UPDATE: Life Insurer Stock Offerings Will Follow Rising Market
May 14 2009 - 3:18PM
Dow Jones News
Although two life insurers jumped into the rising equity market
with stock offerings this week, stock offerings may not fly for
other insurers; one key issue is the dilution such issues would
entail for current shareholders.
"Maybe the market thinks we are a little too fast out of the
gate. With fundamentals still mixed, no one is sure how
sustainable" the stock market rally is, said Ernie Csiszar,
insurance industry director with consulting firm Bridge Strategy
Group, and a former insurance regulator.
Life insurer Principal Financial Group Inc. (PFG) raised $1
billion though a common stock offering announced Monday morning,
but a Tuesday afternoon offering by Protective Life Corp. (PL)
appears to be getting a cooler reception, suggesting a limited
appetite for the deals. Shares of Protective Life were down
considerably from their Tuesday close.
Life insurers that are exposed to the ups and downs of the
S&P 500 through their variable annuity portfolios have sought
capital relief through the TARP program, asset sales and raising
product prices. But buyers have not materialized for asset sales,
and there is still no clear answer over which insurers can access
TARP, and under what conditions.
A rally in the S&P that began in March is making it more
attractive to issue new equity. Other life insurers will likely
follow, but only if markets continue to rise, Csiszar said.
"There is a fear that everyone else is rushing to the gates and
you will be left behind," Csiszar said. He believes insurers with
big variable annuity portfolios are all eyeing the market,
including Hartford Financial Group Inc. (HIG), Lincoln National
Corp. (LNC) and Prudential Financial Inc. (PRU).
But the dilution caused by issuing millions of new shares could
be too much for some insurers, said Steven D. Schwartz of Raymond
James.
Schwartz said he calculated the dilution to annuity provider
Lincoln National's current shareholders at Wednesday's closing
share price at close to 20% if the company raised $1.1 billion in
stock, compared to around 13% for Principal, making a deal less
attractive.
"I think if the market returns to rallying then I think
companies like Lincoln could come back to equity markets," Schwartz
said. "It makes sense."
On Thursday, life insurer shares outpaced the Standard &
Poor's 500 Index, which was up 0.9% recently. The Dow Jones US Life
Insurer Index rose 4.6%, with Hartford and Genworth Financial Inc.
(GNW) leading life insurers up. But for the most part they were
merely retracing ground they had lost the previous session.
Protective Life made the offer of 12.5 million new shares after
its Tuesday close of $11.81. On Thursday, Protective shares traded
near $9, up 1.2% for the day but well below Tuesday's price, which
could translate to greater dilution and less interest, Schwartz
said.
A Principal Financial spokeswoman said the stock deal did not
necessarily affect its TARP application and that the company would
evaluate TARP once the terms are made public. The spokeswoman said
the company has received no response on its application. A
spokesman for Protective Life did not respond to requests for
comment on its share offering.
A Hartford spokeswoman said the company has not made any comment
on potential capital raises.
-By Lavonne Kuykendall, Dow Jones Newswires; 312-750-4141;
lavonne.kuykendall@dowjones.com