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Guardian Stockbrokers Key Economic News Monday 29 Feb 2016

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The key points from today’s economic news, brought to you by Guardian Stockbrokers.

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UK business barometer slid in February

In February, the business barometer in the UK dropped to 28.00. The business barometer had recorded a reading of 45.00 in the prior month.

Euro-zone consumer confidence index slid in February

In the Euro-zone, the final consumer confidence index dropped to -8.80 in February. The consumer confidence index had recorded a reading of -6.30 in the previous month. The preliminary figures had also indicated a fall to -8.80.

Euro-zone services sentiment indicator registered a drop in February

The services sentiment indicator in the Euro-zone registered a drop to 10.60 in February, lower than market expectations of a fall to a level of 11.40. The services sentiment indicator had recorded a revised level of 11.50 in the prior month.

Euro-zone economic sentiment indicator fell in February

In the Euro-zone, the economic sentiment indicator recorded a drop to 103.80 in February, lower than market expectations of a fall to a level of 104.30. In the prior month, the economic sentiment indicator had recorded a revised level of 105.10.

Euro-zone business climate indicator eased in February

The business climate indicator in the Euro-zone dropped to 0.07 in February, compared to a level of 0.29 in the prior month. Markets were expecting the business climate indicator to fall to 0.27.

Euro-zone industrial confidence index declined in February

In February, the industrial confidence index registered a drop to -4.40 in the Euro-zone, higher than market expectations of a fall to -3.60. The industrial confidence index had recorded a revised level of -3.10 in the prior month.

German HICP rose less than expected in February

The flash harmonised consumer price index (HICP) in Germany recorded a rise of 0.40% in February on a monthly basis, less than market expectations for a rise of 0.60%. In the prior month, the HICP had registered a drop of 1.00%.

German consumer price index (CPI) rose less than expected in February

In February, the preliminary consumer price index (CPI) in Germany, rose 0.40% on a monthly basis, lower than market expectations for a rise of 0.50%. The CPI had registered a drop of 0.80% in the prior month.

German HICP unexpectedly declined in February

The flash HICP in Germany unexpectedly eased 0.20% on a YoY basis, lower than market expectations for an unchanged reading. In the previous month, the HICP had climbed 0.40%.

German CPI remained steady in February

On an annual basis, the flash CPI remained unchanged in February, in Germany, compared to an advance of 0.50% in the previous month. Market expectation was for the CPI to climb 0.10%.

French EU normalised CPI rose less than expected in February

On a monthly basis, the flash EU normalised CPI rose 0.30% in France, in February, less than market expectations for an advance of 0.40%. EU normalised CPI had recorded a drop of 1.10% in the prior month.

French PPI eased in January

On a MoM basis, the producer price index (PPI) in France fell 0.80% in January. In the prior month, the PPI had registered a drop of 1.20%.

French GDP advanced more than expected in 4Q 2015

In 4Q 2015, the final gross domestic product (GDP) climbed 0.30% on a QoQ basis in France, higher than market expectations for a rise of 0.20%. In the prior quarter, GDP had registered a similar rise. The preliminary figures had indicated a rise of 0.20%.

French consumer spending advanced as expected in January

Consumer spending in France registered a rise of 0.60% in January on a monthly basis, at par with market expectations. In the prior month, consumer spending had recorded a revised rise of 1.00%.

Italian annual wage inflation eased in January

In Italy, the annual wage inflation eased to 0.70% in January. The annual wage inflation had recorded a level of 1.30% in the previous month.

Italian wage inflation remained flat in January

The wage inflation remained flat at 0.00% in January, in Italy.

Spanish CPI declined more than expected in February

On an annual basis in February, the preliminary CPI slid 0.80% in Spain, more than market expectations for a fall of 0.50%. In the prior month, the CPI had dropped 0.30%.

Spanish HICP index declined more than expected in February

The flash HICP index eased 0.90% on a YoY basis in February, in Spain, compared to a fall of 0.40% in the prior month. Markets were expecting the HICP index to drop 0.60%.

Spanish HICP index fell more than expected in February

On a monthly basis, the preliminary HICP index registered a drop of 0.40% in Spain, in February, more than market expectations for a fall of 0.20%. The HICP index had dropped 2.50% in the prior month.

Spanish CPI recorded an unexpected drop in February

On a monthly basis, the preliminary CPI in Spain unexpectedly dropped 0.30% in February, lower than market expectations for a rise of 0.10%. The CPI had recorded a drop of 1.90% in the previous month.

US personal income advanced more than expected in January

On a monthly basis, personal income rose 0.50% in January, in the US, higher than market expectations for a rise of 0.40%. In the prior month, personal income had advanced 0.30%.

US personal spending rose more than expected in January

Personal spending in the US advanced 0.50% on a MoM basis in January, compared to a flat reading in the prior month. Market expectation was for personal spending to rise 0.30%.

US GDP price index rose more than expected in 4Q 2015

On a QoQ basis, the second estimate of gross domestic product price index in the US rose 0.90% in 4Q 2015, compared to an advance of 1.30% in the previous quarter. Market expectation was for the GDP price index to advance 0.80%. The preliminary figures had recorded an advance of 0.80%.

US personal consumption expenditure deflator advanced more than expected in January

Personal consumption expenditure deflator advanced 1.30% on an annual basis in the US, in January, compared to a revised rise of 0.70% in the previous month. Market expectation was for personal consumption expenditure deflator to advance 1.10%.

US core personal consumption expenditure rose more than expected in 4Q 2015

In 4Q 2015, the second estimate of core personal consumption expenditure in the US rose 1.30% on a quarterly basis, more than market expectations for a rise of 1.20%. The preliminary figures had indicated an advance of 1.20%. Core personal consumption expenditure had recorded a rise of 1.40% in the prior quarter.

US core personal consumption expenditure advanced more than expected in January

In January, core personal consumption expenditure in the US rose 0.30% on a monthly basis, more than market expectations for an advance of 0.20%. In the previous month, core personal consumption expenditure had climbed by a revised 0.10%.

US personal consumption advanced less than expected in 4Q 2015

The second estimate of personal consumption in the US recorded a rise of 2.00% on a QoQ basis in 4Q 2015, less than market expectations for a rise of 2.20%. The preliminary figures had indicated an advance of 2.20%. In the previous quarter, personal consumption had registered a rise of 3.00%.

US core personal consumption expenditure rose more than expected in January

On an annual basis in January, core personal consumption expenditure advanced 1.70% in the US, more than market expectations for a rise of 1.50%. In the prior month, core personal consumption expenditure had registered a revised rise of 1.50%.

US annualised GDP advanced more than expected in 4Q 2015

In 4Q 2015, on a quarterly basis, the second estimate of annualised gross domestic product (GDP) recorded a rise of 1.00% in the US, higher than market expectations for a rise of 0.40%. The annualized GDP had registered a rise of 2.00% in the prior quarter. The preliminary figures had indicated a rise of 0.70%.

US Reuters/Michigan consumer sentiment index recorded a drop in February

The final Reuters/Michigan consumer sentiment index in the US fell to a level of 91.70 in February, higher than market expectations of a fall to 91.00. In the prior month, the Reuters/Michigan consumer sentiment index had registered a level of 92.00. The preliminary figures had recorded a fall to 90.70.

US personal consumption expenditure deflator surprisingly advanced in January

On a MoM basis in January, personal consumption expenditure deflator recorded an unexpected rise of 0.10% in the US, compared to a fall of 0.10% in the previous month. Market expectation was for personal consumption expenditure deflator to record a flat reading.

Japanese large retailer’s sales rose in January

In Japan, large retailer’s sales recorded a rise of 1.00% in January on a MoM basis. Large retailer’s sales had registered a flat reading in the previous month.

Japanese industrial production fell as expected in January

On a YoY basis, the preliminary industrial production in Japan recorded a drop of 3.80% in January, in line with market expectations. Industrial production had recorded a drop of 1.90% in the prior month.

Japanese retail trade unexpectedly fell in January

Retail trade unexpectedly eased 0.10% in Japan, on a YoY basis in January, less than market expectations for an advance of 0.10%. In the prior month, retail trade had registered a drop of 1.10%.

Japanese industrial production rose more than expected in January

On a monthly basis in January, the flash industrial production climbed 3.70% in Japan, more than market expectations for a rise of 3.20%. Industrial production had dropped 1.70% in the previous month.

Japanese retail trade surprisingly dropped in January

In January, retail trade registered an unexpected drop of 1.10% on a monthly basis in Japan, lower than market expectations for an advance of 0.10%. Retail trade had recorded a revised drop of 0.30% in the previous month.

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