REPORTER'S NOTEBOOK: No-Shows Are Talk Of CTIA Wireless Show
April 03 2009 - 3:46PM
Dow Jones News
This year's CTIA Wireless industry trade show in Las Vegas was
notable more for the lack of foot traffic and exhibitors than for
any major announcements.
Much of the big news had been spoiled ahead of time, and while
several trends emerged - including the rise of application stores,
the opportunities from embedded devices and concerns over capacity
- no one theme dominated.
Here are the highlights and lowlights from the conference this
week.
Hey, Where Did Everybody Go?
Terms such as "slow" and "dead" were bandied about by analysts
and industry observers to describee the show.
CTIA said attendance was down 15%, a reflection of the poor
economy. Many called that figure optimistic as the slower foot
traffic - and not any wireless technology or handsets - was among
the most talked about themes at the show.
The economic downturn also resulted in fewer glitzy parties at
the conference. "We really felt as we analyzed CTIA this year, with
the economy where it is, it's not about parties," said Ryan Wuerch,
chief executive of privately held Motricity Inc., a company known
for throwing lavish events in the past.
One benefit from the decreased attendance - shorter taxi
lines.
Bells, Whistles And Mute
Shrugging off any signs of a recession, LG Electronics Inc.'s
(066570.SE) booth was larger than previous years. It even brought
in director Michael Bay, who was touting the next "Transformers"
movie, to make a brief appearance.
The company has reason to be excited. It was among the largest
market share gainers in the U.S. last year and figure to emulate
that success this year with the introduction of higher end
smartphones.
LG executive Ehtisham Rabbani said its slick Arena smart phone
had a wait list of 1 million people in Europe.
Separately, Alcatel Lucent (ALU) is becoming relevant again.
It's amazing how one major contract win - Verizon Communications
Inc. (VZ) tapping the infrastructure company to provide LTE gear -
can change things.
While other booths were empty, Alcatel's remained lively. The
company is riding the wave of popularity over the next generation
network.
Of course, as was documented, Research in Motion Ltd. (RIMM)
made a loud appearance. RIM's Co-Chief Executive Mike Lazaridis was
a keynote speaker, and RIM's booth was packed as people crammed in
to get a glimpse of some of the programs available on its App World
application storefront.
Disappointingly, RIM wouldn't show any new devices and even
denied the existence of well-known products in the pipeline. It
didn't hurt RIM's popularity that it also posted strong fiscal
fourth-quarter results and first-quarter estimates.
At the other end, Motorola Inc. (MOT) was quiet. A "last-minute"
change in scheduling prevented mobile device executives from
talking to the media, and Chief Executive Sanjay Jha refused to
talk to the press.
The company also was relatively quiet except for its new phone,
the Evoke QA4. It's a high-end feature phone that looks like the
love child of the Apple Inc. (AAPL) iPhone and the Palm Inc. (PALM)
Pre. At least it's not another RAZR.
And, as has been its practice, Apple was a no-show at the
event.
Capacity Concerns
Capacity remains a concern. Clearwire Corp. (CLWR) Co-Chairman
Ben Wolff talked about it in a keynote, and a panel discussion was
devoted to the issue. As consumers use more data, tapping the
networks with their smartphones and bandwidth-hungry netbooks,
there will be more load on the network.
Verizon, for one, thinks that its investment in LTE and
fiber-optic lines will allow it to handle the growing traffic,
according to Roger Gurnani, head of product development for the
telco.
The capacity constraint is only going to fuel the need for
cellsites and antennas, which benefit the tower companies. Indeed,
the usually sedated tower section of the show was livelier this
year.
"Carrier data points support a bullish view on towers," Goldman
Sachs analyst Jason Armstrong said. His top pick remains American
Tower Corp. (AMT), which he believes has the most exposure to the
growing demand and the financial flexibility to buy tower assets in
the downturn.
Connecting With More Things
Carriers touted their strategies to embed wireless abilities
into more products.
Verizon Chief Executive Ivan Seidenberg talked about the
prospects of the wireless industry getting to 500% penetration,
while AT&T Inc. (T) hammered the point that it is working with
device makers to get its connection in their products.
Despite the talk, there's little to highlight. Sprint Nextel
Corp.'s (S) relationship with the Amazon (AMZN) Kindle remains the
most visible embedded device partnership.
-By Roger Cheng, Dow Jones Newswires; 201-928-2020;
roger.cheng@dowjones.com