TAKING THE PULSE: European chemicals companies, although highly diverse, should generally show improvement during the third quarter, fueled by aggressive cost-cutting, restructurings, continued growth in emerging markets, and increased volumes as customer demand returns to pre-crisis levels.

Corporate outlooks will likely stay conservative, though, given the continued uncertainty about global growth and prospects for a slower 2011, especially in developed markets. Analysts expect more value-creating consolidation within the sector and will scrutinize balance sheets and company comment for M&A clues. Restocking trends by customers are also a key theme.

Company profiles will reflect geographic and product strengths. For example, Switzerland's Syngenta SA (SYT) Thursday gave a bullish outlook for 2011, buoyed by strong demand in the third quarter for crop protection and seeds products from farmers in Latin America and Europe, as well as by steep price rises for corn products.

COMPANIES TO WATCH:

Akzo Nobel NV (AKZA.AE)--Oct. 21, 0500 GMT

MARKET EXPECTATIONS: Akzo Nobel's decorative paints division is still suffering from a sluggish U.S. and European housing market, but strong demand in Asia should offset that. Akzo's specialty chemicals division is expected to benefit from high Asian paper consumption and better aluminum production. Akzo Nobel recently presented a new medium-term target to grow revenue to EUR20 billion in the coming five years while it maintained its target of a margin of earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization between 13% and 15%. Management most likely will reiterate its cautiously optimistic outlook for 2010.

MAIN FOCUS: Analysts don't expect any surprises and will look out for comments on raw material prices and how they might affect profit margins.

Air Liquide SA (AI.FR)--Oct. 26, 0530 GMT

MARKET EXPECTATIONS: Analysts expect sales to have risen in the quarter amid improved demand for industrial gases in mature economies and sustained momentum from emerging economies, particularly Asia, underpinned by long-term contracts. Although its quarterly performance may lag certain peers, Barclays Capital says Air Liquide's goal of 8% to 10% sales growth, including small acquisitions, looks achievable.

MAIN FOCUS: Reports of spending cutbacks within its distribution and marketing operations have raised some concern about it maintaining market share in some regional markets, so observers will study company comments on cost-cutting. Prospects for further profit margin improvements also are of interest.

Merck KGaA (MRK.XE)--Oct. 26, 0500 GMT

MARKET EXPECTATIONS: Continued pricing pressure in the liquid-crystal display market and weaker LCD panel sales are expected to take their toll on Merck's LC division. The unit has seen high inventory levels due to declining prices for liquid-crystal display panels since July, WestLB said, adding that LCD panel units shipped fell from their highs seen in May and June, with the exception of TV panels.

MARKET FOCUS: Comments and projections regarding the LCD market will be important. Also key will be any comment on the U.S. Food and Drug Administration's pending decision on whether to approve Merck's new multiple sclerosis pill cladribine following September's negative assessment by a key European drug advisory panel. Fresh comment on the efficacy of Merck's new bowel cancer drug Erbitux will also be keenly awaited.

Bayer AG (BAYN.XE)--Oct. 28, 0530 GMT

MARKET EXPECTATIONS: Bayer's materials unit should be the strongest performer for the third quarter in a row and offset weakness in other divisions. Analysts say demand seems to have remained high with no appreciable slowdown in the chemical industry over the summer months. JPMorgan expects Bayer to raise guidance for the materials unit again. Prospects for the CropScience division are also looking good with the planting season in Latin America seemingly off to a good start, said WestLB.

MAIN FOCUS: Bayer's guidance for its materials unit will be in focus, as an increase is widely expected. Analysts will also watch out for comments on raw-material prices and foreign-exchange rates.

 
 

BASF SE (BAS.XE)--Oct. 28, 0500 GMT

MARKET EXPECTATIONS: The world's largest chemicals company already has indicated its third-quarter performance will be strong. WestLB forecasts 2010 will be a year of record earnings for the German group. The company has said its chemicals, plastics, performance products and functional solutions divisions enjoyed good capacity utilization.

MAIN FOCUS: Prospects for 2011 are key. Analysts also are interested in news on the likely impact from BASF's planned purchase and integration of Cognis. Some say BASF could make further M&A moves after the proposed Cognis deal. Barclays noted BASF is shifting from bulk chemical demand downstream into specialties, and that most of the portfolio shift happened through M&A, notably by buying Englehard, Degussa Construction Chemicals and Ciba.

Solvay SA (SOLB.BT)--Oct. 28, 0530 GMT

MARKET EXPECTATIONS: Solvay's plastics and chemicals units should report higher operating profit than in the year-ago quarter, reflecting recovery in these markets. Notably, the plastics unit's recurring Ebit is seen more than doubling to EUR101 million. However, overall group operating profit and net income will be lower than that in third quarter of 2009 due to Solvay selling its pharma unit to Abbott Laboratories (ABT).

MAIN FOCUS: Observers will be looking out for clues to the company's prospects for 2011 and potential acquisition targets on which the chemicals company can spend some of the EUR4.5 billion cash it received from the sale of its drugs business.

Linde AG (LIN.XE)--Nov. 2, 0530 GMT

MARKET EXPECTATIONS: Linde should generate solid third-quarter results on good volumes in gas and improved project execution in engineering, said Deutsche Bank. Barclays said Linde can increase its gas margins and returns on tight cost control. Analysts expect the company's 2010 guidance to be confirmed and note Linde's leading and broad position in emerging markets.

MAIN FOCUS: Prospects for 2011 and any update on the ongoing cost-cutting program are top topics, along with growth prospects in emerging markets, which generate one-third of Linde's sales.

Royal DSM (DSM.AE)--Nov. 2, 0515 GMT

MARKET EXPECTATIONS: DSM's Ebit is expected to rise in the third quarter year-on-year due to a strong performance at its materials science division and its nutrition division. Its performance materials activities are expected to be slightly weaker due to reduced inventory rebuilding by customers, a trend management has already flagged. Management also said its pharma activities will have remained weak. In a recent strategy update, DSM set steep earnings and growth targets that were seen by some market participants as overly ambitious.

MAIN FOCUS: Analysts will look out for comments from the life and material sciences company on the remainder of the year. It is expected the company will reiterate its quantitative outlook that 2010 will be a strong year. Little if any comment on next year is expected from the company.

Wacker Chemie AG (WCH.XE)--Nov. 4, 0515 GMT

MARKET EXPECTATIONS: Strong cost-cutting should support the Ebitda margin. Goldman Sachs said Wacker Chemie has an "industry-leading cost structure." Merck Finck expects a successful third quarter, adding that "the typical summer slump didn't ensue this time."

MAIN FOCUS: Any comments on 2011 would be of interest. UBS says further expansion of its U.S. polysilicon business would boost sentiment, as would a portfolio reshaping.

Clariant AG (CLN.VX)--Nov. 3, 0500 GMT

EXPECTATIONS: Clariant quarterly sales are seen slightly higher by Zuercher Kantonalbank despite the strong Swiss franc. Ebit again should be double-digit, and net profit should be slightly better on the year, ZKB's Martin Schreiber said.

MAIN FOCUS: For Barclays, a key issue is how quickly CEO Hariolf Kottmann is driving the group's restructuring. "We believe Clariant is an exciting restructuring story, the depth of which appears underestimated by many. We expect this to play out over the next two years, with the potential to significantly beat our and consensus forecasts," Barcap analyst James Knight said.

K+S AG (SDF.XE)--Nov. 11, 0500 GMT

MARKET EXPECTATIONS: Analysts expect good third-quarter earnings on a recovery in fertilizer volumes and foresee confirmation of the conservative 2010 Ebit guidance. Citigroup expects improving momentum in the fourth quarter and in 2011.

MAIN FOCUS: Statements about the potash market and the direction of potash and salt prices are in focus as well as indications for 2011.

Lanxess AG (LXS.XE)--Nov. 10, 0500 GMT

MARKET EXPECTATIONS: Analysts expect solid third-quarter earnings, albeit down on the previous quarter due to seasonality and maintenance shutdowns, which shouldn't come as a surprise, said UniCredit. Analysts widely expect the company to raise its Ebitda guidance.

MAIN FOCUS: Main focus will be the company's 2010 guidance, which analysts say appears cautious, as well as any comments on the fourth quarter and information regarding raw-material costs and the effect of the current euro/dollar exchange rate. Also important will be indications of demand strength, particularly among key auto and construction customers.

Johnson Matthey PLC (JMAT.LN)--Nov. 24, 0700 GMT

 
 

MARKET EXPECTATIONS: The half-year presentation is expected to contain another strong set of results from the U.K.-based conglomerate, whose key activities are in catalysts, precious metals, fine chemicals and process technology, driven by strong growth in environmental technologies and precious metal products. Analysts expect management to reiterate its earlier comments of full-year results to be well ahead of last year. Fine chemicals will be held back by a tough comparison because in last year's second half when the company received a $12 million one-off payment from the launch of a generic version of ADHD drug Adderall XR.

MAIN FOCUS: Comment on prospects for the catalyst-consuming automotive and heavy truck industries, as well as precious metal prices, particularly the platinum price as denominated in sterling.

-By Sten Stovall, Dow Jones Newswires; +44 207 842 9292; sten.stovall@dowjones.com

(Harriet Torry and Natascha Divac in Frankfurt, Anna Marij van der Meulen in Amsterdam, Alessandro Torello in Brussels, and Katharina Bart in Zurich contributed to this report.)

 
 
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