2nd UPDATE: Hong Kong Banks Hold Rates Steady After Fed Stands Pat
June 25 2009 - 6:07AM
Dow Jones News
Major Hong Kong banks held their prime lending rates steady
Thursday after the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision overnight to
leave its benchmark interest rates near zero.
Analysts said they doubt local lenders will raise their prime
rates during the next six months.
"The global recovery is still a long way off. Most policymakers
don't want to increase the rates casually because it might deter
the progress of recovery," Standard Chartered Bank economist Simon
Wong said.
He said he doesn't expect the U.S. to start a rate-tightening
cycle until the first quarter of 2011.
But Jasmine Lai, an analyst at DBS Vickers Securities, said she
expects the Fed to start hiking interest rates in the second
quarter next year, tracking stabilization in the U.S. economy. In
the meantime, local banks aren't likely to cut their interest rates
further.
"Since the savings deposit rates of many local lenders are
already near zero and there is no room for banks to lower their
funding costs, there is no room for more prime rate cuts," Lai
said.
Several local banks said Thursday they were leaving their
interest rates steady after the Hong Kong Monetary Authority said
earlier in the day it was keeping its base rate unchanged at 0.50%
following the Fed's decision.
The territory's currency peg to the U.S. dollar bolts its
monetary policy to that of the U.S., so the HKMA generally follows
any interest rate decisions by the Fed.
HSBC Holdings PLC (HBC) unit Hongkong & Shanghai Banking
Corp. said Thursday it was leaving its prime lending rate unchanged
at 5.00%; Hang Seng Bank Ltd. (0011.HK), another HSBC unit, and BOC
(Hong Kong) Ltd. (2388.HK) also held their prime rates steady at
5.00%.
HKMA Chief Executive Joseph Yam told reporters the Fed's
decision indicates the U.S. economy will take longer than
previously expected to stabilize and recover.
He said the U.S. economy is undergoing a structural change from
spending to saving, which could benefit the U.S. in the long term.
"But in the near term, we should face the fact that there won't be
a fast recovery in U.S. consumption," Yam said.
The Fed's policy-setting board voted overnight to keep the
target federal funds rate unchanged at zero to 0.25%.
Hong Kong's de facto central bank has pledged to keep its base
rate - the reference rate for the lending of overnight funds to
local banks through its discount window - fixed at 0.5 percentage
point above the federal funds rate.
-By Chester Yung, Dow Jones Newswires; 852-2802-7002;
chester.yung@dowjones.com