strategy adopted in the PEA is to open
pit mine the south-west end of CV5 Open Pit Pegmatite, representing
approximately 56% of the LOM production target (50.5 Mt), with the
remaining 44% of the production target (39.8 Mt) mined via
underground mining. The resource used in the PEA mine schedule for
the combined open pit and underground is 75% Indicated and 25%
Inferred category resources. For a breakdown of Inferred and
Indicated Resources mined each year over LOM, refer to
Figure 35.
The Project area contains numerous bodies of
water near planned infrastructure. The mine design and site layout
have been designed at PEA level with this in mind. This is
particularly the case with Lake 001, which is impacted by open pit
mining to a greater or lesser extent due to the size of the open
pit chosen. As part of the PEA optimization efforts, an open pit
only mining strategy has been assessed versus a 'hybrid' mining
strategy involving both open pit and underground methods. A
quantitative and qualitative comparison between the two strategies
based on economic, operational, environmental and social impacts
was completed. Although both scenarios returned positive economic
outcomes, the assessment concluded that the open pit and
underground scenario should be adopted for the PEA preferred
project option going forward to design.
The subsequent design phases of the Project will
aim, among other things, to minimize infrastructure encroachment
into the water environment to reduce fish habitat impacts as much
as possible while sustainably mining this resource.
Open Pit
Open Pit Optimization
BBA Engineering ("BBA") completed the open pit
optimization, design and mine schedule for the open pit mining
component of the study. The geological block model used is that of
the updated Mineral Resource Estimate for CV5, announced to the
market August 5, 2024.
A stope optimizer software has been used on the
geological block model to create a diluted mining model for the
open pit that accounts for mining recovery and dilution for the
open pit mine. Using this method, it was estimated that the overall
dilution for the open pit was approximately 16% (7% internal
pegmatite dilution and 9% host rock dilution), and a mining
recovery of 97%.
The pit optimization process included Indicated
and Inferred Mineral Resources. Mining costs, process rejects
material handling costs, and General and Administration ("G&A")
costs were based on BBA's early work on the Project and other
experience with remote mining operations in Québec. Processing
costs and other processing parameters including metallurgical
recovery were provided by Primero. The costs for the concentrate
transportation were estimated by an independent consultant for the
road transportation component and BBA engaged with the railway
operator for the rail haulage component estimation. Note, at a
later stage of the study, the road transport component of the total
transport cost was updated with a budget estimate provided directly
from a recognized haulage contractor in Québec.
Geotechnical parameters are based on BBA's
investigation, including rock mass characterization and preliminary
geotechnical assessment. The economic parameters of the study are
presented in Table 6.
Table 6: Open Pit Optimization
Parameters
Parameter
|
Unit
|
Value
|
Geotechnical Parameters
|
|
|
Pit slope
|
deg.
|
45-47
|
Operating costs
|
|
|
Mining cost –
Rock
|
$/t mined
|
7.46
|
Mining cost –
Overburden
|
$/t mined
|
5.00
|
Processing
cost
|
$/t milled
|
14.17
|
Tailings management
cost
|
$/t milled
|
1.59
|
G&A
cost
|
$/t milled
|
20.41
|
Total based
cost
|
$/t milled
|
36.17
|
Transport cost – Road
& Rail
|
$/t conc
|
287.70
|
Recovery Parameters
|
|
|
Mill
recovery
|
%
|
(75*(1-EXP(-1.995*(Li2O grade%)))
100
|
Concentrate
grade
|
%
|
5.50
|
Production
rate
|
Mtpa
(concentrate)
|
0.8
|
Economic Parameters
|
|
|
Exchange
rate
|
US$/CA$
|
0.76
|
Concentrate
price
|
US$/t
|
1,375
|
Concentrate
price
|
$/t
|
1,809
|
Royalty
|
%
|
2
|
Discount
rate
|
%
|
8
|
The optimization resulted in a range of pit
shells for a range of prices, including the base price of
US$1,375 per tonne SC5.5
(representing revenue factor (RF) 1). The selected pit shell, for
the purpose of guiding the pit design, was generated at an SC5.5
price of US$894 (RF 0.65).
The increment of mineralized material between the
selected pit shell (RF 0.65) and the shell generated at a price of
US$1,375 per tonne SC5.5 (RF 1) has a
high incremental strip ratio of over 10, which reduces the
incremental profitability of the high RF shells. Choosing the RF
0.65 shell for design is a defensive strategy that gives the
Project more robust economic outcomes.
The selected pit shell for RF 0.65 contains
52.3 Mt at an average grade of 1.13% Li2O (after
accounting for dilution and mineralized material loss) with a strip
ratio of 3.1.
Open Pit Design
The pit will be mined using a traditional drill
and blast, truck and shovel mining method. The open pit has been
designed to accommodate 200 t class dump trucks. Mineable resource
will be transported in 100 t class trucks, while 200 t class trucks
will be used to transport waste rock material.
Rock mass characterization and laboratory testing
data was obtained from geotechnical diamond drilling performed in
April 2024. Based on the preliminary
geotechnical assessment, a highwall inter-ramp slope of 45° to 47°
is recommended for the final pit walls. The recommended bench
heights are 10 m with bench face
angle of 70° to 75°. Table 7 shows the parameters used for pit
design.
Table 7: Pit Design Parameters
Design Parameters
|
Unit
|
Value
|
Wall Parameters
|
|
|
Bench
height
|
m
|
10
|
Berm width
|
m
|
6.5
|
Bench face
angle
|
°
|
70-75
|
Inter ramp
angle
|
°
|
45-47
|
Maximum vertical
without ramp or geotechnical berm
|
m
|
180
|
Geotechnical berm
width
|
m
|
18
|
Ramp Parameters
|
|
|
Ramp width – single
lane
|
m
|
20
|
Ramp width – double
lane
|
m
|
28
|
Minimum mining
width
|
m
|
40
|
Maximum vertical with
single lane
|
m
|
50
|
Figure 22 shows a plan view of the final
stage pit design completed according to the parameters listed above
and with the guidance of shells generated from the optimization
process. The pit is divided into four stages based on operational
and economic considerations.
There is no interaction between the Stage 1 pit
in the western extension and Lake 001, and as such this pit can be
commenced prior to any drainage of Lake 001 occurring. A 100 m
long main dam wall and diversion channel is required to divert
water and allow an area of Lake 001 to be drained such that
Stage 2, Stage 3 and Stage 4 can be mined. The final wall in
the northeast end of the ultimate pit is approximately 300 m
southwest of the main dam wall. This dam wall and diversion channel
will be constructed in the pre-production year.
The final pit has a footprint of approximately
2.8 km by 425 m and mines to a depth of approximately 200
vertical metres into fresh rock. The final pit contains 50.5 Mt of
mineralized material at an average grade of 1.11% Li2O.
This represents 56% of the total mineralized material mined by the
open pit and the underground. The balance of 44% of mineralized
material sourced from the underground (39.8 Mt at an average
grade of 1.54% Li2O).
Table 8 summarizes the pit's physical shape
within each stage design. Note that the Mineral Resource reported
for the respective stage design is post allowances for mining
dilution and mining losses.
Table 8: Open Pit Mine Physicals
OP
Designs
|
Mineralized
Material Tonnes
(Mt)
|
Waste Tonnes
(Mt)
|
OVB Tonnes
(Mt)
|
Avg Li2O Grade
(%)
|
Total Material
(Mt)
|
Strip Ratio
(t/t)
|
Phase 1
|
2.7
|
11.2
|
7.1
|
1.15 %
|
21.1
|
6.69
|
Phase 2
|
8.9
|
19.8
|
0.3
|
1.05 %
|
29.0
|
2.25
|
Phase 3
|
8.4
|
27.7
|
2.3
|
1.08 %
|
38.4
|
3.58
|
Phase 4
|
30.5
|
113.8
|
6.4
|
1.14 %
|
150.9
|
3.94
|
Total
|
50.5
|
172.5
|
16.0
|
1.11 %
|
239.3
|
3.74
|
Note: All figures are rounded to reflect
appropriate levels of confidence. Apparent differences may occur
due to rounding.
The Stage 1 pit is mined over Years -1 to 2, the
Stage 2 pit mined over Years 1 to 8, the Stage 3 pit mined over
Years 1 to 9, and the Stage 4 pit mined over Years 5 to 18. The
strip ratio in Stage 1 is high relative to the other stages;
however, the grade of the mineralized material within Stage 1 is
materially higher than the other stages. The net effect is that the
margin per tonne within Stage 1 is still higher than the other
stages, making this stage the focus of early mining for best
Project economics.
Open Pit Mine Schedule
The open pit mine schedule has been completed in
parallel with the underground mining schedule such that both mining
schedules, whilst honouring their respective production parameters,
work in unison to achieve the overall desired final spodumene
concentrate target(s) for the Project. In relation to the open pit
mining schedule, the following inputs were used to complete the
schedule:
- Production ramp up is scheduled to meet the following
processing plant throughputs:
- 74% of Phase 1 processing plant capacity in Year 1
(1.85 Mt);
- 99% of Phase 1 processing plant capacity in Year 2
(2.475 Mt);
- 100% of Phase 1 and 74% of Phase 2 in Year 3
(4.35 Mt);
- 100% of Phase 1 and 99% of Phase 2 in Year 4 (4.975 Mt);
- 100% for Year 5 onward (5.0 Mt).
- Target concentrate production for the site of 800 kt SC5.5
per year at full production (Year 5+);
- Maximum plant feed, sourced from the open pit and the
underground, of 5 Mt per year;
- Mining production ramps up over 4 years;
- Maximum yearly vertical advance rate of 80 metres.
The resulting mining schedule for the open pit is
displayed on Figure 23 and Figure 24. The results of the
combined OP and UG schedule can be seen within the section
'Combined Mining Production Schedule'. The open pit is mined over
19 years reaching its maximum production rate of 16 Mtpa
after 4 years. The production significantly decreases during
the 13th year when the strip ratio drops significantly
due to the stripping in Phase 4 being mostly completed.
Underground
The underground mining method selected for the
CV5 Pegmatite is the traditional long-hole stoping method for 96%
of the material and long-hole longitudinal retreat method for the
remaining 4% of material. The dip, thickness and continuity of the
spodumene pegmatite dykes is suitable to use this mining method.
For the purpose of the PEA, it has been assumed that the
underground mine design will be developed and completed by a
specialized underground mining contractor.
Stope Optimization
A stope optimizer software was used to produce
the optimal stope shapes. The economic and technical parameters
considered are derived from preliminary scoping study
investigation, benchmark information and a mining contractor
quotation. A preliminary underground mining cost estimate of
$62.95/t plant feed has been used in
calculating the cut-off grade. The other economic parameters used
are consistent with the economic parameters of the open pit
optimization. The underground cut-off grade used is 0.7%
Li2O.
As the underground mine is located under Lake
001, a crown pillar of 100 m has been
assumed in the PEA. Additional geotechnical information and
modelling will be required for the next phase of feasibility study,
which may allow for this crown pillar thickness to be reduced.
Stope dimension have been set to a maximum of 20 m x 15 m
x 30 m (width, length, and height). Paste backfill will be
used to fill primary stopes and ensure stability when mining
secondary stopes.
The stope optimization process resulted in 10.3%
dilution, which is caused by material below the cutoff grade being
included in the stopes shapes. Additional external operational
dilution was applied as part of the mine scheduling process to
account for over-break when blasting. External dilution of 3% has
been assumed for all stopes and 5% dilution from the paste backfill
is added for the secondary stopes. Mining recovery has been set to
90%. The minimum thickness assumed for a stope is 3 m and the
minimum pillar between two spodumene dykes is 6 m.
Based on the stope optimizations the total
mineral resources mined by the underground, after dilution and
recovered tonnes, is 39.8 Mt @ 1.54% Li2O.
Underground Design and Mine Schedule
The underground mine is located northeast and
along strike of the open pit, under Lake 001. A pillar of 75 m
is maintained between the open pit and the underground design and
will be recovered once the open pit mining is complete and it is
safe to mine the stope near the pit wall. In the thickest part of
the lithium spodumene dyke being mined, there could be up to seven
stopes in length (or 140 m). The underground mine would be
composed of nine pyramids to always ensure productivity.
Figure 26 shows the nine distinct pyramids. The first pyramid
is targeting the Nova Zone area, which contains the highest grade
of the CV5 Pegmatite. Figure 27 to Figure 29 show example
of tonnes and Li2O grades within some stopes in the Nova
Zone. The Nova Zone is located near surface, between 200 m and
500 m below the surface. The zone contains extremely
high-grade stopes that may enable Patriot to be very competitive in
the world's hard rock mining marketplace, as grades this high are
rare. This zone is preferentially targeted in the underground
mining sequence for much improved Project financial benefit.
Accessing the Nova Zone offers a unique opportunity to mine stopes
in excess of 2.0% grade – a relative competitive advantage to many
other projects. This high-grade is characterized by large crystal
structure which makes the material easily recovered by DMS
techniques at relatively large crush size. By developing the open
pit mine and the underground Nova Zone concurrently, a blended high
feed grade can be realized. It is these characteristics, unique to
the Nova Zone and to the CV5 Deposit that result in a competitive
advantage for improved project benefit.
The mining sequence that follows the mining of
the first pyramid is set according to ensuring the required grade
and tonnage to blend with the mineral resource from the open pit.
The pyramids are mined from the bottom to the top to ensure
geotechnical stability and redistribute ground stress. Levels are
designed at 30 m intervals. The underground mine is comprised
of 14 levels and over 1,965 longhole stopes. The deepest level is
approximately 500 m below surface.
Two portals will be constructed near the ROM pad
that will provide access to two declines. One decline is designed
as a service ramp for transporting gear and personnel throughout
the mine and hauling waste materials to the surface. The second
decline is for the sole purpose of mineralized material haulage.
The intent is to have a trolley-assisted haulage ramp where
automated electric trucks will carry mineralized material to the
surface. This will improve the fleet's productivity, reduce
ventilation demand, and improve safety for the underground workers.
The haulage ramp will be connected to three 'ore passes' where all
the mineralized material will be dumped. A third portal will be
located in the bottom of the pit to connect with the south
satellite zone once the pit is depleted. Chutes at the bottom of
the ore passes will load 65-tonne mining trucks. Five ventilation
raises will be necessary throughout the LOM to move fresh air into
and out of the mine (Figure 25). Three ventilation raises are
located on the main body while two additional raises are required
for the south satellite zone. Figure 25 shows an overview of
the underground mine design.
All underground infrastructure required by law
and operational needs were added to the underground mine design to
reflect accurate development requirements and costing.
Since the stopes will need to be backfilled, a
paste backfill plant is located on the surface near the processing
plant. The plant will take a specific size fraction of the
non-concentrate middlings and bypass (-0.65 mm) streams
emanating from the process plant to produce the paste backfill, to
send back underground as fill.
The underground mine's initial development will
take approximately 16 months before the first stope is available
for production. Production will then ramp-up over a period of
4 years to reach a maximum production rate of approximately
5,000 tonnes per day or approximately 2 Mtpa. The
underground mine will produce mineralized material for an estimated
22 years, starting production at Year 3 and ending at
Year 24. Full production will start at Year 5 until Year 19.
Production will decrease significantly in the last 3 years, as
the last stopes will be mined by longhole longitudinal retreat
mining method, which is a less productive method. Also, as the
pit's ramp system is used to haul material from the south satellite
zone, the last stopes near the pit's wall will have to be mined
last once the south zone is completed. Figure 30 and
Figure 31 show an overview of the underground mining
schedule.
Combined Mining Production Schedule
The hybrid scenario has the benefit of accessing
high-grade from the underground while having access to plenty of
resource from the surface at a low strip ratio. The two mines
provide a more balance feed grade that could be modify at any time
if market condition changes.
The synergy of the two mines allows the site to
produce a steady stream of concentrate at full production starting
on Year 4 and lasting 15 years as seen on Year 18. Concentrate
output starts dropping on Year 20 as the pit's mineralized material
is exhausted and the underground mine production decreases.
Figure 32 and Figure 33 show the schedule for mineralized
material mined and mill feed. Figure 32 shows the combine
mineralized material mining schedule.
When the average grade of the mill feed going
above 1.26% Li2O, the mill's throughput needs to be
reduced to keep the concentrate production at 800,000 tonnes of
concentrate. Mill throughput needs to be reduced between Years 5
and 9 when the high-grade from the Nova Zone is being mined and
between Years 15 and 18 when higher grade from the bottom of the
pit is being mined as seen in Figure 33.
Figure 34 shows the concentrate production
schedule. The mill feed and concentrate production slowly increase
from Years 0 to 3 as the site's processing plant is being expanded.
The small dip in concentrate production in Years 10 and 11 is due
to the underground mine average grade decreasing as the Nova Zone
is exhausted. The open pit is also in a period of heavy waste
stripping which decreases mineralized material mining.
Figure 35 shows the yearly mineralized material mined by
resource classification for the combined open-pit and underground
mines. At least 70% of the material mined is classified as
indicated for the whole length of the full production period (Years
3 to 17).
METALLURGICAL TEST WORK & PROCESSING AND RECOVERY
Metallurgical Test Work
The Company engaged Primero and SGS Canada in
2023 to assist with a metallurgical test work program for the CV5
Deposit. Test work was completed at the SGS Lakefield Ontario
facility. The scope of the program included both mineralogical
characterization and metallurgical test work. Both SGS and Primero
are independent of the Company and are industry recognized in
lithium pegmatite processing. The objectives of the metallurgical
test work program being to confirm the dominant lithium bearing
mineral species for CV5 and evaluate the beneficiation performance
of the deposit using a conventional spodumene DMS flowsheet. Target
concentrate specifications were set at >5.5% Li2O and
<1.2% Fe2O3.
Mineralogical characterization consisted of
TIMA-X (Quantitative SEM), Electron Probe Micro-Analysis ("EPMA"),
Laser Ablation by Inductively Coupled Plasma Mass Spectrometry (LA
by ICP-MS), X-ray diffraction ("XRD") analysis, and chemical
assays. Metallurgical test work included Heavy Liquid Separation
("HLS") and DMS pilot scale test work. Preliminary flotation test
work was completed on the DMS bypass fraction and DMS "middlings"
(i.e. second stage DMS floats).
Test work completed to date indicates that the
CV5 Pegmatite can be processed by DMS-only given the favourable
metallurgical test work results. Test work revealed that a top size
of 9.5 mm reporting to a gravity separation process provided
relatively consistent results in terms of concentrate
Li2O grade and Li2O recovery.
Testing of CV5 was done both in terms of
variability across region, throughout the width of the dykes (i.e.
at contact with host rock, in the centre of formation) as well as
testing of the host rock separately (to properly gauge impacts of
host rock dilution on metallurgical performance). The broad range
of spatial locations with a range of gangue mineral assemblages,
lithium and iron head provides thorough testing of the material.
There is a strong indication that the positive HLS recoveries can
be expected from other coarse spodumene samples taken from CV5.
Gravity test work included 24 pegmatite
composites were generated from drill core from the CV5 Pegmatite,
representing a combined comprising of 631 kg of quarter-core NQ and
707 kg half-core NQ (see Figure 37 for metallurgical results).
Additionally, five composites were made of different host rock
types identified around the CV5 material, corresponding to 345 kg
half-core NQ.
Although not considered in the CV5 region, five
pegmatite composites were generated from drill core from the CV13
Pegmatite, representing a combined comprising of 42.7 kg of
quarter-core NQ. Results were both promising and consistent with
CV5 results, with global lithium recoveries of 75% to 80%. These
preliminary results offer future exploration potential.
Summary of the test work and findings:
- Test work supports a DMS-only process flowsheet to produce a
spodumene concentrate grade of >5.5% Li2O and
<1.2% Fe2O3. Test work Li2O
recoveries of 70% to 85% were achieved for HLS test work (for feed
grade in the range 1.0% to 1.5% Li2O respectfully).
- Test work completed on CV5 includes three DMS tests and 24
Heavy Liquid Separation ("HLS") and magnetic separation tests. The
HLS and magnetic separation tests were conducted using 24
composites from across the CV5 Deposit.
- Coarse spodumene was found to be the dominant lithium mineral
species across all samples with minor quantities of lepidolite
(values range between 0% to 4.3% with an average of 0.98%) and
moderate quantities of mica (values range between 0% to 17.1% with
an average of 6.50%) observed.
- Three pilot DMS tests (cyclone diameter of 250 mm) were
completed. Table 9 summarises the global Li2O feed
grades (before fines screening), global lithium recoveries and the
Li2O and Fe2O3 grades of the
concentrates achieved. These results strongly support adopting a
DMS-only process flowsheet.
Table 9: Pilot DMS Results
DMS Feed Li2O
Grade (%)
|
Global DMS Lithium
Recovery (%)
|
Concentrate
Li2O Grade (%)
|
Concentrate
Fe2O3 Grade (%)
|
1.01
|
77.4
|
5.64
|
0.55
|
1.07
|
79.0
|
5.77
|
0.62
|
1.16
|
69.4
|
6.21
|
0.60
|
- Fe2O3 grades in HLS concentrates were in
the range 0.52% – 1.79% and after magnetic separation was applied
to 15 of the 24 composites, all concentrates were <1.2%
Fe2O3.
- The 24 CV5 HLS variability test results were adjusted to more
appropriately represent recoveries expected in an operating DMS
plant. After fitting a trend to this data, it indicates:
- Recoveries of 70% – 75% Li2O expected at feed grades
above 1.4% Li2O;
- Recoveries of 60% – 70% Li2O expected at feed grades
of 0.9% – 1.4% Li2O;
- Recoveries of 50% – 60% Li2O are possible at feed
grades of 0.7% – 0.9% Li2O.
- Flotation was performed on sample composed of DMS middlings
(second stage DMS floats) combined with the DMS bypass fraction
(i.e. -0.85 mm). The global Li2O recovery was improved
from 79.0% (the DMS only recovery) to 89.1% (DMS followed by
flotation). Flotation spodumene concentrate returned a grade of
5.49% Li2O and 0.40% Fe2O3.
Flotation shows promise to potentially be added to a DMS only plant
at some stage in the future once operational.
- Some samples assayed contained elevated grades of
Ta2O5 (with values as high as 300 ppm). There
is further work warranted to assesses if tantalum can be recovered
from any of the non-product streams of the DMS plant.
The test work results for both HLS (from CV5 and
CV13) and DMS (from CV5) are shown in Figure 37. The
concentrate grades achieved are all greater than 5.5%
Li2O and lower than 1.2% Fe2O3.
All tests were performed on samples that had a 9.5-mm top size.
Three pilot scale DMS tests were conducted in 2023 and 2024, which
resulted in lithium recoveries of 77.4%, 79%, and 69.4% and
concentrate Li2O grades of 5.64%, 5.77%, and 6.21%
respectively, for feed Li2O grades of 1.01%, 1.07%, and
1.16% respectively. The diameter of the cyclone was 250 mm. The
concentrate generated from one of the DMS tests is shown in
Figure 37.
The lithium recovery expected from a three-size
range, DMS concentrator treating material 9.5 mm to 0.65 mm is
shown in Figure 38. The recovery is deemed to be a
relationship to the concentrators Li2O feed grade.
Expected concentrator recoveries are lower than test work results
based on scale-up factors that are driven by the effects of both
larger diameter cyclones and the crowding effect seen in the DMS
sinks. This variation between laboratory test work results and
those achieved in operating plants has, to date, been observed
within the industry with respect to operating spodumene DMS
concentrators. For reference, lithium recoveries achieved by other
DMS-only concentrators are shown for reference ('Industrial DMS
Only Performance' in Figure 37). The project's higher expected
recovery is due both the quality of the material (large spodumene
grains with a narrow grain size distribution) and the three size
range DMS plant (which lessens the impact of particle size effect
in the DMS process).
Recommendations for the next steps in the test
work program are:
- Fines bypass processing can increase the recovery of the
project (i.e. via flotation). Due to the high recovery of the
DMS-only process, further assessment of the recovery improvement
and its associated costs (i.e. Capex and Opex) would need to be
assesses to ascertain the feasibility of this processing step. If
determined to be attractive, the process step would be added after
start-up of the DMS-only flowsheet as to not hinder the typically
fast start-ups associated with DMS-only operations. Further
flotation test work is planned within the next phase of study.
- Further work directed at the recovery of tantalite will be
completed as part of the next phase of study work.
- Due to the width and orientation of the CV5 Pegmatite lenses,
the expected dilution of the plant feed is expected to be
relatively low. However, there may be opportunities to maximize the
extraction of spodumene concentrate from the deposit if parts of
the deposit with higher dilution are directed to an ore sorting
processing solution. Ore sorting test work is planned for the next
phase of test work.
Processing and Recovery
The process flowsheet adopted for the PEA, based
on the metallurgical testwork, assumes a three-size range, DMS -
only flowsheet. This flowsheet was chosen due to its relative
simplicity, its attractive ramp up from commissioning, and high
lithium recoveries that were achieved in the testwork.
The process plant is designed to process
5 Mtpa of run of mine ("ROM") feed with an average life of
grade of 1.31% Li2O (resulting in a corresponding
Li2O recovery of 69.5%) to produce an average of
827,530 tpa of spodumene concentrate with a grade of 5.50 wt.%
Li2O.
The design adopted for the PEA is comprised of
two parallel plants of 2.5 Mtpa. The design is based on the
Company's execution strategy, which is to install a process plant
feed capacity of 5 Mtpa through staged production increases.
Note that the 2.5 Mtpa design adopted has already been used
successfully on a global scale within the industry.
The process flowsheet, illustrated by the
simplified flowsheet in Figure 39, includes firstly a crushing
plant, followed by a DMS processing plant, and finally dewatering
prior to the various output streams reporting to their respective
handling areas. The crushing plant involves three stages of
crushing with the last stage of crushing being a closed circuit
with a 9.5 mm screen. The crushed -9.5 mm product reports
to a crushed feed stockpile. Material is reclaimed from the crushed
feed stockpile via feeders under the stockpile and then screened
into four streams of 9.5 mm to 4 mm, 4 mm to
1.5 mm, 1.5 mm to 0.65 mm, and -0.65 mm.
The 9.5 mm to 4 mm, the 4 mm to
1.5 mm and the 1.5 mm to 0.65 mm streams report to
the coarse DMS, fine DMS and the ultrafine DMS processing circuits
respectively. For the coarse DMS circuit, the first stage of DMS
generates a lower density fraction that reports directly to
tailings handling. The higher density fraction of this first stage
reports to the second stage of DMS, which produces a higher density
concentrate fraction that is directed to the magnetic plant (refer
below), and a lower density lithium bearing 'middlings' fraction.
The coarse DMS 'middling' fraction is directed to a re-crush
circuit where the material is crushed to -3.3 mm followed by
screening at 0.65 mm. The 3.3 mm to 0.65 mm is then
processed via a dedicated DMS circuit, producing concentrate that
reports to the magnetic plant, and a tailings stream. The -0.65
fraction reports to tailings dewatering.
The fine and ultrafine DMS circuits both have a
single stage of DMS processing. The higher density fraction is a
lithium rich stream that is directed to a magnetic plant (refer
below) while the lower density material is directed to tailings
handling.
The 'bypass' fraction, being the -0.65 mm
from the DMS preparation section of the plant (immediately
preceding the crushed feed stockpile) and the re-crush circuit
screen undersize, is collected and directed to a thickener to be
dewatered. The thickener underflow reports directly to a belt
filter.
The magnetic separation circuit removes the
minerals with iron contaminants by using high intensity magnetic
fields to ensure that the final concentrate specification does not
exceed the final iron impurity target value (i.e.
Fe2O3 < 1.2 wt.%). The +2.9 SG material
from all three DMS circuits (i.e. coarse, fine and ultrafine) are
conveyed to the magnetic separation circuit. The coarse concentrate
is fed to a screen with a 6.3 mm cut size. The screen oversize
(+9.5 mm to 6.3 mm), being too coarse in size to effectively
be processed with wet belt magnetic separators, is directed to the
final concentrate. The screen undersize is fed to the coarse wet
belt magnetic separator. The DMS concentrates from the fine and
ultrafine circuits each report to dedicated wet belt magnetic
separators. The magnetic fractions from the three units are
dewatered via a screen. The dewatered screen oversize is conveyed
to the tailings handling piles. The non-magnetic fractions,
considered final concentrates, are also dewatered with screens and
then conveyed to a concentrate stockpile. Final concentrate is
handled with a front-end loader for the purpose of loading road
trains for transport off site.
SITE INFRASTRUCTURE
General main site infrastructure is shown in
Figure 40, while Figure 41 provides a view of the
possible power line route vs. the existing Exploration Camp and
potential new mine site.
The main site infrastructure includes the
following:
- Open pit mine;
- Underground mine;
- Processing plant (crusher buildings, crushed ROM domes,
concentrator, loadout);
- Paste backfill plant;
- Mining fleet, light vehicles, and highway trucks garages;
- Administrative offices, dry rooms, warehouses, and auxiliary
buildings for the concentrator and the mine areas;
- Waste rock and rejects management facilities with their
associated ditching and pond systems for water management;
- Fresh/raw water wells and water treatment plants;
- Electrical substation and overhead electrical powerlines;
- Emulsion plant and explosive storage magazines buildings;
- Fuel storage pad and refuelling stations;
- ROM pads;
- Water retention dikes on Lake 001;
- Water diversion canal for Lake 001;
- Permanent workers camp for construction and operational
needs;
- Matagami Transshipment Centre ("MTC").
Hydro-Québec renewable electrical energy was the
energy of choice for the Project. No windmill or solar panels were
considered.
The main site electrical substation will be
located at approximately 55 km south of the Hydro-Québec's
315 KV Tilly substation. To interconnect these two
substations, a 69 kV transmission line on wooden poles will be
built, along existing roads where possible. This new powerline is
shown on Figure 41.
A preliminary estimate evaluated the main site
electrical power consumption to be 25.7 MW. The new electrical
substation will have a firm capacity of 30 MVA and more. Electrical
distribution at the main site will be done by 13.8 kV overhead
distribution lines.
Final access to power will be subject to both
further engineering assessment and application and approvals to
access the Hydro-Québec system.
PRODUCT TRANSPORTATION
The PEA logistics assessment included engagement
with a specialist logistics consultant and contractors with
specific experience in the James
Bay region.
Highway trucks with trailers will transport
spodumene concentrate between the mine loadout area and the
Matagami Transshipment Centre. The MTC, located approximately
834 km southwest of the mine loadout area, will receive the
concentrate. Trucks will pull two side dumper trailers, with a
total payload capacity of 75 tonnes (2 x 37.5 tonnes).
Upon arrival at the MTC, trucks will unload the
spodumene concentrate on a concrete floor beneath a new
prefabricated dome. Front end loaders will manage the stockpile
while loading railcars. The stockpile capacity is approximately 5
to 6 days of production (around 11,500 t).
Trains equipped with railcars having a capacity
of approximately 95 tonnes will transport the spodumene concentrate
from the MTC to Bécancour, QC. To accommodate the covered railcars,
a new spur line will be constructed. These railcars will be
delivered and picked up by the Canadian National Railway Company
("CN").
Finally, in Bécancour, QC, the spodumene
concentrate railcars will be emptied using a straddle excavator.
Further storing and processing activities for the spodumene
concentrate are not the responsibility of PMET for this study.
ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES AND PERMITTING
The Project is subject to the provincial
environmental and social impact assessment ("ESIA") and review
process of the JBNQA, and the federal (Canadian) impact assessment
process. Additional detailed permits and authorizations will also
be required to build and operate the proposed mine. Concerning the
provincial process, a Preliminary Information Statement was
submitted to the Québec Ministry of Environment ("MELCCFP") in
November 2023 to officially begin the
process. On April 5, 2024, the
MELCCFP confirmed that the Project was subject to the ESIA process
and issued a directive that outlined the Project specific
guidelines for the completion of the ESIA. On the federal side, the
Supreme Court of Canada stated in
October 2023 that the Impact
Assessment Act is unconstitutional in some regards for examination
of various types of projects, including mining projects. Minor
amendments to the Act were put into law in June 2024, focussing the federal review process
and providing for efficiencies in the review timelines. Discussions
with the Impact Assessment Agency of Canada ("IAAC") are ongoing and the IAAC
website is being monitored to identify any new procedures, policy
and guidance documents that are published to reflect these
changes.
Environmental baseline studies began in 2022 and
have continued throughout 2024. Field studies have focused on
fisheries, vegetation and wetlands, hydrology, endangered species,
large mammals. and birds. Additional studies are planned to further
characterize the social environment, identify potential
archaeological sites and establish a baseline for noise and air
quality. All field studies are undertaken with the direct
participation of First Nations field technicians, and findings are
shared with the community.
The Property is on public lands, on the territory
of the Eeyou Istchee James Bay Regional Government. All drilling
activities and all the planned infrastructure for the proposed mine
are located on the traditional lands of the Cree Nation of
Chisasibi (trapline CH39).
The Company has visited the Cree community and hosted Project
information sessions beginning in 2022 and intensifying
throughout 2023 and 2024. The main objective of these sessions
has been to gather preliminary concerns, recommendations, and
interests from stakeholders. Ongoing community sessions will
include sharing of environmental baseline data, exchange of land
use information and opportunities for input to mitigation measures
and habitat compensation projects contemplated as part of the
Project design.
LITHIUM MARKET & COMMODITY PRICE ASSUMPTIONS
Lithium Market Overview
The lithium spodumene market remains dynamic and
complex, characterized by price volatility due to fluctuating
demand, evolving supply dynamics, and shifts in contract pricing
mechanisms. Recent market indicators and technical reports support
a benchmark price of US$1,375/tonne
for spodumene concentrate (SC5.5% FOB Bécancour basis) in Q3
2024.
Supply:
- Lithium raw material production is increasing as new projects
come online and established producers expand, resulting in ample
supply (Fastmarkets 2024).
- While there is sufficient chemical capacity supporting
China's domestic consumption and
export markets, refining capacity limitations in Western markets
could impact the availability of battery-grade lithium products
compliant with Western industry standards, like the US Inflation
Reduction Act and European Battery Passport process.
- There is growing concern about the geopolitical risk posed by
the concentration of the lithium-ion battery supply chain in
China.
Demand:
- Lithium demand remains strong, primarily driven by the EV
sector, though growth has moderated since early 2023. Global EV
sales growth reached 20% in H1 2024, with EV market share touching
17.8% in 2023, on track for 20% of all car sales in 2024 (combining
BEV and PHEV passenger cars). Energy storage systems and consumer
electronics continue to significantly contribute to overall demand.
In fact, Energy Storage Systems ("ESS") will require more GWh
installed capacity in 2025 than EV batteries did in 2020.
(Fastmarkets, 2024; Rho Motion, 2024; Bloomberg NEF, 2024).
Pricing Dynamics:
- The market is shifting from long-term contracts towards spot
and short-term agreements, contributing to increased price
volatility. Recent auction prices have fluctuated considerably,
reflecting a changing market landscape with some sources suggesting
a potential price floor is forming (S&P Global 2024).
Lithium Spodumene Concentrate Price Assumptions
Spot Prices:
- Fastmarkets' assessment for spodumene concentrate (SC6%) CIF
China was $800–$950/t on January 17,
2024, a significant decrease from the peak in early 2023 due
to softening downstream chemical prices and ample lithium raw
material supply (Fastmarkets, 2024).
Contract Prices:
- Benchmark Mineral Intelligence's latest assessment on
July 10, 2024, indicated that the
global weighted average price for lithium carbonate (min 99%) was
$12,210.62/t. Spodumene prices are
anticipated to stabilize in the $1,100–$1,200/t range in Q3 (Benchmark Mineral
Intelligence, 2024).
Recent Technical Reports & Press Releases
- Several mining companies have published technical reports and
press releases using a range of long-term spodumene price
assumptions.
Benchmark Price Analysis
Based on recent technical reports, banking
commodities analyst reports and company disclosures spodumene
prices cluster around $1,300–$1,500
per tonne for 5.5% spodumene concentrate. This suggests a benchmark
price within this range is a fair representation of current market
conditions. However, prices can vary significantly based on
concentrate percentage and other factors.
Conclusion
The lithium spodumene market is characterized by
dynamic pricing influenced by a variety of factors. While price
volatility is expected to persist, a benchmark price in the range
of $1,300–$1,500 per tonne for 5.5%
spodumene concentrate is justified based on recent market data. It
is recommended to use a long-term price outlook of US$1,375/tonne (SC5.5% FOB Bécancour basis).
NPV SENSITIVITY AND ANNUAL CASH FLOWS
The pre-tax base case financial model results in
an internal rate of return of 38% and an NPV of $4.7 billion with a discount rate of 8%. The
simple pre-tax payback period is 3.6 years. On an after-tax
basis, the base case financial model results in an internal rate of
return 34% and an NPV of $2.9 billion with a discount rate of 8%. The
simple after-tax payback period is 3.6 years.
Table 10 shows the financial analysis
summary.
Table 10: Financial Analysis
Summary
Description
|
CA$ M
|
US$ M
|
Pre-Tax
|
Discount
Rate
|
0 %
|
13,299
|
10,107
|
5 %
|
6,818
|
5,182
|
8 %
|
4,699
|
3,571
|
10 %
|
3,698
|
2,811
|
15 %
|
2,073
|
1,575
|
Pre-Tax
IRR
|
38 %
|
Payback
Period
|
3.6 years
|
After-Tax
|
Discount
Rate
|
0 %
|
8,308
|
6,314
|
5 %
|
4,270
|
3,245
|
8 %
|
2,937
|
2,232
|
10 %
|
2,305
|
1,752
|
15 %
|
1,269
|
964
|
After-Tax
IRR
|
34 %
|
Payback
Period
|
3.6 years
|
The Project is most sensitive to grade, spodumene
concentrate price and the exchange rate. Therefore, improving the
geological model for definition and accuracy is recommended. The
spodumene concentrate price and the exchange rate are based on
market risks (supply and demand) and political risks,
respectively.
APPENDIX 2 – SUPPORTING DATA
NON-IFRS AND OTHER FINANCIAL MEASURES
This press release includes non-IFRS financial
measures and non-IFRS financial ratios. The Company believes that
these measures provide additional insight, but these measures are
not standardized financial measures prescribed under IFRS and
therefore should not be confused with, or used as an alternative
for, performance measures calculated according to IFRS.
Furthermore, these measures should not be compared with similarly
titled measures provided or used by other issuers.
The non-IFRS financial measures and non-IFRS
financial ratios used in this news release and common to the mining
industry are defined below:
- EBITDA and EBITDA by revenues: EBITDA is a non-IFRS
financial measure which is comprised of net income or loss from
operations before income taxes, finance expense – net, depreciation
and amortization. EBITDA by revenues is a non-IFRS financial ratio
which is calculated as EBITDA divided by anticipated revenues.
These measures are used by the Company to show anticipated
operating performance, by eliminating the impact of non-operational
or non-cash items.
- Cash operating costs at site and cash operating costs at
site per tonne: Cash operating costs at site is a non-IFRS
financial measure which includes mining, processing, and site
administration. Cash operating costs at site per tonne is a
non-IFRS financial ratio which is calculated as cash operating
costs at site divided by anticipated production expressed in
tonnes. These measures capture the important components of the
Company's anticipated production and related costs and are used to
indicate anticipated cost performance of the Company's
operations.
- Total cash operating costs (FOB Bécancour) and total cash
operating costs per tonne (FOB Bécancour): Total cash operating
costs (FOB Bécancour) is a non-IFRS financial measure which
includes mining, processing, site administration, and product
transportation to Bécancour. Total cash operating costs (FOB
Bécancour) per tonne is a non-IFRS financial ratio which is
calculated as total cash operating costs (FOB Bécancour) divided by
anticipated production expressed in tonnes. These measures capture
the important components of the Company's anticipated production
and related costs and are used to indicate anticipated cost
performance of the Company's operations.
- All-in sustaining cost (AISC) and AISC per tonne: All-in
sustaining cost is a non-IFRS financial measure which includes
mining, processing, site administration, and product transportation
to Bécancour and sustaining capital. All-in sustaining cost per
tonne of spodumene concentrate is a non-IFRS financial ratio which
is calculated as all-in sustaining cost divided by anticipated
production expressed in tonnes. These measures capture the
important components of the Company's anticipated production and
related costs and are used to indicate anticipated cost performance
of the Company's operations.
- Free cash flow: Free cash flow is a non-IFRS financial
measure defined as cash provided from operating activities, less
cash outlays for capital, and taxes. This measure is used by the
Company to measure the anticipated cash flow available to the
Company.
The Company does not currently have operations,
and therefore does not have historical equivalent measures to
compare and cannot perform a reconciliation with historical
measures.
ABOUT PATRIOT BATTERY METALS INC.
Patriot Battery Metals Inc. is a hard-rock
lithium exploration company focused on advancing its district-scale
100%-owned Shaakichiuwaanaan Property (formerly known as Corvette)
located in the Eeyou Istchee James Bay region of Québec,
Canada, which is accessible
year-round by all-season road and is proximal to regional powerline
infrastructure. The Shaakichiuwaanaan Mineral Resource1,
which includes the CV5 & CV13 spodumene pegmatites, totals
80.1 Mt at 1.44% Li2O Indicated, and 62.5 Mt
at 1.31% Li2O Inferred, and ranks as the largest lithium
pegmatite resource in the Americas, and the
8th largest lithium pegmatite resource in the
world. Additionally, the Shaakichiuwaanaan Property hosts multiple
other spodumene pegmatite clusters that remain to be drill tested,
as well as significant areas of prospective trend that remain to be
assessed.
For further information, please contact us
at info@patriotbatterymetals.com or by calling +1 (604)
279-8709, or visit www.patriotbatterymetals.com. Please also
refer to the Company's continuous disclosure filings, available
under its profile
at www.sedarplus.ca and www.asx.com.au, for
available exploration data.
This news release has been approved by the Board
of Directors.
"KEN BRINSDEN"
Kenneth Brinsden, President, CEO,
& Managing Director
___________
|
1
|
Shaakichiuwaanaan (CV5 & CV13) Mineral Resource Estimate (80.1
Mt at 1.44% Li2O and 163 ppm
Ta2O5 Indicated, and 62.5 Mt at 1.31%
Li2O and 147 ppm Ta2O5 ppm
Inferred) is reported at a cut-off grade of 0.40% Li2O
(open pit), 0.60% Li2O (underground CV5), and 0.80%
Li2O (underground CV13) with an Effective Date of June
27, 2024 (through drill hole CV24-526). Mineral Resources are not
Mineral Reserves as they do not have demonstrated economic
viability.
|
DISCLAIMER FOR FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION
This news release contains "forward-looking
information" or "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of
applicable securities laws and other statements that are not
historical facts. Forward-looking statements are included to
provide information about management's current expectations and
plans that allows investors and others to have a better
understanding of the Company's business plans and financial
performance and condition.
All statements, other than statements of
historical fact included in this news release, regarding the
Company's strategy, future operations, technical assessments,
prospects, plans and objectives of management are forward-looking
statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking
statements are typically identified by words such as "plan",
"expect", "estimate", "intend", "anticipate", "believe", or
variations of such words and phrases or statements that certain
actions, events or results "may", "could", "would", "might" or
"will" be taken, occur or be achieved. Forward-looking statements
in this release include, but are not limited to, statements
concerning: the estimation of Mineral Resources and the realization
of such mineral estimates; expectations with respect to updating
the Inferred Mineral Resources to Indicated Mineral Resources with
infill drilling; the preliminary economic assessment, notably those
under the highlights, and the results of the PEA discussed in this
news release, including, without limitation, project economics,
financial and operational parameters such as expected throughput,
production, processing methods, cash costs, all-in sustaining
costs, other costs, capital expenditures, free cash flow, NPV, IRR,
payback period and life of mine, upside potential, opportunities
for growth and expected next steps in the development of the
project, including timing for potential commencement of
construction and first production of concentrate; the potential to
utilize existing infrastructure, expertise and maintenance
practices in connection with production from the project, and the
expected benefits thereof, expected LOM, engagement with
stakeholders, permitting activities; availability and applicability
of tax relief as provided in existing legislation; the availability
of various tax credits for the Company; the timing of a feasibility
study; the potential for new partners to associate themselves with
the Company; the Company's position in the market, notably in
North America; the release date
and content of the technical report pertaining to the MRE and the
PEA; and the potential funding of the Project.
Forward-looking information is based upon certain
assumptions and other important factors that, if untrue, could
cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the
Company to be materially different from future results, performance
or achievements expressed or implied by such information or
statements. There can be no assurance that such information or
statements will prove to be accurate. Key assumptions upon which
the Company's forward-looking information is based include without
limitation, assumptions regarding development and exploration
activities; the timing, extent, duration and economic viability of
such operations, including any mineral resources or reserves
identified thereby; the accuracy and reliability of estimates,
projections, forecasts, studies and assessments; the Company's
ability to meet or achieve estimates, projections and forecasts;
the availability and cost of inputs; the price and market for
outputs; foreign exchange rates; taxation levels; the timely
receipt of necessary approvals or permits; the ability to meet
current and future obligations; the ability to obtain timely
financing on reasonable terms when required; the current and future
social, economic and political conditions; and other assumptions
and factors generally associated with the mining industry.
Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list is
not exhaustive of all factors and assumptions which may have been
used. Forward-looking statements are also subject to risks and
uncertainties facing the Company's business, any of which could
have a material adverse effect on the Company's business, financial
condition, results of operations and growth prospects. Some of the
risks the Company faces and the uncertainties that could cause
actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the
forward-looking statements include, among others, requirements for
additional capital, operating and technical difficulties in
connection with mineral exploration and development activities;
actual results of exploration activities, including on the
Shaakichiuwaanaan Project; the estimation or realization of mineral
reserves and mineral resources; the timing and amount of estimated
future production; the costs of production, capital expenditures,
the costs and timing of the development of new deposits,
requirements for additional capital; future prices of spodumene;
changes in general economic conditions; changes in the financial
markets and in the demand and market price for commodities; lack of
investor interest in future financings; the Company's ability to
secure permits or financing for the completion of construction
activities; and the Company's ability to execute on plans relating
to the Company's Shaakichiuwaanaan Project. In addition, readers
are directed to carefully review the detailed risk discussion in
the Company's most recent Annual Information Form filed on SEDAR+,
which discussion is incorporated by reference in this news release,
for a fuller understanding of the risks and uncertainties that
affect the Company's business and operations.
Although the Company believes its expectations
are based upon reasonable assumptions and has attempted to identify
important factors that could cause actual actions, events or
results to differ materially from those described in
forward-looking statements, there may be other factors that cause
actions, events or results not to be as anticipated, estimated or
intended. There can be no assurance that forward-looking
information will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future
events could differ materially from those anticipated in such
information. As such, these risks are not exhaustive; however, they
should be considered carefully. If any of these risks or
uncertainties materialize, actual results may vary materially from
those anticipated in the forward-looking statements found herein.
Due to the risks, uncertainties, and assumptions inherent in
forward-looking statements, readers should not place undue reliance
on forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements contained herein are
presented for the purpose of assisting investors in understanding
the Company's business plans, financial performance and condition
and may not be appropriate for other purposes.
The forward-looking statements contained herein
are made only as of the date hereof. The Company disclaims any
intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking
statements, whether as a result of new information, future events
or otherwise, except to the extent required by applicable law. The
Company qualifies all of its forward-looking statements by these
cautionary statements.
COMPETENT PERSON STATEMENT (ASX LISTING RULE 5.22)
The Mineral Resource Estimate in this release was
reported by the Company in accordance with ASX Listing Rule 5.8 on
August 5, 2024. The Company confirms
it is not aware of any new information or data that materially
affects the information included in the announcement and that all
material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the
estimates in the announcement continue to apply and have not
materially changed. The Company confirms that the form and context
in which the competent person's findings are presented have not
been materially modified from the original market announcement.
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SOURCE Patriot Battery Metals Inc.