Royal Bank of Canada: A Strong Buy - Analyst Blog
September 17 2012 - 8:45AM
Zacks
Rising earnings estimates on the back of strong fiscal third
quarter results and the announcement of a dividend hike have helped
Royal Bank of Canada (RY) achieve a Zacks #1 Rank
(Strong Buy) on September 15. Moreover, this major Canadian bank
has delivered positive earnings surprises in three of the last four
quarters with an average beat of 5.1%.
With a solid return of 27.0% in a year’s time, a long-term earnings
growth projection of 10.0% and a sturdy dividend yield of 4.0%,
Royal Bank of Canada offers an attractive investment
opportunity.
The Rank Driver
Better-than-expected fiscal third quarter earnings, stable credit
quality and the recent dividend hike are the primary rank drivers
for this stock.
On August 30, Royal Bank of Canada reported fiscal third quarter
(July ended) 2012 adjusted earnings of $1.31 per share, topping the
Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.17 by 12.0%. The performance was
helped by growth in revenue and improving credit quality. However,
higher operating expenses marginally marred the results.
Net interest income climbed 8.3% to $3.23 billion (C$3.29 billion).
Likewise, non-interest income was up 6.0% to $4.39 billion (C$4.47
billion). Moreover, the net interest margin expanded 6 basis points
(bps) to 1.61%, but the company's non-interest expenses rose 4.8%
to $3.70 billion (C$3.76 billion).
The provision for credit losses as a percentage of net loans and
acceptances decreased at Royal Bank of Canada, coming in at 0.34%,
down 3 bps on a year-over-year basis. Moreover, allowance for
credit losses as a percentage of total loans and acceptances
declined 7 bps to 0.53%.
Moreover, Royal Bank of Canada is one of the few banks that have
maintained regular dividend payments throughout the financial
crisis. Further on August 30, the company enhanced its quarterly
dividend by 5.3% to 60 cents.
Surge in Earnings Estimates
The past 30 days have seen four out of five estimates for fiscal
2012 moving higher, raising the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.4% to
$4.99. For 2013, five out of six estimates headed north, helping
the Zacks Consensus Estimate advance 4.7% to $5.32.
The estimates reflect year-over-year improvements of about 14.1%
for 2012 and 6.6% for 2013.
Valuation
Royal Bank of Canada currently trades at a forward P/E of 11.6x, an
18% premium to the peer group average of 9.8x. Its price to book
ratio of 2.1 is at a significant premium compared with the industry
median of 0.6. Given the company's strong fundamentals, the
valuation looks reasonable.
Royal Bank of Canada has a trailing 12-month ROE of 18.6% compared
with the peer group average of 7.1%.
About the Company
Headquartered in Toronto, Canada, Royal Bank of Canada provides
various banking products and services under the RBC name worldwide.
The company was founded in 1864 and conducts business for personal,
business, public sector and institutional clients through its
offices in Canada, the U.S. and 51 other countries. It has a market
capital of about $83.5 billion.
Other Zacks #1 Rank foreign bank stocks include DBS Group
Holdings Limited (DBSDY) and China Construction
Bank Corporation (CICHY).
(CICHY): ETF Research Reports
(DBSDY): ETF Research Reports
ROYAL BANK CDA (RY): Free Stock Analysis Report
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