IBM, With SPSS Buy, Shows Why Data Management Is A Draw
July 28 2009 - 7:04PM
Dow Jones News
International Business Machines Corp.'s (IBM) purchase of a
Chicago software maker highlights a thriving area of the software
industry: tools that can help corporate customers manage the
increasingly large volumes of data they create.
On Tuesday, IBM, Armonk, N.Y., said it was paying $1.2 billion
for SPSS Inc. (SPSS). SPSS makes predictive analytics software that
helps companies draw on data to model future customer behavior. For
example, SPSS tools could help companies predict what type of
credit card will be most attractive to customers based on their
previous purchases.
Predictive software like that made by SPSS and other companies
is part of a broad category of data management that is poised to
take off when corporate technology spending starts to recover.
Companies are keeping more of the data they produce, due to
regulatory pressures and because they hope the data can be used to
figure out how to improve productivity, by generating more sales,
cutting costs or eliminating risk.
The recent bidding war for Data Domain Inc. (DDUP), a Santa
Clara, Calif., company that makes deduplication technology,
highlights the attraction of companies making software that manages
corporate information. After weeks of intense bidding, EMC Corp.
(EMC) eventually scooped up Data Domain, beating rival NetApp Inc.
(NTAP) with a $2.2 billion bid.
Predictive analytics, which helps companies model future
outcomes from that information, is expected to be in particular
demand. Steve Mills, who heads IBM's software business, said
revenue from predictive analytics software is growing about 8% a
year across the industry.
"The emphasis up until now has been on interpreting data from
the past. We're trying to bring to bear the ability to make
decisions in real time and predict the movements of the future,"
Mills said.
Already, an arms race is under way to grab a share of the
broader market for products and services that manage corporate
data. IBM, database giant Oracle Corp. (ORCL) and German software
giant SAP A.G. (SAP) in 2007 all acquired companies that specialize
in "business intelligence," a broader category of software to help
mine and interpret data.
IBM's most recent move could also prompt its rivals,
particularly cash-rich Oracle and Microsoft Corp. (MSFT), to make
similar acquisitions, analysts say. One likely target: SPSS
competitor, privately held SAS Institute Inc.
SAS' chief marketing officer, Jim Davis, said the company had
received approaches in the past but wanted to remain
independent.
Boris Evelson, an analyst with Forrester Research, also points
to companies like Endeca Technologies Inc., Attivio Inc. and
Genalytics Inc., all privately held, as possible targets. The
companies provide analytics and business-based search.
Market research firm IDC forecasts the market for business
intelligence products will grow 4% to $25 billion this year.
Analytics and business intelligence has become a priority for
IBM, which earlier this year reorganized its global services
organization to stress the importance of tools like analytics. It
has also attracted competitors like SAP, which resells some SPSS
software. Oracle also offers some similar capabilities.
SPSS' software is powerful because it gives buyers access to
sophisticated modeling that was previously the domain of
statisticians, and IBM will be able to cross-sell it to customers
who already buy its database and information management products,
said Rita Sallam, an analyst at research firm Gartner Inc.
IBM's Mills said SPSS' capabilities will be used to enhance
IBM's existing business intelligence product, Cognos, and be
tailored for industry segments such as banking, retail or
insurance.
-By Jessica Hodgson, Dow Jones Newswires; 415-439-6455;
jessica.hodgson@dowjones.com