"Please see the Full Audited Results
in attached PDF"
http://www.rns-pdf.londonstockexchange.com/rns/9678J_1-2024-10-29.pdf
Unaudited results for the nine months ended 30 September
2024
29 October 2024
Lagos and London, 29 October
2024: Seplat Energy Plc ("Seplat
Energy" or "the Company"), a leading Nigerian independent energy
company listed on the Nigerian Exchange Limited and the London
Stock Exchange, announces its unaudited results for the nine months
ended 30 September 2024.
Summary
3Q24 highlights included Abiala
first oil, successful turnaround maintenance at Oben gas plant and
the first lifting at Bonny terminal since 2022, continuing the
strong operational performance delivered in 2024. Robust cash
generation further improved the balance sheet, with period end net
debt down to $270m (0.5x Net Debt/EBITDA). Given the strong
underlying performance of the business the Board has approved a 20%
increase in the quarterly dividend to US3.6 cents per share from 3Q
2024.
Operational
highlights
• Working interest production
averaged 47,525 boepd (9M 2023: 48,152 boepd), around the midpoint
of guidance. Daily average liquids production increased 6% and gas
production decreased by 11% versus 9M 2023. Annual guidance
narrowed to 46,000 - 50,000 boepd (previously 44,000 - 52,000
boepd).
• Oben gas plant turnaround
maintenance activity successfully completed, expect higher gas
production in 4Q 2024.
• Abiala first oil achieved in
September. Exports to commence during Q4 2024, targeting gross
production level of c.5,000 bopd in Q1 2025.
• Trans Niger Pipeline ('TNP')
availability improving, supporting higher OML 53 production, 3Q
2024 production of 2,097 bopd +85% compared to 3Q 2023, and
enabling a resumption of OML 53 crude lifting at Bonny Terminal in
September.
• Drilling activity increased.
Completed nine wells year to date. Seven from the 2024 program,
which is on track.
• ANOH Gas project saw completion of
the 23km spur line, but the OB3 pipeline experienced further delays
due to the technical challenges associated with the project. NGIC
completion date has now moved to end of 2024. Factoring in a
further contingency, in line with our previously stated approach,
first gas is now expected during 2Q 2025.
• Carbon intensity of 32.7
kgCO2e/boe (9M 2023: 26.0 kgCO2e/boe) for operated assets. High 3Q
2024 emissions due to increased flaring during planned maintenance
at Oben and following the resumption of operations at Ohaji, OML53.
The anticipated impact of the End of Routine Flaring projects,
starting in the second half of 2025, is expected to materially
reduce absolute emissions by up to 70%.
• Safety culture maintained,
achieved 8.2-million-man hours without LTI at Seplat operated
assets year to date.
Financial highlights
• Revenues of $715.3 million,
down 11.7% vs. 9M 2023 ($810.4 million), largely due to overlift
reported at 9M 2023. Adjusting for overlift/underlift 9M 2024
revenue $724 million, +6% compared to 9M 2023 of $683
million
• Average price realisations. Oil:
$82.89/bbl (9M 2023: $82.76/bbl); Gas: $3.18/Mscf (9M 2023:
$2.87/Mscf).
• Adjusted EBITDA $383.0 million, up
25% from $306.4 million in 9M 2023, driven by higher revenue
(adjusted) and lower costs.
• Cash generated from operations of
$423.3 million, up 17% from $362.3 million in 9M 2023.
• Capex of $157.0 million (9M 2023:
$125.4 million), reflecting higher drilling
activity.
• Balance sheet cash at 9M 2024,
$433.9 million (9M 2023: $391.0 million). Net debt at end
September, $270 million, down from $366 million at end June 2024.
$38.5 million of Reserve-Based Lending (RBL) borrowings repaid year
to date. Period end Net Debt to EBITDA was 0.5x.
Corporate updates
• Received Ministerial Consent for
acquisition of entire issued share capital of Mobil Producing
Nigeria Unlimited ('MPNU').
• Strong underlying business
performance supports increase to core dividend. 3Q 24 dividend
raised by 20% to US3.6 cents. Total core dividend declared to date
in 2024 $9.6 cents per share.
• 2024 production guidance narrowed
to 46,000 - 50,000 boepd (previously 44,000 - 52,000 boepd). Capex
now expected at the top end of the guidance range ($170 million -
$200 million).
Roger Brown, Chief Executive
Officer, said:
"The first nine months of 2024 has seen Seplat Energy deliver
a strong operational performance. Production has been consistent,
drilling has improved and our main maintenance activities have been
executed successfully. We have brought two new fields on stream,
most recently Abiala, and are approaching completion of the Sapele
gas plant. Further delays to the start up at ANOH are frustrating,
but we have been pleased to see the commitment of our government
partner in tackling the technically challenging river crossing.
Based on the latest estimates received, and maintaining a cautious
stance on any risk of further delays, we update our guidance for
first gas to Q2 2025.
Commodity prices remained supportive, combined with
operational uptime and timely cash calls from our joint venture
partner, helped cash generation improve year over year, enhancing
our balance sheet position. As a result, we are pleased to announce
a 20% increase in the core quarterly dividend and note that this is
reflective of the strength of the underlying business. The increase
does not factor in the organic (ANOH) and inorganic (MPNU) growth
opportunities that the company is currently
pursuing.
We
were delighted in recent days to receive Ministerial consent for
the acquisition of MPNU. The transaction will be transformational
for Seplat Energy, and every effort is now on completing the
transaction.
Summary of performance
|
$
million
|
₦
billion
|
|
9M
2024
|
9M
2023
|
%
change
|
9M
2024
|
9M
2023
|
Revenue**
|
715.3
|
810.4
|
(11.7%)
|
1,070.9
|
478.1
|
Gross profit
|
355.0
|
416.3
|
(14.7%)
|
531.5
|
245.6
|
EBITDA *
|
383.0
|
306.4
|
25.0%
|
573.4
|
180.8
|
Operating profit (loss)
|
274.8
|
154.8
|
77.5%
|
411.3
|
91.3
|
Profit (loss) before tax
|
245.0
|
106.5
|
130%
|
366.7
|
62.9
|
Cash generated from
operations
|
423.3
|
362.3
|
16.9%
|
633.8
|
213.8
|
Working interest production
(boepd)
|
47,525
|
48,152
|
(1.3)%
|
|
|
Total crude oil lifted
(MMbbls)
|
7.54
|
8.66
|
(13.0)%
|
|
|
Average realised oil price
($/bbl)
|
82.89
|
82.76
|
0.2%
|
|
|
Average realised gas price
($/Mscf)
|
3.18
|
2.87
|
10.8%
|
|
|
LTIF
|
0
|
0
|
nm
|
|
|
CO2 emissions intensity from
operated assets, kg/boe
|
32.7
|
26.0
|
25.8%
|
|
|
* Adjusted for impairment, fair
value loss, unrealised FX gain, profit from JV and
decommissioning
**9M 2024 includes underlift of $8.2
million, 9M 2023 includes overlift of $127.8 million
Responsibility for
publication
The Board member responsible for
arranging the release of this announcement on behalf of Seplat
Energy is Eleanor Adaralegbe, CFO Seplat Energy
Plc.
Signed:
Eleanor Adaralegbe
Chief Financial
Officer
Important notice
The information contained within
this announcement is unaudited and deemed by the Company to
constitute inside information as stipulated under Market Abuse
Regulations. Upon the publication of this announcement via
Regulatory Information Services, this inside information is now
considered to be in the public domain.
Certain statements included in these
results contain forward-looking information concerning Seplat
Energy's strategy, operations, financial performance or condition,
outlook, growth opportunities or circumstances in the countries,
sectors, or markets in which Seplat Energy operates. By their
nature, forward-looking statements involve uncertainty because they
depend on future circumstances and relate to events of which not
all are within Seplat Energy's control or can be predicted by
Seplat Energy. Although Seplat Energy believes that the
expectations and opinions reflected in such forward-looking
statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such
expectations and opinions will prove to have been correct. Actual
results and market conditions could differ materially from those
set out in the forward-looking statements. No part of these results
constitutes, or shall be taken to constitute, an invitation or
inducement to invest in Seplat Energy or any other entity and must
not be relied upon in any way in connection with any investment
decision. Seplat Energy undertakes no obligation to update any
forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information,
future events or otherwise, except to the extent legally
required.
|
Enquiries:
Seplat Energy Plc
|
|
Eleanor Adaralegbe, Chief Financial
Officer
|
+234 1 277 0400
|
James Thompson, Head of Investor
Relations
|
+44 203 725 6500
|
Ayeesha Aliyu, Investor
Relations
|
|
Chioma Afe, Director, External
Affairs & Social Performance
|
|
FTI Consulting
|
|
Ben Brewerton / Christopher
Laing
|
+44 203 727 1000
seplatenergy@fticonsulting.com
|
Citigroup Global Markets
Limited
|
|
Peter Brown / Peter
Catterall
|
+44 207 986 4000
|
Investec Bank plc
|
|
Chris Sim
|
+44 207 597 4000
|
About Seplat Energy
Seplat Energy Plc (Seplat) is
Nigeria's leading indigenous energy company. Listed on the Nigerian
Exchange Limited (NGX: SEPLAT) and the Main Market of the London
Stock Exchange (LSE: SEPL), we are pursuing a Nigeria-focused
growth strategy in oil and gas, as well as developing a Power &
New Energy business to lead Nigeria's energy transition.
Seplat's energy portfolio consists
of seven upstream oil and gas blocks in the prolific Niger Delta
region of Nigeria, which we operate with partners including the
Nigerian Government and other oil producers. We also have a revenue
interest in OML 55. In Gas Midstream, we operate a 465MMscfd gas
processing plant at Oben, in OML4, and are constructing the
300MMscfd ANOH Gas Processing Plant in OML53 and a new 85MMscfd gas
processing plant at Sapele in OML41, to augment our position as a
leading supplier of gas to the domestic power generation
market.
For further information please refer
to our website, https://www.seplatenergy.com/
Operating review
Group production
performance
Working interest production for the nine months ended 30
September 2024
|
9M 2024
|
|
9M
2023
|
Liquids
|
Gas
|
Total
|
|
Liquids
|
Gas
|
Total
|
|
Seplat
%
|
bopd
|
MMscfd
|
boepd
|
|
bopd
|
MMscfd
|
boepd
|
OMLs
4, 38 & 41
|
45%
|
15,067
|
103.6
|
32,928
|
|
15,206
|
116.5
|
35,289
|
OPL
283
|
40%
|
1,613
|
-
|
1,613
|
|
1,540
|
-
|
1,540
|
OML
53
|
40%
|
1,516
|
-
|
1,516
|
|
1,154
|
-
|
1,154
|
OML
40
|
45%
|
11,468
|
-
|
11,468
|
|
10,169
|
-
|
10,169
|
Total
|
|
29,664
|
103.6
|
47,525
|
|
28,069
|
116.5
|
48,152
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liquid production volumes as
measured at the LACT (Lease Automatic Custody Transfer) unit for
OMLs 4, 38 and 41; OML 40 and OPL 283 flow station.
Gas conversion factor of 5.8 boe per
scf.
Volumes stated are subject to
reconciliation and may differ from sales volumes within the
period.
During the first nine months of
2024, the Company reported total working interest production of
47,525 boped, a 1.3% decline in 9M 2024 (9M 2023: 48,152 boepd)),
but around the mid-point of initial 2024 guidance (44,000 - 52,000
boepd).
The oil & gas mix was 62% and
38% respectively. Within this, daily average working interest oil
production increased by 6% while working interest gas production
fell 11%. Gas production was lower due to a combination of gas well
availability and the two-week shutdown of the Oben gas plant which
successfully carried out planned maintenance activities.
Total production deferment in the
period was 24% (9M 2023: 31%), a significant improvement on the
prior year performance driven by improved asset
availability.
Working interest production by quarter
Q1
2024
Q2 2024
Q3
2024
|
|
Liquids
|
Gas
|
Total
|
|
Liquids
|
Gas
|
Total
|
|
Liquids
|
Gas
|
Total
|
|
Seplat
%
|
bopd
|
MMscfd
|
boepd
|
|
bopd
|
MMscfd
|
boepd
|
|
bopd
|
MMscfd
|
boepd
|
OMLs 4, 38 &
41
|
45%
|
15,089
|
109.5
|
33,961
|
|
15,483
|
107.9
|
34,085
|
|
14,633
|
93.6
|
30,763
|
OML 40
|
45%
|
12,470
|
-
|
12,470
|
|
10,593
|
|
10,593
|
|
11,343
|
-
|
11,343
|
OML 53
|
40%
|
1,263
|
-
|
1,263
|
|
1,181
|
|
1,181
|
|
2,097
|
-
|
2,097
|
OPL 283
|
40%
|
1,575
|
-
|
1,575
|
|
1,699
|
|
1,699
|
|
1,565
|
-
|
1,565
|
Total
|
|
30,397
|
109.5
|
49,269
|
|
28,956
|
107.9
|
47,558
|
|
29,638
|
93.6
|
45,768
|
Liquid production volumes as
measured at the LACT (Lease Automatic Custody Transfer) unit for
OMLs 4, 38 and 41; OML 40 and OPL 283 flow station.
Gas conversion factor of 5.8 boe per
scf.
Volumes stated are subject to
reconciliation and may differ from sales volumes within the
period
Upstream business
performance
Total liquids production increased
by 6% to 8.13 MMbbls in 9M 2024, compared to 7.66 MMbbls in 9M
2023.
Summary of the contribution from
each asset is highlighted below:
Western Assets
In OMLs 4, 38, & 41, working
interest liquids production was stable at 15,067 bopd (9M 2023:
15,206 bopd). Delivery of our 2024 drilling program is on track and
will support production in subsequent quarters.
We continue to benefit from the
availability of multiple export routes for our Western Assets. In
the third quarter we experienced some downtime on our main export
routes. In August the Amukpe Escravos pipeline ('AEP') experienced
14 days of downtime, while in September the Trans Forcados pipeline
('TFP') experienced 13 days of downtime. However, on both occasions
the alternative evacuation route was available, ensuring minimal
disruption to operations.
Elcrest
Our operations in OML 40 continued
to record strong growth during the period. Average daily working
interest production rose 12.8% to 11,468 bopd (9M 2023: 10,169
bopd). The solid growth in production has being supported by timely
delivery of new wells, and improved export route availability
experienced in the year to date.
Abiala marginal field
Abiala is a marginal field located
in the OML 40 area, in which Elcrest (45% owned by Seplat Energy)
owns a 95% equity farm-in and is the operator. It represents one of
the growth projects expected to be brought online in 2024. The
progress so far is in line with our plan to focus on low-cost
development with early monetisation opportunities that leverage
existing contractual positions to accelerate the field's
development.
We are pleased to report first oil,
via an extended well test ('EWT'), from Abiala-01 was achieved on
15th September. The second producing well, Abiala-02 well has been
completed with well clean-up currently in progress. Evacuation of
the crude for sale is expected to commence at the end of October
2024, and the Company expects the field to reach a gross production
rate of c.5,000 bopd by Q1 2025.
Eastern Assets
On OML 53, following the resumption
of pipeline operations, daily working interest production rose
31.4% to 1,516 bopd in 9M 2024 (9M 2023: 1,154 bopd), while 3Q24
production was up 85% on the equivalent period in 2023,
highlighting the benefit of TNP availability. At Ohaji, evacuation
has primarily been to the nearby Waltersmith Refinery in the year
to date, though the split has been balanced between the TNP and
Waltersmith in 3Q24. TNP has been available since April 2024, and
the Company lifted its first shipment, of 200,000 barrels, from
bonny terminal for the first time in 32 months in
September.
We continue to see limited
production from our Jisike field, with a daily working interest
production of 332 bopd in 9M 2024 (9M 2023: nil).
In OPL 283, daily working interest
production rose 4.7% to 1,613 bopd in 9M 2024, from 1,540 bopd in
9M 2023.
Trans Niger Pipeline ('TNP') Update
Ongoing operational improvements and
enhanced security measures have been implemented to stabilise the
TNP, which has previously encountered challenges due to oil theft
and vandalism. As a result, operations are currently restricted to
daylight hours. The line operator, Shell Petroleum Development
Company (SPDC) continues to execute workstreams needed to resume
24-hour operations on Zone-6 of the line. These workstreams are
expected to be completed in Q4 2024 which would allow us resume
24-hour injection into the line.
The following wells- Ohaji-7,
Ohaji-8 and Ohaji-9, in OML 53 which were shut in when evacuation
was constrained have been cleaned up and are ready to commence
production once stability has been achieved on the TNP.
TNP is also the primary export route
for condensate production for ANOH Gas Processing Company (AGPC),
which will evacuate condensate into the TNP from the ANOH gas
plant.
Drilling
For 2024, the Company's drilling
program is expected to deliver 13 new wells (11 oil wells and 2 gas
wells). The 2024 drilling program continues to address normal
production decline and, along with the completion of maintenance
activities, support long-term production levels from the
assets.
In our 6M 2024 results, we reported
completion of four wells (Ovhor-21, Ovhor-22, Abiala-1 W/O and
Sapele-38) from our 2024 drilling program and two wells
(Okporhuru-9 and Sapele-37) from our 2023 drilling program. We also
stated that Ovhor-21 was onstream and producing at a gross rate of
2,300 bopd. We can now report that Ovhor-22 is onstream and
producing at a gross rate of 1,250 bopd while well testing is
ongoing at Abiala-1 W/O.
In the third quarter, we completed
the drilling of three additional wells from our 2024 drilling plan.
The wells that were completed include Oben-55, Oben-54, and
Abiala-2. The completed wells are expected to come onstream in
October, with expected combined gross oil & gas production of
4,500 bopd and 23 MMscfd respectively. Two wells (Ovhor-23 &
Ovhor-24) billed for completion in Q3 2024 will now be moved Q4
2024. Drilling has commenced in Ovhor-23 using the Imperial rig,
with the rig scheduled to move to Ovhor-24 following completion of
drilling in Ovhor-23.
In the final quarter of the year, we
plan to drill six wells (including two wells from Q3) to complete
our 2024 drilling program. The wells to be drilled include Ovhor-23
(ongoing), Ovhor-24, Oben-56 (ongoing), Oben-57, GB-12 (ongoing),
and GB-13. Drilling is the major contributing factor in our 2024
capex plans. A high rate of drilling activity alongside management
of some well complexity are the principal drivers for group capex
now being anticipated at the top of the original guidance
range.
Midstream Gas business
performance
During the period, the average
working interest gas production volume fell 11.1% to 103.6 MMscfd
in 9M 2024, from 116.5 MMscfd in 9M 2023. The decline in gas
production year to date has been driven by a combination of gas
well availability at the start of 2024 and in 3Q by the planned
two-week shutdown of the Oben gas plant for mandatory
maintenance[1].
Total gas sales for the period were
28.4 Bcf (9M 2023: 31.8 Bcf), contributing 38% of the Company's
produced volumes and 13% of total revenue.
The business continues to pursue
growth opportunities to maximise the utilisation of the Oben gas
plant. New customers are being brought onboard to high grade the
GSA customer base and improve revenue generation.
Oben Gas Plant
The turnaround maintenance (TAM)
activities of the Oben gas plant were successfully carried out
during August. The TAM was completed ahead of schedule with the gas
plant restarted on August 28th, one day ahead of plan. Alongside
mandatory activities, a number of additional activities were
delivered concurrently, such as; debottlenecking of condensate
separators, conversion of in-let valves to support lower pressure
production, tie-ins for western assets flares out projects, an
upgrade of the gas metering system and a power upgrade for a new
1.2MVA gas Gen Set, one of our diesel displacement
initiatives.
Following completion of the TAM
activities, gas production has stabilised around 260 MMscfd gross
(c.117 MMscf/d net working interest).
ANOH Gas Processing Plant
In Q3 2024, AGPC achieved 13.6
million man-hours without Lost Time Injury. We continued to make
progress on the gas plant construction, pre-commissioning works and
operational readiness towards first gas.
The upstream wells and facilities
achieved ready for start-up in early 3Q 2024, which confirmed
readiness to deliver wet gas to the ANOH Gas plant.
During October, our partner, NGIC,
achieved pipeline commissioning of the 23.3 km Spur line, following
completion of all pre-commissioning activities including pipeline
cleaning, debris removal, defect testing, hydrotesting, dewatering
and drying. The line is now ready to transport processed lean gas
into the OB3 pipeline.
In our 6M 2024 results, we reported
that tunnelling operations on the OB3 pipeline had reached 1.12km
of the 1.85km river crossing. Subsequently, OB3 pipeline
experienced further technical and mechanical challenges. The
setbacks required import of additional equipment, to reinforce the
hardware required for micro tunnelling and horizontal directional
drilling (HDD), which have been delivered onsite. Our partner,
NGIC, also identified new subsurface complexities which required
more grouting works to be completed. Tunnelling works are expected
to resume shortly.
Based on the latest guidance from
NGIC, the expected OB3 completion date is now end of 2024. As
we have done previously, we have a built in a contingency of up to
six months and have now updated our guidance on first gas to Q2
2025.
Sapele Gas Plant
The Sapele Gas Plant is an 85 MMscfd
plant, capable of processing both Non-Associated Gas (NAG) and
Associated Gas (AG) which meets export specifications and LPG
processing module which would supply LPG to the domestic market.
The project will also contribute significantly to Seplat's target
to end routine flaring by the end of 2025.
Work at the new Sapele Gas Plant has
continued through the year. Recent activity includes commissioning
work associated with the initial 30 MMscfd MRU train. The project
is now near completion, as such, we retain guidance for first gas
from the first 30 MMscfd module during Q4 2024. Subsequent modules
will be commissioned in 2025 to enable the plant to ramp up to full
capacity.
New Energy business
In line with our strategy to support
the country's energy transition, we continue to assess various
midstream gas, power, and renewable investment opportunities that
are focused on increasing energy supply and reliability, lowering
costs, and reducing the carbon intensity of Nigeria's electricity
consumption.
In the past quarter, we continued to
assess viable and scalable opportunities predominantly in the
domestic power sector.
HSE performance
In 9M 2024, the Company achieved a
total of 8.2 million manhours without any Lost Time Injury (LTI) in
its operated assets, which reflects the Company's strong focus on
safety and the dedication of its workforce to maintaining a secure
work environment. This brings aggregate LTI free manhours to 18.8
million with over 717 days since last LTI was recorded (13 October
2022). In addition, the Total Recordable Incident Rate (TRIR) was
0.487 with three Medical Treatment Case (MTC) reported during this
period. Furthermore, no Tier 2 Process Safety Loss of Primary
Containment (LOPC) incident was recorded during the
period.
Ending routine flaring
The carbon intensity recorded for
the period was 32.7 kg CO2/boe, higher than the 26.0 kg CO2/boe
recorded in 9M 2023. The significant increase in carbon intensity
was primarily driven by increased production from our Eastern
assets following reinstatement of TNP Zone 6. Wells in our Eastern
asset are gas-rich which leads to emission of associated gas as
production increases. The shutdown of the Oben Gas Plant during the
TAM activities carried out in August led to higher emissions during
the two-week period, also contributing to higher carbon intensity
compared to last year.
The Company continues to progress
efforts to secure evacuation options for unprocessed associated gas
from the Sapele Flow Station. Alongside this, work continues on the
construction of the Sapele Integrated Gas Plant (SIGP), which is
scheduled to be fully complete in 1H 2025 (details in earlier
sections). Once operational, SIGP offtake has the potential to
materially reduce Group Scope 1 emissions. Other ongoing key
flare-out projects, including the Western Asset Flares Out
(installation of VRU compressors), Sapele LPG Storage &
Offloading Facility, Oben LPG Project and Ohaji Flares Out Project.
The Company is on track to end routine flaring of gas in 2H
2025.
Proposed acquisition of
MPNU
On 22 October 2024, we reported that
we had received confirmation from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum
Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) that Ministerial consent has been
granted by the Honourable Minister of Petroleum Resources in
Nigeria, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu GCFR, to proceed with the
acquisition of the entire issued share capital of Mobil Producing
Nigeria Unlimited (MPNU).
Following receipt of Ministerial
consent the Company is now working to complete the transaction.
This includes four main work streams, which are all at an advanced
stage of completion. 1) Nigerian regulatory process: Work is
ongoing to finalise the transaction documentation in order to
complete the transfer of MPNU to the Seplat Group, 2) UK
Prospectus: Given the transaction is classed as a reverse takeover
('RTO') under UK listing rules, the company is required to publish
a full prospectus. The prospectus process is underway with the UK
Financial Conduct Authority ('FCA'). 3) Operational Readiness:
Seplat Energy has various teams engaged to ensure a smooth
transition of MPNU into the Seplat Group. 4) Financing the
transaction: Seplat Energy plans to fund the transaction via equity
cash, our undrawn RCF and a new debt facility.
Outlook
Following robust performance year to
date, and after adjusting for the revised start-up of the ANOH gas
project, we narrow our production guidance to 46,000-50,000 boepd
(previously 44,000-52,000 boepd). The mid-point of guidance is
unchanged.
Year to date, drilling activity and
cost has been towards the upper end of original expectations. Our
2024 drilling program is on track to deliver the wells which will
support production in the quarters ahead. As such, we now expect
full year capex to be at the top end of previous guidance range
($170 million - $200 million).
Over the coming months, the Company
is looking to deliver a number of key milestones including;
completion of the MPNU acquisition, first gas at ANOH and Sapele
Gas Plant, crude evacuation from Abiala, completion of a number of
End of Routine Flaring projects and unrestricted 24-hour operations
on the TNP pipeline.
Financial review
Revenue
Oil
In the first nine months of 2024,
Brent crude oil benchmark price averaged $81.79/bbl, down 2% on the
average in the first six months of 2024, after weaker pricing in 3Q
2024, but flat on 9M 2023's average of $81.96/bbl. A confluence of
continued management of crude oil output by OPEC+ member nations,
elevated geopolitical tensions and mixed macroeconomic developments
have all contributed to keeping average prices around similar
levels to last year.
The Company continues to benefit
from oil price realisations at a modest premium to Brent, realising
$82.89/bbl, an average premium to Brent of $1.10/bbl. Our realised
price was relatively flat compared to the equivalent figure in 9M
2023 ($82.76/bbl).
Total crude revenues declined 12.7%
to $625.2 million in 9M 2024, from $716.4 million in 9M 2023. The
decline is largely attributed to lower liftings in the period, with
total crude lifted in 9M 2024 13% lower at 7.54 MMbbl vs. the 8.66
MMbbl lifted in 9M 2023.
9M 2024 crude revenue excludes an
underlift of 7 kbbl (valued at $0.5 million), while 9M 2023
includes an overlift volume of 1.28 MMbbl (valued at $127.8
million).
After adjusting for underlift at 9M
2024, crude oil revenue was $633.4 million, which is 7.6% higher
than the adjusted 9M 2023 crude oil revenue of $588.5 million, this
reflects slightly higher oil production and realised pricing in the
period.
Gas
Gas revenue fell by 4.0% to $90.2
million in 9M 2024 (compared to $94.0 million in 9M 2023). The
reduction in gas revenue was due to lower production, partially
offset by higher gas price realisations.
Production in 9M 2024 fell 10.7% to
28.4 Bscf, from 31.8 Bscf in 9M 2023. This was partially offset by
the average realised gas price, which rose by 10.8% to $3.18/Mscf
in 9M 2024, from $2.87/Mscf in 9M 2023. The average realised gas
price improvement reflects the impact of price escalations on a gas
contract which took effect in the period. In addition, higher
prices for DGDO gas contracts (increased from $2.18/MMBtu to
$2.42/MMBtu in April 2024) contributed to the realised gas price
during the period.
Total Oil & Gas Sales
Revenue from combined oil and gas
sales in 9M 2024 was $715.3 million, an 11.7% decrease from the
$810.4 million achieved in 9M 2023.
Gross profit
Gross profit fell 14.7% to $355.0
million in 9M 2024, from the $416.3 million recorded in 9M 2023.
The decline was largely driven by the lower reported revenue in the
period (due to overlifts in 9M 2023), an increase in direct
operating costs, due to higher gas flaring penalty (9M 2024: $19.2
million vs 9M 2023: $4.4 million), net off by reduction in Royalty
charges. The reduced royalty charge follows an agreement with JV
partners to share liftings via Walter smith refinery ("WSR"). In
the period from 2022 to the agreement in 2024, only Seplat was
lifting crude via WSR. We remain focused on delivering our routine
flare reduction projects, slated to come online in H2 2025. Upon
completion, these projects will substantially minimise gas flares
penalties and concurrently support revenue growth. Adjusting for
Gas flare penalty fees driven by higher government tariffs from
mid-2023, production costs are 8.4% lower year on year.
Adjusting gross profit for
underlift/overlift, we recorded a 25.9% growth to $363.3 million in
9M 2024 (9M 2023: $288.4 million), primarily driven by lower cost
of sales in the period. This translates to an adjusted gross margin
of 51% in 9M 2024 (9M 2023: 36%).
Direct operating costs include
expenses related to crude-handling charges (CHC), barging/trucking,
operations and maintenance, amounted to $131.8 million in 9M 2024,
marking a 3.7% increase from the $127.1 million incurred in 9M
2023.
Considering the cost per barrel
equivalent basis, production operating expenses (opex) rose to
$10.1/boe in 9M 2024, compared to $9.7/boe in 9M 2023.
Non-production costs which primarily
includes $107.6 million in royalties and $114.1 million in
depreciation, depletion, and amortisation (DD&A), declined from
the $141.2 million in royalties and $116.9 million in DD&A
reported in 9M 2023.
Operating profit
Operating profit increased by 77.5%
to $274.8 million in 9M 2024, from $154.8 million achieved in 9M
2023. In addition to the contribution from higher adjusted oil
revenue, other reasons for increases in operating profit was
attributed to the items below.
Firstly, and under non-cash items is
a reversal in the impact of foreign exchange on the income
statement as the Company reports a $17.1 million accounting
adjusted FX gain in 9M 2024 (9M 2023: $27.8 million FX loss). In
mid 2023 the Naira began to materially depreciate versus the US
Dollar. This depreciation led to the Company recording an FX loss
in 9M 2023 following revaluation of the Naira financial asset
balances on our books. Conversely, in the second quarter, we
received approvals from our JV partner on OML 53, NUIMS to net off
outstanding cash calls with the overlift volumes on the asset. The
subsequent redenomination of overlift liabilities in Naira led to
an accounting adjusted FX gain of $17.1 million in 9M 2024. Partly
net off from this increase is an impairment of $7.4 million on the
Turnkey rigs after the successful sale of the rigs were consummated
in Q3, 2024. (See section on cash flow from investing activities
below)
In addition, the Company reported a
decline in General and Administrative (G&A) expenses. G&A
expenses amounted to $95.9 million, 8.3% lower than the $104.5
million incurred in 9M 2023. The decrease in G&A costs was
mainly due to lower spending on Professional and Consulting fees,
reflecting lower litigation costs compared to 9M 2023 when the
company had to manage an unprecedented and intense period of
minority shareholder actions through the courts. Seplat remains
committed to minimising G&A expenses and continues to implement
measures to manage all costs.
After adjusting for non-cash items
such as impairment, fair value losses, and exchange gains, the
Company reports adjusted EBITDA for 9M 2024 of $383.0 million, up
25% on the prior period (9M 2023: $306.4 million). This results in
an adjusted EBITDA margin of 53.5% (9M 2023: 37.8%). The increase
in adjusted EBITDA reflects the impact of lower non-production
costs, such as royalties during the period.
Taxation
The income tax expense of
$209.7 million includes a current tax charge of
$65.7 million (9M 2023: $54.3 million) and a deferred tax
charge of $144.0 million (9M 2023: deferred tax credit of
$27.3 million). The higher current tax this year resulted from
higher taxable profit due to lower costs for the period.
The deferred tax charge in 9M 2024
was driven by the FX gains and underlift for the period which are
excluded from petroleum profit tax (PPT) calculations, giving rise
to the creation of a deferred tax liability. This contrasts with 9M
2023's deferred tax credit which arose due to creation of deferred
tax assets from the overlift and FX loss recorded in the
period. The effective tax rate for the period was 86% (9M
2023: 25%).
Effective tax rate
analysis
|
Income
tax expense
|
Tax
rate
|
Profit before tax
($'million)
|
Current
|
Deferred
|
Total
|
ETR
(Effective Tax
Rate)
|
Current
Tax rate
|
245.0
|
65.7
|
144.0
|
209.7
|
86%
|
27 %
|
Net result
Profit before tax increased by
129.9%, amounting to $245.0 million, compared to $106.5 million in
9M 2023. However, primarily due to the significant increase in
taxation in 9M 2024 (as explained above), net profit declined 55.7%
to $35.3 million in 9M 2024, from $79.5 million in 9M
2023.
The profit attributable to equity
holders of the parent company, representing shareholders, was $38.7
million in 9M 2024, which resulted in basic earnings per share of
$0.07/share for the period (9M 2023: $0.07/share).
Cash flows from operating
activities
During the period, the Company
generated $423.3 million in cash from its operations, a 16.8%
increase from the $362.3 million generated in 9M 2023, driven by
improved receivables collection. During the quarter, we continued
to receive cash call payments from our JV partners. On our
NEPL/Seplat JV and NEPL/Elcrest JV balance, we received an
aggregate cash call amount of $341.4 million, lowering the
aggregate receivables balance at period end to $47.5 million. At
the end of 9M 2024, we had no receivables outstanding from our JV
partner on OML 53.
Net cash flow from operating
activities amounted to $361.8 million in 9M 2024, compared to
$296.3 million in 9M 2023. Cash tax payments of $64.0 million (9M
2023: $60.5 million) and hedge premiums paid of $4.1 million (9M
2023: $3.9 million) during the current period, were broadly stable
on the prior period.
Cash flows from investing
activities
The total net cash outflow from
investing activities was $126.8 million, which increased from the
$110.4 million recorded in 9M 2023, the increase was due to
increased capex, partially offset by receipts from disposal of
assets. We received $5.4 million in respect of the divestment from
Ubima and $10.9 million from our financial interest in OML 55. The
$6.1 million proceeds from disposal of other PPE represents the
initial cash payment agreed for the sale of Turnkey rigs (formerly
known as Cardinal drilling rigs). We made the strategic decision to
sell the Turnkey drilling rigs in order to concentrate on our core
strengths and long-term objectives. The Turnkey rigs were sold for
$12.3 million, with final payments expected by April
2025.
The capital expenditure on oil &
gas assets during the period was $153.6 million, including $114.2
million invested in drilling activities and $39.4 million invested
in engineering & gas projects. Total capex (including other
fixed assets) was $157.0 million.
Cash flows from financing
activities
Net cash outflows from financing
activities were $198.8 million, which increased from the $168.6
million recorded in 9M 2023. The increase was driven largely by
principal repayments on loans of $38.5 million (9M 2023: $22.0
million) related to the Eland Senior RBL facility and share
purchases for the Company's LTIP of $19.3 million (9M 2023:
$nil).
Elsewhere, $62.5 million for
interest on loans and borrowings, reflecting the cost of servicing
the Company's debt obligations, were modestly higher versus the
prior period, while commitment fee and associated transaction costs
of $6.9 million were modestly lower.
The Company paid $70.6 million in
dividends to investors during the period, down from $76.1 million
in the prior period due to the magnitude of the special dividend
paid for 2023 (FY 2022 special dividend paid in 2023 was US$5.0
cents while FY 2023 special dividend paid in 2024 was US$3.0
cents).
Liquidity
Net
debt reconciliation at 30 Sept 2024
(unaudited)
|
$ million
|
Coupon
|
Maturity
|
Senior notes*
|
644.4
|
7.75%
|
April
2026
|
Westport RBL*
|
10.3
|
SOFR
rate+8%
|
March
2026
|
Off-take facility*
|
49.1
|
SOFR
rate+10.5%
|
April
2027
|
Total borrowings
|
703.8
|
|
|
Cash and cash equivalents (exclusive
of restricted cash)
|
433.9
|
|
|
Net
debt
|
270.0
|
|
|
* including amortised
interest
The balance sheet remains healthy
with a solid liquidity position. Seplat Energy ended the year with
gross debt of $703.8 million (with maturities in 2026 and 2027) and
cash at bank of $433.9 million, leaving net debt at $270.0 million.
We also ended 9M 2024 with a restricted cash balance of $24.4
million including $2.4 million and $21.0 million set aside in the
stamping reserve and debt service reserve accounts for the
revolving credit facility.
As the Company continuously reviews
its funding and maturity profile, it continues to monitor the
market in ensuring that it is well positioned for any refinancing
and or buyback opportunities for the current debt facilities -
including potentially the $650 million 7.75% 144A/Reg S bond
maturing in 2026.
Post reporting period, Fitch Ratings
published its rating action commentary on Seplat Energy, revising
the outlook on our Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to
Positive from Stable and affirmed the IDR at 'B-'. Fitch also
affirmed that the upgrade to a positive outlook reflects that an
upgrade of Nigeria's Long-Term IDR could result in an upward
revision of the country ceiling, which would no longer constrain
Seplat's Long-Term IDR at the current level.
Dividend
Following board consideration and
approval, we are pleased to announce a 20% increase in our
quarterly core dividend payment to US3.6 cents per share from 3Q
24, this level has been committed for 4Q 24 as well, as such the
total core dividend to be declared in respect of 2024 will be US
13.2 cents per share, a 10% increase on 2023. The dividend increase
is due to the strength of the underlying business and does not
factor in the potential enhancement in the shareholder returns
policy that may be supported by the organic (ANOH) and inorganic
(MPNU) growth opportunities that the Company is currently
pursuing.
In line with the company's quarterly
dividend policy, the board has approved a Q3 2024 dividend of US3.6
cents per share (subject to appropriate WHT) which will be paid to
shareholders whose name appear in the register of members as at the
close of business 12 November 2024. This brings total dividends
announced for the 2024 financial reporting cycle to US9.6 cents per
share.
Hedging
Seplat's hedging policy aims to
guarantee appropriate levels of cash flow assurance in times of oil
price weakness and volatility. Total volumes hedged for 2024 amount
to 6.0 MMbbls with the average cost to hedge these volumes for 2024
being $0.81/bbl. In line with our policy to target hedging
two quarters in advance, we have hedged additional 1.5 MMbbls at a
strike price of $55 for Q1 2025. The Board and management team
closely monitor prevailing oil market dynamics and will consider
further measures to provide appropriate levels of cash flow
assurance in times of oil price weakness and volatility.
Oil Hedges
(Brent Deferred Premium Put Options)
|
Unit
|
Q1
2024
|
Q2
2024
|
Q3
2024
|
Q4
2024
|
Q1
2025
|
Volumes hedged
|
MMbbls
|
1.5
|
1.5
|
1.5
|
1.5
|
1.5
|
Price hedged
|
US$/bbl
|
65.0
|
55.0
|
60.0
|
60.0
|
55.0
|
Put cost
|
US$/bbl
|
1.08
|
0.86
|
0.86
|
0.44
|
1.03
|