Alcoa Inc. (AA) next week will kick off what's expected to be a
rough fourth-quarter earnings season.
Two major economic reports are expected to show little to no
inflation in consumer or wholesale prices for December.
Though financial problems will keep some auto makers away, the
North American International Auto Show opens Sunday in Detroit. And
executives of health-care companies and major retailers also will
gather at separate industry conferences next week.
Alcoa 1st Blue Chip To Post 4Q Results<
Alcoa reports results Monday, less than a week after it rattled
Wall Street by unveiling a plan to cut more jobs, slash production
and sell assets. The aluminum giant's latest restructuring plan
shows that an earlier round of cost cutting last fall was
insufficient in the face of the sustained economic downturn. Alcoa,
like other metals producers, has been hit hard by the combination
of falling aluminum prices, waning consumption and rising
stockpiles.
The company said Tuesday it will take a fourth-quarter
restructuring charge of $900 million to $950 million for the moves,
which includes the elimination of about 15,000 jobs, or 15% of the
work force. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect Alcoa to
report a loss of 9 cents a share on $5.26 billion in revenue. A
year earlier, it earned 36 cents a share, excluding items, on $7.39
billion in revenue.
Intel Reports After 2nd Revenue Revision<
Giant semiconductor maker Intel Corp. (INTC) kicks off earnings
season in the technology sector Thursday, a little more than a week
after slashing its fourth-quarter revenue outlook for the second
time in two months. While investors are expecting a historic sales
drop for the latest quarter, the company's first-quarter guidance
should provide details on the depth of the downturn in tech, as
cash-strapped consumers continue to halt spending on computers,
cellphones and other electronic devices.
Other large companies reporting are Biotech giant Genentech Inc.
(DNA) on Thursday; and paint, glass and chemicals maker PPG
Industries Inc. (PPG) and online brokerage Charles Schwab Corp.
(SCHW), both Friday.
Cargill Results Offer Agribusiness Look<
Cargill Inc. will provide a snapshot of conditions in the global
agribusiness and food-processing sectors when the global market
leader reports fiscal second-quarter earnings Tuesday. While light
on detail - privately-held Cargill provides only a net profit
figure - the direction of earnings at its five business units may
provide guidance for the performance of listed rivals, including
Archer Daniels Midland Co. (ADM) and Bunge Ltd. (BG).
2 Economic Reports Detail Inflation<
The government reports on December wholesale and consumer prices
on Thursday and Friday, respectively. Both the Producer Price Index
and Consumer Price Index have shown little to no increases for the
past three months.
Other economic reports due are on the November trade balance, on
Tuesday; December retail sales and November business inventories,
both on Wednesday; and December industrial production, on
Friday.
The Federal Reserve Beige Book, which includes anecdotal
information on regional economic conditions, is out Wednesday and a
report on manufacturing in New York state will be released the next
day. On Friday, the Reuters/University of Michigan Consumer
Sentiment Index releases its preliminary figures for January.
Among appearances by Federal Reserve officials: Atlanta Fed
President Dennis Lockhart on Monday in Atlanta; Richmond Fed
President Jeffrey Lacker on Tuesday in Columbia, S.C., and Friday
in Richmond; Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser on
Wednesday in Delaware; and Chicago Fed President Charles Evans on
Thursday in Madison, Wis.
Slimmed-Down Auto Show Opens In Detroit<
Nissan Motor Co. (7201.TO), the third-largest Japanese auto
maker, is the biggest of the manufacturers staying home from the
North American International Auto Show that opens Sunday in
Detroit. Other participants have scaled back their exhibits.
But many new models will be on display, including General Motors
Corp.'s (GM) new Cadillac crossover, Ford Motor Co.'s (F) two
Lincoln models that can park themselves as well as a hybrid version
of the Ford Fusion sedan, and Toyota Motor Corp.'s (TM)
third-generation Prius hybrid.
Health-Care Executives Gather<
Hundreds of health-care executives will gather from Monday to
Thursday at the 27th annual JPMorgan Healthcare Conference in San
Francisco. The event is widely seen as the sector's biggest
financial meeting and has produced notable deals and corporate
updates in recent years.
Comments about deal trends, especially among the cash-rich
pharmaceutical giants and increasingly credit-crunched smaller drug
developers, will be closely watched. The chief executives of
UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH), Merck & Co. (MRK), Boston
Scientific Corp. (BSX), CVS Caremark (CVS), Genentech, Amgen Inc.
(AMGN) and Celgene Corp. (CELG) will address the conference.
Research chiefs from Pfizer Inc. (PFE) and Schering-Plough Corp.
(SGP) will also be there, but JPMorgan drug analyst Chris Schott
said he'll be paying close attention to Eli Lilly & Co.'s (LLY)
for comments about an upcoming U.S. regulatory advisory meeting on
the experimental anti-clotting drug prasugrel. Schott will also be
watching whether executives from generics giant Teva Pharmaceutical
Industries Ltd. (TEVA) and Sepracor Inc. (SEPR), which makes the
insomnia drug Lunesta, talk about additional cost cuts.
Retailers Hold National Meeting In NYC<
The National Retail Federation will hold its 98th annual
convention next week, with potentially pinched attendance
reflecting industry woes. The trade group expects 17,500 to 18,500
attendees and exhibitors to fill New York's Jacob Javits Center
during the four-day event that starts Sunday. Last year, 18,500
attended.
CEOs from Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT), J.C. Penney Co. (JCP),
Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF), Neiman Marcus Group Inc. and
Polo Ralph Lauren Corp. (RL) are among those participating in
presentations. The Javits Center will be filled with vendors
offering everything from smart shopping carts to
multimillion-dollar customer-tracking systems.
The conference's theme is "Inspiration Starts Here," which NRF
President Tracy Mullin said "reflects the attitude needed now that
retailers are facing such crucial times."
2nd Part of TARP Before House<
The House could vote next week on legislation laying out
conditions for the release of the remaining $350 billion in rescue
funds. House Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank, D-Mass.,
backs a bill requiring the Treasury Department to steer at least
$50 billion of remaining TARP funds toward a comprehensive plan to
staunch foreclosures.
The House also plans to consider legislation to provide medical
insurance for an additional 10 million lower-income children. That
bill would largely be paid for by an increase in federal cigarette
taxes.
In addition, two key congressional committee chairmen have said
they hope details of the $775 billion economic stimulus package
will begin to solidify by next week.
Obama, Mexican Leader To Meet<
In the last week before he takes the oath of office,
President-elect Barack Obama is scheduled to meet Monday with
Mexican President Felipe Calderon.
Meanwhile, the Senate will hold confirmation hearings on several
of Obama's Cabinet and other appointees next week. Sen. Hillary
Clinton, D., N.Y., nominated to be secretary of state, appears
Tuesday before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. Mary L.
Schapiro, picked to chair the Securities and Exchange Commission,
meets Thursday with the Senate Banking Committee.
FCC To Vote On Analog TV Extension<
The Federal Communications Commission will vote Thursday on
rules that will ease television viewers' transition into
all-digital broadcasting. The order will implement a new law
allowing TV stations to maintain analog signals for 30 days after
the Feb. 17 digital TV switch solely for public-safety
announcements and information about the digital transition.
This week, a top Obama adviser called for lawmakers to delay
next month's deadline, saying there is "insufficient support" for
problems that consumers who rely on over-the-air TV may experience
once the analog signals are shut off.
Conferences
Among the other significant conferences next week are the Cowen
& Co. Consumer Conference on Monday and Tuesday in New York,
Credit Suisse Group Homebuilding Conference on Tuesday and
Wednesday in New York, Goldman Sachs Energy Conference on Wednesday
and Thursday in Key Biscayne, Fla., and Deutsche Bank Securities
Real Estate Outlook Conference on Thursday in New York.
-By Kathy Shwiff, Dow Jones Newswires; 201-938-5975;
kathy.shwiff@dowjones.com
(Bob Sechler, Doug Cameron, Jerry A. DiColo, Karen Talley, Peter
Loftus, Thomas Gryta, Fawn Johnson and other Dow Jones Newswires
staff contributed to this report.)
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