Do you feel lucky punk?
09/14/2004
Well, as I said on CNBC and BBC this week, the market seems to want to go higher. Why the reference in the title to the 'Dirty Harry' movie? It's simply that so much remains uncertain still - and our confidence in a rally is shot to bits.
As for private investors, a lot are coming to the market after losses from 2000-2001, many are new and looking for returns.
The FTSE 100 has now risen from 43500 base to 4550. When it has done this in the past few months it has fallen back. So no one is turning positive until it breaks 4600.
Value-Growth
I am getting some decent signals on my proprietary value-growth signals. Alliance UniChem for one. 646p is a base below which the stock should not fall. The gentle upward trend of late is very promising. You've all already had a great return from my ROK Property Solutions mention before the summer.
These signals are based on various criteria I use including revenue and earnings growth, as well as price ratios.
Drop me an email on alpesh.patel@tradermind.com if you would like a free multi-media CDROM and 50 page e-document on 'Investing Better' or order the full 14 CDROM set from the ADVFN online bookstore.
Other key stocks on the radar include: Centrica (no fall below 235p should occur). Again, you've all made a bit of a killing with my Hitachi Capital pick several months ago and it is on the radar. But do keep a tight stop-loss.
Dart Group is a new one for the radar. It has had a very good rally, but it looks like a riser again. Gooch & Housego is another promising looker. 130p is the stop-loss on it.
Crazy Small Stock
On this we have FuturaGene, Tea Plantations, Bisichi. All pure adrenalin momentum plays - not recommendations but simply 'crazy small stocks which may continue steep rises (or turn and burn) - but they almost certainly won't stand still.
M&A Target HitList
Here I want to highlight some stocks in my view with a more than 50% chance of getting some boost from bid related activity. It's speculative and not for the faint hearted. My rational is based on a combination of performance, assets, possible synergies with possible bidders, latent value. Looking ahead: Ultraframe, eBookers, Courts.
Rumour of the Week
I don't usually do the rumour game - but sources tell me Regus looks promising, and looking at the price chart it is accelerating ahead, a break above 80p looks very likely. Any fall below 60p would be an exit point, and indeed before then if there was any bad news on results.
Bewarned, rumours are always risky.
|