U.S. Election Triggers Wild Day in Asia-Pacific Markets
November 09 2016 - 12:00AM
Dow Jones News
Traders, investors and analysts across the Asia-Pacific region
rode whipsawing markets Wednesday, as U.S. presidential election
results—in a surprise reversal— showed increasing support for a
victory by Republican candidate Donald Trump.
In Singapore, Stephen Innes, a senior trader at retail currency
broker Oanda Asia Pacific, said his customers were placing smaller
currency bets, especially in the yen, and holding those positions
for short periods. "There's a lot of in and out, quick trades."
Oanda's Singapore trading desk is connected by speakerphone to
desks in New York and Toronto, and "the squawk box went crazy" as
polls closed in Florida, he said.
Earlier in the U.S. evening and Asia morning, evidence of
support for Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton—seen as more
market-friendly—pushed Japanese and Korean stock indexes higher.
Later polls showing Mr. Trump pulling ahead in key states sent the
yen and gold soaring, as well as other assets that are seen as safe
places to stash money in times of turmoil.
Traders are in a "crouch and hold" position, as early voting
results start to come in, said Wellington, New Zealand-based broker
Stuart Ive, a private client manager at OM Financial Ltd. "In terms
of U.S. yields, clearly a Clinton win means markets will be
expecting the [U.S. Federal Reserve] to hike in December…If we saw
a Trump win, globally bond market yields will drop dramatically as
we get a flight to safety."
Ray Attrill, the Sydney based global head of currency strategy
at National Australia Bank, stepped away from his computer screens
for 20 minutes to get lunch, only to return to see the U.S.
electoral map glowing red, while currencies like the Mexican peso
were in sharp decline. Mr. Attrill said the situation reminded him
of the U.K.'s surprise decision to leave the European Union, which
sent markets into a tailspin during Asian trading hours. "This has
got a Brexit smell about it," he said. "Brexit, Trump coming to a
country near you."
In Tokyo, whose large and liquid markets were some of the
biggest open as late-night U.S. results rolled in, nervous analysts
were revising calls. A Trump win would be a "very, very big
negative surprise" for Japanese investors, said Masayuki Kubota,
chief strategist at online brokerage Rakuten Securities. In case of
a Clinton win, "I will say, 'Clinton wins but with a lead quite
thin and must an fight an uphill battle against the populism of
Trump,'" Mr. Kubota said. "Or my other option is to just say,
'Trump wins.'"
Takashi Hiroki, chief strategist at Monex Securities in Tokyo,
said he was glued to his desk. "I will be watching the markets all
day and the yen, by the second, by every second" he said. "I
brought my lunch box from home so I am not stepping away from my
desk today," he said.
Chinese equity investors were holding their breath as they
watched the Shanghai Composite Index head south, after Mr. Trump's
odds of winning the election rose. "It might still be too early to
call the result, but clearly we are being dragged down by foreign
markets that dread the prospects of a Trump presidency," said Zhang
Gang, senior analyst at Central China Securities. "Thankfully our
market will take a break at half past 11 and I tell you today's
lunch will be the most important and thoughtful lunch we will ever
have," Mr. Zhang said.
James Glynn, Shen Hong and Rachel Rosenthal contributed to this
article.
Write to Saumya Vaishampayan at saumya.vaishampayan@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
November 08, 2016 23:45 ET (04:45 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
Kubota (PK) (USOTC:KUBTY)
Historical Stock Chart
From Oct 2024 to Nov 2024
Kubota (PK) (USOTC:KUBTY)
Historical Stock Chart
From Nov 2023 to Nov 2024