Highlights:
- A robust economic project with an after-tax IRR of
25%.
- Ability to generate US$173
million of annual EBITDA assuming a US$70/t DR grade pellet premium.
- An initial capital cost of US$470
million to build the project (AACE -
International Class 5 Estimate).
- A 25-month construction timeline with commissioning starting in
month-27.
- Pelletizing conversion costs of $16.31 per tonne of pellets.
MONTREAL, March 12,
2024 /CNW/ - Strategic Resources Inc.
(TSXV: SR) (the "Company" or "Strategic") is pleased to
announce results from the Pre-feasibility Class 5 level engineering
study (the "Study") conducted by BBA on its 4 million tonne per
annum merchant pelletizer project (the "Pelletizer" or
"Project"). The Project will be located on the Company's existing
leased area at the Federal Port of Saguenay, where the Provincial
and Federal Governments are currently building a C$111 million multi-user conveyor system, which
the Project would utilize. The Project will focus on direct
reduction ("DR") grade pellet feed that will be used in the green
steel industry and is the only greenfield advanced development
project of its kind in Canada.
Strategic intends to work with its major shareholders, including
Investissement Québec, to decide on the best strategy to fund this
Project. Strategic is continuing dialogue with iron concentrate
producers, iron concentrate traders and financing groups in order
to secure iron ore concentrate feed and potential financing
partnerships.
Sean Cleary, CEO
commented: "Market fundamentals are extremely positive and
the direct reduction grade pellet market premiums have been strong
over the last number of years. Management and our large
shareholders believe this approach delivers higher returns with
less capital. The Port Saguenay location offers Strategic a
significant advantage versus other pelletizing operations in
North America, given its access to
natural gas and ability to produce greener iron products."
Project Description
The Project is an iron ore pellet project (DR Grade) near
available infrastructure, situated on the Port of Saguenay
Industrial Development site, in the Province of Québec. The Study
evaluated the construction of the pellet processing facilities,
including the storage of the feed material and final products and
all related infrastructure to produce DR grade pellets from iron
ore concentrates.
The Project is expected to benefit from several competitive
advantages including:
- Location near available infrastructure including natural gas
and hydro-electric power.
- The Port of Saguenay is an all-year operational deep-sea
port with access to the Great Lakes and the Atlantic.
- A supportive Provincial government which identified high-purity
iron within their critical minerals plan.
- Existing Permits for the establishment of a metallurgical
facility which includes a pellet operation.
The Project consists of a pelletizer at the Port Saguenay site
(Figure 1) to process iron ore concentrate into DR grade pellets in
order to supply the growing global electric arc furnace steel
production market. The process flow sheet includes the multi-user
conveyor system, iron ore concentrate and pellet receiving,
handling and storage areas and a 4 million tonne per annum Metso
pelletizing plant.
Study Summary
The economic evaluation of the Pelletizer was performed using a
discounted cash flow model on a pre-tax and post-tax basis. The
capital and operating cost estimates were developed based on using
Q1 2024 costs and assume a constant cost basis throughout the cash
flow model. The Internal Rate of Return ("IRR") on total investment
was calculated based on 100% equity financing. The net present
values ("NPV") were calculated with a discount rate of 8% and an
assumed 50-year project life.
Table 1: Study Assumptions
Key Assumption
Summary
|
Units
|
|
Average annual
production
|
Million dmt
|
4.0
|
Market
Assumptions
|
|
|
Iron Ore CFR China
62%
|
US$/dmt
|
$100
|
DR Grade Premium
(65%-62%)
|
US$/dmt
|
$35
|
1% Fe
Differential
|
US$/dmt
|
$2
|
Direct Reduction Pellet
Premium
|
US$/dmt
|
$70
|
Freight Canada –
Europe
|
Us$/dmt
|
$24
|
Freight Canada Port to
Port of Saguenay
|
US$/dmt
|
$8
|
USD:CAD Exchange
Rate
|
Ratio
|
1.36
|
Capital
Cost
|
|
|
Construction
Period
|
Months
|
25
|
CAPEX
|
U$M
|
$470
|
Operating Cost Per
Tonne Sold
|
|
|
Total Pellet Conversion
Cost
|
US$/dmt
|
$16
|
Total Cash Cost
(includes iron concentrate purchase)
|
US$/dmt
|
$156
|
Iron Ore and DR Pellet
Pricing
The Project is expected to produce a DR grade pellet. There is
an increased focus on reducing global greenhouse gas emissions in
the steelmaking processes as the steel industry experiences a
structural shift in its production methods. This dynamic is
expected to create additional demand for higher-purity iron ore
products, as the industry transitions towards using alternative
technologies to produce liquid iron, such as the use of Direct
Reduced Iron ("DRI") in Electric Arc Furnaces instead of Blast
Furnaces ("BF") and Basic Oxygen Furnaces.
The market is expected to experience significant growth in
pellet demand in the coming years and forecast global pellet demand
could reach +180 million tonnes by 2027 (Source: Macquarie).
Notably, almost all new pellet demand will be coming from the DRI
market segment. This highlights the need for investment in new
pellet production to meet the growing demand for the DRI market.
With the planned DRI expansion and reduction in BF output, it
points to strong market fundamentals for agglomerated iron ore (BF
and DR pellets) this decade. Higher grade premiums and Value in Use
("VIU") index prices should be realized due to the potential pellet
deficits.
The Study's Base Case pricing is based on recent market pricing
and does not account for potential stronger demand by the time the
Pelletizer is completed.
Table 2: Study Economic Results
|
-30 %
|
-15 %
|
Base
Case
|
+15 %
|
+30 %
|
Assumed DR Pellet
Premium (US$/t)
|
49.00
|
59.50
|
70.00
|
80.50
|
91.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Annual Run Rate EBITDA
Per Year (US$M)
|
93
|
133
|
173
|
212
|
252
|
After-tax Net Present
Value (8%) (US$M)
|
331
|
645
|
957
|
1,269
|
1,580
|
After-tax IRR
(%)
|
14 %
|
20 %
|
25 %
|
29 %
|
34 %
|
Table 3: Economic Analysis Sensitivity to Operating and
Capital Costs
|
-30 %
|
-15 %
|
Base
Case
|
+15 %
|
+30 %
|
Capital Cost
Sensitivity
|
|
|
|
|
|
After-tax NPV
(8%)
|
1,072
|
1,014
|
957
|
899
|
842
|
IRR (%)
|
33 %
|
28 %
|
25 %
|
22 %
|
20 %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating Cost
Sensitivity
|
|
|
|
|
|
Annual Run Rate EBITDA
(US$M)
|
193
|
183
|
173
|
163
|
153
|
After-tax NPV
(8%)
|
1,116
|
1,036
|
957
|
877
|
798
|
IRR (%)
|
27 %
|
26 %
|
25 %
|
23 %
|
22 %
|
Initial Capital Cost Description
and Build-up
The Pelletizer scope and costs are based on an indicative "order
of magnitude" estimate provided by Metso for the design, supply,
delivery, and installation of a 4 million tpa pellet plant. The
initial capital cost is -30/+50% AACE - International Class 5.
The Metso proposal represents 57% of the total project capital
requirement. BBA has performed an independent assessment of the
Pelletizer costs based on internal data and adjusted the Metso
proposal to allow for winterization, civil works, and growth. The
contingency associated with initial capital costs has been set at
$42 million and is made up of 20% on
direct and indirect costs excluding the pellet plant, plus 5% on
the pellet plant cost.
Table 4: Initial Capital Cost Summary
Item
|
US$M
|
Pellet Plant
(1)
|
$294
|
Storage Stockpile
Material Handling
|
$60
|
Electrical General
Systems, Automation and Controls
|
$17
|
Administration,
Ancillary Facilities & General
|
$8
|
Subtotal Direct
Costs
|
$380
|
Owner's
Costs
|
$16
|
EPCM
Services
|
$13
|
Construction Tempo
Facilities and Site Maintenance
|
$11
|
Third Party
Professional Services
|
$2
|
Commissioning
Services
|
$2
|
Common Distributables
(freight, spares, initial fill, tech assistance)
|
$5
|
Subtotal Indirect
Costs
|
$49
|
Contingency
(1)
|
$42
|
Total
Costs
|
$470
|
|
|
Annual Run Rate
Sustaining Capital
|
$3
|
(1)
|
The Metso estimate is
commercially identified as "indicative Pricing" but inclusive of
contingency which is not reflected in the contingency line in Table
4.
|
Table 5: Pellet Conversion Operating Costs
Description
|
Total Annual Cost
(US$M)
|
US$/tonne
|
Raw Materials &
Consumables
|
|
|
Dolomite
|
$6.6
|
$1.62
|
Limestone
|
$7.2
|
$1.79
|
Carbon
|
$10.1
|
$2.49
|
Bentonite
|
$8.1
|
$1.99
|
Subtotal
|
$31.9
|
$7.90
|
|
|
|
Utilities
|
|
|
Gas
|
$10.3
|
$2.56
|
Electricity
|
$7.2
|
$1.78
|
Electricity for
General
|
$1.3
|
$0.31
|
Water
(Process)
|
$18.9
|
$0.00
|
Water - Potable &
Other
|
$4.1
|
$0.00
|
Subtotal
|
$18.8
|
$4.65
|
|
|
|
Other
Costs
|
|
|
Direct
Labour
|
$5.3
|
$1.30
|
Maintenance
|
$7.0
|
$1.73
|
General services/mobile
equipment
|
$2.0
|
$0.49
|
Laboratory
Services
|
$0.5
|
$0.12
|
Property
lease
|
$0.5
|
$0.11
|
Subtotal
|
$15.2
|
$3.76
|
|
|
|
Total Operating Cost
Per Year
|
|
|
Variable
Cost
|
$53.2
|
$13.17
|
Fixed Cost
|
$12.7
|
$3.14
|
Total
Cost
|
$65.9
|
$16.31
|
Project Timeline
The Project benefits from the permitting work completed and has
an estimated construction period of approximately 25 months
following a final investment decision. Initial commission would
occur in month 27 and commercial production would occur in month
30.
Strategic will continue to finalize the requested information
from the Provincial Government as part of the application to amend
its existing environmental authorization for the project. The
timeline for the completion of the amendment once submitted is
approximately 6 months.
Next Steps and
Recommendations
To progress the project development plan, Strategic will
consider various steps which may include process testwork,
confirmation of iron concentrate and additives supply, development
of the engineering including the material handling systems and
certain feasibility, basic and detailed levels of engineering for
the plant, certain site geotechnical and environmental work,
application to modify the existing environmental authorization,
details on the contract strategy, finalize Metso scope and
contract, finalize agreements on services with the port authority,
natural gas supply, electricity supply, additional land leasing for
the storage areas and final construction and ramp up schedules,
among other activities related to the project development.
About BBA
BBA is a privately-owned Canadian consulting firm serving
clients for over 40 years. BBA offers integrated services in
multidisciplinary engineering, field services, environment,
decarbonisation and asset management. BBA has a large breadth of
Québec iron credentials, including but not limited to work for
ArcelorMittal, Champion Iron and the Iron Ore Company of
Canada (IOC/Rio Tinto).
Notes:
The Project as described above is an independent economic
scenario from the BlackRock National Instrument 43-101 Feasibility
Study ("FS"), which was effective on November 18, 2022. The Project will not exploit
any of the Company's own mineral reserves. It is possible that the
full BlackRock Project as was described in the FS could benefit
from the Project infrastructure in the future, but the potential
benefits are unknown at this time.
Corporate Update
Kurt Wasserman from Orion Mine
Finance has resigned from the board of directors. He will remain as
a Board Observer. Victor Flores,
Orion Mine Finance's former Board Observer has taken Mr.
Wasserman's board of director's position.
About Strategic
Resources
Strategic Resources Inc. (TSXV: SR) is a critical mineral
exploration and development company focused on high-purity iron and
vanadium projects in Canada and
Finland. The Company is developing
its flagship BlackRock Project, which is a fully permitted and
ready to construct mine, concentrator and metallurgical facility
located at a seaport in Québec with full access to the St. Lawrence
Seaway. The Company's Head Office is in Montreal, Québec.
Further details are available on the Company's website
at https://strategic-res.com/. To follow future news releases,
please sign up at https://strategic-res.com/contact/.
Follow us on: Twitter or Linkedin.
STRATEGIC RESOURCES INC.
Signed: "Sean
Cleary"
Sean
Cleary, CEO
Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services
Provider (as that term is defined in policies of the TSX Venture
Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of
this release.
Cautionary Note Regarding
Forward-Looking Information
Certain statements and information herein, including all
statements that are not historical facts, contain forward-looking
statements and forward-looking information within the meaning of
applicable securities laws. Such forward-looking statements or
information include but are not limited to statements or
information with respect to amending existing permits and
authorizations, future financing of the Pelletizer, development of
the Pelletizer, economics associated with the Pelletizer or
construction of the Pelletizer. Often, but not always,
forward-looking statements or information can be identified by the
use of words such as "will" or "projected" or variations of those
words or statements that certain actions, events or results "will",
"could", "are proposed to", "are planned to", "are expected to" or
"are anticipated to" be taken, occur or be achieved.
Although management of the Company believes that the
assumptions made and the expectations represented by all
forward-looking statements or information are reasonable, there can
be no assurance that a forward-looking statement or information
herein will prove to be accurate. Forward-looking statements and
information by their nature are based on assumptions and involve
known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may
cause the Company's actual results, performance or achievements, or
industry results, to be materially different from any future
results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such
forward-looking statements or information. These factors include,
but are not limited to: risks associated with the business of the
Company; business and economic conditions in the mining industry
generally; the supply and demand for labour and other project
inputs; changes in commodity prices; changes in interest and
currency exchange rates; risks relating to inaccurate geological
and engineering assumptions (including with respect to the tonnage,
grade and recoverability of reserves and resources); risks relating
to unanticipated operational difficulties (including failure of
equipment or processes to operate in accordance with specifications
or expectations, cost escalation, unavailability of materials and
equipment, government action or delays in the receipt of government
approvals, industrial disturbances or other job action, and
unanticipated events related to health, safety and environmental
matters); risks relating to adverse weather conditions; political
risk and social unrest; changes in general economic conditions or
conditions in the financial markets; and other risk factors as
detailed from time to time in the Company's continuous disclosure
documents filed with Canadian securities administrators. Strategic
does not undertake to update any forward-looking information,
except in accordance with applicable securities laws.
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SOURCE Strategic Resources Inc.