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Alpesh Patel
Alpesh Patel's columns :
11/17/2005The View From Here
11/02/2005After the Party
10/23/2005IX Investment Expo
10/02/2005Women Traders
09/27/2005Forex for us?
09/21/2005Trading as a Business
09/14/2005Women and Men; Mars and Venus
09/07/2005Fund Managers
08/31/2005Exchange Traded Funds
08/24/2005New York, London, Chicago
08/16/2005NYC Again
08/10/2005Summer Fun
08/03/2005Global Markets from a Foreign Perspective
07/29/2005Portfolio Destruction
07/20/2005Trader Health
07/13/2005Portfolio Management
07/06/2005Analyst Speak
06/29/2005CEO Speak
06/22/2005Media Again
06/15/2005Media Manipulation
06/08/2005India - Again
05/29/2005When its game over
05/18/2005The End of the Universe
05/11/2005Hedge Fund Woes
05/04/2005Downwards in an up market or upwards in a down market?
04/27/2005Tougher than a gangsters granny
04/20/2005Miserable or Not?
04/13/2005Cap and Floor
04/04/2005Misery of Joy?
03/23/2005Time for Timestrip?
03/09/2005Thinking about Investment Courses
03/02/2005Thinking About Mistakes
02/25/2005Itchy Teeth
02/16/2005When does a stock story get old?

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Alpesh Patel – A weekly look at market opportunities and pitfalls
Alpesh B. Patel is one of the UK's best-known traders and financial journalists. He writes a regular column for the Financial Times, has written seven bestselling books on trading, and makes regular television appearances for Bloomberg, Sky Television, Channel 4, The Money Channel, and the BBC.

Do you feel lucky punk?

09/14/2004

Well, as I said on CNBC and BBC this week, the market seems to want to go higher. Why the reference in the title to the 'Dirty Harry' movie? It's simply that so much remains uncertain still - and our confidence in a rally is shot to bits.

As for private investors, a lot are coming to the market after losses from 2000-2001, many are new and looking for returns.

The FTSE 100 has now risen from 43500 base to 4550. When it has done this in the past few months it has fallen back. So no one is turning positive until it breaks 4600.

Value-Growth

I am getting some decent signals on my proprietary value-growth signals. Alliance UniChem for one. 646p is a base below which the stock should not fall. The gentle upward trend of late is very promising. You've all already had a great return from my ROK Property Solutions mention before the summer.

These signals are based on various criteria I use including revenue and earnings growth, as well as price ratios.

Drop me an email on alpesh.patel@tradermind.com if you would like a free multi-media CDROM and 50 page e-document on 'Investing Better' or order the full 14 CDROM set from the ADVFN online bookstore.

Other key stocks on the radar include: Centrica (no fall below 235p should occur). Again, you've all made a bit of a killing with my Hitachi Capital pick several months ago and it is on the radar. But do keep a tight stop-loss.

Dart Group is a new one for the radar. It has had a very good rally, but it looks like a riser again. Gooch & Housego is another promising looker. 130p is the stop-loss on it.

Crazy Small Stock

On this we have FuturaGene, Tea Plantations, Bisichi. All pure adrenalin momentum plays - not recommendations but simply 'crazy small stocks which may continue steep rises (or turn and burn) - but they almost certainly won't stand still.

M&A Target HitList

Here I want to highlight some stocks in my view with a more than 50% chance of getting some boost from bid related activity. It's speculative and not for the faint hearted. My rational is based on a combination of performance, assets, possible synergies with possible bidders, latent value. Looking ahead: Ultraframe, eBookers, Courts.

Rumour of the Week

I don't usually do the rumour game - but sources tell me Regus looks promising, and looking at the price chart it is accelerating ahead, a break above 80p looks very likely. Any fall below 60p would be an exit point, and indeed before then if there was any bad news on results.

Bewarned, rumours are always risky.


Alpesh B Patel, author of “Alpesh Patel on Stock Futures” available from the ADVFN bookstore.

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