Portfolio Update
October 14 2010 - 11:48AM
UK Regulatory
TIDMEST TIDMESTS
THE EASTERN EUROPEAN TRUST PLC
All information is at 30 SEPTEMBER 2010 and unaudited.
Performance at month end with net income reinvested
One Three One Three *Since
Month Months Year Years 30.04.09
Sterling:
Share price** 7.1% 12.9% 31.1% -19.2% 93.1%
Net asset value** 7.2% 14.6% 30.5% -19.4% 89.7%
MSCI EM Europe 10/40(TR) 7.7% 15.0% 23.0% -0.7% 72.7%
US Dollars:
Net asset value 9.9% 20.8% 28.6% -37.7% 101.8%
MSCI EM Europe 10/40(TR)10.4% 21.1% 21.2% -23.2% 83.7%
Sources: BlackRock and Standard & Poor's Micropal
* BlackRock took over the investment management of the Company with effect from
1 May 2009.
** Net asset value and share price performance includes the subscription share
reinvestment, assuming the subscription share entitlement was sold and the
proceeds reinvested on the first day of trading.
At month end
Net asset value - capital only: 311.70p
Net asset value*** - cum income: 313.84p
Share price: 283.50p
Subscription share price: 13.50p
Total assets^: GBP164.6m
Discount (share price to capital only NAV): 9.0%
Gearing: 6.5%
Net yield: n/a
Ordinary shares in issue^^: 49,023,373
Subscription shares: 9,804,597
***Includes year to date net revenue equal to 2.14p per share.
^Total assets include current year revenue.
^^Excluding 4,664,367 shares held in treasury.
Benchmark
Sector Analysis Total Assets (%) Index (%) Country Analysis Total Assets (%)
Financials 31.1 32.4 Russia 50.1
Energy 27.2 31.5 Turkey 17.5
Telecommunications 11.4 9.0 Poland 13.4
Materials 8.9 11.3 Czech Republic 6.4
Utilities 6.9 7.2 Hungary 5.7
Consumer Staples 6.4 4.2 Kazakhstan 2.5
Industrials 3.4 2.2 Austria 1.4
Consumer Discretionary 3.1 0.9 Sweden 1.1
Information Technology 1.8 0.3 Germany 1.1
Health Care 1.0 1.0 Finland 1.0
Net current liabilities (1.2) 0.0 Ukraine 1.0
Net current liabilities (1.2)
----- ----- -----
100.0 100.0 100.0
===== ===== =====
Ten Largest Equity Investments(in alphabetical order)
Company Country of Risk
Bank Pekao Poland
CEZ Czech Republic
Gazprom Russia
Haci Omer Sabanci Turkey
Lukoil Russia
Novatek Russia
Rosneft Russia
Sberbank Russia
Turkiye Garanti Turkey
Vimpel Communications Russia
Commenting on the markets, Sam Vecht, representing the investment
Manager noted;
Markets
The MSCI Emerging Europe 10/40 Index returned 7.7% in September. Poland and
Turkey were the strongest performers over the month. Poland's performance was
driven by continued confidence in the country's economic recovery, benefitting
from the strong rebound in German industrial production. In Turkey, the economy
continued its robust recovery in a relatively benign inflationary environment.
A convincing referendum victory for the ruling AK Party also encouraged
investors. Russia was the weakest relative performer over the month, with the
Rouble depreciating slightly and the market failing to benefit fully from
capital inflows into the emerging market asset class. Cyclical sectors such as
industrials and consumer discretionary performed strongly over the month while
utilities and energy underperformed the index.
Performance
The Eastern European Trust Plc returned 7.2%, underperforming the index by
0.5%. Positive contributors to performance included commercial airline, Turkish
Airlines, which benefitted from increasing passenger volumes as well as news of
expansion and acquisition plans which were received well by the market. In the
materials sector, the underweight position in Russian nickel producer, Norlisk
Nickel, significantly added to performance after the stock underperformed
against the index. Despite the continued strength of base metal prices,
investors remain concerned over shareholder disputes regarding corporate
governance issues.
The main detractors to performance in the month included Russian telecoms
company, Vimpelcom, which continued to lag following confirmation of
discussions in respect of merger and acquisition opportunities outside of its
existing markets and Russian pharmaceutical distributor, Protek, which
surprised the market with a profit warning after experiencing operational
difficulties linked to the new pharmaceutical pricing regime in Russia.
Activity
During September we added to the existing holding in Polish bank, Pekao, which
we expect to use its strong capital position to support loan growth and in Bre
Bank, believing that the ability of the company to increase earnings following
a recent capital-raising is underestimated. We also increased our exposure to
Russian financial, Sberbank, which we believe to be an undervalued beneficiary
of the Russian economic recovery.
Other new investments included the German domiciled retailer, Metro, which
derives most of its profitability from Eastern Europe and is an attractively
valued exposure to consumer demand.
Some profits were taken in Turkish bank, Haci Omer Sabanci, into share price
strength and Polish Bank, BZW, after a 70% stake was sold to Spanish financial
giant, Santander.
Outlook
Emerging European equities remain attractive compared to other markets. The
region's companies benefit from lower corporate tax rates with a lower cost of
manufacturing than developed Europe and lower transport costs to core markets
for finished goods than Asia. These factors support strong earnings growth and
attractive returns which are not reflected in valuations.
Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic are all important beneficiaries of
German manufacturing strength. As of August, German factory orders were up 20%
year on year, which has translated into strong industrial and trade data in
these peripheral countries. Eastern Europe is broadly under appreciated,
inflows have been weak and we view this as an opportunity as activity returns
strongly in the region. We currently hold an overweight position in Czech, and
an equal weight position in Hungary. Despite a positive long-term outlook for
Poland, we are underweight the Polish market ahead of capital raising amongst
large cap stocks which leads us to be more cautious in the nearer term.
Latest information is available by typing www.blackrock.co.uk/its on the
internet, "BLRKINDEX" on Reuters, "BLRK" on Bloomberg or "8800" on Topic 3 (ICV
terminal).
14 October 2010
END
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