CALGARY,
AB, April 27, 2023 /CNW/ - Lycos Energy Inc.
("Lycos" or the "Company") (TSXV: LCX) is pleased to
announce its operating and financial results for the three months
and year ended December 31, 2022 and
the results of Lycos' year-end independent oil and gas reserves
evaluation as of December 31, 2022
(the "Reserve Report"), prepared by Sproule Associates Limited
("Sproule"), the Company's independent qualified reserves
evaluator. Selected financial, operating and reserves
information is outlined below and should be read with Lycos'
audited annual consolidated financial statements and related
management's discussion and analysis ("MD&A") for the three
months and year ended December 31,
2022 and annual information form ("AIF") for the year ended
December 31, 2022, which are
available at sedar.com and on our website www.lycosenergy.com. The
highlights reported in this press release include certain non-IFRS
financial measures and ratios which have been identified using
capital letters. The reader is cautioned that these measures may
not be directly comparable to other issuers; refer to additional
information under the heading "Specified Financial
Measures".
Message to Shareholders
On December 12, 2022, Samoth
Oilfield Inc. ("Samoth") completed a business combination
transaction (the "Business Combination") with Chronos Resources
Ltd. ("Chronos"), pursuant to which Chronos raised aggregate gross
proceeds of $65.0 million pursuant to
a private placement, a new management team of Samoth was appointed
and the board of directors of Samoth was reconstituted. The
resulting entity was renamed "Lycos Energy Inc." and, on
December 15, 2022, the common shares
of the Company commenced trading under the new symbol "LCX" on the
TSX Venture Exchange.
The Business Combination ushered in an ambitious new entrant to
the junior public oil and gas energy sector with substantial growth
plans. By applying specialized drilling techniques to
multi-lateral wells, Lycos is substantially increasing returns on
acquired assets, as evidenced in the fishbone and eight leg
multi-lateral well results in the Lloydminster area.
Even though the multi-lateral wells drilled in 2022 were not on
stream until the latter part of the fourth quarter of 2022, they
had a substantial impact on reserves growth. Strong production
results, combined with exceptional capital cost control resulted in
overall net reserve increases of over 1.7 mmboe of total proved
reserves ("TP") and 2.8 mmboe of total proved plus probable ("TPP")
from the reserves of Chronos as of December
31, 2021, a 65% and 55% increase. Well performance
generated higher than expected reserve bookings on both proved
developed producing reserves ("PDP") for the two wells on stream
and the offset undeveloped wells recognized by Sproule.
We highlight the following fourth quarter and full year 2022
operating and financial results:
- As at December 31, 2022, Lycos
had cash of $59.6 million, Adjusted
Working Capital surplus of $56.8
million and no outstanding debt.
- Lycos successfully drilled its first 100 percent, multi-leg
"fishbone" well and a second eight leg multi-lateral well from the
same drilling pad location at Baldwinton. The wells were
subsequently brought on production with initial 30-day production
rates of approximately 150 boe/d and 97 boe/d, respectively.
- As a result of the fishbone and multi-lateral well and
reactivation program results from late Q4 2022, the Company
recorded increases in reserves of over 1.7 mmboe TP and 2.8 mmboe
TPP, a 65% and 55% increase.
- Based on the reserve additions for 2022, the Company achieved
FD&A costs of $13.55/boe for TP
reserves and $11.22/boe for TPP
reserves, respectively. These values drove Recycle Ratios of 1.7
(TP) and 2.6 (TPP) based on 2022 average Operating Netbacks.
- Production replacement was 462% (TP) and 767% (TPP).
- Average fourth quarter production was 1,123 boe/d (99% crude
oil), a 22% increase from the fourth quarter of 2021 of 918 boe/d
(99% crude oil). Production averaged 1,004 boe/d (99% crude oil)
for the year, an increase of 57% from 2021 annual production of 638
boe/d (99% crude oil).
- Cash flow from operating activities was $5.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2022. Adjusted Funds Flow from
Operations for the year ended December 31,
2022 was $6.0 million, a 92%
increase from $3.1 million in the
comparable period of 2021.
Outlook
Lycos' 2023 production and capital guidance remains unchanged
with target 2023 annual production averaging 3,000 boe/d (99% oil)
through exploration and development expenditures of $37 million and $50.0
million of acquisition expenditures.
On February 28, 2023, the Company
completed a major transaction, acquiring over 1,500 boe/d and
substantially increasing our multi-lateral drilling location
inventory (the "Acquisition"). The Acquisition marked a
significant step in the overall growth plan for the Company, and
initial multi-lateral well results have been above forecast type
curves.
The company previously announced that net operating expenses
were anticipated to decrease by more than 30% as a result of the
Acquisition. Current Net Operating Expenses are less than
$25/boe, representing a 38% decrease
from the fourth quarter of 2022.
Lycos will resume drilling in late Q2 2023 and plans to drill an
additional 12 fishbone and multi-lateral wells prior to year
end. These wells are expected to increase current production
to average over 4,000 boe/d (99% oil) in Q4 2023, an increase of
over 35% in production per share for the year.
Lycos continues to innovate its extended length open hole
multi-lateral wells. The Company is actively acquiring new
multi-lateral well inventory and plans to continue to grow through
multi-lateral development and acquisition of both under exploited
reserves as well as new lands that are suitable for organic
fishbone and multi-lateral exploitation.
2022 Reserves Information
Lycos is pleased to provide select highlights from the results
of the year end evaluation of the Company's heavy oil reserves in
the Lloydminster Saskatchewan and
Gull Lake Saskatchewan areas as of
December 31, 2022, as prepared by
Sproule. The evaluation of Lycos' properties was prepared in
accordance with the definitions, standards and procedures contained
in the most recent publication of the Canadian Oil and Gas
Evaluation Handbook ("COGEH") and National Instrument 51-101 –
Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("NI
51-101") and is based on Sproule's published price forecast as of
December 31, 2022. The reserves are
exclusive of the assets acquired pursuant to the Acquisition
completed subsequent to year end on February
28, 2023. See "Reader Advisories – Reserves and Future
Net Revenue Disclosure" for more information. Additional
reserves information as required under NI 51-101 is included in the
AIF. The numbers in the tables below may not add due to
rounding.
Summary of Reserves Volumes as at December 31, 2022
|
Total Company Share Reserves (1)
|
|
|
Reserves
Category
|
Heavy Crude Oil
(Mbbl)
|
Conventional
Natural Gas
(Solution Gas) (MMcf)
|
Natural Gas
Liquids (Mbbl)
|
Total (Mboe)
|
Proved developed
producing
|
1,492
|
111
|
0.3
|
1,510
|
Proved developed
non-producing
|
155
|
3
|
-
|
155
|
Proved
undeveloped
|
2,235
|
66
|
0.2
|
2,246
|
Total
proved
|
3,881
|
180
|
0.5
|
3,912
|
Probable
|
3,610
|
131
|
0.4
|
3,633
|
Total proved plus
probable
|
7,491
|
311
|
0.9
|
7,544
|
(1)
Reserves have been presented on gross
basis which are the Company's total working interest share before
the deduction of any royalties and without including any royalty
interests of the Company.
|
Net Present Values of Future Net Revenue
The following tables summarize the net present value, at varying
discount rates, of the Company's reserves (before tax) as at
December 31, 2022.
|
Before Tax Net Present
Value ($ millions) (1)
|
|
|
|
|
Discount
Rate
|
|
|
|
|
Description
|
0 %
|
5 %
|
10 %
|
15 %
|
20 %
|
Proved developed
producing
|
14,852
|
18,145
|
18,895
|
18,745
|
18,253
|
Proved developed
non-producing
|
2,917
|
2,679
|
2,473
|
2,293
|
2,136
|
Proved
undeveloped
|
65,114
|
45,769
|
33,463
|
25,231
|
19,461
|
Total
proved
|
82,883
|
66,593
|
54,831
|
46,269
|
39,850
|
Probable
|
127,022
|
87,017
|
64,161
|
49,799
|
40,085
|
Total proved plus
probable
|
209,905
|
153,610
|
118,992
|
96,068
|
79,935
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1)
Includes abandonment and reclamation
costs as defined in NI 51-101
|
|
|
|
|
Future Development Costs ("FDC")
The following is a summary of the estimated FDC required to
bring proved undeveloped reserves and proved plus probable
undeveloped reserves on production. FDC associated with our
TP reserves at year end 2022 is $28.7
million and FDC on TPP reserves is $50.3 million.
($ millions)
|
Total Proved
|
Total Proved plus
Probable
|
2023
|
6,489
|
11,342
|
2024
|
10,435
|
21,040
|
2025
|
10,926
|
16,284
|
2026
|
831
|
1,661
|
Total FDC,
undiscounted
|
28,681
|
50,327
|
Finding and development ("F&D") costs is based on the change in
reserves for the 2022 year, based on the Reserve Report and the
evaluation of the heavy oil reserves in the Lloydminster Saskatchewan and Gull Lake Saskatchewan areas of Chronos as of
December 31, 2021 (the "Chronos
Report"), as prepared by its independent qualified reserves
evaluator, Sproule, in accordance with COGEH and NI 51-101.
|
Opening Reserves
January 1, 2022
(Mboe)
|
2022
Production (Mboe)
|
Closing Reserves
December 31, 2022 (Mboe)
|
Net Change in Reserves
(Mboe)
|
2022 Capital
expenditures -
property, plant and equipment (M$)
|
Change in FDC
(M$)
|
F&D
($/boe)(1)
|
Total
proved
|
2,588
|
365
|
3,912
|
1,689
|
10,091
|
12,790
|
$ 13.55
|
Total proved plus
probable
|
5,107
|
365
|
7,544
|
2,803
|
10,091
|
21,356
|
$ 11.22
|
(1)
F&D costs are calculated as the sum
of capital expenditures - property, plant and equipment of $10.1
million plus the change in FDC for the period of 12.8 million (TP)
and $21.4 million (TPP), divided by the change in reserves volumes
for the period.
|
Reader Advisories
Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements
Certain statements contained within this press release
constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of
applicable Canadian securities legislation. All statements other
than statements of historical fact may be forward-looking
statements. Forward-looking statements are often, but not always,
identified by the use of words such as "anticipate", "budget",
"plan", "endeavor", "continue", "estimate", "evaluate", "expect",
"forecast", "monitor", "may", "will", "can", "able", "potential",
"target", "intend", "consider", "focus", "identify", "use",
"utilize", "manage", "maintain", "remain", "result", "cultivate",
"could", "should", "believe" and similar expressions. Lycos
believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking
statements are reasonable as of the date hereof, but no assurance
can be given that such expectations will prove to be correct and
such forward-looking statements should not be unduly relied upon.
Without limitation, this press release contains forward-looking
statements pertaining to: Lycos' business strategy, objectives,
strength and focus; anticipated capital program and operational
results for 2023 including, but not limited to, estimated or
anticipated growth, production levels, capital expenditures,
drilling plans and locations; expectations regarding commodity
prices; the performance characteristics of the Company's oil and
natural gas properties; the ability of the Company to achieve
drilling success consistent with management's expectations; and the
source of funding for the Company's activities including
development costs. Statements relating to production, reserves,
recovery, replacement, costs and valuation are also deemed to
be forward-looking statements, as they involve the implied
assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the
reserves described exist in the quantities predicted or estimated
and that the reserves can be profitably produced in the future.
The forward-looking statements and information are based on
certain key expectations and assumptions made by Lycos, including
expectations and assumptions concerning the business plan of Lycos;
the timing of and success of future drilling, development and
completion activities; the geological characteristics of Lycos'
properties; prevailing commodity prices, price volatility, price
differentials and the actual prices received for the Company's
products; the availability and performance of drilling rigs,
facilities, pipelines and other oilfield services; the timing of
past operations and activities in the planned areas of focus; the
drilling, completion and tie-in of wells being completed as
planned; the performance of new and existing wells; the application
of existing drilling and fracturing techniques; prevailing weather
and break-up conditions; royalty regimes and exchange rates; the
application of regulatory and licensing requirements; the continued
availability of capital and skilled personnel; the ability to
maintain or grow its credit facility; the accuracy of Lycos'
geological interpretation of its drilling and land opportunities,
including the ability of seismic activity to enhance such
interpretation; and Lycos' ability to execute its plans and
strategies.
Although Lycos believes that the expectations and assumptions on
which such forward-looking statements and information are based are
reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the
forward-looking statements and information because Lycos can give
no assurance that they will prove to be correct. By its nature,
such forward-looking information is subject to various risks and
uncertainties, which could cause the actual results and
expectations to differ materially from the anticipated results or
expectations expressed. These risks and uncertainties include, but
are not limited to, incorrect assessments of the value of benefits
to be obtained from acquisitions and exploration and development
programs (including the Acquisition); fluctuations in commodity
prices, changes in industry regulations and political landscape
both domestically and abroad, wars (including Russia's military actions in Ukraine), hostilities, civil insurrections,
foreign exchange or interest rates, increased operating and capital
costs due to inflationary pressures (actual and anticipated),
volatility in the stock market and financial system, impacts of the
current COVID-19 pandemic and the retention of key management and
employees. Ongoing military actions between Russia and Ukraine have the potential to threaten the
supply of oil and gas from the region. The long-term impacts of the
actions between these nations remains uncertain. Please refer to
the AIF and the MD&A for additional risk factors relating to
Lycos, which can be accessed either on the Company's website at
www.lycosenergy.com or under the Company's profile on
www.sedar.com. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on
this forward-looking information, which is given as of the date
hereof, and to not use such forward-looking information for
anything other than its intended purpose. Lycos undertakes no
obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking
information, whether as a result of new information, future events
or otherwise, except as required by law.
Future Oriented Financial Information
This press release contains future oriented financial
information and financial outlook information (collectively,
"FOFI") about Lycos' prospective results of operations and
production, organic growth and acquisitions, operating costs, 2023
outlook and guidance, including capital, development and
acquisition expenditures in 2023 and components thereof, all of
which are subject to the same assumptions, risk factors,
limitations, and qualifications as set forth in the above
paragraphs. FOFI contained in this document was approved by
management as of the date of this document and was provided for the
purpose of providing further information about Lycos' proposed
business activities in 2023. Lycos and its management believe that
FOFI has been prepared on a reasonable basis, reflecting
management's best estimates and judgments, and represent, to the
best of management's knowledge and opinion, the Company's expected
course of action. However, because this information is highly
subjective, it should not be relied on as necessarily indicative of
future activities or results. Lycos disclaims any intention or
obligation to update or revise any FOFI contained in this document,
whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise,
unless required pursuant to applicable law. Readers are cautioned
that the FOFI contained in this document should not be used for
purposes other than for which it is disclosed herein. Changes in
forecast commodity prices, differences in the timing of capital
expenditures, and variances in average production estimates can
have a significant impact on the key performance measures included
in Lycos' guidance. The Company's actual results may differ
materially from these estimates.
Disclosure of Oil and Gas Information
Unit Cost Calculation. The term barrels of oil equivalent
("boe") may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe
conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet per barrel (6 Mcf/bbl)
of natural gas to barrels of oil equivalence is based on an energy
equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner
tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. All
boe conversions in the report are derived from converting gas to
oil in the ratio mix of six thousand cubic feet of gas to one
barrel of oil.
Product Types. Throughout this press release, "crude oil"
or "oil" refers to heavy crude oil product types as defined by NI
51-101.
Short-Term Production. References in this press release
to peak rates, IP30 and other short-term production rates are
useful in confirming the presence of hydrocarbons, however such
rates are not determinative of the rates at which such wells will
commence production and decline thereafter and are not indicative
of long-term performance or of ultimate recovery. While
encouraging, readers are cautioned not to place reliance on such
rates in calculating the aggregate production of Lycos.
Reserves and Future Net Revenue Disclosure. All reserves
values, future net revenue and ancillary information contained in
this press release are derived from the Reserve Report unless
otherwise noted. All reserve references in this press release are
"Company gross reserves". Company gross reserves are the Company's
total working interest reserves before the deduction of any
royalties payable by the Company. Estimates of reserves and future
net revenue for individual properties may not reflect the same
level of confidence as estimates of reserves and future net revenue
for all properties, due to the effect of aggregation. There is no
assurance that the forecast price and cost assumptions applied by
Sproule in evaluating Lycos' reserves will be attained and
variances could be material.
All evaluations and summaries of future net revenue are stated
prior to the provision for interest, debt service charges or
general and administrative expenses and after deduction of
royalties, operating costs, estimated well abandonment and
reclamation costs and estimated future capital expenditures. It
should not be assumed that the estimates of future net revenues
presented in the tables below represent the fair market value of
the reserves. The recovery and reserve estimates of Lycos' crude
oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas reserves provided herein
are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated
reserves will be recovered. Actual crude oil, natural gas and
natural gas liquids reserves may be greater than or less than the
estimates provided herein. There are numerous uncertainties
inherent in estimating quantities of crude oil, reserves and the
future cash flows attributed to such reserves. The reserve and
associated cash flow information set forth herein are estimates
only.
Proved reserves are those reserves that can be estimated with a
high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the
actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated
proved reserves. Probable reserves are those additional reserves
that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is
equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will
be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus
probable reserves. Proved developed producing reserves are those
reserves that are expected to be recovered from completion
intervals open at the time of the estimate. These reserves may be
currently producing or, if shut-in, they must have previously been
on production, and the date of resumption of production must be
known with reasonable certainty. Undeveloped reserves are those
reserves expected to be recovered from known accumulations where a
significant expenditure (e.g., when compared to the cost of
drilling a well) is required to render them capable of production.
They must fully meet the requirements of the reserves category
(proved, probable, possible) to which they are assigned. Certain
terms used in this press release but not defined are defined in NI
51-101, CSA Staff Notice 51-324 – Revised Glossary to NI 51-101,
Revised Glossary to NI 51-101, Standards of Disclosure for Oil and
Gas Activities ("CSA Staff Notice 51-324") and/or the COGEH and,
unless the context otherwise requires, shall have the same meanings
herein as in NI 51-101, CSA Staff Notice 51-324 and the COGEH, as
the case may be.
Oil and Gas Metrics
This press release contains metrics commonly used in the oil and
natural gas industry which have been prepared by management. These
terms do not have a standardized meaning and may not be comparable
to similar measures presented by other companies, and therefore
should not be used to make such comparisons. Management uses these
oil and gas metrics for its own performance measurements and to
provide shareholders with measures to compare our operations over
time. Readers are cautioned that the information provided by these
metrics, or that can be derived from the metrics presented in this
presentation, should not be relied upon for investment or other
purposes.
"Development Capital" means the aggregate exploration and
development costs incurred in the financial year on reserves that
are categorized as development. Development capital excludes
capitalized administration costs.
"FDC" (future development costs) are the future capital
cost estimated for each respective category in year-end reserves
attributed with realizing those reserves and associated future net
revenue. FDC by reserves category are calculated by dividing the
total capital expenditures for the year (including both Chronos and
Lycos) plus the change in future development capital attributed to
the reserve category as calculated from the 2022
Reserv
e Report and the 2021 Chronos Report, divided by the net change in
reserves from the Chronos Report to the Reserve Report. For
clarity, the production for the year 2022 is added to the net
reserves to form the net change in reserves in the calculation.
"F&D costs" are calculated as the sum of capital,
characterized as exploration or development excluding capital used
to develop assets the company acquired in the period, plus the
change in FDC for each respective reserve category in the period
excluding FDC associated with assets acquired in the year.
"FD&A costs" (finding, development and acquisition
costs) are the sum of capital expenditures incurred in the period
and the change in FDC required to develop reserves. FD&A cost
per boe is determined by dividing current period net reserve
additions into the corresponding period's FD&A cost. Readers
are cautioned that the aggregate of capital expenditures incurred
in the year, comprised of exploration and development costs and
acquisition costs, and the change in estimated FDC generally will
not reflect total FD&A costs related to reserves additions in
the year.
"Recycle Ratio" is measured by dividing the Operating
Netback, before hedging, by the F&D cost per boe or FD&A
cost per boe for the year.
Specified Financial Measures
This press release includes various specified financial
measures, including non-IFRS financial measures, non-IFRS financial
ratios and capital management measures as further described herein.
These measures do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by
International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") and,
therefore, may not be comparable with the calculation of similar
measures by other companies.
"Adjusted Working Capital" is calculated as current
assets less current liabilities, excluding the current portion of
decommissioning liabilities. Adjusted working capital is a capital
management measure which management uses to assess the Company's
liquidity. See the MD&A for a detailed calculation and
reconciliation of Adjusted Working Capital to the most directly
comparable measure presented in accordance with IFRS.
"Adjusted Funds Flow from Operations" is funds flow is
calculated by taking cash flow from operating activities and adding
back changes in non-cash working capital. Adjusted funds flow is
further calculated by adding back decommissioning costs incurred
and transaction costs. Management considers Adjusted Funds Flow
from Operations to be a key measure to assess the performance of
the Company's oil and gas properties and the Company's ability to
fund future capital investment. Adjusted Funds Flow from Operations
is an indicator of operating performance as it varies in response
to production levels and management of costs. Changes in non-cash
working capital, decommissioning costs incurred and transaction
costs vary from period to period and management believes that
excluding the impact of these provides a useful measure of Lycos'
ability to generate the funds necessary to manage the capital needs
of the Company. See the MD&A for a detailed calculation
and reconciliation of Adjusted Funds Flow from Operations to the
most directly comparable measure presented in accordance with
IFRS.
"Net Operating Expenses" is operating expenses, less
processing income primarily generated by third party volumes at
processing facilities where the Company has an ownership
interest. The Company's principal business is not that of a
midstream entity whose activities are dedicated to earning
processing and other infrastructure payments. Where the Company has
excess capacity at its facilities, it will look to process third
party volumes as a means to reduce the cost of operating/owning the
facility.
"Operating Netback" is petroleum and natural gas
revenues, less royalties, less net operating costs and
transportation expenses, excluding the effects of financial
derivatives. These metrics can also be calculated on a per boe
basis, which results in them being considered a non-IFRS financial
ratio. Management considers operating netback an important measure
to evaluate Lycos' operational performance, as it demonstrates
field level profitability relative to current commodity prices. See
the MD&A for a detailed calculation and reconciliation of
operating netback per boe to the most directly comparable measure
presented in accordance with IFRS.
Please refer to the MD&A for additional information relating
to specified financial measures including non-IFRS financial
measures, non-IFRS financial ratios and capital management
measures. The MD&A can be accessed either on the Company's
website or under the Company's profile on www.sedar.com.
Abbreviations
bbl
|
barrels of
oil
|
bbl/d
|
barrels of oil per
day
|
boe
|
barrels of oil
equivalent
|
boe/d
|
barrels of oil
equivalent per day
|
IP30
|
average production for
the first 30 days that a well is onstream
|
Mbbl
|
thousand barrels of
oil
|
Mboe
|
thousand barrels of oil
equivalent
|
MMbbl
|
million barrels of
oil
|
MMboe
|
million barrels of oil
equivalent
|
MMcf
|
million cubic
feet
|
All dollar figures included herein are presented in Canadian
dollars, unless otherwise noted.
Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services
Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX
Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or
accuracy of this release.
SOURCE Lycos Energy Inc