Registration Strip Icon for tools Level up your trading with our powerful tools and real-time insights all in one place.

Alpesh Patel
Alpesh Patel's columns :
08/23/2004The Market Wants To Move Higher
08/17/2004August a good swing trader's month
08/06/2004Where are the jobs?
08/02/2004August a good swing trader's month
07/26/2004Takeovers abound
07/19/2004What does Branson tell us?
07/12/2004Well valued FTSE?
07/02/2004Well hello July
06/28/2004Summer aint bad
06/21/2004The Real Hot Stuff
06/04/2004Not bad at all
06/01/2004May was better than April, hows about June then?
05/21/2004Broader Market View
05/14/2004Interest Rates or GDP?
04/30/2004The Run Up To May
04/23/2004Some Big Picture Views
04/16/2004Growth Spurt or Splutter
04/13/2004The interest in Interest rates : beware and prepare.
04/07/2004Pick a Direction Already >>
03/26/2004After Gordon's Words
03/24/2004Hidden Opportunities
03/10/2004Hidden Opportunities and Big Momentum
02/26/2004So Much Uncertainty
01/13/2004The Resolutions
01/02/2004The Year's High
12/22/2003Slow down or Ramp up?
12/16/2003Xmas Rally or Not?
12/09/2003That good news is bad for the markets
11/27/2003It's not Christmas Yet
11/13/2003Now they have risen

« EARLIEST ‹ PrevNext › LATEST »
Alpesh Patel – A weekly look at market opportunities and pitfalls
Alpesh B. Patel is one of the UK's best-known traders and financial journalists. He writes a regular column for the Financial Times, has written seven bestselling books on trading, and makes regular television appearances for Bloomberg, Sky Television, Channel 4, The Money Channel, and the BBC.

Pick a Direction Already

04/07/2004

In case you had noticed we have a market where neither buyers or sellers are willing to stock their necks out. Trading in a range is something we're happy to do. Look at the falls in the FTSE 100 in the second half of January, the ride up in February and then shorting again for falls in March.

Now approaching April and the should we look for gains to take us to 4600? Admittedly there seems little cause to expect anything above 4600 for now or anything below 4200 either. It's only at those respective boundaries that buyers and sellers do actually come in and take a view - hence our range 'boundedness'.

Value-Growth

Fine, so we'll deal with that and act accordingly. What do we find in terms of stocks exhibiting value and growth on my radar? These are companies I am tracking for revenue growth, earnings growth, as well as value based on stock price to earnings and price to earnings growth too.

Some new names have crept on, beyond the usual property ones. Brandon Hire is anew one. This should not drop below 95p if my analysis is correct. Bristol and West Investments is up there but this is a case where I override the radar. The stock just is not showing enough activity for it to be interesting.

BSS Group is another one I have never mentioned and is on the radar. Now, watch for this to stay above 610p is the uptrend is in place. Ennstone enters the radar, but like Bristol and West is too questionable for me.

Hitachi Capital is picking up again and should not drop below 190p if I am correct and should look to 220p.

But what of the momentum plays on the bigger stocks? ITV is picking up steam. Watch for 145p. BAe systems is resuming upwards. We're talking about a 2 week to 1 month outlook here, so it really is short-term trading before the next cycle of down turns as profit-taking moves in takes place.

By the way, I am holding a full day seminar, so email me if you would like to attend.

Rolls-Royce is another looking to move to a new 52 week high at 240p. What of shorting, that is selling short to buy back later? J Sainsbury for one is falling off a cliff. Others looking decidedly 'iffy' include Minerva and RPS Group too.

What of a broader outlook? Well, it does seem the Bank of England might be willing to raise rates without the Americans raising there's - that means they are willing to see a soaring exchange rate and complaints from exporters and increases in imports all to stop consumers spending. But it won't stop consumers spending. I see little reason why interest rates in 3 years will not be double there existing levels.


Alpesh B Patel, author of “Alpesh Patel on Stock Futures” available from the ADVFN bookstore.

Your Recent History

Delayed Upgrade Clock