UPDATE: Host Hotels Appeases Wall St. With Earnings Beat
October 14 2009 - 2:49PM
Dow Jones News
Host Hotels & Resorts Inc. (HST) appeased Wall Street
Wednesday with slightly better-than-expected third quarter earnings
even as the real-estate investment trust posted its third
consecutive quarterly loss amid a prolonged travel and tourism
downturn.
Host's results supported the tone set by Marriott
International's (MAR) earnings last week that the worst may be over
for the embattled lodging industry, while formidable challenges
remain. Host sports a strong balance sheet and sits on a plush cash
cushion of about $1 billion. As such, the market is shifting focus
to what acquisition opportunities are in store for Host which has a
market cap of roughly $7 billion.
"Host has a more enviable balance sheet and strong access to
both debt and equity capital. We believe the company is going to
participate in the buying opportunities that will eventually
present themselves," in the distressed market, says John Arabia, an
analyst at Green Street Advisors.
He noted the company has a very strong management team and
relatively strong capital structure. But, its size is a
challenge.
"It has to engage in a lot of acquisitions to create a
meaningful amount of value for its large shareholder base," he
said.
During the earnings call, management didn't outline specific
acquisitions but said they are in wait-and-see mode in Europe and
are working on a number of opportunities in Asia where the region's
economies are experiencing a quicker economic recovery compared to
global peers.
The company has been in selling mode during the last quarter. It
disclosed that it sold four non-core properties, including the
253-room Washington Dulles Marriott Suites and the 430-room Boston
Marriott Newton, for about $90 million.
"There are certainly ... over the next two or three years, a
number of additional non-core assets that we would look to sell.
Our sense is that we probably would not be that active over the
next several months," said W. Edward Walter, president and chief
executive during the call, noting sales could occur on an
opportunistic basis.
"As we think about 2010 ... I would expect that our disposition
pace would probably be a bit slower than we thought this year," he
said.
Host Hotels owns 112 properties globally and hires operating
companies such as Marriott or Hilton Hotels Corp. to manage them.
Among commercial REITs, hoteliers have been among the worst hit as
they struggle to fill rooms, especially those catering to the
upscale and luxury market. That has forced hotels across the board
to cut costs, including work force reductions, as tumbling
occupancy and room rates have left some companies without enough
cash to cover expenses.
Although hotel room rates and revenue projections continue on a
downward spiral, lodging stocks are on a torrid upswing as
investors try to get ahead of any recovery. For instance Host's
stock is up more than 50% in the $11 range since the beginning of
the year and well over 200% from its 52-week low, when investors
were spooked about operating fundamentals and looming debt
maturities. The company's shares still well below the $28.71 high
reached in Feb. 2007.
"All the hotels stocks have rallied considerably. There was so
much uncertainty about where operating fundamentals were going ...
and what was going to happen in credit markets and if there was
going to be access to capital to pay off maturing debt," said
Arabia.
"There has been some comfort level that the industry is
approaching the bottom and clearly the credit markets have
improved," he added.
Host gave a slightly more upbeat outlook for the year, and now
expects a loss of 42 cents to 47 cents a share, with funds from
operations of 46 cents to 51 cents, including some items, based on
a 20% to 22% drop in revenue per available room.
The company in July reduced its fiscal-year forecast to a loss
of 46 cents to 53 cents a share and FFO of 43 cents to 50 cents,
based on a 20% to 23% drop in revpar.
For the quarter ended Sept. 11, the highly leveraged company
reported a loss of $55 million, or 9 cents a share, compared with
prior-year earnings of $47 million, or 9 cents share. Funds from
operations, a key REIT profitability measurement, fell to 11 cents
from 31 cents, including the one-time items.
Revenue decreased 20% to $912 million.
Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters most recently forecast a loss
of 14 cents, FFO of 8 cents and revenue of $892 million. Revpar
declined 21%, but it was an improvement from the prior quarter's
25% drop.
"It's the substantial decrease in revenue that is continuing to
challenge the company because they have a high degree of fixed
costs and a fair amount of debt," said C. Patrick Scholes, an
analyst at FBR Capital Markets & Co.
Scholes noted that about 50% of Host's hotels are Marriott
brands and that Marriott International suffered less revpar
declines because unlike Host, they have exposure to select service
hotels which have relatively fared better in the downturn.
-By A.D. Pruitt, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2197;
angela.pruitt@dowjones.com
(Tess Stynes contributed to this report)