By Jens Hansegard
TODAY'S CALENDAR - All times GMT
Nordic Macro
0730 Sweden CPI July
0800 Norway Retail Sales June
Other Macro
0600 Germany CPI July
0700 Spain CPI July
0900 Eurozone Industrial
production June
0900 Germany ZEW index August
1230 U.S. Retail sales July
Nordic Equities
N/A Bure 2Q
N/A Coloplast 3Q
0530 Raisio 2Q
0600 Cramo 2Q
0600 Pandora 2Q
Other Equities
N/A Thyssenkrupp
IN FOCUS:
Tuesday Nordic investors will look at Swedish inflation data for
July in the morning. According to a poll by Dow Jones Newswires,
the average analyst expects CPI to have fallen 0.2% on the month
but to have remained unchanged compared with a year ago.
At 0800 GMT investors will look to Norway for the release of
July's retail sales figures after Norwegian core CPI surprised on
the upside last week.
Outside the Nordics, investors will examine two important
international releases. First out is the German ZEW index and in
the afternoon U.S. retail sales will be in market focus, especially
after the dollar's recent weakening amid the debate on
tapering.
Nordea expects U.S. retail sales for July to point to a slight
pick-up in spending growth in July compared with June.
A batch of Nordic companies report earnings Tuesday, including
Danish jewelry company Pandora. On July 30, the company upgraded
its full-year earnings guidance.
FOREX:
EUR/NOK
Latest 0150 GMT 7.8093-196
Previous 2150 GMT 7.8044-145
%Chg +0.06
EUR/SEK
Latest 0150 GMT 8.6813-910
Previous 2150 GMT 8.6780-896
%Chg +0.06
USD/NOK
Latest 0150 GMT 5.8742-812
Previous 2150 GMT 5.8684-752
%Chg +0.10
USD/SEK
Latest 0150 GMT 6.5303-68
Previous 2150 GMT 6.5252-331
%Chg +0.07
NORDIC CURRENCIES:
Currency investors will have a slew of data to digest this
Tuesday.
Locally the most important release will be Swedish CPI data at
0730 GMT. A poll by Dow Jones Newswires sees inflation down further
in July. The average analyst polled expects CPI down 0.2% on the
month and staying flat on the year. Several analysts attribute the
development to the prices in clothing sector, which seasonally
weigh on inflation.
While CPI is expected to be down for a second month in a row,
Karl Steiner, currency strategist at SEB, said he believed that we
will see probably see a larger market reaction to Wednesday's
industrial production data.
Nordea says consistently low inflation is unlikely to lead to
more rate cuts, "but will no doubt test the Riksbank's pedagogical
skills."
At 0800 GMT investors will look to Norway for the release of
July's retail sales figures after Norwegian core CPI surprised on
the upside on Friday.
Later in the day investors will examine two important
international releases, first the German ZEW index and later in the
day US retail sales. Nordea said they expect US retail sales "to
point towards a slight pickāup in spending growth in July after
sluggishness in June."
STOCK INDEXES:
OMXN40 1182.60 +1.43 +0.1%
OMXS30 1253.69 -0.10 -0.1%
OBX 460.65 -0.59 -0.1%
OMXC20 562.73 +2.30 +0.4%
OMXH25 2442.54 +11.36 +0.5%
Brent $108.95 -0.02 0.0%
NORDIC MARKETS:
Among companies reporting earnings Tuesday is Danish jewellery
company Pandora. On July 30, the company upgraded its full-year
earnings guidance, citing continued strong sales of newly launched
products across all regions.
Analysts expect Pandora's sales to have risen 39% compared with
last year and say the brand has a strong position and that it does
well in delivering new collections.
Other companies reporting Tuesday are Finnish food processing
company Raisio and Finnish equipment rental company Cramo. Last
quarter, Cramo said it is taking a cautious approach to 2013.
Danish medical supplies manufacturer Coloplast also reports
earnings on Tuesday. Deutsche Bank has said in a recent note that
it still considers shares in Coloplast are undervalued, noting
increasing penetration of products in countries like the U.S.
Swedish investment company Ratos trades ex dividend.
ENERGY:
Crude-oil futures prices traded little changed Tuesday ahead of
direction from U.S. economic and oil-demand data in the coming
days.
Analysts said the trading pattern mimics the oil-market signals
that hint at both supply tightness and the potential for near-term
oversupply, as refiner demand for crude begins to slip and the U.S.
peak driving season winds down with gasoline inventories at 24-year
highs.
"We are really in a hold-steady pattern," said Matt Smith,
analyst at Schneider Electric. "The market's biding its time before
the data."
Nymex was off 7 cents at $106.04 and Brent eased 2 cents lower
to $108.95.
NEWS ROUNDUP:
FINLAND: Konecranes Oyj (KCR1V.HE), a Finnish crane maker, said
Monday it will start statutory negotiations in Finland regarding
possible temporary and permanent layoffs that could affect up to 90
jobs.
FINLAND: Ramirent Oyj (RMR1V.HE), the Finnish equipment rental
company, said it has signed a letter of intent with YIT Equipment
Ltd and Caverion PLC for the outsourcing of the equipment,
operations and personnel related to Caverion operations in Finland
to Ramirent.
NORWAY: DOF ASA (DOF.OS), a Norwegian offshore engineer, said
that the joint venture between DOF Subsea and Technip (TEC.FR) has
been awarded four contracts by Petroleo Brasileiro SA (PBR) worth a
total of NOK10 billion to the DOF Group.
SWEDEN: Skanska AB (SKA-B.SK), a Swedish construction company,
said it has signed a $189 million contract to supply and erect
steel for the U.S. transit project Transbay Transit Center in San
Francisco, CA. Skanska also said it had signed a $78 million
contract with the American University in Washington D.C. and a $53
million contract with the University of Kentucky.
-Write to Jens Hansegard at jens.hansegard@dowjones.com
(Johannes Ledel in Stockholm contributed to this report.)